白鲸Crypto

#BTC再创新高
100 million USD positions added by giant whales, 900 million USD positions profit over 20 million USD, the battle between long and short leverage has turned into a game of whales👇

Step 1: Giants Build a Wall
Large funds place buy orders densely around 100,000 USD, propping up the price like building a wall.
Ordinary retail investors see the 'wall' and are hesitant to short easily.

Step 2: Psychological Tug-of-War
When the price surges to 110,000, short sellers start to lose money:
1. Old shorts are forced to add funds to cover (the more they lose, the more unwilling they are)
2. New shorts see the wall too thick and choose to wait and see.
3. Some shorts defect to go long (stop-loss surrender + reverse chasing the rise)

Step 3: Liquidation Massacre
After the short side splits internally, the price continues to soar.
The exchange automatically liquidates the stubborn shorts (forced closing).
At this point, the market is left with only long positions self-indulging.

Step 4: The Tragedy of Longs Killing Longs
When all shorts are wiped out, the problem arises:
1. Longs want to take profits, but no one is there to take over.
2. Large funds secretly sell out first.
3. The price suddenly plummets, and the latecomer longs trample each other.

The essence of the market is to find counter parties; someone loses money for someone to make money.
When everyone looks in the same direction, the trend will reverse.
Institutions use capital advantages + retail investor psychology to create traps.
Bull markets bury people, bear markets bury people, specifically burying the greedy and latecomers.

Now the US dollar index is plummeting, US Treasury yields are rising, and gold has reached a new high. Funds are flowing out of the dollar system, and risk aversion is surging into gold. There may be a small amount of funds flowing into Bitcoin. The risk-hedging function of gold relies on its physical properties and historical consensus, while Bitcoin is more driven by technical expectations and market sentiment. The technical bottom for Bitcoin is basically confirmed now, it's ready to take off, brothers, just waiting for the right moment, so hold on tight!

Let me share some valuable insights on how to judge Bitcoin sentiment and trading strategies from the perspective of gold:

Gold is the market's fear index; the more panic there is, the more sought after it becomes. Conversely, when gold prices turn downward, it indicates that the market is willing to take risks, suggesting that large funds believe the worst is over and start selling gold bars from their safes to dive into the stock and cryptocurrency markets for excitement! The key point is to closely monitor the gold and U.S. Treasury bond combination to assess sentiment recovery and combine it with operational strategies by looking at two indicators ⬇️
1️⃣ Gold falls + U.S. Treasury yield rises: Funds are collectively fleeing from safe-haven assets
2️⃣ Gold price falls + U.S. stocks rise: Decisively increase positions in batches
3️⃣ Federal Reserve turns dovish + Gold plunges: Jump into spot trading with eyes closed

At this moment, remember that Bitcoin never waits for retail investors. When gold's candlestick suddenly breaks, please step into the position like Soros did when he shorted the pound; this might be the last bloodthirsty charge of 2025.

Powell's speech tonight released three key signals, a deep interpretation below:

1. Dollar emergency packages distributed globally
The liquidity alert for Bitcoin has been lifted. Powell made it clear: once there is a global dollar shortage, the Federal Reserve will directly provide funds to central banks of various countries. This is equivalent to giving the market a shot of reassurance, similar to the restart of the dollar swap agreements during the pandemic in 2020, directly alleviating the liquidity crisis. Powell is essentially equipping the global market with an airbag, reducing the risk of panic selling. When central banks keep printing money, the constant total supply of Bitcoin serves as a safe deposit.

2. Stablecoins receive official endorsement
The mainstreaming of cryptocurrencies has taken a crucial step, as Powell acknowledged for the first time that stablecoins are a form of currency and supports the establishment of a legal framework. This is akin to the official issuing of temporary IDs for stablecoins like USDT and USDC, with two significant implications behind it:
1. Regulatory incorporation, bringing stablecoins into the traditional financial system through compliance frameworks to prevent them from going out of control;
2. Possibly paving the way for a digital dollar, first allowing private stablecoins to test the waters, so that when the Federal Reserve introduces a CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) in the future, it can directly take over this infrastructure, realizing the scenario of state-owned enterprises incorporating private enterprises.

Regardless, the legalization of stablecoins will accelerate the flow of funds in and out of the cryptocurrency market, attracting more traditional capital to enter.

3. Bank regulation loosens, institutional funds have opened the floodgates
Powell made it clear that he will not prevent banks from serving crypto clients as long as they manage risks properly. This is equivalent to giving Wall Street the green light, directly benefiting institutions, allowing banks to legally custody Bitcoin and provide trading and settlement services, lowering the entry threshold for institutions. This promotes BTC from being a retail battlefield to an institutional asset pool. However, regulatory loosening does not mean unrestrained freedom. Powell specifically mentioned the need to learn from the lessons of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, and in the future may require banks to isolate the risks of crypto businesses to avoid systemic crises.

The policy bottom for Bitcoin has emerged, but the game has just begun. Powell's three consecutive announcements released clear signals that the Federal Reserve is shifting from being opponents of cryptocurrencies to risk managers. For the market, the alleviation of liquidity panic + the decrease in regulatory uncertainty means that Bitcoin is welcoming a short-term emotional recovery. Operational advice: Hold onto spot positions tightly, focus on the progress of bank cooperation and the legislative timetable for stablecoins; these two indicators will determine the height of the second wave of the bull market!

$BTC
Technical Aspect
The 4-hour rebound of Bitcoin has completed, with the price facing some resistance at 86000. Overall, buying pressure is stronger than selling pressure, but there is no sign of overbuying. The main issue is that buying momentum has slowed down, and the market has started to enter a phase of consolidation. Currently, the expectation is for a potential large rebound at the daily level, projected around 88000-92000.

Policy Aspect
The deadlock in tariff negotiations between China, the US, and Europe has led to short-term negative sentiment being exhausted, and a strong stance from the East is suppressing market risk-averse sentiment. For the market now, no news is the best news.

Capital Aspect
Bitcoin ETF has begun to see mild inflows, with the average daily trading volume of spot transactions in the range of 2.2-2.3 billion USD. Market liquidity remains stable, and after experiencing fluctuations, the market has entered a new accumulation phase, while long-term holders on-chain are also increasing their positions.

The medium-term upward trend of Bitcoin remains unchanged, with short-term fluctuations poised for a breakout.

1:30 AM, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech, addressing weak U.S. stocks and concerns about economic recession, hoping he will provide some dovish comments to calm the market.

These two presidents who are super interested in Bitcoin, what else can they talk about besides Bitcoin? It seems there will be market activity tonight!

$OM Tiger Mouth Snatch Food 😁

Trump has backed down, the tariff drama has come to an end, and the market is returning to normal!

#美国加征关税 China increases tariffs on the US to 84%, the EU follows suit, other small countries follow the trend, the tariff war reaches a certain stage, Trump publicly calls on the Federal Reserve to 'immediately cut interest rates', now the decision is in the hands of the Federal Reserve, it all depends on whether the Federal Reserve takes action to cut rates and save the market.

US stocks currently down 25%, historical average drawdown is 30%

Summary of comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell:

1. The tariff levels exceeded expectations and could lead to rising inflation and slowing economic growth.

2. It is "too early" to determine the appropriate policy path.

3. The Federal Reserve is in a favorable position to "wait for a clearer situation."

4. Tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation.

5. The impact of tariffs on the economy is greater than expected.

6. It is essential to ensure that rising prices do not lead to persistent inflation.

A few minutes ago, President Trump called for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to lower interest rates immediately.

The US stock market has fallen like this, $BTC is really strong!

#美国加征关税
On April 2, the heavy blow of U.S. tariffs landed, and global stock markets collectively bungee jumped high. Bitcoin, relatively speaking, is still quite stable. Currently, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 2 to 3 times throughout the year. The core concerns of the market regarding the repeated tariffs and the uncertainty of interest rate cuts are actually short-term issues.

The midterm elections in 2026 are the real directors, and the secret gears of the political clock are about to start turning. Every 18 months before the midterm elections, the White House launches the "Economic Sweet Spot" plan, just like Clinton's sudden shift to moderate trade policies in 1994, so Old White can be sure that the tariff policy will not last long.

At a certain time point, Trump will definitely adjust from tight to loose to prepare for the midterm elections. So I remind everyone for the "third time" that around May is a great ambush point. Technically, entering Bitcoin at 74,000 and Ethereum at 1,500, whichever comes first, whether it's time or technical levels. What we need to do now is to secure our position in the audience in advance, after all, when the lights come on, the second half of the bull market will not wait for you!

《Trading Survival Guide》

I. Understanding Market Temperament
1. Slow Decline Phase (Prolonged Decline)
Characteristic: Prices drop slowly like wilted cabbage, falling a bit every day but not much
Tip: Don't catch the bottom! Wait for the day of a sudden clearance sale (sharp decline)

2. Panic Sell-off Phase (Sharp Decline)
Characteristic: Prices drop like a broken egg, crashing down
Observation: Look for two signals to stop:
① No new lows for three consecutive days
② Funds begin to quietly enter the market (watch the trading volume)

3. Stabilization Phase (Stop Decline)
Verification: Like finding balance on a wobbly table
① Oscillating around the same price level for five consecutive days
② Appearance of the "Morning Star" pattern (first a big bearish candle → small doji → big bullish candle)

II. Four Steps of Trading
1. Buying Timing (like waiting for a bus)
Good Position: Falls to near previous lows + appearance of a strong bullish candle
Good Price: More than 5% lower than the average price of the past 10 days
Trial Position: Buy 1/3 first, add more once stable

2. Position Management (like watching porridge for doneness)
Normal Situation: Hold above the 5-day line
Warning Signal: Single-day increase exceeds 7% or volume suddenly doubles
Breakeven Line: After making over 10% profit, raise the stop-loss to the cost price

3. Sell Signals (like smelling something burning)
Urgent Sell: Drops below the 10-day line + doesn't recover for three days
Gradual Sell: New highs but trading volume shrinks instead
Must Sell: Sudden bad news or you start losing sleep

4. Rest Period (like letting farmland lie fallow)
Empty Position Period: Wait at least 10 trading days after selling
Observation Period: Wait for the market to calm → look for support levels → watch capital flow

Remember, the market is like a seafood market; the morning is freshest (beginning of a trend), noon is the busiest (main uptrend), and evening is when discounts are offered (downward phase). Be the smart person who chooses goods in the morning, sells in the afternoon, and watches the excitement in the evening.

$FDUSD Sun Xu's words seem to be completely untrustworthy

$FDUSD Stablecoin Crash Benefits Bitcoin

The candlestick chart in this industry is more real than an X-ray, and a crash is like a sudden power outage in a KTV room, revealing the true form of heavily made-up hundredfold coins. Projects wrapped in gambling culture and call-out literature are essentially no different from the nine-yuan, nine-fen free shipping of live-streamed sales. Good assets can recover after a drop, while bad assets reveal their true nature as soon as they fall; these garbage coins in the chart must be blacklisted!