金乐圣

👀 When you invested 1 million 10 years ago:

0. Bought BTC, now worth 2.624 billion RMB.
1. Bought Tesla, now worth 120 million.
2. Bought Apple, now worth 98 million.
3. Bought BYD, now worth 60 million.
4. Bought Xiaomi, now worth 15 million.
5. Bought Nasdaq 100, now worth 4.42 million.
6. Bought Tencent, now worth 4 million.
7. Bought gold, now worth 3.25 million.
8. Bought S&P 500, now worth 2.69 million.
9. Bought silver, now worth 1.8 million.
10. Bought government bonds, now worth 1.4 million.
11. Bought CSI 300, now worth 1.04 million.
12. Bought Shanghai Composite, now worth 950 thousand.
13. Bought ChiNext, now worth 900 thousand.
14. Bought Country Garden, now worth 600 thousand.
15. Bought Evergrande, now worth 300 thousand.
16. Bought P2P, now left with 0.

Launching pundix and ctk contracts? The lunch box was received and then spit out. This farce is getting more and more ridiculous! $CTK $PUNDIX

The alpaca has ended its wicked life, which one will be loaded into the 💩 book next! bsw? voxel?

ONDO is the giant of RWA. While the market chases memes and noise, ONDO is gradually securing its dominant position in RWA, one treasury bond at a time, one protocol at a time. ONDO is not just a token; it is becoming a pillar of on-chain finance: tokenized treasury bonds (USDY, OUSG), Flux Finance: backed by real securities, driven by DAO, non-inflationary gaming, with a fixed supply of 10 billion dollars. Rigorous governance. Market capitalization exceeds 3 billion dollars, and this is just the beginning. Do not overlook the fundamentals. Once the market cools down, this essential landmark will become a dark horse. Recently, pay attention to important support near 0.9. #ondo

Teacher San has issued tokens, should we support it? Teacher San is here to help you through the level three alert. 😂

Against the backdrop of an overall pullback in the MEME sector, FLOKI is showing independent market performance. Technically, it encountered significant selling pressure around 0.00009, but moderate volume indicates strong market support, and the short-term trend integrity remains. If it effectively stabilizes upon retracing to MA7 (currently around 0.000078), it is expected to reignite upward momentum. It is recommended to control positions and adopt a strategy of buying on dips (gradually entering when retracing to MA7), avoiding chasing highs. $FLOKI #meme

Five Core Dimensions of Crypto Trading

1. Trend Analysis (Choosing the Trend)

1. Periodic Rhythm: The four-year halving cycle of BTC and the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve form the core driving axis

2. Macroeconomic Resonance: Pay attention to changes in monetary policy, liquidity changes, and turning points in market sentiment

2. Target Selection (Choosing Coins)

1. Value Anchoring: Innovation in technology pathways, team execution capability, ecological application scenarios

2. Risk Filtering: Be wary of inefficient projects, avoid value traps, and establish quantitative assessment models

3. Dynamic Tracking: Cross-validation of on-chain data, institutional holdings, and market narratives in three dimensions

3. Timing (Choosing the Right Time)

1. Build an Entry Signal System: Breakthrough in volume-price structure, abnormal capital flow, turning points in the fear index

2. Gradual Accumulation Strategy: Use grid trading methods to reduce volatility risk

4. Profit Management (Taking Profit and Cutting Losses)

1. Dynamic Profit-Taking Mechanism: Set layered take profit and stop loss points based on volatility

2. Tail Position Strategy: Retain 10-20% of the position to capture trend continuation opportunities

5. Risk Control System (Position Management)

1. Multi-Level Position Control: Single currency position ≤ 15%, sector diversification ≥ 3 tracks

2. Risk Hedging: Allocate stablecoins, DeFi derivatives, and other balanced assets

Clear decision-making and solid fundamentals are the core competitiveness to navigate bull and bear cycles. The market always rewards those who remain rational during cycles and adhere to discipline amidst volatility. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH

👀 It still has to be the棒子, every time there is a coin listing announcement, starting at 50%! $SIGN

BTC is currently entering the lower edge of the consolidation range after retracing to the support zone of $89,500 - $91,000 (including the range low and the 200-day moving average).

The resistance above is concentrated at the $99,500 temporary high and the psychological level of $100,000, with the mid-term structure still relying on this range as a key reference point.

In the short term, attention should be paid to the macro data being released intensively this week and the earnings reports from major US tech companies, as these events are expected to serve as catalysts for breaking through the range, awaiting direction confirmation. $BTC

The trip to New York should come to an end! It has been worthwhile, it's quite difficult in this era. On the road of pursuing wealth and freedom, do your best. The Americans are also facing challenges in their national fortune now, wish you good luck!

👀 You once dared to copy Ethereum at 3000, now at around 1550 ETH, are you sure you want to hold back? 🙈$ETH

👀 Fun waited all day, 0.00785 it's time, shorted, set your stop-loss!

👀 SEC Crypto Roundtable, April 11, 25, May 12, and June 6, four strikes! Discussing DeFi and tokenization. Find quality targets and fasten your seatbelt!

👀 The historical oversold signal for ETH has been triggered again! Three similar scenarios.

1. 2018 Bear Market: After being oversold, it entered an upward cycle, eventually reaching an all-time high in 2021;

2. 2021 Terra Collapse: After a short-term crash, there was a rebound that restored the oversold indicators;

3. 2016 DAO Hacker Incident: Despite extreme selling pressure, it still achieved value recovery, laying the foundation for long-term ecological resilience.

Currently, ETH is hovering around $2000, with technical indicators highly aligned with historical oversold points.

If we follow the cyclical pattern, the $2000-$1800 range may represent a strategic positioning opportunity.

Note: Market volatility risks still exist, but historical backtesting shows that the average annualized return rate after being oversold is significantly higher than the normal range.$ETH

👀 PENDLE is significantly undervalued, with an FDV of only $616 million (62% of tokens are in circulation), but its TVL continues to reach new highs at 2.37 million ETH, ranking among the top six DeFi protocols, and is one of the few protocols that achieve substantial real returns.

As one of the leading protocols in the integration of DeFi and RWA, it adopts a profit-sharing model and has long-term sustainability; if it stabilizes above the key resistance level of $2.4, it is expected to aim for a range of $2.9 to $3.4 in the short term, with a potential short-term increase of 21%-42%.

Compared to similar protocols (such as UNI and AAVE), PENDLE shows significant undervaluation in both the TVL/valuation ratio and actual return capability dimensions. $PENDLE

👀 Key Points from the Federal Reserve's March Interest Rate Meeting

1. Timeline:
1. Rate decision announcement at 2:00 AM on the 20th (99% expectation that rates will remain unchanged.)

2. Powell's press conference at 2:30 AM on the 20th (market sentiment indicator)

2. Key Observational Indicators
Rate dot plot forecast:
• 3 rate cuts: Bullish for stocks/crypto
• Maintaining 1 rate cut: May trigger a sell-off
• Compromise with 2 rate cuts: Market reaction neutral

3. QT Tapering Process: Highly likely to announce a halt to tapering, releasing liquidity benefits

4. BTC Market
1. Technical Analysis:
Benchmark target: 84.5K-85K
Breakthrough resistance: Looking up to 90K
Pullback support: 80K-81K

2. Z-factor impact
Dovish signals: Bullish for crypto
Hawkish stance: Facing short-term downward pressure
Halting tapering: Medium to long-term liquidity injection benefits

The market expects a 99% probability that there will be no rate cut this time. Powell's speech and economic forecast summary will become key signals for potential future rate cuts. #美联储3月利率决议

👀 Market Focus Update 3/18

【Core Schedule】
▶ 3/19 BOJ Interest Rate Decision (Expected to remain at 0.5%)
▶ 3/20 Fed Interest Rate Decision (98% probability to maintain interest rates)

【Policy Game】
1. Central Bank Coordination: Strengthened expectations for synchronized stabilization by Japan and the US, Trump's trade policy first included in the pricing system.
2. Fed Path: Neutral stance continues, focus on dot plot interest rate guidance and 'dual tightening' risk scenario analysis.

【BTC Strategy Analysis】
◼ Technical Pattern: Sideways consolidation at the middle track of 83000 daily line, breakout direction depends on policy resonance
◼ Key Game: Unexpected rate hike by BOJ/Fed hawkish comments may trigger selling pressure
◼ Support and Resistance: BTC support at 80,000-82,000 / resistance at 85,300; ETH range 1,875-1,950

【Selected News】
1. Regulatory Trends: SEC crypto working group will hold a roundtable on the 21st, Hashdex's application for ETF inclusion of SOL/XRP/ADA has been approved.

2. Institutional Actions: WLFI strategic reserve adds BTC/ETH and 6 other cryptocurrencies, US BTC ETF saw a net inflow of $274 million yesterday.

3. Personnel Changes: Trump appoints Bowman as Vice Chair for Supervision at the Fed, will sign Executive Order Z on the same day.

4. Ecosystem Progress: a16z releases ElizaOS v2 beta, Apt launches LFM ecosystem support plan.

☕️ GM, happy weekend, everyone!

Market Overview on March 15:

【Market Review】
• BTC Fluctuation Range: 82900-85300 (failed to stabilize at 85k).
• Macroeconomic Drivers: U.S. stocks closed up + U.S. government shutdown risk alleviated.
• Market Sentiment: Fear Index returned to neutral at 46 (liquidity-sensitive period: Sunday night to Monday when U.S. stocks open).

【Macroeconomic Focus】 Preview of the Federal Reserve Meeting on 3/20:
1. Policy Tone: The intensity of Powell's statements on economic recession.
2. Interest Rate Path: Whether the expectation of three rate cuts this year can continue.
3. Balance Sheet Reduction Pace: Potential slowdown/pausing possibilities.

【Strategy Suggestions】
Position Management: Maintain a neutral position (around 50%).
Breakthrough Opportunity: If the macro environment releases dovish signals + alleviation of geopolitical risks, the probability of BTC hitting 90k exceeds 60%.
Altcoin Layout: Focus on varieties that have shown signs of starting, and increase positions once the trend becomes clear.

【Technical Support】
BTC Key Levels for the Day: 82900 (Support) | 85300 (Resistance)
ETH Dynamic Range: 1850-1890 (Support Zone) | 1950 (Key Resistance)

(Note: The core trading logic for next week revolves around the Federal Reserve meeting, it is recommended to maintain flexible positions before Wednesday)

RNDR, as a benchmark project in the AI + DePIN track of the Sol ecosystem, continuously demonstrates technological advantages against the backdrop of surging AI computing power demand, thanks to its unique model of integrating distributed GPU resources. After a correction of 2.52, it has currently stabilized in the support zone of 3-2.8 and tested the resistance range of 3.16-3.25, with market buying pressure continuously accumulating. If it breaks through the critical level of 3.25, it is expected to initiate a new round of upward movement. The render technology architecture is deeply aligned with the needs of AI rendering and distributed computing, combined with the development dividends of the Sol ecosystem, making it a highly elastic target of key focus. $RENDER

The pendulum always swings between excessive optimism and excessive pessimism, and smart traders always sow in pessimism. $BTC $ETH