The charm of this circle is that it can rise 5x in one morning and drop 10x in one night. The treasures held by #om have been infinitely issued and revealed. Market Maker: I’m running first, it’s up to you whether someone takes over! Retail Investors: I’m so sorry, the ones I feel most sorry for are my family.😭
Market is fluctuating within a narrow range $BTC What we need to do now is wait, The FOMC decision is an important bullish catalyst. Currently, we are watching macro news to see which way it will go. If bullish, please hold back at 84000 to stabilize.
In a market that fluctuates, it may not necessarily shake your price but your position!
Brothers, I've got this rollercoaster market under tight control! Previously bought the $BTC long position around 77000, holding steady. Today, as it surged to around 84000, I decisively called for reducing positions. I've already pocketed short-term profits, and now I'm just holding the bottom position long at 77000, watching the show (Brother Bai's entry point can outperform your trades for half a month).
This position is a bit delicate, a "halftime zone" after a sharp decline and rebound. The original plan was for the dog fund to push to 83000 to stir things up, but to flush out the wavering bulls, they first slammed it down to 77000 for a cold shower before pulling it back up, allowing both sides to complete a "big chip exchange".
The script might unfold like this: first, a surge to give warmth to the 2-hour level resistance zone (87222-88222 area), during which I will clear all net long positions and prepare for short positions. If it goes down, remember the golden pit is in the 74777-73777 range; that’s the safe zone for catching falling knives!
✅ Hold your hands near 83000! Messing around at this position can easily lead to repeated slaps in the face, for example, thinking it will drop only for the dog fund to first blow up the shorts to 87000 and then crash, or first slam to 68000 and then V-recover. You'd be frustrated, right? ✅ The longer the fluctuations, the healthier it is! A prolonged sideways trend can wash out the retail bulls and is more likely to brew a reversal. ✅ Bull defense line: 74777-73777 (if this range is broken, the script needs to be rewritten) ✅ Bear alert line: 87222-88222 (breaking here might start a new story)
This market is like a warm wash—alternating hot and cold can reveal the real tough guys! Follow Brother Bai's rhythm, lie down when it’s time to rest, and strike hard when it’s time to attack. We need to catch the fish's body while avoiding its bones!
Bai Ge's Polar Night Survival Guide: Market Analysis
Brothers, this weekend we are playing "ECG shock" again! Brother Bai said with a clear conscience, the most important things now are: first, loosen your lever two more buttons below your waistband! Second, get teacher niubi's magic point tattooed on your eyelids. The current market is all about heartbeats. If you are not careful, your pants will be shaken off! Many brothers asked me if I am really good now? Let me be honest - Bitcoin is the only one in the market that is dancing! Other currencies are lying flat like salted fish. How can this be the darkness before dawn? This is clearly the monthly package of the Arctic Circle! But don't panic, the polar night will be followed by the polar day, and what we have to do now is to survive until the day when the sun rises.
It's quite interesting to hear Trump speak: The federal government is already one of the largest holders of Bitcoin. It has acquired up to 200,000 Bitcoins through civil law and various other laws, as well as enforcement actions. These existing assets will form the basis of new reserves. Unfortunately, in recent years, during Biden's administration, most of the BTC was sold. From today, the United States will adhere to very clear principles: never sell your Bitcoin. The Treasury and the Commerce Department will also explore new ways to accumulate additional Bitcoin reserves, provided that taxpayers do not incur any costs. We do not want taxpayers to pay anything. The government is currently setting up a list of crypto assets, and the held crypto assets will be stored in a new U.S. digital asset vault and managed properly. I also want to express my strong support for the efforts of lawmakers and Congress, as they are drafting legislation to provide regulatory certainty for dollar stablecoins and the digital asset market. They are working very hard on this. This is a tremendous opportunity for economic growth and innovation in our financial sector.
The implication (don't sell, and I won't buy; whatever the previous news was, it was what it was; how many people, upon hearing you say not to sell your BTC, went long at 88,000?)
Talking about the present is like saying nothing, 6666, it still has to be Trump! #白宫首届加密货币峰会
This thing pulls back and forth #白宫首届加密货币峰会 That means as long as the performance of the US economy doesn’t collapse, I won’t lower it Conversely, does it mean it has to collapse before lowering it? So does the decline in US stocks cause BTC to drop? $BTC
The largest bank in Dubai, Emirates NBD, has launched cryptocurrency trading services through its digital bank Liv (users can buy and sell cryptocurrencies in the Liv X app). This is not only a significant move in the Middle Eastern financial industry but also feels like dropping a 'compliance bomb' on the global cryptocurrency market. Banks are directly involved, giving cryptocurrencies 'identity cards'? In the past, banks' attitudes towards cryptocurrencies were like 'parents watching early romance,' both curious and fearful of the risks. However, the entry of Dubai's largest bank is tantamount to giving cryptocurrencies 'stamp of approval,' allowing ordinary users to buy and sell directly through the bank's app, significantly lowering the participation threshold.
Custody services are handled by Standard Chartered's subsidiary Zodia, ensuring full compliance and addressing users' concerns about 'exchange collapses.' This may encourage more traditional financial institutions to follow suit, as seen with the actions of Switzerland's PostFinance and Italian banks as signs of a trend.
Dubai is transforming into a 'cryptocurrency paradise,' skillfully utilizing a combination of policies. The UAE announced back in 2024 that cryptocurrency trading would be exempt from value-added tax, legalized salary payments, and even allowed cafes to accept Bitcoin for coffee. The bank's entry is a continuation of these policy benefits. Dubai has upgraded from a 'tax haven' to a 'cryptocurrency paradise,' attracting global enterprises and capital influx. For instance, exchanges like 'OJBK' have obtained licenses, and the World Trade Center has established a cryptocurrency regulatory zone, forming a complete industry chain. This wave of actions feels like Dubai is signaling: 'Take your time, Wall Street; we can do finance in the desert too!'
Market response: Short-term frenzy, long-term stability? Short-term: The bank's endorsement may trigger speculative sentiment, especially with Middle Eastern wealthy funds entering, potentially exacerbating price volatility (for example, 'Dubai concept coins' being hyped). Long-term: Compliance will transition cryptocurrencies from the 'gray area' to the mainstream, attracting more institutional investors. For instance, bank custody services may drive demand for Bitcoin ETFs and other products. If regulatory measures in other regions lag behind, it could create a 'policy arbitrage' bubble (for instance, project teams flocking to register in Dubai). This move by Dubai banks feels like opening a 'VIP channel' for the cryptocurrency market — compliance, tax exemption, and bank-level security, directly pushing crypto assets from 'underground trading' into 'sunlit rooms.' While there may be bubbles in the short term, this is an important milestone for cryptocurrencies to become a mainstream asset class in the long term.
Everyone, the current market structure exhibits typical characteristics of oscillation and capital accumulation. The narrow oscillation of the past week is essentially a consolidation at the 4-hour level, while the wide oscillation over the past two days is essentially a trade-off of space for time, completing the turnover of capital - the main force has completed the cleaning within 48 hours using the amplitude of two weeks, which is a typical 'swing action'.
From the on-chain data, Ethereum has indeed completed a large-scale liquidation around the $2000 mark, triggering a total of $1.2 billion in forced liquidation orders just this week. However, there is a cognitive bias in the market; the current funding rate for Ethereum perpetual contracts continues to show a positive premium, indicating that long positions are overly crowded, which is the core factor restricting the price - not Vitalik's code, but the imbalance between supply and demand in the market.
For Bitcoin on the 4-hour chart, the CME futures premium continues to maintain above 0.8%, with institutional holdings breaking historical highs, which is a typical bull market structure. The current price, after completing two segments of 4-hour driven waves, has an 80% probability of entering a 2-hour converging triangle consolidation. Brother Bai suggests paying close attention to the 83000-81200 Fibonacci support, where multiple indicators resonate.
You can also take a look at the depth chart; the current market sentiment shows polarization. When most people fear the 2-hour level volatility, it is precisely the golden window for establishing a bottom position. Above, there is $680 million worth of selling liquidity accumulated at 90888-92488; once this pressure band is broken, it will trigger the buy-following instructions of algorithmic trading systems. Remember, the 80/20 rule of capital markets has never changed - when 80% of people hesitate, it is precisely the timing for 20% of smart capital to position themselves.
China retaliates against tariffs imposed by Trump Highest tariff rate of 15% Canada imposes a retaliatory tariff of 25% on U.S. imports Will continue until the U.S. withdraws its trade actions Trump's 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada take effect Ending decades of relative free trade between the U.S. and its North American neighbors; At the same time, the tariffs on Chinese goods will double to 20%. These tariff actions could disrupt nearly $2.2 trillion in annual bilateral trade in the U.S. (Mexico will announce its response on Tuesday)#美国加征关税
When Trump's Twitter Becomes the 'Pump Button': A Magical Realism Carnival in the Crypto Market
Just recently, Trump pressed the 'crypto nuclear button' on social media, announcing his digital asset executive order directing the presidential task force to advance a cryptocurrency strategic reserve including XRP, SOL, and ADA, while shouting 'Make America Great Again, become the world's crypto capital!' The market instantly boiled over. ADA surged 40%, breaking through $0.9; XRP broke through $2.5, while SOL followed closely with an 11% increase. Retail investors shouted 'MAGA (Make Crypto Great Again)' while frantically placing orders, as if Trump's Twitter account had become the 'ATM of the crypto market...'
Ethereum Foundation: Can the two new CEOs take ETH from 'lying flat' to 'lying win'?
On March 1, 2025, the Ethereum Foundation announced the appointment of Hsiao-Wei Wang and Tomasz Stańczak as co-executive directors, marking another significant personnel adjustment following Aya Miyaguchi's promotion to foundation chair. This change comes at a time of low ETH prices—over the first two months of 2025, there was a massive outflow of BTC ETF funds, with prices dropping from $3,750 to $2,200, a decline of 70%. Meanwhile, community doubts about Ethereum are rising, from the “vampire effect” of Layer2 to the foundation's “shipment controversy,” ETH seems to be caught in “internal and external troubles... but was this personnel change really to “save the market”? Perhaps the answer is more complex.
Brothers, the market's veteran driver has once again taken us around to the 85,000 toll booth! Right now, this trend is like a roller coaster stopping in the middle for maintenance. Brother Bai calculates that the next 4-hour level is likely to play 'triangle love oscillation' — the upper edge is stuck in the 89,200-90,200 high pressure zone (remember to bring a parachute for short positions), while the lower edge is protected by the 80,666-79,666 safety cushion (the bulls have set up camp here).
Here comes the key point! Don't be fooled by the apparent fake fall at the 80,000 checkpoint; the 4-hour candlestick closing speed is faster than a takeout delivery guy grabbing orders, so let's just lie back and watch the show. As for the 71,500 ancestral ambush position, those in the know understand — it's like when Brother Bai told you to rush into the golden pit at 50,200 back in the day; now just set your orders in advance and wait for the market to give out red envelopes!
⚠️ Now everyone, get ready! The ban on speaking in the group could launch signal flares at any moment; Brother Bai's love tips are more important than checking up on your partner. Remember: in a volatile market, don't act recklessly; sticking to the upper and lower edges and conducting guerrilla warfare is the way to survive! $BTC
Hehe, someone really made me laugh, recently it's all about mainstream manipulation And I'm laughing at this act, hehe hehe There are clowns mixing with my strategy, stealing and eating meat without knowing their place~ Are there any black fans left? That's nice, just enough to complete my "Shan Hai Jing" collection. The phoenix appears in the South China Sea, it only rests on the phoenix tree, it only eats ripe fruit—how does this rotten rat taste for you? I treat the good well, and I also treat the unkind well, virtue is good. Hehe. High-level players never get involved in petty fights, they only elegantly acknowledge the other's anger with a "Seen" ❤️#白宫首届加密货币峰会
Don't know what to buy? Follow my square and I'll teach you. Critics will say it's a garbage coin, haha (don't be sour, hehe). A coin that rises about 20% a day can make me money, garbage? The market has driven people to madness...?
Come on brothers, let me tell you about this amazing market trend:
Last night, the brothers who bought at 82600 are probably laughing in bed now, right? Just like last time when it dropped from 85400 to 88000, I had my long positions set at key points and made several thousand dollars on the rebound—this is what picking up money is all about! You guys insist on stubbornly shorting in the middle, with a 20% stop-loss probability playing Russian roulette?
Now this market is stuck at a critical point: the position at 82600 is more crucial than an ex's WeChat chat history! If it holds, it’s the golden diamond supreme VIP bottom, and the market maker might just show you an unprecedented high—believe it or not? After all, those who are long right now are being washed out like stray dogs, and the market is full of jittery little players shorting—get the mood right?
But if this critical position breaks (falls below the 80000 iron threshold), then we’ll have to change tactics. Do you see the range of 71500-70500? At that time, we’ll short high and pair it with long positions to profit from the rebound. When we hit the supreme support level at around 71000, I’ll heavily invest to catch the mother of all bottoms!
Now everyone, keep your eyes wide open like surveillance cameras: the next 48 hours will either be heaven or hell. Remember, true hunters always wait to pull the trigger at critical points; those who chase the market will eventually be played by the market makers! $BTC