i trade like a semi-professional short-term technical trader with strong charting instincts, data-driven entries, and a growing interest in automation and edge refinement.
If you added tighter risk management tracking (e.g., R-multiples, max drawdown limits), you'd be close to a pro-level setup
In short, the GENIUS Act is a landmark legislative move to regulate stablecoins through transparency, reserves, oversight, and consumer protections. Its Senate passage on June 17, 2025 marks a major step, and attention now turns to the House and the Biden (or Trump, if president later this year) administration.
Powell’s unscripted remarks have historically sparked more volatility in stocks and bonds than the official FOMC statement .
Traders will be closely parsing his Q&A responses for new signals—especially deviations from the “data-dependent, patient” narrative.
2. Key Signals Traders Will Watch
Inflation and Tariffs: Markets expect Powell to address tariff-driven inflation risks and central bank independence amid political pressure .
Rate Cut Timing: Though cuts aren’t anticipated at this meeting, cues around fall rate cuts (probably September) will be scrutinized .
Geopolitical Concerns & Growth: With Middle East tensions causing oil-price swings, any mention of how global instability might shift policy will move risk assets .
3. How Markets Might React
Bonds: If Powell tones down expectations of upcoming rate cuts, Treasury yields (especially the 2-year) could spike.
Equities: A cautious or “hawkish” tone may dampen equities, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors. Conversely, a more dovish tilt could lift shares .
USD & Commodities: Hawkish signals may strengthen the US dollar, while dovish cues could boost gold and potentially soften oil—given tariff and geopolitical uncertainty.
4. Timing is Crucial
Chair Powell’s comments often override initial market reactions to the statement .
Analysts recommend monitoring post-2:30 pm ET carefully—especially the first five minutes of Q&A, when tone and emphasis are most revealing .
Bottom Line
Expect increased volatility around Powell’s remarks. The key takeaway will likely come down to nuance: whether he leans cautiously dovish (supporting rate cuts later in the year) or remains data-dependent and guarded, which could signal further restraint.
Markets pack a punch on tone: even small phrasing shifts can cause sharp reactions across stocks, bonds, and currencies.
Frequency of terms like “uncertainty,” “tariffs,” and “data-dependent” could act as subtle policy hints.
Net outflows of RESOLV from exchanges (~3M tokens) indicate whale accumulation—typically a bullish formation ahead of uptrends.
✅ Current Bullish vs. Bearish Signals
Category Status
On-Chain 🟢 Whale accumulation confirmed Price Action 🟠 Rising within wedge—no breakout yet EMA 🔴 No crossover—5 EMA still below 20 EMA RSI/MACD 🟡 Neutral-to-improving momentum (RSI ~50, MACD histogram shrinking) Breakout Level 🔴 Still needs candle close above $0.270–$0.271 on volume
Metaplanet is spearheading Asia's trend of corporate bitcoin reserves, using public-market leverage to build a massive BTC treasury—mirroring the MicroStrategy playbook .
With 10,000 BTC on balance sheet and an aggressive expansion strategy underway, its moves are increasingly influential to institutional and retail sentiment.
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✅ TL;DR
Over 10,000 BTC acquired so far — via multiple large purchases in 2025.
Plans to scale to 210,000 BTC by 2027 with US $5.4 billion capital raise.
Shares trade at a premium, mirroring investor interest in BTC exposure through equities.
Current Price: $0.2684 (approx)—slightly below the recent high.
Intraday Range: Low $0.2435 – High $0.2775.
The latest 15-minute candle likely closed around $0.268—in the upper half of its range, signaling mild bullishness but lacking volume confirmation.
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🕒 15-Min Chart Recap
Price Action: Holding near the upper range ($0.268–$0.271)
Volume: No notable spike—suggests limited buying momentum
EMAs (5/20): Converging; 5-EMA still under 20-EMA (no crossover yet)
Momentum (RSI/MACD): Neutral with slight bullish tilt but not fully confirming
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🔄 4-Hour Trend Overview
Trend Channel: Price remains inside the descending range ($0.243–$0.297)
4H RSI (~40) and MACD (negative) both point to a continued neutral-to-bearish bias
Price Action: Still below the 4H 50-period EMA—no medium-term shift yet
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📌 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
Upper Range $0.2775 (15-min high), $0.297 (4H channel top) Support $0.2435–$0.245 (bottom of channel) Breakout Zone 15-min close > $0.2775 + volume spike Breakdown Zone 4H candle close < $0.2435 + volume surge
Current Price: $0.2684 (approx)—slightly below the recent high.
Intraday Range: Low $0.2435 – High $0.2775.
The latest 15-minute candle likely closed around $0.268—in the upper half of its range, signaling mild bullishness but lacking volume confirmation.
🕒 15-Min Chart Recap
Price Action: Holding near the upper range ($0.268–$0.271)
Volume: No notable spike—suggests limited buying momentum
EMAs (5/20): Converging; 5-EMA still under 20-EMA (no crossover yet)
Momentum (RSI/MACD): Neutral with slight bullish tilt but not fully confirming
🔄 4-Hour Trend Overview
Trend Channel: Price remains inside the descending range ($0.243–$0.297)
4H RSI (~40) and MACD (negative) both point to a continued neutral-to-bearish bias
Price Action: Still below the 4H 50-period EMA—no medium-term shift yet
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
Upper Range $0.2775 (15-min high), $0.297 (4H channel top) Support $0.2435–$0.245 (bottom of channel) Breakout Zone 15-min close > $0.2775 + volume spike Breakdown Zone 4H candle close < $0.2435 + volume surge #RESOLVTUSDT