Lab4crypto

Bitcoin death cross hit April 7th (brown dot). Historically, in bull runs, the bottom often aligns near the death cross value, with an uptrend typically kicking off within ~2 months. #BTC

Whales 🐳 are stacking sats! Since Jan 25, Bitcoin addresses with 1,000+ BTC keep climbing. #bitcoin

📈Up and to the right

Timing your entry is key to maximizing gains.
When Bitcoin’s risk dropped to just 29% at $79K, the risk-reward ratio became too compelling to ignore.

🔥129% up in couple of days is not too bad.

Bitcoin vs. Gold is undervalued, nearing -2SD (black line). Historically, these levels have been prime for BTC accumulation.

Bitcoin’s FOMO threshold sits at $70K, with macroeconomic uncertainty fueling broad market fear.Once this uncertainty is priced in and Bitcoin climbs higher, FOMO will reignite—especially since we’re already above key levels. April could be when it kicks off.

Bitcoin whales have been stacking BTC since Jan 29. Wallets holding 1K-10K Bitcoin keep growing—accumulation is in full swing!

The Decentralized Finance (DeFi) sector is poised to be the standout performer in this crypto bull run, especially as we near the cycle peak. Currently, it’s heavily undervalued compared to its potential, making it a prime opportunity for growth.

Assuming the market cycle tops out around late 2025 or early 2026—aligned with historical patterns and current trends—I expect DeFi to reach its +1 standard deviation (SD), pushing its total valuation to around $2.9 trillion.

Bitcoin is nearing a critical point—its bull market support band, defined by the 20-week SMA and 21-week EMA, currently ranging between $88,400 and $94,000. Will Bitcoin break above this level this week?

Where will Bitcoin and the crypto market be by the year's end? We cover this in the podcast👇

There is a clear disconnect between retail and institutions/large whales. Since February 27, wallets holding 1,000–10,000 Bitcoin have been accumulating, taking advantage of each dip.

With the recent surge in price and trading volume on BNBCHAIN is crucial to understand a simple way to value an altcoin.

Want to spot altcoins with potential? Compare them to Bitcoin—the least risky asset in crypto. If you’re looking to take on more risk, focus on altcoins that have either held steady or outperformed Bitcoin over time. When altcoin season hits (that 3-5 month window), these coins have a better shot at significantly outpacing BTC.

Examples with Ethereum and BNB:

1⃣On March 18, 2022, 1 BTC = 14.198 ETH. By March 16, 2025, 1 BTC = 43.769 ETH. That’s a ~68% drop in ETH’s value relative to BTC—lower odds of a big altcoin season run.

2⃣Meanwhile, on March 18, 2022, 1 BTC = 105 BNB. By March 16, 2025, 1 BTC = 137 BNB. BNB only lost ~23% of its value against BTC—better odds of shining in the altcoin season.

#Bitcoin's short-term bubble risk is below 1, signalling a cooled market. We saw similar levels in Sep 2024 at $54.8K. With easing macro pressures and improving monetary policy, the market is primed to rise

People keep asking if my Ethereum stance has changed.

I’ve held zero ETH for 3 years. I’ll likely accumulate near $1,550 (-1 SD from its bottom regression line, red line).

The "Intelligent Investor" Textbook for the Next 6-12 Months—Across All Asset Classes

Right now, everyone is fixated on one question: Are we at the start of a bear market, or is the bull run still intact?

But there’s a more fundamental question to answer: Will global liquidity increase or decrease in the coming 6-12 months?

If you believe liquidity will increase—whether through rate cuts, tax cuts, an end to quantitative tightening (QT), or a shift to quantitative easing (QE)—then the economy will be flushed with excess cash. That capital will inevitably flow into stocks, crypto, real estate, and other assets, driving prices higher. Of course, as always, this will lead to overextension, culminating in a crash a year later and a prolonged bear market.

On the other hand, if you believe liquidity will tighten further and economic conditions will worsen, the best move is to sit in cash and wait for the right entry point in the asset class you understand best.

Liquidity dictates the cycle—position accordingly.

The good news is that we are above Bitcoin's FOMO level at $69K. I wanted to share this, as there is zero positive news here in CT.😀

From November, it seems the next rate cut is expected in May. If Bitcoin holds above $80K in March and we reach April, a month before the rate cut and potential QT end, it will aid markets in pricing that in and stabilizing. Hopefully, tariff wars will also conclude by then.

It was great chatting with @cryptoogs today. We drop some alpha, so watch it at Binance Square when it goes live.

Bitcoin's power law fair value, and bull market support band is at $90K. This level has some strong support.

📈The total crypto market currently is 25% undervalued. I see no reason why this asset class won’t exceed $10T by Q4 2025 – Q1 2026.

🚀Don’t sleep on it. Prepare accordingly

BTC is acting like a stablecoin at $96.5K

📈Bitcoin supply in profit: 84.75%
📉Bitcoin supply in loss: 15.25%

Even after the biggest crash in crypto history, holders refuse to exit.

💎 BTC Diamond hands remain strong.