John_Profits

📌 Important reflection for my community:

I recently shared two failed shorts on $ETH after a long streak of winning analyses.

(I do not share signals, I share analysis and a way of viewing the market).

Some have written to me with complaints because the trades "didn't go well." To those people, I want to say something with total clarity:

🚫 I am not here for you to gamble your capital on my ideas.
🧠 I am here because I must keep my trading log, but I moved from doing it only in an Excel sheet to sharing part of it here and my experience to generate debate and learning so that others can share their viewpoints and debate mine, which generates professionalism and improvements in trading.

If you decided to enter a trade just because you read my analysis —without validating, without risk management, without a personal plan— that mistake is yours, not mine, and if you do that, you are an irresponsible person destined to lose your capital because you will jump from trader to trader who have had the best short-term results, and when that stops being the case, you will change again. I know because I went through it years ago while I was training #DYOR .

I come from a good streak, yes. But the market guarantees nothing, and once I understood that I wouldn’t win them all, but that my strategy must be profitable not with a couple of trades but in the long term, time and compound interest will do their magic.

What I share here is part of a new phase where I use this space to keep my log publicly, not to "sell certainties."

📊 Do your own analyses!
📚 Study.
🎯 And never, ever, put your inheritance, your salary, or your emotional stability on a single trade of mine or any trader. Argue why you are entering just like the posts I share, and you will realize that when you write it down, it becomes more objective and technical. Lying to your mind is easy, but having to write it down is psychologically much more challenging.

📈 I have opened a new long at $ETH — it is not a signal, it is analysis based on structure and experience.

In the previous analysis, the long was closed at stop loss after the recent strong REKT of the market thanks to correctly managing a SL we protect the capital. Still, we continue reading the structure.

🔍 In the 4H chart, the price fell due to the recent REKT to the zone of $4,250, where it has reacted as support and is leaving a clear lower wick, a sign of rejection.

📊 In the 1H chart, ETH has just crossed a liquidity swing left since September 12 in the zone of $4,350.

This could act as a liquidity sweep in the short term, attracting retail sales that interpret a false breakout.

🙋 I am also retail, but I operate under the principles of Smart Money Concepts (SMC).

From that perspective, the price is in a clear discount zone, with an RSI in extreme oversold, coming from 18 points.

🎯 Strategy:
— Entry: current zone (around $4,300)
— TP: $4,450 (next technical resistance)
— SL: $4,250 (behind the rejection wick in 4H)

📌 Sometimes the analysis fails, but the important thing is to continue managing risk and refining the reading of the market.

Do not trade the impulse. Trade the structure.
#analysis #TraderEducation

📈 I just opened a long at $ETH — don't focus on the signal, focus on the analysis.

🔍 On the 4H chart, #ETH maintains a bullish channel, although with lateral momentum in recent days.

That's why I looked for a technical entry in the Fibonacci golden pocket, located in the $4,500 zone, which implies the bullish impulse from the $4,200 zone to the $4,800 zone, and as an argument, the Golden pocket is in a zone that has acted as technical support within this lateral range.

📉 What are we seeing?

— The current pullback seems like a liquidity grab
— Minimum target: to retest the upper part of the lateral range at $4,700

📊 Verified on the 1H chart:
— The price left a candle with high volume before the recent correction that lasted a couple of days from a 4-5 hour movement, with a solid body and lower wick, a sign of absorption
— My stop loss is just behind that candle, at $4,400
— TP: $4,600 (conservative zone before $4,700)

📈 Although it is not my main trigger, the RSI on the 1H shows an upward slope from oversold — a good companion to the setup.

The signal is not what matters. The analysis and management are everything. You will NEVER win them all, no matter if you lose some; the market does what it wants. You come out with SL, keep moving forward, learn if there is something to learn, and if the market was against you even without technical or fundamental analysis, it doesn't matter. You protected your capital with SL.

#analysis #TraderEducation

📈 I just opened a long at #Bitcoin — I do not share signals, I share knowledge and technical analysis.

🔍 In the 1H chart, our projection of a drop from $117K to $115K was fulfilled, but we said we wouldn't operate because there is a lot of FOMO.

Now, the price is at $115.5K, where it is bouncing off the support of the bullish channel it has maintained since $108K.

📊 Key signals:

— RSI in 4H sharply turned upwards
— In 1H, the price bounced off a bullish liquidity void
— RSI in 1H with a strong upward slope, exiting the oversold zone

Everything indicates a possible technical discount in the market.

🎯 Strategy:

— Entry: $115.5K
— TP: $117K
— Limit buy order: $113K (previous breakout zone) to perform DCA and improve entry price if the price continues to drop.
— If it rejects that zone, I maintain position
— If it breaks strongly, I close the trade and protect capital

📌 FOMO is not a plan.
Discipline, structure, and analysis are.
$BTC #analysis #TraderEducation

Once again, the analysis we conducted this time at $SOL showed that the resistance at 253 worked and took us to the TP marked at 238. I did not take the entry since the pullback on the 1H from 245 reached 248, leaving us out of the trade where we had a limit entry at 250 of #sol .

It doesn't matter if we don't win or if they all come in; patience will bring the profitability on its own. #analises

What is @Plume - RWA Chain and why are many people watching it?

#Plume is a next-generation blockchain that allows bringing real-world assets (like real estate, commodities, or credits) into the crypto ecosystem. Binance Academy+1

Some important things it does well:

You can tokenize those real assets, allowing them to be traded, lent, or used as collateral from the blockchain.

It has an Ethereum-compatible environment, making it easier for existing projects to integrate.

Plume includes stablecoins (like pUSD) and liquid staking services, and also has regulatory compliance and governance mechanisms to ensure everything operates within clear rules. Binance Academy+1

💡 The interesting thing: Plume seeks to make traditional investment more accessible with decentralized finance tools, democratizing access to assets that were previously only available to institutions.

Bonus: I just went long on $PLUME as I expect this support in the 0.11 zone to reject up to the previous relative maximum at 0.12 on the 1H chart.

📉 I just placed a short limit order at $SOL — but I don't share signals, I share knowledge. Stay with the analysis.

🔍 In the 4H chart, we see a strong bullish trend that brought the price to the $250 zone, with a peak in the $253 area.

There, the price left a bearish hammer candle with a pronounced upper wick, accompanied by a flat RSI around 65 for the last three days, while the price marked small rising highs.

📉 This evidences exhaustion in the bullish momentum.
With this filter, I went down to the 1H chart:

— Clearly observed is the bearish pressure from $253 to $245

— Drawing Fibonacci from the peak, the golden pocket falls right at $250, a strong psychological level

— Round numbers (like $250, $500, etc.) often act as relevant resistances or supports due to their psychological impact

✅ This technical confluence increases the probability of the setup

📌 My setup:
— Entry: $250 (limit order)
— SL: $254 (above the relative maximum)
— TP: $238

🎯 I'm not looking for a larger correction: there's a lot of FOMO in the market currently. If the trade doesn't happen, it's okay; I protect my capital with a tight and validated SL based on technical analysis and market structure.

The important things:
— The analysis is structured
— The risk is controlled
— The capital is protected

💬 The market has its own spirit.
Sometimes the analysis is right, other times it's not.
And when it isn't, what matters is how you manage, learn, and evolve.

Discipline and criteria > prediction and emotion.

#SOL #CryptoTrading #analysis

📊 Update on #Bitcoin in 4H

#BTC maintains a sustained bullish channel since the beginning of the month, starting from $107K to reach $117K, where the CME GAP was finally closed.

That level now acts as an important relative resistance.

🔻 The RSI strongly points downwards and is already below its smoothed average, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion.

📉 In my technical analysis, I see a correction scenario from $117K to $115K on the 1H chart.

However, I am not trading it. Why?

🔍 Because from a fundamental perspective, the interest rate cut by 0.25 points and the forecast for further reductions are injecting a wave of fiat liquidity into the market.

And when that happens, Bitcoin acts as the biggest capital magnet within the crypto ecosystem.

📌 Conclusion:
It is neither a time for shorts nor for longs.
I prefer to wait for confirmation on the 4H chart before executing any trades.
li$BTC quidity will come… but the moment must be read correctly.

📈 Again, the analysis was carried out accurately.

We shared this trade in real-time, and we were closely monitoring it:

On the 4H chart, $BTC formed a technical triangle with increasing pressure.

🔍 The key was the breakout of $113K with a solid candle and volume, which validated our entry (the details of the analysis can be found in yesterday's post).

🎯 Result: the price moved exactly towards our target, closing the CME GAP, just as we had projected.

When the analysis is clear, the price responds.
We continue with the log. We stick to the plan.
No greed. No impulse. With structure.

#BTC #bitcoin

📈 I just opened a long at $MYX — don't focus on the signal, focus on the analysis.

In the 1H chart, MYX had been falling sharply from $17 to the $12 area, where I had marked a relevant technical support.

🔎 Upon reaching that area, the price began to lose strength, with a clear divergence from the VWAP — it drifted too far away, a typical sign of movement exhaustion.

✅ In the 5M chart, I identified:

— A microstructure change (BOS)
— Technical entry in the golden pocket of Fibonacci from the movement that the marked BOS made in the 5M chart (0.5–0.618)
— Target: the return of the price to the VWAP, where I will take profits.

🧠 Additionally, I left a limit order at $10.5, in case the price drops to seek liquidity with great volatility behind the support, taking out those who have SL in that area — classic Smart Money strategy.

📌 Do not trade blind signals.
Analyze, study, and understand the reason behind each entry.

#MYX #analysis #TraderAlert

✅ We continue with the strategy and the market responded.

As we analyzed in the previous post, after a strong bullish hype, the wedge broke down at $DOGE

📉 Our projection was clear: TP1 at the VWAP
🎯 TP1 reached. Collected!

Now, we eliminate TP2 and activate trailing stop at relative highs.

We protect capital and let the market do its thing; if it explodes we are already indexed and if not we are at the SL, which is a TP.

Discipline, management, and analysis are always more than just impulse.

#analysis #AnalisisTecnico #TraderAlert

📉 I opened a short at $DOGE after the strong rise of the day. Why? Let's go with the analysis:

In the 1H chart, DOGE shows a very marked bullish momentum in the last 10 candles, but it starts to show technical weakness at the highs of $0.233.

📊 Signals that triggered my entry:
RSI in overbought and loss of strength in 1H
🚀TRIGGER In the 5M chart, the price moved aggressively away from the VWAP, and it is a trade with a probability based on context that should go straight to the VWAP.

— The VWAP is a volume-weighted average, and in scalping, it acts as a natural “ultra pulling magnet” for the price.

— Unlike other averages, when there is a significant departure, the price and the average tend to seek it quickly.

🔍 Why is this key?

Because larger timeframes like 4H, the price and the VWAP almost never separate. But in 5M, when they do so abruptly, the short-term reversal is probably the action that the price should take; it's not always like that but in trading, nothing is as it should be; trades are based on probabilities according to your level of technical analysis and the reversal to the VWAP with a favorable context in a trade with a high probability.

✅ Two confirmations for my entry:
— Weakness in 1H
— Departure from VWAP in 5M and breaking of a technical wedge downward.

All based on principles of Smart Money Concepts (SMC).

📌 Do not trade on impulse. Study your triggers. Understand why.

Don't just stick with the signal. Stick with the analysis, reason it out, and improve your trading.

#DOGE #CryptoTrading #smc #analysis

📈 I just executed a trade on #Bitcoin on a 4H chart; it’s a move where I expect to stay in if the SL doesn’t take me out in 1-3 days. Why? Because we have been analyzing this movement for days.

The consolidation triangle that has been forming for over a week and we have been analyzing in 4H finally broke upwards, accompanied by a candle with volume and a clear close above $113K, which now acts as technical support.

🔹 Entry: Confirmation of the triangle breakout
🔹 SL: Behind the volume candle, at $112K
🔹 TP: $116K — a level that coincides with the CME GAP, pending closure for over a week

🧠 As I always say: I don’t share signals, I share wisdom. Trading is based on probabilities; no one reads the future. The important thing is to win more than you lose. Yes, you will ALWAYS lose some trades, but don’t let that cloud your emotions; stay disciplined.

This journey has cost me effort, discipline, and many lessons. And I still have a lot to learn.

🔑 The most important thing is not just knowing how to analyze…
It’s mastering emotions, following a plan, and improving every day.

Analyze your trading. Improve your trading.
Profitability is the consequence of doing things right.
#Btc #analysis $BTC

Yesterday I gave you this analysis which left me a profit of +300% in one day. I'm leaving the analysis for you to assimilate and improve your trading. Here are the analyses and photos of the chart with the analysis and the result of the operation 👇👇👇

📉 I just opened a short position on $MYX (this was yesterday 09-Sep) — but don't just focus on the “signal”… focus on the analysis.

In the 1H chart, the price shows a great hype driven in part by FOMO.
This is confirmed with a clear bearish divergence:
🔺 The price rises
🔻 The RSI does not follow — indicating a loss of strength

🔍 When going down to 5M to look for an entry trigger, we observe that the price had been forming a bearish channel from 18.5 to the area of $13, where the impulse retracement occurs and seeks liquidity at the previous maximum relative levels at 16 which coincides with an overbought RSI giving our entry greater probability.

📌 Trade Strategy:
— Entry: area of $16.1
— TP1: $13 TP2 will be with a trailing stop through price action
— SL: $16.5 (area of maximum RSI overbought)

📚 Analysis is key. Do not trade by emotion, nor by copying. Learn to read the market.

Discipline not impulse. Plan not intuition.

#MYX #analysis #AnalisisTecnico

📉 I just opened a short at $MYX — but don't get stuck on the "signal"… focus on the analysis.

In the 1H chart, the price shows a big hype driven in part by FOMO.
This is confirmed by a clear bearish divergence:
🔺 The price is going up
🔻 The RSI is not following — indicating a loss of strength

🔍 When we go down to 5M to look for an entry trigger, we observe that the price has been forming a bearish channel from 18.5 to the $13 area, where the retracement of the impulse occurs and seeks liquidity at the previous relative maximums of $16 which coincides with an overbought RSI giving our entry a higher probability.

📌 Trade strategy:
— Entry: $16.1 zone
— TP1: $13 TP2 will be with a trailing stop through the price action
— SL: $16.5 (maximum overbought zone of the RSI)

📚 Analysis is key. Don't trade on emotion, nor by copying. Learn to read the market.

Discipline not impulse. Plan not intuition.

#MYX #analysis #AnalisisTecnico

Why are so many people talking about $MITO lately?

In the crypto world, things evolve quickly. And one of the biggest challenges today is moving liquidity —that is, digital money— from one blockchain to another easily, securely, and cost-effectively.

That’s where Mitosis (MITO) comes in, a new project that is gaining attention for offering a new, powerful, and simple solution to this problem.

💡 MITO is a next-generation blockchain (layer 1) that seeks to make crypto money flow frictionlessly between different networks.

Its technology allows for more to be done with less effort within the DeFi ecosystem (decentralized finance).

The interesting part: it transforms what is normally complex (the provision of liquidity) into something more programmable and flexible, giving users access to better yields without losing control.

📈 At a time when DeFi needs more efficient solutions, MITO stands out as a key player at this point.

Will it be a key piece in the next DeFi wave? Its fundamentals, precise solution to the liquidity problem in DeFi indicate that it will.

This is one of those projects where you need to invest some of your capital and forget about it, letting it mature and being in when it explodes💥🚀
#Mitosis @MitosisOrg

📘 Technical analysis log of #Bitcoin – 4H Chart

The price continues to respect the formation of an ascending triangle, after bouncing from the relative low at $108K.

Since then, it has attempted to break the resistance of $113K several times, with technical pullbacks to levels of $109K, $110K, and $110.8K, suggesting a slight bullish momentum but with a key resistance at 113k.

📊 Key levels:

🔺 Resistance: $113K
🔻 Support: $108K

📈 Scenario 1: If it breaks strongly above $113K, the next target would be the CME gap at $117K, opened more than a week ago.

📉 Scenario 2: If it breaks the triangle downwards with volume, we could retest $108K.

🧐 Why are we monitoring the gap on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) chart?
Because it is one of the most relevant futures markets in the world and it is the chart that major institutions follow.

Gaps on that chart often act as liquidity magnets.

#BTC #Bitcoin #analysis $BTC

📉 I opened a short at $BNB and no, it's not a signal… it's a lesson.

I don't want you to focus on the trade, I want you to focus on the analysis.
I share information and wisdom, not " #SignalAlert "

🔹 In 4H, BNB had a strong rise from $840
🔹 It hit a technical relative maximum at $880
🔹 The price began to lose strength — that was my trigger

The price doesn't go up forever. Corrections, statistically, occur in relevant resistance or support zones.

And $880 is, we can see it marked on the chart.

📍 Short target: SL 890, 1TP zone of $860, just the halfway point of the previous movement.

Why that level?

🔸 It's the 50% Fibonacci.
🔸 If the price corrects further: we stay in if not the SL takes us out at break even with partial profits at 860
🔸 Never greed, management is everything.

📊 Additional fundamentals:
— In 30M, RSI in overbought
— MACD not aligned with the price (divergence)

💡 The analysis leads, not the emotion.
Stick to your plan, enter where you said you would enter.
And if it doesn't happen… next. The market does what it wants.

Discipline + patience = profitability.
#bnb

🔄 Update of #bitcoin in for the weekly close

The price maintains a minor bullish structure from the support of $108K, forming a triangle with resistance at $113K — an area that also sets up a double top technically.

🔸 The 50-day moving average remains flat since the beginning of the month
🔸 The RSI hovers around the 50 level
🔸 The MACD shows lateral movement

📉 Result: clear indecision in the market.
We come from a winning analysis where we made a profit of 150%! Now, hands up: there is no confirmation of direction.

My trading plan, based 100% on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), is simple:
👉 I follow the money, I follow the liquidity.

I do not chase the market. I left greed behind… and with it came profitability.

📌 Patience and execution. No anxiety, no noise.
#analysis $BTC

The FED projects a rate cut in its next meeting and a liquidity injection of up to $4T into the economy.

Probable outcome?
The same old story: that liquidity will end up flowing into the same safe-haven and speculative assets:

➡️ Bitcoin
➡️ Gold
➡️ Stocks
➡️ Real estate
➡️ And, of course, cryptocurrencies

The cycle is well known in the crypto ecosystem:
➡️ Issuance of fiat money
➡️ Converted into stablecoins (USDT, USDC, FUSD, etc.)
➡️ Enter Bitcoin
➡️ Flow towards altcoins like ETH, SOL, XRP
🚀 And if liquidity continues to expand… it's the turn of the memecoins

But beware: this time the expansion will not be as aggressive as during COVID.
We won't see land in the metaverse for millions or NFTs sold at absurd prices.

My perspective: the flow could reach memecoins, but not beyond that.

🎯 Question for the community:
Do you think this rate cut will be the start of a new altseason?
Or is it still too early?

👇 I’ll read your comments.
#btc #altcoin2025