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Currently, market sentiment is not very good, proceed with caution for long positions. The timing for entering the spot market can refer to May-June, while for technical entry, refer to Bitcoin 74000 and Ethereum 1500.
白鲸Crypto
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#美国加征关税
Why did Bitcoin drop?
Trump wants to lower interest rates to restructure U.S. debt (too much debt), so the U.S. is waging a trade war with a group of countries, deliberately using high tariffs to push up prices → create an illusion of economic cooling → force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The cryptocurrency market and U.S. stocks are like plastic sisters, usually partying and having fun together. Now, large institutional investors are seeing their wallets shrink and are turning to the crypto market like an ATM to cash out, but U.S. stocks are actually quite strong! Over the past few years, despite high inflation + high valuations + high debt, they were still rising. A 15% pullback from the peak is a normal adjustment, and in the long term, it is not a major bear market, just taking a breather, and Bitcoin is the same!
How long will the trade war last?
Comrade Trump is currently playing in a group fight mode, waging trade wars with a group of countries. But the opponents are not to be underestimated; it seems this round will end faster than the one-on-one showdown between China and the U.S. (the most intense phase lasted a year). After all, the landlord's family has no surplus grain, and it is expected to be shorter than the previous U.S.-China trade war (no more than six months), normally around three months, with a policy turning point likely in June.
How should we play it moving forward?
The third quarter will be a period of policy implementation, and economic stimulus policies may be concentrated. Positioning in advance will make it easier to catch the rebound, with a time reference around late May. Technical points of interest: watch around 74,000 for $BTC , and around 1,500 for $ETH . Don't panic about short-term pains; look for opportunities in May, and keep a close eye on the policy direction in the third quarter.
Why did Bitcoin drop?
Trump wants to lower interest rates to restructure U.S. debt (too much debt), so the U.S. is waging a trade war with a group of countries, deliberately using high tariffs to push up prices → create an illusion of economic cooling → force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The cryptocurrency market and U.S. stocks are like plastic sisters, usually partying and having fun together. Now, large institutional investors are seeing their wallets shrink and are turning to the crypto market like an ATM to cash out, but U.S. stocks are actually quite strong! Over the past few years, despite high inflation + high valuations + high debt, they were still rising. A 15% pullback from the peak is a normal adjustment, and in the long term, it is not a major bear market, just taking a breather, and Bitcoin is the same!
How long will the trade war last?
Comrade Trump is currently playing in a group fight mode, waging trade wars with a group of countries. But the opponents are not to be underestimated; it seems this round will end faster than the one-on-one showdown between China and the U.S. (the most intense phase lasted a year). After all, the landlord's family has no surplus grain, and it is expected to be shorter than the previous U.S.-China trade war (no more than six months), normally around three months, with a policy turning point likely in June.
How should we play it moving forward?
The third quarter will be a period of policy implementation, and economic stimulus policies may be concentrated. Positioning in advance will make it easier to catch the rebound, with a time reference around late May. Technical points of interest: watch around 74,000 for $BTC , and around 1,500 for $ETH . Don't panic about short-term pains; look for opportunities in May, and keep a close eye on the policy direction in the third quarter.
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People are busy in Quanzhou, coming from nearby homes
The surroundings of Binance are really very nice
In terms of both quality and aesthetics, it is truly one of a kind
Thank you, Binance!
Binance Square has grown from a few hundred fans at the beginning to almost thirty thousand fans now, thanks to Brother Ying for the continuous support, thank you 🥹
Witnessing the journey getting better and better
Today marks my eighth year, I have truly persevered with my original intention, and sincerely wish Binance even greater success
Thank you @CZ
Thank you @binancezh
May Binance keep thriving — your journey inspires the entire crypto community！！
The surroundings of Binance are really very nice
In terms of both quality and aesthetics, it is truly one of a kind
Thank you, Binance!
Binance Square has grown from a few hundred fans at the beginning to almost thirty thousand fans now, thanks to Brother Ying for the continuous support, thank you 🥹
Witnessing the journey getting better and better
Today marks my eighth year, I have truly persevered with my original intention, and sincerely wish Binance even greater success
Thank you @CZ
Thank you @binancezh
May Binance keep thriving — your journey inspires the entire crypto community！！
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Musk's 'American Party' gains momentum, could cryptocurrency welcome a second spring?
Political and fiscal strategy impact (macro aspect)
Government's massive deficit and fiscal policy structure
Musk opposes the 'Too Big to Fail' bill passed by Trump (which increases the deficit by about $3.3 trillion), and the formal establishment of the 'American Party' marks a direct challenge from the Chinese-funded camp to the existing bipartisan fiscal policies.
If the 'American Party' gains prominence, its fiscal concepts (emphasizing deficit control and fiscal conservatism) may pressure future legislation to tilt towards market-friendly policies.
Friendly terms for cryptocurrency negotiations
Analysis points out that the 'Too Big to Fail' bill attempted to include clauses like 'stablecoin taxation' and 'crypto tax reform', allowing the crypto ecosystem to gain entry in the bill, but also facing rising pressure on taxation and regulation.
Government's massive deficit and fiscal policy structure
Musk opposes the 'Too Big to Fail' bill passed by Trump (which increases the deficit by about $3.3 trillion), and the formal establishment of the 'American Party' marks a direct challenge from the Chinese-funded camp to the existing bipartisan fiscal policies.
If the 'American Party' gains prominence, its fiscal concepts (emphasizing deficit control and fiscal conservatism) may pressure future legislation to tilt towards market-friendly policies.
Friendly terms for cryptocurrency negotiations
Analysis points out that the 'Too Big to Fail' bill attempted to include clauses like 'stablecoin taxation' and 'crypto tax reform', allowing the crypto ecosystem to gain entry in the bill, but also facing rising pressure on taxation and regulation.
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(Don't be scared) A Bitcoin whale address that hasn't moved in 14 years awakens.
Address balance: approximately 80,000 BTC (worth about 8.6 billion USD).
Many friends are asking me if Bitcoin will crash.
Why is the market panicking?
If there's an expectation of selling pressure of 8.6 billion USD:
If these coins are sold, the market's absorption capacity is limited, making it easy to crash the price. Whale behavior is often seen as a signal of 'distribution', triggering panic selling from followers.
The second aspect is psychological panic:
The market sentiment is already weak; when a whale moves, it can easily trigger emotional resonance.
Similar events like Mt.Gox and government sell-offs have made investors highly sensitive.
As someone who has honed their mindset in the trading market for a long time, we should analyze this from multiple angles rather than a single interpretation:
The emergence of this news does not necessarily mean selling:
A whale 'activating' does not mean they will sell immediately.
It is also possible that there are internal reallocations, consolidations, or cold wallet migrations.
Sometimes, it is just for safety or tax compliance in asset migration.
We should also consider who is using the news to create panic?
As soon as the news broke, the market had a slight retracement, but the downward pressure was not strong; it was just a lack of trading volume.
Thus, one might think that it is likely institutions or large players taking the opportunity to manipulate the market and undermine retail confidence.
'Panic news' = an excuse for discounted purchases? That would make it too easy to manipulate the market.
Moreover, in certain market behaviors, whales do not blindly crash the market:
Whales entered early, with very low costs (or mining outputs), and they understand their influence better than anyone.
It is more likely they will sell in batches or through OTC trades, rather than directly dumping into the public market.
This wave of whale awakening has indeed created a wave of panic, but have you considered — just because a whale shifts their wallet, you sold your coins?
What I want to say is that real distribution will never tell you, and real big opportunities often arise when you are most afraid.
Address balance: approximately 80,000 BTC (worth about 8.6 billion USD).
Many friends are asking me if Bitcoin will crash.
Why is the market panicking?
If there's an expectation of selling pressure of 8.6 billion USD:
If these coins are sold, the market's absorption capacity is limited, making it easy to crash the price. Whale behavior is often seen as a signal of 'distribution', triggering panic selling from followers.
The second aspect is psychological panic:
The market sentiment is already weak; when a whale moves, it can easily trigger emotional resonance.
Similar events like Mt.Gox and government sell-offs have made investors highly sensitive.
As someone who has honed their mindset in the trading market for a long time, we should analyze this from multiple angles rather than a single interpretation:
The emergence of this news does not necessarily mean selling:
A whale 'activating' does not mean they will sell immediately.
It is also possible that there are internal reallocations, consolidations, or cold wallet migrations.
Sometimes, it is just for safety or tax compliance in asset migration.
We should also consider who is using the news to create panic?
As soon as the news broke, the market had a slight retracement, but the downward pressure was not strong; it was just a lack of trading volume.
Thus, one might think that it is likely institutions or large players taking the opportunity to manipulate the market and undermine retail confidence.
'Panic news' = an excuse for discounted purchases? That would make it too easy to manipulate the market.
Moreover, in certain market behaviors, whales do not blindly crash the market:
Whales entered early, with very low costs (or mining outputs), and they understand their influence better than anyone.
It is more likely they will sell in batches or through OTC trades, rather than directly dumping into the public market.
This wave of whale awakening has indeed created a wave of panic, but have you considered — just because a whale shifts their wallet, you sold your coins?
What I want to say is that real distribution will never tell you, and real big opportunities often arise when you are most afraid.
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Share a fixed investment target: FET
American stock company Interactive Strength Inc. is the first publicly listed company in the U.S. to hoard tokens with AI, starting with a public purchase of 55 million USD in the market, with expected acquisition funds reaching 500 million USD (just sharing! If you lose, come and complain, don’t blame me)
J.P. Morgan released a report predicting that the stablecoin market size will reach 500 billion USD by 2028, significantly lower than the trillion-dollar level forecasts made by some institutions earlier. The report pointed out that the current main applications of stablecoins are still concentrated in cryptocurrency trading, decentralized finance (DeFi), and as collateral, accounting for 94% of total demand; the actual demand for payments is only about 15 billion USD, accounting for 6%. The prospect of stablecoins replacing traditional currency in everyday payments is still unrealistic.
American stock company Interactive Strength Inc. is the first publicly listed company in the U.S. to hoard tokens with AI, starting with a public purchase of 55 million USD in the market, with expected acquisition funds reaching 500 million USD (just sharing! If you lose, come and complain, don’t blame me)
J.P. Morgan released a report predicting that the stablecoin market size will reach 500 billion USD by 2028, significantly lower than the trillion-dollar level forecasts made by some institutions earlier. The report pointed out that the current main applications of stablecoins are still concentrated in cryptocurrency trading, decentralized finance (DeFi), and as collateral, accounting for 94% of total demand; the actual demand for payments is only about 15 billion USD, accounting for 6%. The prospect of stablecoins replacing traditional currency in everyday payments is still unrealistic.
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Recently, it has been really messed up!
First, we will test the 15-minute support around 105500, then we will pull you up again and continue the oscillation. The core purpose of this rhythm is very simple: to prevent the short positions below 104000 from being relieved, and to wash out the long positions that were chased at 108000. Those who understand, understand. I mentioned in the last live broadcast why we need to test 105500; the market has its own wicked taste. Check the profile for more info～
As the old saying goes: at the end of oscillation, be wary of a sudden big trend starting. For the 2-hour level, we first look at the resistance at 113200-114200, and the major reversal target at the 4-hour level is at 117500-119500. If it truly breaks through, 117500 is the reversal point I will prioritize.
As for whether we can still get on board? Looking at the long position at the 15-minute level now, it is still worth taking a chance. Short positions? I really do not recommend entering at this position on the 15-minute chart, for a very simple reason: I judge that this position is a wash, and after the wash, it will pull up. What does a bull market top look like? A bunch of people desperately buying, with explosive volume. And now? The trading volume is ridiculously low; I’ve never seen a top with so little popularity.
Support zone: 102000-101000
Resistance zone: 113200-114200
Will the market reach above 117500? We will see as we go.
First, we will test the 15-minute support around 105500, then we will pull you up again and continue the oscillation. The core purpose of this rhythm is very simple: to prevent the short positions below 104000 from being relieved, and to wash out the long positions that were chased at 108000. Those who understand, understand. I mentioned in the last live broadcast why we need to test 105500; the market has its own wicked taste. Check the profile for more info～
As the old saying goes: at the end of oscillation, be wary of a sudden big trend starting. For the 2-hour level, we first look at the resistance at 113200-114200, and the major reversal target at the 4-hour level is at 117500-119500. If it truly breaks through, 117500 is the reversal point I will prioritize.
As for whether we can still get on board? Looking at the long position at the 15-minute level now, it is still worth taking a chance. Short positions? I really do not recommend entering at this position on the 15-minute chart, for a very simple reason: I judge that this position is a wash, and after the wash, it will pull up. What does a bull market top look like? A bunch of people desperately buying, with explosive volume. And now? The trading volume is ridiculously low; I’ve never seen a top with so little popularity.
Support zone: 102000-101000
Resistance zone: 113200-114200
Will the market reach above 117500? We will see as we go.
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Tomorrow is Monday, another day for small investors to fantasize about the 'market crash' coming 🤣 Recently, this market trend has been absurdly sideways; if there’s a 100-dollar fluctuation within a day, that’s considered a celebration... The less the market fluctuates, the more it’s the night before a big move, those who understand, understand 😉
Continue to hold long positions; whether you entered at 98250 or 105000, don’t panic. The 15-minute timeframe is not giving any bullish opportunities at all, it’s sideways + decreasing volume, a typical sideways action instead of a drop. Do the bears really think they can win? Dream on.
The current market sentiment is:
Bears are stubborn → Open interest is dropping → Shorting confidence is maintained by wishful thinking → The more expectations build up, the more they will wait to lift the bulls.
If 110k really comes, I advise: don’t short, it’s meaningless, this wave will likely break through directly. If you really want to gamble, you have to wait for confirmation of a reversal signal; otherwise, it’s easy to short halfway up the hill 😅
📝 Two scripts for bears to face doom:
✅ Script One: Direct surge, first target 117600-119600, any resistance level in between? That’s called a pullback, not a reversal. Talking about a reversal? The first focus is 117600, extreme points 128000-132000.
✅ Script Two: Old trick, bait the bulls → spike → retest the 15-minute support zone 106200~105200 → wash out the last wave of bulls → push above 110k → then refer back to Script One.
Looking back at the records:
50200 called for a massive surge
74500 called for a massive surge
18000 called for a massive surge
30000 called for a massive surge
98250 called for a massive surge
Wave after wave, Brother Bai, this is not a dead bull, what else could it be? 😉
Short-term support: 102980-101980
Short-term resistance: 117600-118600
Continue to wait for the bears to perform, the next liquidation express, arranged! 📦
Continue to hold long positions; whether you entered at 98250 or 105000, don’t panic. The 15-minute timeframe is not giving any bullish opportunities at all, it’s sideways + decreasing volume, a typical sideways action instead of a drop. Do the bears really think they can win? Dream on.
The current market sentiment is:
Bears are stubborn → Open interest is dropping → Shorting confidence is maintained by wishful thinking → The more expectations build up, the more they will wait to lift the bulls.
If 110k really comes, I advise: don’t short, it’s meaningless, this wave will likely break through directly. If you really want to gamble, you have to wait for confirmation of a reversal signal; otherwise, it’s easy to short halfway up the hill 😅
📝 Two scripts for bears to face doom:
✅ Script One: Direct surge, first target 117600-119600, any resistance level in between? That’s called a pullback, not a reversal. Talking about a reversal? The first focus is 117600, extreme points 128000-132000.
✅ Script Two: Old trick, bait the bulls → spike → retest the 15-minute support zone 106200~105200 → wash out the last wave of bulls → push above 110k → then refer back to Script One.
Looking back at the records:
50200 called for a massive surge
74500 called for a massive surge
18000 called for a massive surge
30000 called for a massive surge
98250 called for a massive surge
Wave after wave, Brother Bai, this is not a dead bull, what else could it be? 😉
Short-term support: 102980-101980
Short-term resistance: 117600-118600
Continue to wait for the bears to perform, the next liquidation express, arranged! 📦
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Sharing a Quality Project REDEr
1. Core of the project.
Aggregating global idle computing power, reducing costs by 70%. Connecting over 2 million idle GPU graphics cards worldwide (such as machines not in use at internet cafes at night), creators can pay with tokens to access computing power, with rendering costs 70% lower than Amazon Cloud and Google Cloud, eliminating the need for self-built servers. Personal computer graphics cards can also 'take orders to earn money', forming a closed loop of 'creators paying, graphics card owners providing power, and token settlement', leveraging the significant advantages of decentralization.
2. Technical Hard Core, the 'Infrastructure Maniac' of AI and the Metaverse
1. AI-generated 3D content, integrated with Stable Diffusion 3.0, generates 3D models with a single sentence, processing over 12 million requests daily, accounting for 60% of the AIGC rendering market
Aggregating global idle computing power, reducing costs by 70%. Connecting over 2 million idle GPU graphics cards worldwide (such as machines not in use at internet cafes at night), creators can pay with tokens to access computing power, with rendering costs 70% lower than Amazon Cloud and Google Cloud, eliminating the need for self-built servers. Personal computer graphics cards can also 'take orders to earn money', forming a closed loop of 'creators paying, graphics card owners providing power, and token settlement', leveraging the significant advantages of decentralization.
2. Technical Hard Core, the 'Infrastructure Maniac' of AI and the Metaverse
1. AI-generated 3D content, integrated with Stable Diffusion 3.0, generates 3D models with a single sentence, processing over 12 million requests daily, accounting for 60% of the AIGC rendering market
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Bitcoin Macro Analysis as of June 28, 2025
The ongoing discussion about interest rate cuts leads us to pay attention to the situation of the U.S. dollar index, which has fallen to a three-year low. Coupled with a decline in inflation, the Federal Reserve's expected slowdown continues to provide support for Bitcoin. The May CPI rose only 0.1% year-on-year, far below expectations, which helps suppress further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The prospect of rate cuts is merely a matter of time, thus creating a positive atmosphere for risk assets like BTC.
Since today is Saturday, we won't focus on the market itself. Bai Ge will share insights on the on-chain funding situation, institutional capital inflows & holding structure.
U.S. stocks' Bitcoin spot ETF recorded over 4.5 billion USD in net inflows in June, indicating continued buying momentum from institutions.
Since today is Saturday, we won't focus on the market itself. Bai Ge will share insights on the on-chain funding situation, institutional capital inflows & holding structure.
U.S. stocks' Bitcoin spot ETF recorded over 4.5 billion USD in net inflows in June, indicating continued buying momentum from institutions.
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The Confusion of the Cryptocurrency World: The Clamor of the Crypto Babel
In the cryptocurrency trading world, human desires are laid bare on the most exposed stage. On the Crypto Babel, every trader is shouting in their own mother tongue—some shout 'Revolution,' some roar 'Get Rich Quick,' and others whisper 'Escape.' When candlestick charts become a totem for collective hypnosis, and 'All In' is revered as a badge of courage, the so-called value has long been silenced amidst the clamor of passing the buck.
We raise the banner of blockchain decentralization high, yet plunge headlong into more centralized exchanges; we repeatedly recite the adage 'When others are fearful, I am greedy,' only to find that we are the 'others' being harvested. The so-called discovery of value is merely a reflection game of collective fantasy in a bubble.
In the digital jungle, when the market surges, people shout 'HODL' to reinforce their faith; yet when prices plummet abruptly, the same slogan becomes their last shield for self-comfort. The promised new land of wealth has ultimately retreated quietly into the fog of self-deception, leaving only a mirage of illusions drifting.
In the cryptocurrency trading world, human desires are laid bare on the most exposed stage. On the Crypto Babel, every trader is shouting in their own mother tongue—some shout 'Revolution,' some roar 'Get Rich Quick,' and others whisper 'Escape.' When candlestick charts become a totem for collective hypnosis, and 'All In' is revered as a badge of courage, the so-called value has long been silenced amidst the clamor of passing the buck.
We raise the banner of blockchain decentralization high, yet plunge headlong into more centralized exchanges; we repeatedly recite the adage 'When others are fearful, I am greedy,' only to find that we are the 'others' being harvested. The so-called discovery of value is merely a reflection game of collective fantasy in a bubble.
In the digital jungle, when the market surges, people shout 'HODL' to reinforce their faith; yet when prices plummet abruptly, the same slogan becomes their last shield for self-comfort. The promised new land of wealth has ultimately retreated quietly into the fog of self-deception, leaving only a mirage of illusions drifting.
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Don't want to say much, 99300 more orders, the Amitabha pancake is just like my dog 🐶$BTC
白鲸Crypto
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It is a routine operation to play dead (sideways) on the weekend. I guess I will have to lie down for another day tomorrow (Sunday). The key is to see how to choose the direction on Monday.
Next week is definitely a big day! I am not saying that even Trump has said that the Middle East may make a big move. Now the wash has been washed to the end of the shock, and the mood is almost unbearable. There may be a lot of opportunities next week! Brother Bai will live broadcast tomorrow night, let's make a layout together.
In terms of operation, it is still the old rules, set a good position and try. I feel that there may not be many small opportunities at the 15-minute level. It is uncertain whether I can get out tomorrow. But on Monday, it may be a 2-hour to 4-hour tug-of-war.
Below is the support of 99300~98300; above, 109200~110200 is the pressure level, and it must be rushed through $BTC
Next week is definitely a big day! I am not saying that even Trump has said that the Middle East may make a big move. Now the wash has been washed to the end of the shock, and the mood is almost unbearable. There may be a lot of opportunities next week! Brother Bai will live broadcast tomorrow night, let's make a layout together.
In terms of operation, it is still the old rules, set a good position and try. I feel that there may not be many small opportunities at the 15-minute level. It is uncertain whether I can get out tomorrow. But on Monday, it may be a 2-hour to 4-hour tug-of-war.
Below is the support of 99300~98300; above, 109200~110200 is the pressure level, and it must be rushed through $BTC
See original
It is a routine operation to play dead (sideways) on the weekend. I guess I will have to lie down for another day tomorrow (Sunday). The key is to see how to choose the direction on Monday.
Next week is definitely a big day! I am not saying that even Trump has said that the Middle East may make a big move. Now the wash has been washed to the end of the shock, and the mood is almost unbearable. There may be a lot of opportunities next week! Brother Bai will live broadcast tomorrow night, let's make a layout together.
In terms of operation, it is still the old rules, set a good position and try. I feel that there may not be many small opportunities at the 15-minute level. It is uncertain whether I can get out tomorrow. But on Monday, it may be a 2-hour to 4-hour tug-of-war.
Below is the support of 99300~98300; above, 109200~110200 is the pressure level, and it must be rushed through $BTC
Next week is definitely a big day! I am not saying that even Trump has said that the Middle East may make a big move. Now the wash has been washed to the end of the shock, and the mood is almost unbearable. There may be a lot of opportunities next week! Brother Bai will live broadcast tomorrow night, let's make a layout together.
In terms of operation, it is still the old rules, set a good position and try. I feel that there may not be many small opportunities at the 15-minute level. It is uncertain whether I can get out tomorrow. But on Monday, it may be a 2-hour to 4-hour tug-of-war.
Below is the support of 99300~98300; above, 109200~110200 is the pressure level, and it must be rushed through $BTC
See original
Singapore's 'cliff-like' exit: Web3 paradise turns into a restricted zone overnight
Once, Singapore was the 'regulatory arbitrage paradise' for Asia's Web3, with lenient policies attracting giants like Three Arrows Capital and FTX Asia headquarters. However, on May 30, 2025, a new regulation from the Monetary Authority of Singapore completely ended this era: starting June 30, unlicensed digital token service providers are prohibited from operating, with no grace period! Violators face fines of up to $200,000 and three years of imprisonment.
Three major 'fatal blows' of the new regulations
1. Comprehensive global business regulation
Regardless of whether the service targets are local Singaporean or overseas clients, as long as business activities involving token trading, custody, transfers, etc., are conducted within Singapore, a DTSP license must be held; the former regulatory loophole of 'only serving overseas clients' has been completely closed.
Three major 'fatal blows' of the new regulations
1. Comprehensive global business regulation
Regardless of whether the service targets are local Singaporean or overseas clients, as long as business activities involving token trading, custody, transfers, etc., are conducted within Singapore, a DTSP license must be held; the former regulatory loophole of 'only serving overseas clients' has been completely closed.
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