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The recent market performance of Ethereum (ETH) has attracted significant attention, with the ETH/BTC trading pair approaching a historical key area near 0.016 Bitcoin, a level that led to a strong rebound lasting a year after bottoming out in 2019. The current ETH/BTC trend is strikingly similar to that of 2019, with the RSI indicator in the oversold zone and operating below long-term moving averages, indicating that the market may be nearing a phase bottom. Factors influencing ETH's trend include the controversies arising from Ethereum's transition to Proof of Stake (PoS), increased industry competition, and Bitcoin's dominant position among institutional investors. However, the protocol innovation proposals and five-year development plan put forward by Vitalik Buterin are seen by some analysts as significant positive factors for ETH. From a technical perspective, ETH/BTC is attempting to break through a long-standing downward resistance curve, and if it stabilizes, a new round of increases could be on the horizon. Investors should pay attention to key support and resistance levels and operate cautiously in conjunction with market sentiment.

Bitcoin has recently continued to rebound strongly, with prices breaking the $100,000 mark by the end of 2024 and reaching new highs repeatedly, peaking at around $109,000 in early 2025. Current market sentiment is high, mainly driven by the continuous inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and favorable U.S. policies. From a technical perspective, bullish momentum for Bitcoin remains evident in the short term, but indicators like RSI have entered the overbought zone, necessitating caution regarding high-level volatility and the risk of pullbacks. Short-term focus should be on the $107,000 resistance level and the $80,000 support range; if key resistance is broken, there is potential for further upward movement towards higher targets. Investors should closely monitor market trends, manage their positions wisely, and seize trading opportunities.

The cryptocurrency market has recently shown a significant rebound, with Bitcoin breaking new highs, driving mainstream coins like Ethereum to rise simultaneously. Influenced by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and continuous inflows of institutional capital, market sentiment is gradually improving. Meanwhile, some emerging sectors such as RWA and AI concept coins are performing actively, attracting more investors' attention. Overall, market liquidity is increasing, and a strong trend is expected to continue in the short term. Investors need to pay attention to changes in macro policies and the movements of major funds, and cautiously seize trading opportunities.

After Bitcoin breaks 100,000 USD, institutional investors are very likely to continue increasing their positions, driving funds into compliant products like ETFs, further enhancing Bitcoin's status as a mainstream asset and market depth. However, some institutions may also choose to take profits at certain stages, leading to short-term volatility () () (). Overall, the deep involvement of institutional funds will enhance market liquidity and resilience, promoting an increased share of Bitcoin in global asset allocation () ().

After Bitcoin breaks $100,000, the market is likely to experience significant fluctuations: First, a large number of short positions in the futures and derivatives market may be forcibly closed, creating a 'short squeeze' that drives prices further up in the short term. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, as the leading sector, may briefly consolidate, and funds will accelerate their flow into altcoins, driving the altcoin sector to rise in rotation, making market sentiment more active. However, with a large influx of institutional and retail investors, market volatility and regulatory sensitivity will also increase, necessitating caution against short-term profit-taking and systemic risks.

$USDC USDC, as a mainstream stablecoin, has recently seen its application in global payments and cross-border settlements continuously expand. Giants like Stripe have launched USDC accounts in over a hundred countries, facilitating convenient transfers and fund management for businesses and individuals. In 2024, USDC's circulation and transaction volume are set to reach new highs, with compliance and transparency continuously improving, becoming an important bridge connecting traditional finance and blockchain. As more institutions and platforms integrate, USDC is expected to play a more critical role in the global financial system, but regulatory and market risks must also be monitored.

$BTC Bitcoin continues to fluctuate at high levels. After the FOMC meeting kept interest rates unchanged, market sentiment is optimistic, and bullish confidence is strengthening. Institutional funds continue to flow in, and technical indicators show that the upward trend remains unchanged, but short-term volatility is intensifying, with the $100,000 level becoming the focus. It is advised that investors view the situation rationally; holders may continue to observe, and those chasing highs should be cautious of potential pullback risks while paying attention to the impacts of Federal Reserve policies and macroeconomic changes.

Stablecoins are gradually becoming a new pillar of global payments, especially demonstrating significant advantages in cross-border transactions and high-inflation areas. With Stripe launching accounts supporting USDC and USDB in over 100 countries, businesses can more easily transfer funds between crypto and fiat, reducing reliance on traditional banks, accelerating settlements, and lowering costs. For everyday transfers, platforms like Stripe offer convenience and strong compliance, making them suitable for businesses and most users; while crypto-native wallets are more suitable for individuals pursuing extreme decentralization and self-control. In the future, stablecoin payments are expected to deeply integrate with traditional finance, driving global payment innovation.

Bitcoin has broken through $99,000, just one step away from $100,000, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and Trump's signal of friendly policies, leading to extremely optimistic market sentiment. Institutional funds continue to flow in, and both technical indicators and options bets suggest that the key level is likely to be breached, but volatility and risks are also increasing. For investors, it is currently advised to view the situation rationally. If already holding, one can continue to observe, but caution is advised when chasing highs due to the risk of short-term pullbacks, and one should avoid blindly chasing the rise.

Recently, Bitcoin ($BTC ) has been fluctuating in the range of $94,000 to $95,500, with strong resistance near $95,000. If it breaks through, it is expected to challenge $96,250 to $97,500. Key support below is at $94,200 and $93,500, with a potential drop or test at $92,900. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD maintains a golden cross but trading volume is shrinking, RSI is above 50, showing a short-term bullish bias, but caution is needed regarding the risk of pullbacks due to insufficient volume. Overall market sentiment is cautious; it is advisable to pay attention to the direction of breaks and changes in capital flow.

Recently, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $95,000 with a clear decrease in volatility as the market enters a consolidation phase. Despite a brief outflow from ETFs, the overall trend of funds remains a net inflow, and institutional allocation enthusiasm remains high. Expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and policy easing provide medium to long-term support for Bitcoin. Coupled with the favorable policies brought by the U.S. elections, market sentiment is relatively optimistic. There may be short-term fluctuations and adjustments, but the medium to long-term upward trend remains clear. Attention should be paid to subsequent ETF fund flows and policy changes.

#MEME法案 US Senator Chris Murphy announced that he will propose the "MEME Act", which aims to prohibit the president or members of Congress from issuing Meme coins, stating that "Trump coin is the largest corruption scandal in the history of the White House", and is jointly promoting legislation with Congressman Sam Liccardo. This move has raised concerns in the market about stricter regulation of political Meme coins, and related currencies may face volatility in the short term, requiring investors to pay attention to policy dynamics.

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in May 2023 is high, and although expectations for a rate cut in June have risen, there are still uncertainties. The market shows clear differences regarding the timing of the start of the easing cycle. Investors should remain flexible in their allocation to cryptocurrencies and risk assets. In the short term, it is advisable to moderately reduce positions in high-volatility varieties, focusing on mainstream cryptocurrencies and inflation-resistant assets like gold. In the medium term, closely monitor Federal Reserve policy signals and core economic data, and look for opportunities to increase positions in technology growth sectors and high-quality cryptocurrency assets, while avoiding excessive leverage and high-beta targets to guard against sudden market fluctuations.

The latest market structure discussion draft from the U.S. House of Representatives suggests that if 'digital goods' are clearly defined as non-securities (e.g., no profit-sharing rights), it will directly enhance liquidity in the secondary market and reduce compliance uncertainty. If implemented, it could allow a large number of tokens to escape the controversy over their securities status. However, it is important to note that regulations related to anti-money laundering, transparency, and others still apply, and the criteria for judgment may lead to enforcement disputes; the reserve requirements for small and medium exchanges will increase, and regulatory risks for DeFi projects will rise. While accelerated compliance may benefit mainstream projects, the space for innovation may narrow.

$SOL The Solana ecosystem continues to showcase technological innovation and community vitality. Recently, projects in the DeFi and NFT sectors have rapidly iterated, and new protocols usually see increased market attention before their launch. Short-term candlestick charts show volatility release, and it is important to focus on key support levels (such as the $120-$125 range) and resistance levels ($140-$145). A rebound in trading volume may indicate an acceleration of the trend. It is recommended to capture breakout opportunities by combining community dynamics (such as major collaborations or protocol upgrades), while intraday trading should pay more attention to short-term fluctuations when retesting support levels or breaking through resistance levels.

The U.S. Senate stablecoin bill is mired in uncertainty due to political disagreements and concerns over national security and anti-money laundering provisions. Regulatory uncertainty will continue to hinder stablecoin innovation in the short term. The lack of clear rules will keep businesses and users cautious about compliance risks, affecting the widespread adoption and user trust in stablecoins. The development of the industry will rely more on policy progress and market self-regulation.

$USDC The EU has passed new AMLR regulations, which will fully ban anonymous crypto wallets and privacy coins (such as Monero, Zcash, Dash) starting in 2027. All cryptocurrency transactions exceeding 1000 euros will require identity verification, and a new regulatory body, AMLA, will directly oversee large platforms. This initiative aims to combat money laundering and illegal fund flows, but it has also raised concerns about user privacy and restrictions on innovation. In the future, finding a balance between protecting financial security and maintaining personal freedom will become a focal point of ongoing attention for the industry and society.

The EU passed new AMLR regulations, which will completely ban anonymous cryptocurrency wallets and privacy coins (such as Monero, Zcash, Dash) starting in 2027. All cryptocurrency transactions exceeding 1000 euros will require identity verification, and a new regulatory body, AMLA, will directly supervise large platforms. This initiative aims to combat money laundering and illegal fund flows, but it has also raised concerns about user privacy and limitations on innovation. In the future, finding a balance between protecting financial security and maintaining individual freedom will become a focal point of ongoing interest for the industry and society.

Apple relaxes restrictions on external payments, NFTs, and crypto content for iOS, opening new channels for crypto-driven applications to enter the mainstream market. Areas such as Web3 wallets, NFT markets, blockchain games, and decentralized social networks will benefit the most directly, allowing developers to guide user experiences of on-chain assets and innovative payments more flexibly, accelerating the integration of the crypto ecosystem with mobile internet.

Recently, the Bitcoin price has been fluctuating around $97,000, and the market sentiment is cautious. Influenced by the Federal Reserve's policies, global economic data, and institutional capital inflows, BTC's volatility may increase in the short term. If the price can stabilize above $97,000, there is hope for further upward movement; however, if it falls below $96,000, caution should be exercised regarding the risk of a correction. Investors should pay attention to macro policies and the movements of major capital, and manage their positions reasonably.