Beware! A black swan event may occur in the cryptocurrency circle, and the following reasons may cause it!
1. Regulatory policy The US SEC has listed cryptocurrency as a key review focus in 2025, and other countries and regions may also introduce strict regulatory policies. Once the regulation becomes stricter, the market value of the crypto market may shrink significantly.
2. Security risks Hacker attacks are frequent. On February 21, the Bybit exchange was attacked, with losses exceeding US$1.5 billion. Blockchain has problems such as smart contract vulnerabilities and weak server protection. Large projects or platforms are attacked, which can easily cause market fluctuations.
3. Excessive speculation Coin circle investors often use high leverage. Once the market trend is the opposite, it will cause large-scale contract explosions, leading to panic selling. In 2021, the "5.19" contract liquidation wave caused a sharp drop in the prices of mainstream currencies.
4. Technological change If emerging technologies such as AI have problems in the application of encryption, or the AI token bubble bursts, it will impact the cryptocurrency circle.
5. Macroeconomics Issues such as the global economic recession will cause panic and funds to withdraw from the cryptocurrency circle. For example, the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic caused the cryptocurrency market to collapse simultaneously.
Crypto market, keep your alarm bells ringing, be vigilant at all times, and do a good job of risk control!
Happy Labor Day on May 1st A big market trend may arrive at any time Everyone should prepare their layout and manage risks well Strictly execute profit-taking and stop-loss in the short term Just place your regular investment orders at the right levels $BTC #特朗普税改
First of all, congratulations to those who are keeping up! 🎉🎉🎉 Let's talk about the upcoming market trends. Market Analysis: A few days ago during the live stream, I mentioned that the market would continue to fluctuate. Currently, $BTC has been operating within a range for 7 days on the daily chart. We need to pay attention to whether it can break above or below this range. The key level to watch above is around 95500, and below is around 92000. It should be nearing the end of this range soon.
Trading Strategy: ① Short-term: Short when the market approaches around 95000, and long when it approaches around 92000, with strict take-profit and stop-loss orders.
② Dollar-Cost Averaging: Invest in the initial position when the market approaches around 92500, and then place orders according to my dollar-cost averaging strategy and details.
The price has dropped 📉, I posted a message early this morning to remind everyone. Please manage your risks well, pay attention to 91000 nearby for $BTC , if it breaks below, there will be a lot of space below!
Wake up! All trading systems are 'expired canned goods'
1. The market never moves like a puppet on a script. Those that boast 'one trick to eat all' trading systems are essentially just scales etched on a moving deck—when the tide recedes, only ridiculous misalignment remains.
2. Technical indicators will collectively rebel, candlestick patterns can distort at any moment, and even the most reliable moving averages can play out 'backstab' scenarios. In this battlefield filled with human games and unexpected black swans, there is no eternally effective formula for solving problems. The brilliant performance of a certain period is merely a 'survivorship bias' granted temporarily by the market.
3. Traders mechanically executing 'Holy Grail systems' often become targets for the market's scythe. The true profit secret lies in dynamic adaptation: flexibly adjusting strategies, iterating trading cognition, and using judgment to carve out a path in the fog of long and short entanglement.
Remember: systems are only crutches, not wings. When you are obsessed with finding a 'trading perpetual motion machine', the market has long turned the corner, preparing a thorny crown for those who cling to dogma. $BTC
Last night in the square live broadcast room, the 1550 order of $ETH has nearly 7 points of profit. Now at the hourly level, there is a double top. Most have taken profits, leaving a portion to set a breakeven stop loss for greater profit potential!
The $ETH received at 1550 has already gained more than 5 points. You need to understand to take profits in batches, set a stop-loss to protect capital, and secure your profits!
The limit order for the live broadcast investment $ETH 1550 from last night has been received and is currently profitable. Many people are criticizing Ethereum, but I believe that no matter how bad Ethereum is, as long as you can grasp the rhythm, there is still a chance to profit. The key depends on your trading strategy and execution! $ETH
🔥Cryptocurrency Beginner's Comeback Guide! 4 Core Rules to Ensure Profits, Practical Secrets for Annualized Returns of 50%+
1. Core Trading Principle: Prioritize Stability, Then Seek Gains
1. Cognitive Priority Rule: Only participate in market trends that you understand; firmly avoid those you don’t. It’s better to miss 10 opportunities than to blindly enter and make a mistake once. A deep understanding of the market is the cornerstone for achieving annualized returns of 50%+.
2. Gold Trading Hours: It is recommended to lock in the main trading time after 9 PM. At this time, the market has matured through the information of the day, trends are clearer, and it effectively avoids the interference of high-frequency daytime information, reducing the risk of misjudgment.
2. Ironclad Capital Management Rules: Protect Principal, Let Profits Run
1. Profit Taking Mechanism: After each trade is profitable, immediately withdraw 50% of the principal. Transfer this portion of funds to a secure wallet or bank account, while using the remaining funds for rolling operations to ensure the safety of the principal and eliminate profit drawdown.
2. Weekly Settlement System: At a fixed time each week, withdraw 50% of the total profits from the account. Convert digital assets into real wealth to avoid profit shrinkage due to market fluctuations.
3. Technical Analysis Guide: Use Data to Accurately Capture Entry Opportunities
1. Tools and Indicators: Install TradingView tool, and construct entry signals using the dual confirmation mechanism of MACD golden cross/death cross and RSI overbought/oversold. When both indicators signal simultaneously, the entry win rate significantly increases.
2. K-Line Cycle Strategy:
① Short-term Trading: Focus on the 1-hour K-line. When there are two consecutive hours of rising trends, initiate long positions.
② Sideways Market: Switch to the 4-hour chart, accurately layout near support levels to improve entry cost-performance ratio.
1. Dynamic Stop-Loss Strategy: Manually move the stop-loss position up while monitoring the market to lock in profits promptly; if unable to monitor while out, set a 3% hard stop-loss to avoid significant losses due to extreme market conditions.
2. Leverage and Currency Selection: Newcomers are advised to control leverage within 5 times, stay away from high-risk altcoin contract trading, and focus on mainstream currencies to reduce the risk of liquidation.
3. Trading Frequency Limit: No more than 3 trades per day to avoid emotional trading due to frequent transactions, thus reducing unnecessary trading costs and error probability.
The market is coming $BTC Initial Warehouse 83000 $ETH Initial Warehouse 1550 $SOL Initial Warehouse 125 Set up the orders for regular investments Invest in multiple batches Wait quietly to see if the market cooperates If you can't get it, you won't lose money If you get it, you will definitely profit Don't hesitate Just do it
Bitcoin has been oscillating in the daily level around 83000–86000 for 8 days. Today, it is likely to continue operating within this range. The oscillation range is getting smaller, and a trend change is imminent. Once it breaks above or below, there will be no less than 10000 points of movement. Are you ready?
In terms of operations, it’s better to watch more and act less. Focus on observation, and you can place good regular investment orders, waiting quietly for the market. $BTC
A big market could come at any time. The orders placed a couple of days ago have all been secured, and any outstanding orders should continue to be placed. Don't hesitate, once you receive them, it's guaranteed profit! $BTC
Stable profits are the way to go Congratulations to those who kept up 🎉🎉🎉 The market is not good But There are still opportunities It just depends on whether you can seize them $BTC
Blood rain and wind! The Bitcoin life-and-death showdown on April 18: The 85,000 defense battle is about to break out!
The price of $BTC is like a startled bird, wildly fluctuating around $84,800! The fierce battle between bulls and bears is in full swing, and with a slight misstep, one could lose everything!
1. Market Analysis
1. Market Trends BTC has been bouncing back and forth between $83,700 and $85,500 over the past 24 hours, a typical 'range-bound' market, with the main force selling high and buying low, while retail investors may be caught off guard and get cut.
2. Technical Indicators ① Daily level: EMA30 ($83,800) is a strong support level, having been tested multiple times without breaking, indicating the bulls are still resisting; although the MACD's DIF and DEA are moving upwards, the volume is insufficient, and the upward momentum is lacking; the middle band of the Bollinger Bands ($84,000) has become a key short-term defense line, and once it breaks, the price may plummet to $83,000.
② 4-hour level: There is huge selling pressure near $86,000, with the K-line continuously forming long upper shadows, indicating the bears should not be underestimated; at the same time, the MACD shows a decrease in volume and a top divergence phenomenon, sharply increasing the risk of a short-term pullback.
3. Macroeconomic Factors ① Market Closure: Today, due to Good Friday, the US market is closed, resulting in sharply reduced market liquidity, and the market is likely to continue in a state of fluctuation.
② Policy Risk: Powell warns that Trump's tariffs may raise inflation, and expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike are increasing, with BTC facing strong pressure between $86.5K and $88K; although tariffs on phones and chips have been temporarily eased, the word 'temporary' hangs like the Sword of Damocles, making funds reluctant to enter the market in large numbers.
2. Trading Strategy
1. Short-term Swing ① Long: Lightly try going long in the $83,500 - $83,000 range, with a stop-loss set at $82,500, targeting $84,500 - $85,500.
② Short: Set up short positions near $85,500 - $86,000, with a stop-loss at $86,500, targeting price levels of $84,000 - $83,500.
2. Dollar-Cost Averaging Place an order for the first position at $83,000, building positions in batches, and develop a strategy. If the $83,000 support is broken, the short-term pullback may increase, and if a crash occurs, it could be a moment of huge profit. $BTC
Breaking News! The Pi project is actually "shutting out" Chinese users, and the speculators still don't wake up?
1. KYC Fees and Discrimination KYC for Pi now requires payment, which is extremely irresponsible towards the users who have been waiting, especially the large user base from China. Many people who have not passed KYC want to pay to resolve it, but when filling in their nationality, there is surprisingly no option for "China (中国)", completely ignoring Chinese users.
2. Different Treatment for Certification Channels Pi does not provide a certification channel for Chinese users, treating users from China like fools. While enjoying the traffic benefits brought by the huge user base in China, they treat users differently regarding key certifications and developments, which is disheartening.
3. Suspected False Advertising The tweets sent out by the project team every day have no substantive meaning, constantly painting a rosy picture for users while failing to fulfill commitments made to Chinese users. The ongoing issues regarding normal participation of Chinese users in the project have not been resolved for so long, which raises suspicions of false advertising.
4. Speculators Still Support It is perplexing that some users are still supporting this project that is extremely unfriendly towards Chinese users. Everyone should wake up and not be deceived; the best way is to resist and stop promoting it.