The Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision is Coming, and the Crypto World is Stirring Again!
Attention, friends in the crypto world! At 2 AM on May 8th, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced, which is undoubtedly the most watched major event in the current crypto space! In my opinion, there are likely only two outcomes:
The first scenario is that if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates in May, the market has already priced in this expectation. If they really do not cut rates, Bitcoin will likely face a correction, and the digital currency assets we hold may be at risk of shrinking.
The second scenario is that if the Federal Reserve directly cuts interest rates, then the price of Bitcoin will skyrocket like it's on a rocket! Just thinking about the market conditions at that time gets people excited.
US President Trump: US-China Trade Negotiations, Key is 'Fairness'!
US President Trump, in a recent speech aboard Air Force One, once again thrust US-China trade relations into the spotlight. He claimed that the US is currently negotiating trade agreements with multiple countries, including China, with the core objective of the negotiations with China being to reach a 'fair' trade agreement.
China has been the main target of US tariff policies in recent years. In response to the US's tariff threats, China has taken strong countermeasures, imposing tariffs of up to 145% on certain American goods, demonstrating its firm resolve and tough stance. However, Trump does not seem to be backing down. He revealed that he might consider lowering tariffs on China in the future, and officials from both sides are currently engaged in intensive negotiations on multiple issues.
Shock! Japan's top star crosses over to launch a token, igniting a 'pink storm' in the crypto circle
Guys, this is explosive! Japan's top idol MIKAMI has unexpectedly crossed over to launch a token, and this move has blown up the crypto scene! The pre-sale for the MIKAMI project has just ended, and on-chain data shows that it has already absorbed 23,356 SOL. This meme coin, named after the AV goddess, is like a heavy bomb, stirring the entire crypto world upside down.
This operation is simply amazing! The project team originally set a pre-sale limit of 8,000 SOL, but within less than three hours of opening, it was completely sold out, and it even managed to roll up 2.3 times the expected funds. This wave of celebration has directly maximized the heat in the crypto circle. Monitoring of on-chain whales shows that a mysterious address directly dropped 1,200 SOL, and the fan economy has reached new heights in the crypto world. This operation is truly shocking!
Shock! Japan's top star crosses over to launch a token, igniting a 'pink storm' in the crypto circle
Guys, this is explosive! Japan's top idol MIKAMI has unexpectedly crossed over to launch a token, and this move has blown up the crypto scene! The pre-sale for the MIKAMI project has just ended, and on-chain data shows that it has already absorbed 23,356 SOL. This meme coin, named after the AV goddess, is like a heavy bomb, stirring the entire crypto world upside down.
This operation is simply amazing! The project team originally set a pre-sale limit of 8,000 SOL, but within less than three hours of opening, it was completely sold out, and it even managed to roll up 2.3 times the expected funds. This wave of celebration has directly maximized the heat in the crypto circle. Monitoring of on-chain whales shows that a mysterious address directly dropped 1,200 SOL, and the fan economy has reached new heights in the crypto world. This operation is truly shocking!
The Changing Winds of the May Market! Don't Let Illusions Blind Your Eyes
The market in May is unpredictable! A major drop might quietly approach! I have always believed that the market in May hides crises, and this judgment has never wavered. The recent rise in the market seems prosperous, but in reality, it is like the calm before a storm, laying the groundwork for future declines. My previous analyses have been nearly validated one by one. Friends who follow me can review my earlier posts and see how accurately my views were predicted at that time. Don't be easily swayed by those so-called 'authoritative' voices! BlackRock, Trump, and other major institutions are all shouting 'bullish in the long term', claiming to have hoarded a large amount of goods. But will these people easily take losses and exit? Of course not! Perhaps one day, they will suddenly pull a 'reversal', crashing the prices to the bottom, leaving you in panic to cut losses, and then they will drive the prices up sharply, completely trapping you and rendering you immobile. Don't let these ambiguous messages mislead you anymore! Instead of staring at those vague data every day, it’s better to calm down, focus on improving your trading skills, and cultivate a keen intuition for the market. This is the true weapon for dealing with market fluctuations!
Dear fans: Happy Labor Day! To thank all my fans for their support and love, I will be going live at 9:00 AM on Binance Square to share market trend analysis, wealth secrets, quality potential coin layouts, and interact with fans! All my friends and big names in the crypto circle are welcome to come and support!
We'll start broadcasting at 9:00 AM, so don't miss it! If you haven't followed me yet, I recommend you click to follow in advance, so you will receive timely reminders when I go live! #加密市场反弹 #币安Alpha上新 #美联储何时降息? #BTC走势分析 #ETH $BTC
Crypto Circle Scholar: Does the end of the unilateral stretch at 5.2 Bitcoin mean the end of the bulls? Latest market analysis reference
The essence of trading is survival, I hope you can understand, The current price of Bitcoin is 96,600, and it is currently 3:30 AM Beijing time. Has the main force's conspiracy surfaced? The unilateral stretch upwards has liquidated the shorts. Although we tried short positions at high levels, we ultimately got liquidated. The short positions around 95,500 broke the previous high of 98,700 with stop losses. Don’t resist the positions; remember that the essence of trading is survival, and profits come second. Survive first before considering the future,
Looking at the daily K-line, the current highest is 97,400, and the lowest is 94,000. A wave of unilateral stretch broke through the major resistance level and reached around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement line at 96,450. The main force will re-accumulate at this position. The EMA bullish trend is alternating and continuing. The EMA15 trend support has reached 92,000. Based on the current strength of the market, it is expected that the EMA15 will continue to stretch upwards to challenge 94,000. The MACD top divergence continues, with DIF and DEA expanding upwards. The K-line is challenging the upper pressure level of the Bollinger Bands at 99,300. The market is about to enter an extreme overbought phase; watch for reversal signals. Once they appear, you can short,
The four-hour K-line has broken the EMA trend indicator and stood at a high position. The EMA15 trend support has reached 95,200. The MACD has been continuously increasing, and the DIF and DEA golden cross trend is taking shape. After the K-line broke the upper Bollinger Band at 96,400, it is expected to return to the Bollinger Band channel. Pay attention to the mid-track support at 95,000. The upper short-term can see that the neckline at 96,800 has already been broken, so you can capture a short position with a target first looking at the strength around 96,000, then decide whether to take profits. You can refer to this,
Short-term trading thoughts reference: The market is never 100%, so always set good stop losses. Safety first—small losses with big gains is the goal, especially if key resistance and support levels are broken; stop losses must be executed, don’t resist the positions.
Northbound trial position at 95,500 to 95,000, defend at 94,500, stop loss 500 points, target at 96,500 to 97,000, break level at 97,500.
Southbound trial position at 98,000 to 98,500, defend at 99,000, stop loss 500 points, target at 97,000 to 96,500, break level at 96,000.
Specific operations should be based on real-time market data. For more information, you can consult the author. There may be delays in article publication, so the suggestions are for reference only, and risks are borne by yourself. $BTC
Federal Reserve's Major Move on May 7! The Global Financial Market is About to Be Shaken!
On May 7, 2025, the global financial markets will face a shocking 'superstorm' - the Federal Reserve's rate decision day! On this day, the eyes of global investors will be focused on Fed Chairman Powell, as his words could trigger violent fluctuations in the stock, bond, and cryptocurrency markets. Meeting Agenda: A two-day event with global attention
• Meeting Time: May 6 to 7, two consecutive days of intense meetings, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will engage in heated discussions about the direction of interest rates.
• Decision Announcement: May 7 at 14:00 (Eastern Time) / 18:00 (UTC), the global financial market will hold its breath for this historic moment.
Grasp the market rhythm, don't be misled by 'short-selling fantasies'!
In the investment market, many people always hold the mindset of 'after a significant rise, there should be a fall,' as if the market trends completely align with their subjective assumptions. However, this way of thinking is often just 'retail investor mentality' and lacks practical analytical basis. Currently, there are no obvious short-selling opportunities in the market; blindly guessing a decline will only lead to passivity.
So, what are the truly reliable short-selling signals? In fact, there are only two relatively certain conditions:
First, if the price line falls below 95,400 again, this could be a key turning point. This indicates that the market trend may have changed and the previous upward momentum has weakened; investors need to closely monitor this signal.
The Cryptocurrency Market is Rising Again: Key Turning Points for Bitcoin and Ethereum
Yesterday, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced intense fluctuations under the impact of news, with prices dropping significantly, but began to rebound and recover in the later half of the night. From a technical analysis perspective, the current market situation is complex, and investors need to cautiously seize opportunities. I. Technical Analysis of Bitcoin From the 4-hour level, Bitcoin's Bollinger Bands show a downward opening trend, indicating short-term downward pressure. The RSI indicator is currently in a neutral to weak range, suggesting a slight lack of buying power in the market. At the same time, the KDJ indicator has formed a death cross and has not yet fully recovered, which shows a clear divergence from the previous market view of 'short volume shrinking turning into long'. Investors need to closely monitor whether Bitcoin's price can effectively break through the key resistance level of $95,500. If it can successfully break through, it will strongly validate the effectiveness of the bullish trend; conversely, if it fails to break through, the market may continue to maintain a consolidation pattern.
In the world of cryptocurrency, thrilling stories unfold every day. But recently, ALPACA's drama can definitely be called the 'annual blockbuster'! From the delisting announcement to the $3 billion bloodbath, the operations behind it are simply astonishing, and those who see through it can only shake their heads and smile bitterly.
The beginning of the matter seemed unremarkable. Binance suddenly announced it would delist ALPACA, a digital currency viewed by many as a 'scam coin'. As soon as the news broke, the market was in an uproar, and investors believed ALPACA's good days were over. However, just when everyone thought it was about to plunge into the abyss, ALPACA suddenly surged against the trend, skyrocketing by 150% in just a few hours! Short sellers were stunned: it was about to be delisted, who would still dare to buy? Wasn't this self-sabotage?
The Bitcoin Market: Bottom-Fishing Craze and Signals for Future Trends
The recent Bitcoin market has shown a unique trend, as if testing the market's bottom line but never truly breaking below it. When the BTC price approaches $94,000, there always seems to be a mysterious force pulling it back quickly above $95,000. This phenomenon reveals a signal: in this round of rising market, there are still a large number of investors yet to enter. Once the price drops slightly, the bottom-fishing army rushes in, contrasting sharply with the previous situation where BTC lingered in the $80,000 to $85,000 range for 1 to 2 months with no one paying attention. This reflects that most investors are always willing to enter only after seeing a clear upward trend, while very few dare to layout in advance based on conviction.
Earth-Shattering! A Storm of Crypto Regulation is Coming in the U.S., New Chair Brings Huge Changes!
A storm of crypto regulation is brewing quietly in the United States, with the new SEC Chair taking office and a new bill targeting Puerto Rico's crypto tax loopholes. Various signs indicate that the rules for digital currencies are being completely rewritten!
The New Navigator Has Arrived: On April 21, Paul Atkins was officially sworn in as SEC Chairman, making a strong comeback with a 'crypto-friendly' aura. He previously served in the Bush administration and has always maintained an open attitude towards financial innovation; this return is seen as a long-awaited turning point for the crypto industry.
A New Era Begins: The former leader was criticized for a 'law enforcement priority' strategy that stifled innovation, leading to several major lawsuits that caused market turmoil. Atkins not only openly supports blockchain projects but also includes crypto platforms and tokenized companies in his investment portfolio; his stance is clear and inspiring!
The Correction of Bitcoin: A Halftime Break in a Bull Market or the End of the Trend? In-Depth Analysis
After Bitcoin surged to a high of $100,000, it entered a correction mode, leaving many investors confused and torn, as they began to speculate whether this was a brief pause in a bull market or the end of the trend.
First, let’s analyze the key factor of Bitcoin's halving mechanism. As is well known, Bitcoin’s production is halved every four years. Historical data shows that after previous halvings, the market usually sees a real price peak about 1 to 1.5 years later. Based on this timing, the end of 2025 to early 2026 is more likely to be the peak moment for the market, and the current correction seems more like a halftime break. Comparing the magnitude of the current correction, it has only decreased by 30%. Looking back to 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin experienced significant corrections of 45% and 53%, respectively. In contrast, the current correction is not exaggerated. Additionally, the miner's cost line is currently around $78,000. If the price truly falls to this level, miners will be reluctant to sell their Bitcoin due to cost considerations, which will, to some extent, provide price support, acting like a natural moat.
On April 21, the cryptocurrency market experienced a major breakthrough. Bitcoin prices soared, successfully breaking through the $87,000 mark, setting a recent high. Meanwhile, Ethereum also performed well, with prices rebounding above $1,600, while SOL surged strongly, with prices breaking $140. Additionally, other altcoins also showed slight upward trends. According to Coinglass data, the total liquidation amount of open contracts across the network in 24 hours reached $220 million, of which the liquidation amount for short positions was $142 million.
At the global macroeconomic level, the market is facing a complex and changing situation. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the tariff measures of the Trump administration are jointly influencing the direction of global markets. Both the U.S. stock market and the cryptocurrency market are under significant pressure. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell recently made it clear that the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve would intervene to calm volatility might be mistaken. When asked whether he would intervene in a sharp decline in the stock market, Powell responded, 'I will not do that, but I can explain why.' Under Powell's hawkish remarks, the Trump administration continues to pressure for interest rate cuts, but the specific timing for such cuts remains uncertain.
The Bull Market is Ending, How to Capture Opportunities Amid Risks?
As the market continues to evolve, many investors are now focusing on the direction of this bull market. Some believe that the 'end' of the bull market seems to be quietly approaching. If the market begins to slow down, it may be difficult for the market peak to last past May, and it could even arrive early in late April.
However, investors need not panic too much. Even if the bull market peaks, it is unlikely that Bitcoin will experience a crash of 50% or even 80% as it has in the past. Nowadays, Bitcoin is no longer just a 'speculative coin' in the hands of retail investors, but has become a 'hard currency' for Wall Street, ETF institutions, publicly listed companies, and even some countries as asset reserves. More and more wealthy individuals and businesses are inclined to include it in their asset allocations, and its four-year appreciation logic is gradually being accepted by the market.