Today's situation is not great either! Because the market is really hard to grasp!
Both new and old investors can deeply feel this; making money in this round is too difficult!
The Bitcoin we own, $BTC , is far too little, or we may not have any at all!
We come to the cryptocurrency world, and making money is everyone's ultimate goal.
Whether you are a newcomer to the crypto world or an experienced investor who has been in it for many years, everyone is chasing profits, everyone wants to win, everyone wants to make big money!
However, looking back at this experience, have we overlooked something more important?
The crypto world is indeed a high-risk, high-reward field, but it has a very low margin for error for ordinary people. A single wrong decision can lead to huge losses, even leaving one unable to recover.
Many of us, in pursuit of wealth, have neglected other parts of life, such as family, health, and inner peace.
I have recently experienced enlightenment after losing everything and feeling indifferent to life.
Making money is certainly important, but more importantly, it is how to find balance in this process.
The crypto world is just a part of life, not the entirety.
We need to learn to withdraw at the right time and reflect on what we truly want. If we blindly pursue money while ignoring other aspects of life, we may ultimately suffer losses.
Rather than getting entangled in how much money we can make in the crypto world, it's better to ask ourselves: Has this experience helped you grow? Has it brought you closer to your goals?
Living, being healthy, and being happy—these are what matter most.
However, for people in the crypto world, Bitcoin has indeed been a constant presence throughout our lives.
The number of meme coins has increased by hundreds and thousands in this cycle. The emergence of Pumpfun has greatly lowered the threshold for issuing coins, allowing anyone to easily issue meme coins, leading to a low-cost, high-speed coin issuance mechanism that floods the market with a large number of speculative tokens, making price surges and crashes the norm, with a very high risk of going to zero.
Many meme coins are worthless, relying more on hype and short-term popularity, with a short lifespan, many don't last a day or even a few hours.
If we hold onto a "diamond hands" mentality and insist on holding long-term, we are likely to lose everything due to crashes or lack of liquidity, or become the liquidity for others to exit.
In such a market environment, blindly pursuing "structure" often equates to high-risk gambling, and a slight misstep can lead to huge losses.
#特朗普税改 , although it has had some impact on Bitcoin, Bitcoin is still Bitcoin. "Your uncle is still your uncle". It dropped a little yesterday, but today it has bounced back, and the expectation is still that the probability of a big rise is high.
Even if I lose money trading cryptocurrencies, I remain optimistic.
On the road of life, it is inevitable to encounter setbacks and disappointments.
Losing money in cryptocurrency trading may be frustrating, but please remember, this is only temporary.
"Everything that grinds you is meant to ferry you."
Every hardship is a form of practice in life.
Bitcoin often experiences brief declines, but when viewed over a longer time period, it continuously reaches new all-time highs.
Give time some time, let the past be the past, and do not let temporary failures define your future.
Adjust your mindset, learn from the lessons, and the future is still full of opportunities.
Believe in yourself, work hard, and you will eventually welcome your own dawn.
Does everyone have a feeling that after we've lost too much for too long, after experiencing too many bad things, and not making much money, a person's sharpness will gradually be worn down.
Once sharpness is lost, one's nature and talent cannot be fully expressed, leading to self-doubt and self-hatred, ultimately accepting an ordinary self.
Setbacks in life can ruin one's mindset, which may destroy the future.
Repeated successes are more likely to lead to super success.
However, before success, we will constantly step into pitfalls. The detours we must take in this life, the hardships we must endure, the walls we must hit, and the traps we must fall into, there will be no shortage of any of them.
There are too many trials and challenges. Especially after years in the cryptocurrency world, those who haven't made money and have lost their principal, especially those with loans, are even worse off.
Can the path of growth and transformation bring us a bit more luck?
In the face of setbacks and long-term losses, do we choose to accept ordinariness, or do we continue to pursue breakthroughs? Everyone needs to find their own answer through experience.
With the favorable factors such as #特朗普暂停新关税 , ETF fund inflows, macroeconomic conditions, and policies, Bitcoin and the market have surged.
The big market has arrived!
BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes also stated, "The bull market is back, it's time to celebrate."
However, specifically for each of us, how can we seize the opportunity to make big money?
As for myself, I can't adapt to the new meme, my abilities and energy are limited, I really can't keep up!
So should I continue to gamble in contracts?
Yes, I want to continue playing contracts.
But,
I’ve come to understand that so many liquidations are actually a position management issue.
Because when I trade contracts, I can’t just do it with one times leverage; I always amplify it many times. If I were to only open one times, I might as well trade spot.
Contracts are too easy to get liquidated because the positions are too large!
In contract trading, many people, including myself, ultimately cannot escape the outcome of over-leveraged liquidation; the core issue is not trading ability or technique, but position management.
Excessive positions or high leverage can trigger emotional fluctuations such as panic, greed, and excitement, leading to sleepless nights and restlessness, constantly checking the K-line, profit conditions, and whether one is on the edge of liquidation.
Once caught in emotional trading, it’s easy to fall into a vicious cycle of "one mistake leads to another."
To avoid liquidation, it is essential: small positions. The multiple doesn’t actually matter, whether it’s 10 times or 100 times, what matters is the size of the position and the percentage of margin it occupies.
Repeatedly trading with small positions can lead to long-term accumulation and compounding.
Reasonable position management is the key to surviving and profiting in contract trading.
The outcome for contract gamblers is that 99.99% end up losing everything and leaving. Only a very few chosen ones can become wealthy and survive.
I have been completely wiped out by contracts several times, and it was very painful 😭
Today, I saw a book: "The Infinite Beginning" that presents a viewpoint:
The exit of every maze is hidden at the starting point. When the world continues to collapse, what truly traps us is not the maze itself, but our obsession with not wanting to go back to zero.
Since I have already been to zero, but as long as there is still principal, should I take a portion to gamble again?
Just this time be more cautious, not betting everything, but only taking a part, and trying again in the place where I fell.
The book also says: Every moment is the singularity of a new universe, and only by letting go of the anxiety of "must be correct" can we lighten our load and embrace new possibilities.
Reassess the dilemmas and choices in our lives. When facing the unknown, bravely break through the limitations of thought and find your own "exit."
Anxiety is useless; only brave actions can possibly help us win back.
Wherever you fall, get back up from there! Don't you agree, $ETH , I still believe in you.
For those of us who have already lost everything, or suffered significant losses, or faced multiple significant losses,
now,
what we may urgently need is not to make a lot of money immediately, but to realize that having lost so much or so many times, there must be some issues in certain aspects of our investment: cognition, thinking, mindset, some lack of common sense, incomplete systems, bad luck... various
that need to be addressed first, to enhance and improve.
Losing or having lost is temporary.
Every moment in life is filled with infinite possibilities. No matter what stage you are at now, as long as life hasn’t ended, it’s never too late to start.
To achieve the dream of pursuing financial freedom, let us start from today, courageously embrace every new beginning.
Having suffered significant losses from full-margin trading in Ethereum multiple times, I still believe $ETH
Trump announces that the first 220 token holders can attend an exclusive dinner at Trump Presidential Golf Club.
After the first news came out last night, it was definitely going to rise, at that time it was less than 10u.
In the short term, it is definitely a positive, and the positive sentiment drives the price up. Looking bullish in the short term, buy on dips. However, as it ferments, there will be a pullback, especially to be cautious before the 5th-12th.
But in the long run, as long as Trump is still in the presidential position, although there is continuous selling pressure, how can he cash out without driving the price up!
Currently, market speculation is high, and in the short term, there will definitely be people buying enough tokens to attend the meeting, and the price will rise. Capital inflow continues to rise, but in the long run, there will be many uncertainties, the opportunity outweighs the risk, it depends on individual strength.
Since last night, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a comprehensive rebound, with Bitcoin soaring to $95,000.
This increase is driven by multiple positive factors. 1. The core driving force should be Trump's tariff policy, the U.S. economy, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The high tariffs from the Trump administration, negotiations, and the tendency for impacts to ease and resolve have enhanced investors' risk appetite. Gold has been reaching new highs for a long time, and Bitcoin, as digital gold, boosts Bitcoin's attractiveness as a safe-haven and speculative asset. 2. Both technical and fundamental aspects support optimistic sentiment. On-chain data reflects an increased willingness of holders to accumulate coins, and reduced supply pushes prices higher. Institutional capital, such as ETFs, is accelerating its re-entry.
If there are no black swan events in the near term (Trump is an unpredictable bomb💣!), support will be gained at $95,000. This would signify a true bull market return, with policy benefits, institutional participation, and technical support forming a resonance.
If it can stabilize around $100,000, it is estimated that we won't see the previous 4-year cycle again; the bull-bear transition will be shorter, and Bitcoin will continue to soar higher.
At this point, I wish the Ethereum positions were opened a little larger.
进化狗
--
Investing goes against human nature!
ETH has dropped to the point where it seems inhuman, and no one believes in it anymore! However, ETH will recover, so don't be completely bearish on ETH.
Institutions are also large retail investors, and the current sell-off is driven by them. Even the Ethereum Foundation has been selling continuously, which is really damaging confidence!
Recently, the ETH/BTC exchange rate has dropped to 0.01766, hitting a new low since 2020. On the surface, ETH appears weak, but this may actually be a signal for recovery, and is worth paying attention to.
Firstly, historical data shows that the ETH/BTC exchange rate usually rebounds after reaching a low point. ETH is highly correlated with BTC but tends to be more volatile; when BTC rises, ETH typically rises even more. Currently, BTC has shown signs of inflow, and if BTC continues to rise, ETH may have a recovery opportunity.
Secondly, there are potential positives in the fundamentals of ETH. The Pectra upgrade in 2025 and the launch of an ETH staking ETF could boost market sentiment. Currently, the market price of ETH is below its realized price (for the first time since 2020), and the MVRV ratio is in the 'opportunity zone', indicating that ETH is undervalued and has buying potential.
Moreover, despite the ongoing sell-off, the scale of selling has decreased, and institutions like BlackRock still hold a significant amount of ETH, showing confidence in its long-term value.
Finally, market sentiment is likely to shift. As BTC leads the crypto market to recover, ETH, as the second-largest cryptocurrency, may reignite investor interest in its ecosystem (DeFi, NFTs, etc.).
Although the delay in ETH staking approval is unfavorable, if the GDP data at the end of the month is positive, a recovery in liquidity may drive ETH prices up.
Therefore, going against human nature, the current low point of ETH/BTC may be a good buying opportunity. Keep an eye on subsequent market dynamics and seize the recovery opportunity.
Strategy has been continuously buying Bitcoin through various financing methods, which is impressive and reflects a strong confidence in BTC as a long-term store of value.
Many institutions, especially those seeking to diversify assets and hedge against traditional market risks, are also following suit by only buying Bitcoin.
Strategy's actions may lead to more funds flowing in.
Strategy's increased holdings undoubtedly inject confidence into the market, and more institutions are following suit.
For us retail investors, although the price is quite high now, in the long run, it will definitely continue to rise. If there is spare money, it is essential to appropriately allocate BTC.
It was a bit unexpected to see such a rise in one night!
Bitcoin really is astonishing! Many other coins have also surged.
If you opened a long position, you might be wondering whether it's time to take profits?
Are you holding a long-term position or a short-term position?
In our trading, do we have to plan every entry, profit-taking, and stop-loss like those amazing traders and execute strictly?
Trading cryptocurrencies is risky, with high volatility, and losses can happen easily. Do you treat every trade with a sense of caution?
Have you thought about your goals and risk tolerance before placing a trade, created a clear trading plan, identified where to take profits and stop losses, and maintained discipline during execution?
Whether you choose to go short or buy the dip, it should be based on analysis and your own strategy, not emotional trading.
I remember a prominent figure once said: “Plan your trade, trade your plan.”
Bitcoin truly has remarkable potential! Many other coins have also surged significantly.
If you opened a long position, you might be wondering whether to take profits now?
Are you holding a long-term position or a short-term position?
In our trading, do we plan each entry, profit-taking, and stop-loss like those amazing traders, and execute strictly?
Trading cryptocurrencies carries high risk and volatility, and losses can occur easily. Do you approach each trade with a cautious mindset?
Have you thought about your goals and risk tolerance before entering a trade, formulated a clear trading plan, established where to take profits and set stop-losses, and maintained discipline during execution?
Whether you choose to go short or buy the dip, it should be based on analysis and your own strategy, not emotional trading.
I remember a prominent trader once said: "Plan your trade, trade your plan."
Recently, a feeling of weakness has been overwhelming, very heavy, very heavy.
😔 The Dilemma of Trading Coins
After years of being fully immersed in trading coins, I find myself in a deep predicament. I've fallen into countless traps, leading to severe losses, and now I feel a deep sense of powerlessness.
The biggest losses come from multiple contract liquidations, holding full positions with margin that got wiped out. How about you?
🤯 State of Confusion
Due to the losses, my capital is either completely gone or very little remains, and everything has become uncertain; hope for the future feels bleak and desperate.
Opportunities with high certainty are too few, or I can't discover or seize them with my current abilities.
This feeling of powerlessness is like seeing a beautiful finish line but being blocked by a huge rock, unable to push it no matter what.
I hope you all won't experience this sense of powerlessness like I do.
Binance new listing, and there's pig foot rice to eat again. Having $BNB is a kind of stability, long-term.
We come to the crypto world to trade, to trade! But what exactly are we trading?
In the early days of the crypto world, there was only Bitcoin being traded. Now, Bitcoin has become a god, a king, the only king.
But what are those of us without Bitcoin or with very little actually trading?
Many of us choose to speculate on altcoins, meme coins, or other obscure coins to gain short-term profits, and then transfer those profits into Bitcoin.
However, this path is not easy; it is very, very difficult! Most assets need to rely on 'narratives' to attract attention and capital, while Bitcoin is the only exception.
The uniqueness of Bitcoin lies in the fact that its 'existence itself' is already a complete narrative.
Bitcoin does not require extra packaging, version updates, or complex explanations.
Bitcoin represents the core concepts of decentralization, censorship resistance, and value storage, which makes it the ultimate destination for investors.
In contrast, other assets need to constantly tell new stories to maintain market heat. For example, Ethereum is referred to as the 'world computer', Solana is known for its 'high performance and low cost', while the AI and RWA tracks have their own narratives as well. But these narratives may lose their appeal as the market changes, whereas Bitcoin's value remains consistent.
Therefore, although accumulating Bitcoin through the speculation of other assets is a difficult road, Bitcoin, as the king of value that does not require narrative packaging, makes all this effort worthwhile due to its long-term growth potential.
Knowing it is the most challenging path, we want Bitcoin $BTC
Making money in the crypto world surpasses everything.
"As long as a person is immersed in making money, they won't overthink or dwell on the past."
In this world of opportunities and challenges in the crypto space, making money is not only a goal but also a remedy that helps people focus and break free from confusion.
The rapid changes and high returns in the crypto world attract us to dive in, and focusing on the process of making money allows us to re-evaluate our life goals.
In this process, making money is not just about accumulating wealth; it is also about enhancing self-capability and gaining control over future life.
Every investment decision in the crypto world, every market fluctuation, is a test of mindset and wisdom.
Making money in the crypto world is a remedy for restarting life, providing direction for those who are lost.
ETH has dropped to the point where it seems inhuman, and no one believes in it anymore! However, ETH will recover, so don't be completely bearish on ETH.
Institutions are also large retail investors, and the current sell-off is driven by them. Even the Ethereum Foundation has been selling continuously, which is really damaging confidence!
Recently, the ETH/BTC exchange rate has dropped to 0.01766, hitting a new low since 2020. On the surface, ETH appears weak, but this may actually be a signal for recovery, and is worth paying attention to.
Firstly, historical data shows that the ETH/BTC exchange rate usually rebounds after reaching a low point. ETH is highly correlated with BTC but tends to be more volatile; when BTC rises, ETH typically rises even more. Currently, BTC has shown signs of inflow, and if BTC continues to rise, ETH may have a recovery opportunity.
Secondly, there are potential positives in the fundamentals of ETH. The Pectra upgrade in 2025 and the launch of an ETH staking ETF could boost market sentiment. Currently, the market price of ETH is below its realized price (for the first time since 2020), and the MVRV ratio is in the 'opportunity zone', indicating that ETH is undervalued and has buying potential.
Moreover, despite the ongoing sell-off, the scale of selling has decreased, and institutions like BlackRock still hold a significant amount of ETH, showing confidence in its long-term value.
Finally, market sentiment is likely to shift. As BTC leads the crypto market to recover, ETH, as the second-largest cryptocurrency, may reignite investor interest in its ecosystem (DeFi, NFTs, etc.).
Although the delay in ETH staking approval is unfavorable, if the GDP data at the end of the month is positive, a recovery in liquidity may drive ETH prices up.
Therefore, going against human nature, the current low point of ETH/BTC may be a good buying opportunity. Keep an eye on subsequent market dynamics and seize the recovery opportunity.
Ethereum's performance has been persistently sluggish, is the reason the continuous decline of investor confidence?
I feel it's not just a decline, it's a complete collapse! Even ancient whales with costs as low as 0.31 are continuously selling off.
Last week, there was no net inflow for the ETH spot ETF, while BTC had three days of net inflow, showing that investors prefer BTC's safe-haven properties.
And Ethereum? World computer? Right now, it’s all about survival!
Specifically, the net outflow of ETH in week 38 is comparable to that in week 37, with institutions such as Grayscale (ETHE) continuing to sell off, reflecting the market's pessimistic sentiment towards ETH.
ETF outflows indicate that investors are being cautious or taking profits, and ETH lacks buying momentum, in stark contrast to BTC.
Although the Petra upgrade set to launch in 2025 may support ETF staking, ETH still faces structural issues.
The Dencun upgrade in March 2024 aims to enhance revenue through Layer 2, but the decline in on-chain revenue and inflationary pressures have dampened market enthusiasm. Consequently, investors have overlooked the short-term benefits of ETH, turning instead to the stronger market narrative of BTC, leading to the continued underperformance of ETH.
I believe that short-term trade friction will still exist, but in the long term, there is hope to return to the path of cooperation.
The China-U.S. trade war, which began in 2018, has had a profound impact on the global economy. The increase in tariffs by the United States has led to a rise in living costs for consumers, disruption of corporate supply chains, a sharp decline in agricultural exports, and serious self-inflicted economic harm. China, on the other hand, has shown resilience by transforming its economy, innovating in technology, and expanding markets through the Belt and Road Initiative, thereby reducing its dependence on the U.S. Recently, the U.S. side's tariff exemptions have released signals of easing, but China maintains strategic composure and emphasizes reciprocal countermeasures.
In the future, China-U.S. trade relations may gradually ease through negotiations, but the U.S. side needs to show sincerity by canceling all increased tariffs. Equal dialogue is the right path, and mutual benefit and win-win outcomes align with the interests of both sides.