悟饭web3
Open Trade
ETH Holder
Occasional Trader
1.5 Years
分享个人市场观点
推特：https://x.com/JieSeQiYa
5 Following
16 Followers
13 Liked
1 Shared
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After years in the cryptocurrency world, I have summarized a few trading principles!
1. Trading experts do not rely on divine predictions; the key is to strictly control losses and maximize profits. No one can predict trends, and keeping losses small while making big profits is the key to profitability.
2. Ensuring the safety of principal is the primary goal in trading; surviving is the first step to potential profit. Execution and stability are very important; sentiment has no place in trading. Remember the order to increase survival chances.
3. Don’t become arrogant just because you made a few correct judgments; excessive pride in trading can lead to losses, and being smart does not mean you can trade.
4. Market trends cannot be predicted with precision; find the key positions to enter and exit. If the timing isn't right, stay out of the market; avoid blind high-frequency trading to prevent liquidation.
5. Master a trading strategy that suits you, refine it repeatedly, and mastering one technique is better than knowing a hundred.
6. Focus on major currencies like BTC and ETH, and avoid playing with obscure altcoins!
7. When consulting experts, don’t be arrogant; ask more questions proactively. Their experience can save you a lot of time in exploration.
8. In the initial stage of trading, keep your funds small; if you can use a virtual account, don’t use a real account. If you can’t even double a virtual account, you are likely to lose in a real account; keeping it light will benefit you in the long run.
9. Coming into the cryptocurrency world is for trading, not gambling; don’t risk your livelihood. No matter how tempting the market is, don’t go all in; always reserve a year’s living expenses for your family and keep risk in mind.
1. Trading experts do not rely on divine predictions; the key is to strictly control losses and maximize profits. No one can predict trends, and keeping losses small while making big profits is the key to profitability.
2. Ensuring the safety of principal is the primary goal in trading; surviving is the first step to potential profit. Execution and stability are very important; sentiment has no place in trading. Remember the order to increase survival chances.
3. Don’t become arrogant just because you made a few correct judgments; excessive pride in trading can lead to losses, and being smart does not mean you can trade.
4. Market trends cannot be predicted with precision; find the key positions to enter and exit. If the timing isn't right, stay out of the market; avoid blind high-frequency trading to prevent liquidation.
5. Master a trading strategy that suits you, refine it repeatedly, and mastering one technique is better than knowing a hundred.
6. Focus on major currencies like BTC and ETH, and avoid playing with obscure altcoins!
7. When consulting experts, don’t be arrogant; ask more questions proactively. Their experience can save you a lot of time in exploration.
8. In the initial stage of trading, keep your funds small; if you can use a virtual account, don’t use a real account. If you can’t even double a virtual account, you are likely to lose in a real account; keeping it light will benefit you in the long run.
9. Coming into the cryptocurrency world is for trading, not gambling; don’t risk your livelihood. No matter how tempting the market is, don’t go all in; always reserve a year’s living expenses for your family and keep risk in mind.
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Leek Research Diary 3-14
Current Price: $82,080
1. The price has fallen approximately 25% from the historical high of $109,356 on January 20, with increased volatility, indicating the market is in a correction phase.
2. Technical analysis support and resistance levels: Support: $80,000, if broken may drop to $70,000. Resistance: $90,000, if broken may test $95,000. Moving average trend: Short-term moving average has fallen below the mid-term moving average, and the long-term moving average is turning down, indicating short-term bearish dominance and a weakening mid-term trend. Market signals: BTC has dropped alongside US stocks, filling the CME futures gap, with short-term technical signals indicating “strong sell” (daily), “sell” (weekly), but “buy” (monthly), suggesting significant short-term downward pressure, with a potential rebound within a month.
3. Macroeconomic environment Dollar Index: 103.98, relatively strong; historically, a strong dollar tends to suppress BTC prices. Inflation Rate: The US February CPI is 2.8%, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, which may weaken BTC's appeal as an inflation hedge. Interest Rates: Federal funds rate is 4.25%-4.50%, stable in the short term. Market sentiment: X platform users expect BTC to range between $78,000 and $92,000 in the short term, with potential volatility increases after the Federal Reserve meeting on March 18.
4. Halving effect and long-term trend BTC will undergo its fourth halving in April 2024, historically showing explosive price growth 12-18 months post-halving (from April 2025 to October 2026). Currently, it is in a positive brewing period, but the short-term adjustment is not yet over.
5. Price prediction Comprehensive analysis suggests BTC's price trend from March 14 to April 14, 2025, may be as follows: Bullish scenario: If US stocks stabilize or the Federal Reserve signals easing on March 18, the price may rebound to $90,000. Bearish scenario: If US stocks continue to decline, the dollar strengthens, or $80,000 is lost, the price may fall to $70,000. Base prediction: The price may first test the $80,000 support level, then rebound to $85,000, with a volatility range of $80,000-$90,000. Summary: BTC faces short-term downward pressure, but the long-term trend remains optimistic. Investors should pay attention to the Federal Reserve meeting on March 18 and macroeconomic changes, managing risks cautiously.
BNB has seen a rise in sentiment due to favorable market conditions on the BSC chain, making it suitable for regular investments and building positions in appropriate targets #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ #MGX投资币安
Current Price: $82,080
1. The price has fallen approximately 25% from the historical high of $109,356 on January 20, with increased volatility, indicating the market is in a correction phase.
2. Technical analysis support and resistance levels: Support: $80,000, if broken may drop to $70,000. Resistance: $90,000, if broken may test $95,000. Moving average trend: Short-term moving average has fallen below the mid-term moving average, and the long-term moving average is turning down, indicating short-term bearish dominance and a weakening mid-term trend. Market signals: BTC has dropped alongside US stocks, filling the CME futures gap, with short-term technical signals indicating “strong sell” (daily), “sell” (weekly), but “buy” (monthly), suggesting significant short-term downward pressure, with a potential rebound within a month.
3. Macroeconomic environment Dollar Index: 103.98, relatively strong; historically, a strong dollar tends to suppress BTC prices. Inflation Rate: The US February CPI is 2.8%, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, which may weaken BTC's appeal as an inflation hedge. Interest Rates: Federal funds rate is 4.25%-4.50%, stable in the short term. Market sentiment: X platform users expect BTC to range between $78,000 and $92,000 in the short term, with potential volatility increases after the Federal Reserve meeting on March 18.
4. Halving effect and long-term trend BTC will undergo its fourth halving in April 2024, historically showing explosive price growth 12-18 months post-halving (from April 2025 to October 2026). Currently, it is in a positive brewing period, but the short-term adjustment is not yet over.
5. Price prediction Comprehensive analysis suggests BTC's price trend from March 14 to April 14, 2025, may be as follows: Bullish scenario: If US stocks stabilize or the Federal Reserve signals easing on March 18, the price may rebound to $90,000. Bearish scenario: If US stocks continue to decline, the dollar strengthens, or $80,000 is lost, the price may fall to $70,000. Base prediction: The price may first test the $80,000 support level, then rebound to $85,000, with a volatility range of $80,000-$90,000. Summary: BTC faces short-term downward pressure, but the long-term trend remains optimistic. Investors should pay attention to the Federal Reserve meeting on March 18 and macroeconomic changes, managing risks cautiously.
BNB has seen a rise in sentiment due to favorable market conditions on the BSC chain, making it suitable for regular investments and building positions in appropriate targets #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过？ #MGX投资币安
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At noon, my friends and I decided to have lunch at Wanda Shaxian Hotel after a tight discussion. While waiting for our food, Jin Chanchan just started to serve.
A sister in a light blue down jacket, about 45 years old and looking thin, approached us. Her clothes were a bit dirty and messy, and she was wearing sandals even though it had gotten colder today.
She spoke unclearly, and I couldn't quite hear her. I guessed she might be asking for money. At first, I thought she wanted to exchange money, but after a few exchanges, I realized she was asking for money. I turned my head to chat with my friends and continue eating. The sister then asked if she could have a meal, but that made me feel a little uncomfortable.
This might be real hardship. I asked the sister where her home was and about her family. She spoke a bit unclearly, and I couldn't hear her well. Never mind, let's help someone fill their stomach.
Moreover, the sister only wanted one serving of wontons. I thought maybe she could drink some soup to warm up. I thought about it and went in to order a serving of wontons for her, gave her the receipt, and told her she could go pick it up later. Then I turned back to happily chat and eat with my friends.
My friends asked me why I was so chatty. The reason was that I had been bothered by persistent ground promotion for two days in a row.
I said asking for money is not okay, but asking for food is fine. A few bucks doesn’t hurt, less than 2 dollars, it’s just a good deed. What if she really is hungry and living in hardship?
By the way, I bought 1 ku ETH at 11 PM last night and started investing regularly in BTC and ETH. Don't hesitate, now is the best time to invest in 100k BTC.
Pnut's trapped position is slowly being released; go short first, then long, listen to the command.
#BTC #日行一善 #pnut
A sister in a light blue down jacket, about 45 years old and looking thin, approached us. Her clothes were a bit dirty and messy, and she was wearing sandals even though it had gotten colder today.
She spoke unclearly, and I couldn't quite hear her. I guessed she might be asking for money. At first, I thought she wanted to exchange money, but after a few exchanges, I realized she was asking for money. I turned my head to chat with my friends and continue eating. The sister then asked if she could have a meal, but that made me feel a little uncomfortable.
This might be real hardship. I asked the sister where her home was and about her family. She spoke a bit unclearly, and I couldn't hear her well. Never mind, let's help someone fill their stomach.
Moreover, the sister only wanted one serving of wontons. I thought maybe she could drink some soup to warm up. I thought about it and went in to order a serving of wontons for her, gave her the receipt, and told her she could go pick it up later. Then I turned back to happily chat and eat with my friends.
My friends asked me why I was so chatty. The reason was that I had been bothered by persistent ground promotion for two days in a row.
I said asking for money is not okay, but asking for food is fine. A few bucks doesn’t hurt, less than 2 dollars, it’s just a good deed. What if she really is hungry and living in hardship?
By the way, I bought 1 ku ETH at 11 PM last night and started investing regularly in BTC and ETH. Don't hesitate, now is the best time to invest in 100k BTC.
Pnut's trapped position is slowly being released; go short first, then long, listen to the command.
#BTC #日行一善 #pnut
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U.S. February PPI year-on-year to be announced at 8:30 PM tonight, guess the size
Tonight at 8:30 PM! The inflation cold war in the U.S. begins——If February PPI exceeds expectations, will the Federal Reserve press the 'nuclear button'? The global market holds its breath!"
Come join me to short and make a profit #CPI数据来袭 #跟单交易 #BTC
Tonight at 8:30 PM! The inflation cold war in the U.S. begins——If February PPI exceeds expectations, will the Federal Reserve press the 'nuclear button'? The global market holds its breath!"
Come join me to short and make a profit #CPI数据来袭 #跟单交易 #BTC
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