景财
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Everything is about predicting trends in advance. In May 2023, I said that the pie would break through 36,000 by the end of the year and reach around 48,000. Then there started to be a sharp correction around 48,500. Now everything is basically going as I expected.
Moreover, timely communication is also very accurate in looking at the recent trend, so this time I am escaping from the top and opening up the short side, eating big meat! I said that even if the ETF passes, it will push the pin upward and start a big correction, which many people don’t understand. And everything I say can stand the test of time! ! ! #BTC Pay attention to Jingcai and communicate in time, you will gain many different rewards! ! !
Moreover, timely communication is also very accurate in looking at the recent trend, so this time I am escaping from the top and opening up the short side, eating big meat! I said that even if the ETF passes, it will push the pin upward and start a big correction, which many people don’t understand. And everything I say can stand the test of time! ! ! #BTC Pay attention to Jingcai and communicate in time, you will gain many different rewards! ! !
景财
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Jingcai said the trend: How high will the high of 5.17 BTC be before April 2024?
#广场狂热挑战景财今天给大家分析一下比特币2024年4月前最高能到多少
I will mainly talk about the trend of Bitcoin from a long-term perspective. You saw it today. You can look back on it in a year or two. Let’s talk about the conclusion first. This bull market will probably last until October to December 2025. There will be several major callbacks during the process. Then look at its possible short-term trend from the short-term cycle to the weekly and daily charts, and at what point in time it will reach the bottom and top.
First, let’s take a look at the analysis starting from 2013. The first halving time was July 2016. The second time was in May 2020. The third halving will be in April or May next year in 2024. It reached the top in 2013 and then reached the top in 2017, with 49 months in between. The monthly chart is 49 K lines. From December 2017 to November 2021, he experienced 47 months. That is 47 K-month K lines. We assume that based on the calculation of at least 47 K lines, where is the approximate top, then the next top calculated after the halving will be approximately in October 2025. This is the top position in the long term.
I will mainly talk about the trend of Bitcoin from a long-term perspective. You saw it today. You can look back on it in a year or two. Let’s talk about the conclusion first. This bull market will probably last until October to December 2025. There will be several major callbacks during the process. Then look at its possible short-term trend from the short-term cycle to the weekly and daily charts, and at what point in time it will reach the bottom and top.
First, let’s take a look at the analysis starting from 2013. The first halving time was July 2016. The second time was in May 2020. The third halving will be in April or May next year in 2024. It reached the top in 2013 and then reached the top in 2017, with 49 months in between. The monthly chart is 49 K lines. From December 2017 to November 2021, he experienced 47 months. That is 47 K-month K lines. We assume that based on the calculation of at least 47 K lines, where is the approximate top, then the next top calculated after the halving will be approximately in October 2025. This is the top position in the long term.
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What's going on? The airdrop I received can't be sold and goes straight to zero?
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This wave started to go long near 60,000, including 62500-62800 to continue to go long. Basically, they said very firmly that it could go up to 68,000, and even after breaking through the pressure of 68,000, it could go to 73,000. And after entering the market, I also said that there are so many people shorting outside, and I also emphasized that you should not short. Many people don’t think so. Today I found that many people shorting outside died miserably. Basically, we made a lot of money by moving fast in this wave! But don’t be blinded by victory, just do it with a heavy position, including the spot given by the village. #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？
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Let’s talk about copycats:
The recent benefits of each small currency are:
1. As the November 8 election approaches, PEOPLE is expected to experience hype 2-3 weeks ago. The current price below 0.058 can be regarded as a good opportunity for bargain hunting, with expected returns of more than 20%.
2. AVAX will hold its annual summit on the 16th and update version 9000. If the price is below 24 in the short term, you may consider entering the market, with an expected increase of more than 10%.
3. OM will be launched on the mainnet at the end of the month. As a leader in the rwa field, it is recommended to ambush below 1.2, and the increase is expected to reach 20%.
4. WLD will launch an expanded version at the end of the month, and NVIDIA will release a new generation of 50 series graphics cards at the end of the year. You can consider allocating a hand of Ai leading Fet. The expected increase of both currencies is more than 20%.
Personally, I think SUI will continue to make a big move in the future, but there will be a certain degree of correction in its big move. The real big star of SUI will definitely be next year.
The recent benefits of each small currency are:
1. As the November 8 election approaches, PEOPLE is expected to experience hype 2-3 weeks ago. The current price below 0.058 can be regarded as a good opportunity for bargain hunting, with expected returns of more than 20%.
2. AVAX will hold its annual summit on the 16th and update version 9000. If the price is below 24 in the short term, you may consider entering the market, with an expected increase of more than 10%.
3. OM will be launched on the mainnet at the end of the month. As a leader in the rwa field, it is recommended to ambush below 1.2, and the increase is expected to reach 20%.
4. WLD will launch an expanded version at the end of the month, and NVIDIA will release a new generation of 50 series graphics cards at the end of the year. You can consider allocating a hand of Ai leading Fet. The expected increase of both currencies is more than 20%.
Personally, I think SUI will continue to make a big move in the future, but there will be a certain degree of correction in its big move. The real big star of SUI will definitely be next year.
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Key events worthy of attention:
PEOPLE: As the Nov. 8 election approaches, PEOPLE expects to see some hype in the 2-3 weeks leading up to the election.
AVAX: AVAX will hold its annual summit on the 16th and launch the highly anticipated version 9000 upgrade.
OM: OM plans to launch its mainnet at the end of this month, positioning itself as a leader in the RWA space.
WLD: At the end of this month, WLD will launch its expansion upgrade. Around the same time, Nvidia will release its next-generation 50-series graphics cards, so now is a good time to consider adding AI leader FET to your portfolio.
BNB: BNB may be about to launch a new token
PEOPLE: As the Nov. 8 election approaches, PEOPLE expects to see some hype in the 2-3 weeks leading up to the election.
AVAX: AVAX will hold its annual summit on the 16th and launch the highly anticipated version 9000 upgrade.
OM: OM plans to launch its mainnet at the end of this month, positioning itself as a leader in the RWA space.
WLD: At the end of this month, WLD will launch its expansion upgrade. Around the same time, Nvidia will release its next-generation 50-series graphics cards, so now is a good time to consider adding AI leader FET to your portfolio.
BNB: BNB may be about to launch a new token
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If Bitcoin breaks through 65,000 as expected, how far is it from 68,000? I think it will be soon. The air force in the past period will be a fuel for us. Those who have been following my videos every day recently should know that we have been increasing from more than 50,000 in this wave. Now we must also get the 5th wave
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Memecoin Position Building Course:
You are not in front of the computer all the time, so you may not be able to buy a good Golden Dog price at the first time, but do you want to give up the next 10 times because you lost the first 10 times?
If a Golden Dog has risen and pulled back, how can you confirm whether it can still rise?
Here is a practical tip
When the price is sideways and the coin holding addresses are increasing, you can buy one by one at the bottom of the sideways consolidation with relative confidence. If you are worried about the lack of strength to rise, you can sell directly at the pressure point in front. In this case, 30%-50% profit is very common, so you should look at the position you can bear based on this part of the profit;
If you can see the address of a large buy order at the key pressure point, it is a new wallet address (created within a few days or even hours, the first batch of coins are transferred from the exchange, and then bought in batches at the pressure point, and you can see multiple wallets doing this, and then the purchased coins are transferred out in a dispersed manner);
Then, it can be basically confirmed that the dealer wants to protect this position, so, you smart already know what to do
You are not in front of the computer all the time, so you may not be able to buy a good Golden Dog price at the first time, but do you want to give up the next 10 times because you lost the first 10 times?
If a Golden Dog has risen and pulled back, how can you confirm whether it can still rise?
Here is a practical tip
When the price is sideways and the coin holding addresses are increasing, you can buy one by one at the bottom of the sideways consolidation with relative confidence. If you are worried about the lack of strength to rise, you can sell directly at the pressure point in front. In this case, 30%-50% profit is very common, so you should look at the position you can bear based on this part of the profit;
If you can see the address of a large buy order at the key pressure point, it is a new wallet address (created within a few days or even hours, the first batch of coins are transferred from the exchange, and then bought in batches at the pressure point, and you can see multiple wallets doing this, and then the purchased coins are transferred out in a dispersed manner);
Then, it can be basically confirmed that the dealer wants to protect this position, so, you smart already know what to do
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Bitcoin is fluctuating at a high level and is about to hit 65,000 again. Can it break through to 68,000 directly?
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Trading is not about huge profits, but about stability and security. Funds need time to compound interest to grow. Don't get lost in the wins and losses of one or two days. You must learn to wait. The money in trading is waiting, and it is getting more and more. The anxiety and pain in the process are all obstacles to the self. In fact, I sometimes make these mistakes. This is also human nature. Sometimes you know these, but it doesn't mean you will do it 100%. The only way to defeat the anti-human game is to be willing to give up and know.
Trading itself is simple. When you have the right cognition, it is actually difficult to execute it in place. The unity of knowledge and action is like a thousand miles apart, because there is human nature between the two. Human nature is the most difficult thing to overcome, that is, to break through the execution barrier. In the end, trading is actually a fight between yourself and yourself. Success or failure depends on yourself. If you defeat yourself, there will be no trading obstacles, and you will also come out. The true unity of knowledge and action, long-term stable profit plus compound interest, is fully reflected.
Trading itself is simple. When you have the right cognition, it is actually difficult to execute it in place. The unity of knowledge and action is like a thousand miles apart, because there is human nature between the two. Human nature is the most difficult thing to overcome, that is, to break through the execution barrier. In the end, trading is actually a fight between yourself and yourself. Success or failure depends on yourself. If you defeat yourself, there will be no trading obstacles, and you will also come out. The true unity of knowledge and action, long-term stable profit plus compound interest, is fully reflected.
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In the second stage, the big cake rose for 6 consecutive days and closed positive. Yesterday, it closed with a cross-yin line, but yesterday's cross star touched the highest price. So there is still a need for a correction at this stage. But there are also no corrections during the strong rise. The situation here is that you need to wait patiently and enter after the correction and stabilization. But don't chase more. Look for entry opportunities. The cost-effectiveness of chasing more is not very good. It encountered the resistance level at this position in a short time, and then began to fall. . This is still a 3-wave rise. If yesterday's high point is counted as a 4-wave correction, . If it falls below here, it will rebound again, and then see if the support of this general direction is around 61000.
Then look at the rebound section. Small cycle and large cycle support, after looking at the situation here, then see if there is a reversal. That is, whether it will really break below here effectively. If there is still no reversal, it will still be 68000
Then look at the rebound section. Small cycle and large cycle support, after looking at the situation here, then see if there is a reversal. That is, whether it will really break below here effectively. If there is still no reversal, it will still be 68000
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9.23 morning market analysis. There is still room for the price to rise. The target is around 68,000
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Practical sharing on position management
First, you should make a complete trading plan, determine the currency you are operating, the minimum profit, the profit in batches and the maximum loss, and understand where your profit point and stop loss point are.
Understand that if the principal is shrinking, it will be more difficult to make a profit.
A loss of 10% requires a profit of 11.1% to make it back.
A loss of 20% requires a profit of 25%
A loss of 30% requires a profit of 42.8%
A loss of 40% requires a profit of 66.6%
A loss of 50% requires a profit of 100%
A loss of 60% requires a profit of 150%
A loss of 70% requires a profit of 233.3%
A loss of 80% requires a profit of 400%
A loss of 90% requires a profit of 900%
When you lose 50% and can still get back the principal, you actually have the ability to turn over the position.
The position should not exceed 10% of the total funds. Many friends have already made flexible changes. When the market trading is difficult, either do not do it, or lighten the position to test it.
Therefore, you should distinguish the trading products clearly, not hold heavy positions casually, not increase positions randomly, and have the character of a hero who cuts off his own arm.
First, you should make a complete trading plan, determine the currency you are operating, the minimum profit, the profit in batches and the maximum loss, and understand where your profit point and stop loss point are.
Understand that if the principal is shrinking, it will be more difficult to make a profit.
A loss of 10% requires a profit of 11.1% to make it back.
A loss of 20% requires a profit of 25%
A loss of 30% requires a profit of 42.8%
A loss of 40% requires a profit of 66.6%
A loss of 50% requires a profit of 100%
A loss of 60% requires a profit of 150%
A loss of 70% requires a profit of 233.3%
A loss of 80% requires a profit of 400%
A loss of 90% requires a profit of 900%
When you lose 50% and can still get back the principal, you actually have the ability to turn over the position.
The position should not exceed 10% of the total funds. Many friends have already made flexible changes. When the market trading is difficult, either do not do it, or lighten the position to test it.
Therefore, you should distinguish the trading products clearly, not hold heavy positions casually, not increase positions randomly, and have the character of a hero who cuts off his own arm.
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BTC is still bullish and is currently in the three-wave rising stage, but there is a need for a pullback at this stage.
Two situations for going long
First: directly start the four-wave pullback from the current stage, and use the previous wave sub-high point and the rising trend line as support to observe the stop-loss signal around 61,000, and look for long opportunities.
Second: The three-wave rise continues, and there is a high probability of breaking the previous high of 6.5w. The demand for this line of breakout will be greater. The end of the rise will wait for the four-wave pullback, and the current adjustment relay and the rising trend line will be used as support to observe the stop-loss signal and look for long opportunities.
These two deductions belong to going long with the trend.
But only going with the trend, doing the wave and abandoning the short-term trading opportunity cost will be very high, the trading opportunities will be less and the frequency will be low, and more patience will be required.
If you want to participate in more trading opportunities, then you need to consider catching the short-term short of the pullback. This approach is against the trend and the profit space is limited, so the stop loss will not be too large.
Go short at 63,000. Stop loss 63550, take profit around 61500-61000
Ether also happened to go up to around 2600. Then it also encountered a pressure point. It is also near the first target I mentioned. Let's see if it can stand up again after the callback. Basically, the spot has eaten up the first target
Follow Jingcai, follow Jingcai and don't get lost. You can communicate with it in time!
Two situations for going long
First: directly start the four-wave pullback from the current stage, and use the previous wave sub-high point and the rising trend line as support to observe the stop-loss signal around 61,000, and look for long opportunities.
Second: The three-wave rise continues, and there is a high probability of breaking the previous high of 6.5w. The demand for this line of breakout will be greater. The end of the rise will wait for the four-wave pullback, and the current adjustment relay and the rising trend line will be used as support to observe the stop-loss signal and look for long opportunities.
These two deductions belong to going long with the trend.
But only going with the trend, doing the wave and abandoning the short-term trading opportunity cost will be very high, the trading opportunities will be less and the frequency will be low, and more patience will be required.
If you want to participate in more trading opportunities, then you need to consider catching the short-term short of the pullback. This approach is against the trend and the profit space is limited, so the stop loss will not be too large.
Go short at 63,000. Stop loss 63550, take profit around 61500-61000
Ether also happened to go up to around 2600. Then it also encountered a pressure point. It is also near the first target I mentioned. Let's see if it can stand up again after the callback. Basically, the spot has eaten up the first target
Follow Jingcai, follow Jingcai and don't get lost. You can communicate with it in time!
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The fundamental reason why people cannot correct their mistakes is that they face huge pain in reality when correcting mistakes, and there is great uncertainty about when they can finally get rewards after enduring pain for a long time. Therefore, choosing to be an ostrich is the evolutionary direction with the least resistance.
To overcome this problem, you can only gradually train your tolerance to pain, and start with some activities that can "get rewards in a short time after the pain", and slowly increase your tolerance and emotional memory for the length of time of uncertainty. The most typical way is to start with exercise. Exercising for an hour may be very tiring and boring, but you will feel very comfortable after the exercise.
Once you get through the pain period and get rewards, your confidence will increase. At this time, you should take an offensive posture and explore other activities that have a longer "uncertain period of pain", but you can get greater rewards after getting through it, thereby further improving your tolerance and enriching and consolidating related emotional memories. Willpower actually emerges naturally in this way.
To overcome this problem, you can only gradually train your tolerance to pain, and start with some activities that can "get rewards in a short time after the pain", and slowly increase your tolerance and emotional memory for the length of time of uncertainty. The most typical way is to start with exercise. Exercising for an hour may be very tiring and boring, but you will feel very comfortable after the exercise.
Once you get through the pain period and get rewards, your confidence will increase. At this time, you should take an offensive posture and explore other activities that have a longer "uncertain period of pain", but you can get greater rewards after getting through it, thereby further improving your tolerance and enriching and consolidating related emotional memories. Willpower actually emerges naturally in this way.
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The trend of the big cake at the hourly level has not yet reversed. Observe whether it will reverse. First observe from the hourly level. There is no clear reversal signal now, so the original view remains unchanged and the idea of looking at the bulls is to look at the bears, that is, short-term shorts. That is, short-term shorts were suitable yesterday, but now I think they are definitely not suitable. Because I don’t think the space below is large in a short time.
If there is no top signal, look at the bulls first. At present, the 3rd wave is rising. After the retracement here, it is likely that the 3rd wave will go to around 65,000. Of course, there will definitely be a lot of adjustments in the middle. If 65,000 is adjusted and then goes to the 5th wave. Then it is also very likely to go to around 68,000. It is best to see the top signal around 68,000. Then go short, it will be better.
#moonbix $BTC
If there is no top signal, look at the bulls first. At present, the 3rd wave is rising. After the retracement here, it is likely that the 3rd wave will go to around 65,000. Of course, there will definitely be a lot of adjustments in the middle. If 65,000 is adjusted and then goes to the 5th wave. Then it is also very likely to go to around 68,000. It is best to see the top signal around 68,000. Then go short, it will be better.
#moonbix $BTC
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There are 5 basic laws for speculating in the currency circle:
1. Fast rise and slow fall = accumulation of funds. If the currency price rises rapidly but falls slowly, it may be that the dealer is quietly accumulating chips in preparation for the next wave of rise.
2. Fast fall and slow rise = shipment. A rapid decline but a slow rise indicates that market makers are gradually shipping goods and the market may be about to shift into a downward trend.
3. Don’t panic if you increase the volume at the top, run quickly if there is no volume at the top. If the high-level trading volume increases, it may continue to rise; but if the high-level trading volume shrinks, it means that the rise is weak, and you should get out of the market quickly.
4. Don’t rush to buy when the volume is high at the bottom. Consider continuing to increase the volume. The large volume at the bottom may be a relay of the decline, so observation is the main thing; if the large volume continues, it indicates the inflow of funds, and you can try to buy low.
5. Speculation in currencies = speculation in emotions, and emotions determine consensus. Market sentiment drives currency price fluctuations, and trading volume is a direct reflection of consensus.
1. Fast rise and slow fall = accumulation of funds. If the currency price rises rapidly but falls slowly, it may be that the dealer is quietly accumulating chips in preparation for the next wave of rise.
2. Fast fall and slow rise = shipment. A rapid decline but a slow rise indicates that market makers are gradually shipping goods and the market may be about to shift into a downward trend.
3. Don’t panic if you increase the volume at the top, run quickly if there is no volume at the top. If the high-level trading volume increases, it may continue to rise; but if the high-level trading volume shrinks, it means that the rise is weak, and you should get out of the market quickly.
4. Don’t rush to buy when the volume is high at the bottom. Consider continuing to increase the volume. The large volume at the bottom may be a relay of the decline, so observation is the main thing; if the large volume continues, it indicates the inflow of funds, and you can try to buy low.
5. Speculation in currencies = speculation in emotions, and emotions determine consensus. Market sentiment drives currency price fluctuations, and trading volume is a direct reflection of consensus.
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The interest rate has been lowered. Ordinary people will definitely not take out their money. For people with less money, they don’t feel much about the interest rate fluctuation.
The only ones who feel it are those with more money. These people think the interest rate is not appropriate. Then they will take out their money to invest. Investment will drive some industries and stimulate some consumption, thus forming a virtuous circle. This is good news for the market. To put it bluntly. Some funds will definitely flow into the currency circle. What will they do with it? They will definitely buy it.
So if you ask me why the interest rate cut is good news, this should be a more popular way of speaking.
The only ones who feel it are those with more money. These people think the interest rate is not appropriate. Then they will take out their money to invest. Investment will drive some industries and stimulate some consumption, thus forming a virtuous circle. This is good news for the market. To put it bluntly. Some funds will definitely flow into the currency circle. What will they do with it? They will definitely buy it.
So if you ask me why the interest rate cut is good news, this should be a more popular way of speaking.
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