金乐圣

UNI is three times away from its new high, and after the ETH trend is established, UNI, known as 3x Ethereum leverage, has huge certainty and potential space. First, it is the leading ETH and the largest DEX; second, favorable DeFi policies, if the fee switch proposal is passed, the token economic model will undergo a massive upgrade. Third, the overall UNI consensus and trend are very good among mainstream coins. Keep an eye on it! $UNI

👀Many beginners, after buying a counterfeit and being trapped,
are reluctant to sell at a loss, so they hold on, hoping to break even.
But this is a misconception.
When losses exceed 50%, the difficulty of breaking even increases exponentially.
For example, after a 50% loss, a 100% increase is needed to break even,
but after a 90% loss, a 900% increase is required.
Therefore, controlling risk is more important than pursuing profit.
If you don't even understand these basic calculations,
it is advisable not to buy counterfeits recklessly.
#加密市场回调 #山寨

👀 When you invested 1 million 10 years ago:

0. Bought BTC, now worth 2.624 billion RMB.
1. Bought Tesla, now worth 120 million.
2. Bought Apple, now worth 98 million.
3. Bought BYD, now worth 60 million.
4. Bought Xiaomi, now worth 15 million.
5. Bought Nasdaq 100, now worth 4.42 million.
6. Bought Tencent, now worth 4 million.
7. Bought gold, now worth 3.25 million.
8. Bought S&P 500, now worth 2.69 million.
9. Bought silver, now worth 1.8 million.
10. Bought government bonds, now worth 1.4 million.
11. Bought CSI 300, now worth 1.04 million.
12. Bought Shanghai Composite, now worth 950 thousand.
13. Bought ChiNext, now worth 900 thousand.
14. Bought Country Garden, now worth 600 thousand.
15. Bought Evergrande, now worth 300 thousand.
16. Bought P2P, now left with 0.

"Going with the flow" is the simplest principle in trading. However, the real danger often lies not in going against the trend, but in treating the trend as a certainty.

The market is best at creating illusions; when it rises, it seems like it will never stop; when it falls, it feels like it will never hit bottom. The trap we are most likely to fall into is mistaking the current continuity for future certainty.

This week, after a surge, the market has entered a phase of consolidation, with both bulls and bears undergoing a period of settlement. Institutions and retail investors need to digest short-term volatility risks. The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has not materialized, leading to potential pullback pressure in the market; it is advisable to primarily observe.

BTC is only 5% away from its historical high, but the potential pullback risks (such as insufficient liquidity and technical overbought conditions) are significantly higher than the return potential. Be cautious of chasing highs and wait for opportunities to enter after a pullback (after five consecutive weeks of gains, corrections should be watched for).

BTC Technical Analysis: Consolidation Range and Support/Resistance
4-hour level: Top consolidation (102,360-104,365), lacking liquidity.

Key resistance level: 104,365 (after breaking through, resistance at 105,300-106,400)
Support level: 102,360 (if broken, support at 100,900-97,700)

Risk Avoidance: Avoid chasing prices during the consolidation phase, prioritize waiting for a directional choice.

ETH Technical Analysis: Consolidation Range and Support/Resistance
4H level: Top consolidation (2,270-2,389), with increased correlation to BTC.
Key resistance level: 2,389 (after breaking through, resistance at 2,435-2,550)
Support level: 2,270 (if broken, support at 2,110-2,155)

Altcoin rebound logic: If BTC stabilizes, some high liquidity altcoins (such as BNB/SOL) may follow in a rebound, but be cautious of liquidity risks during pullbacks.

Position Management: Gradually reduce positions during the rise (such as after the Yingli market), to avoid passively holding positions in a one-sided market.

Risk Control Priority: Set stop-losses (such as if breaking below key support levels by 10%), to avoid profit drawdowns.

The current rise is driven by favorable news (panic buying), lacking sustained incremental funds, with a high probability of pullback.

Right-side traders wait for pullback confirmations, while left-side traders should cautiously test long positions with strict stop-losses.

The short-term market is at a critical juncture, it is recommended to focus on defensive strategies, and closely observe the Federal Reserve's policy direction and BTC/ETH technical breakout signals.

Punt knows how to get through these two months, and has finally returned! 🤣$PNUT

Pundix, waiting for the golden position, empty seats will queue!🙈

Haedal, it's time to cut the chives! 🙈

Pundix, the main force should cut the chives, how much is life? Like morning dew, the days gone are full of suffering. $PUNDIX

Launching pundix and ctk contracts? The lunch box was received and then spit out. This farce is getting more and more ridiculous! $CTK $PUNDIX

The alpaca has ended its wicked life, which one will be loaded into the 💩 book next! bsw? voxel?

ONDO is the giant of RWA. While the market chases memes and noise, ONDO is gradually securing its dominant position in RWA, one treasury bond at a time, one protocol at a time. ONDO is not just a token; it is becoming a pillar of on-chain finance: tokenized treasury bonds (USDY, OUSG), Flux Finance: backed by real securities, driven by DAO, non-inflationary gaming, with a fixed supply of 10 billion dollars. Rigorous governance. Market capitalization exceeds 3 billion dollars, and this is just the beginning. Do not overlook the fundamentals. Once the market cools down, this essential landmark will become a dark horse. Recently, pay attention to important support near 0.9. #ondo

Teacher San has issued tokens, should we support it? Teacher San is here to help you through the level three alert. 😂

Against the backdrop of an overall pullback in the MEME sector, FLOKI is showing independent market performance. Technically, it encountered significant selling pressure around 0.00009, but moderate volume indicates strong market support, and the short-term trend integrity remains. If it effectively stabilizes upon retracing to MA7 (currently around 0.000078), it is expected to reignite upward momentum. It is recommended to control positions and adopt a strategy of buying on dips (gradually entering when retracing to MA7), avoiding chasing highs. $FLOKI #meme

Five Core Dimensions of Crypto Trading

1. Trend Analysis (Choosing the Trend)

1. Periodic Rhythm: The four-year halving cycle of BTC and the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve form the core driving axis

2. Macroeconomic Resonance: Pay attention to changes in monetary policy, liquidity changes, and turning points in market sentiment

2. Target Selection (Choosing Coins)

1. Value Anchoring: Innovation in technology pathways, team execution capability, ecological application scenarios

2. Risk Filtering: Be wary of inefficient projects, avoid value traps, and establish quantitative assessment models

3. Dynamic Tracking: Cross-validation of on-chain data, institutional holdings, and market narratives in three dimensions

3. Timing (Choosing the Right Time)

1. Build an Entry Signal System: Breakthrough in volume-price structure, abnormal capital flow, turning points in the fear index

2. Gradual Accumulation Strategy: Use grid trading methods to reduce volatility risk

4. Profit Management (Taking Profit and Cutting Losses)

1. Dynamic Profit-Taking Mechanism: Set layered take profit and stop loss points based on volatility

2. Tail Position Strategy: Retain 10-20% of the position to capture trend continuation opportunities

5. Risk Control System (Position Management)

1. Multi-Level Position Control: Single currency position ≤ 15%, sector diversification ≥ 3 tracks

2. Risk Hedging: Allocate stablecoins, DeFi derivatives, and other balanced assets

Clear decision-making and solid fundamentals are the core competitiveness to navigate bull and bear cycles. The market always rewards those who remain rational during cycles and adhere to discipline amidst volatility. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

👀 It still has to be the棒子, every time there is a coin listing announcement, starting at 50%! $SIGN

BTC is currently entering the lower edge of the consolidation range after retracing to the support zone of $89,500 - $91,000 (including the range low and the 200-day moving average).

The resistance above is concentrated at the $99,500 temporary high and the psychological level of $100,000, with the mid-term structure still relying on this range as a key reference point.

In the short term, attention should be paid to the macro data being released intensively this week and the earnings reports from major US tech companies, as these events are expected to serve as catalysts for breaking through the range, awaiting direction confirmation. $BTC

ETH's performance has been sluggish this month, but institutional movements are worth noting: Traditionally cautious BlackRock has today increased its holdings by approximately $67.5 million in ETH, indicating signs of institutional positioning in the market.

Currently, ETH is maintaining fluctuations below the key resistance level of $1850. If it breaks through, the daily technical pattern may undergo a bullish structural change. It is essential to closely monitor subsequent volume support and changes in capital flow. $ETH

The trip to New York should come to an end! It has been worthwhile, it's quite difficult in this era. On the road of pursuing wealth and freedom, do your best. The Americans are also facing challenges in their national fortune now, wish you good luck!

👀 You once dared to copy Ethereum at 3000, now at around 1550 ETH, are you sure you want to hold back? 🙈$ETH