Atlantis-初心

As the Nasdaq fluctuates upward to 17440, Bitcoin also breaks through 95000, and most altcoins follow suit, this clearly indicates the involvement of major players in accumulating shares! In the short term, it remains a fluctuating upward trend, moving two steps forward and one step back. Position changes can still continue! It is expected that as we approach the previous high, there should be one more dip before the real market rally begins. Then a V-shaped rebound will kick off the bull market! This time frame is estimated to be around the end of May or mid-June!

#btc

安安明天上线 综合指数U本位永续合约，这个综合指数 all ，类似美股中的 纳兹达克指数，不是具体某一个代币，而是指：

bian所 Usdt 本位永续合约中 除去 btc eth 交割合约 盘前合约等之外永续合约中所有币实时价格的加权平均值！

简单来说，bian 所里Usdt本位永续合约的所有山寨币 你觉得未来

涨的比跌的多 就做多

跌的比涨的多 就做空

我这理解错没错？

#all

The most popular performer these days is undoubtedly $MYX from the M family. After nearly three months of bottoming out, it has become another alpha after $M, with a 20-fold increase. Its 24-hour contract trading volume has reached 4.5 billion. Too many short sellers at the top have become fuel for the rise.

This strategy has been repeatedly successful with $H and $M. There's actually not much spot trading, and they rely solely on contract explosions to make money. Shorting such aggressive coins is not recommended. Take $M, for example. It also saw a 20-fold increase. Even if you catch a major drop, the return is still 50-60%, and you still have to endure funding fees. Not only are the odds of success low, but even if you do succeed, the returns are significantly reduced!

If you really can't help but want to short, I recommend focusing on two key factors:

1. Trading volume must shrink by 50%-60%. I remember when $M reversed its trend, trading volume shrank from a peak of 1.9 billion to around 800 million.

2. Funding fees can't be maintained at -2%. Once it reaches -2%, it immediately drops back below -1%.

Both are essential.

This isn't to suggest shorting at the top, but rather that alpha is more interesting than secondary altcoins. Aside from mainstream stocks (including established ones) and two hot altcoins, my portfolio is all alpha. If the market has been oscillating for over two weeks, trading volume is decent, and there's been no market rally, then a small position with a 20%-30% profit and then a sell-off is a good win rate! Even with recent airdrops, there's a small drop after going public, and then a market rally begins!

#币安Alpha上新

The rebound of Bitcoin is weaker than expected, still half away from the previous high, mainly due to the excessive bubble of MicroStrategy, and the adjacent U.S. stocks are also in a pullback and turbulence;

$BTC key position 115800, $eth 3700; As long as Bitcoin doesn't drop and stays flat, it's fine. The key is the altcoin, the 3700 position won't just break through once; if it breaks, it will head straight for 4000, but if it fails to break through 3700 in the following 2 attempts, caution is advised, especially with altcoins!

#加密市场反弹

Is everything starting with alpha M so awesome today? $MM $MYX $MAT

#币安Alpha上新

Simply put, it's similar to $ena, where the foundation uses its own money to have a publicly listed US company buy its own $baby tokens, but it's only 30 million, which is far less compared to $ENA's 260 million!

This position has almost reached the $BTC correction, $eth has directly fallen below 3500, now we just have to see if it can pull back above 3500 during the day;

This drop has led many people to say it’s due to beautiful non-farm data or similar reasons, but I think it’s not just that. From the perspective of the crypto space, the previously strong MicroStrategy has recently performed like garbage altcoins in the US stock market, crashing down as soon as it went online, which is a major negative for future financing. There’s even a question of whether there will be any subsequent financing; success depends on MicroStrategy, and failure also depends on MicroStrategy!

Bitcoin has corrected nearly ten points, I have entered a remaining layer of positions here, hoping for a rebound!

#加密市场回调

$agt Going against the trend by 17 points, can it be considered as started?

#AGT

Altcoins lost again!

8 points for Bitcoin, 10 points for Ethereum's pullback, aside from the mainstream coins, altcoins are almost where they came from, equivalent to a major bottoming out! Once again proving that altcoins have lost utterly!

Altcoin season is a taboo for altcoins!

I fell for it too, holding two layers of altcoins, a complete mess, this time I will sell the altcoins during the rebound as a tactical position, only playing short-term with altcoins, no more long-term fantasies!

The recent market trends are really consistent: prices rise during the day and drop when the US market opens, especially for $ETH. However, each peak is lower than the last, and there's still some distance to the target support level. The deeper you squat, the higher you can jump. Until that deep squat comes, be cautious, but when it does, decisively add to your position!

It has dropped again, and the difference from last time is that $BTC and $ETH have only dropped half of last week's decline. Altcoins have returned to the starting point, and some have even broken last week's low. I'm hesitant to speak up again!

I added two layers to my position the day before yesterday, and I was up 12 points yesterday, but now I've returned to the starting point. I previously mentioned that I wouldn't look at the sustainability after a new high, so I reduced three layers. I wanted to enter and make a swing trade the day before yesterday, hoping to exit closer to the previous high, but I was still greedy!

Bitcoin has a $9 billion sell order with a 6.9% pullback. Ethereum has a potential $1.1 billion sell order over the next few days, with a significant chance of testing $3500 again. A daily-level pullback is likely, and a violent surge in the short term is almost impossible. However, within 7-10 days, there will be a divergence on the daily chart that will push it to challenge the previous high again.

As for altcoins, they have actually retraced in the short term, and the support at the neckline is only about 4 points. For now, I won't sell my spot; I'll wait to see when it challenges the previous high again!

Another $bnb micro-strategy company has emerged, backed by bian labs, with the founder of Galaxy in the front row, who is also the one behind the ancient address with 80,000 $BTC in over-the-counter trading;

Now the driving force of the bull market is clearly the pump ability of micro-strategies, $ETH is so strong ahead, $BNB shouldn't lag behind! Related bnb series can also ride the wave of popularity!

#bnb

$ALT is quite strong, when I posted yesterday it was still at 0.038, peak 0.048, increase of 26%. If the staking sector gets a wave, this may just be the beginning 0.044 0.042 can be bought in small batches

#altcoins

Today, the liquid staking sector has shown some fluctuations, and $eth has unlocked staking in recent days and is re-staking again! As long as the potential selling pressure of Ethereum is digested, the re-staking sector of Ethereum may experience a wave.

1. Native Re-staking:

$EIGEN: EigenLayer is currently the largest Ethereum re-staking protocol, supporting multiple LSTs (such as stETH, rETH) and re-staking of native staked ETH (cross-chain re-staking);

$ALT: AltLayer collaborates with EigenLayer to provide Rollup as a Service (RaaS) and re-staking Rollup solutions;

Symbiotic and Karak are competitors of Eigen, currently without tokens, but on-chain participation in staking, interactions, and operating nodes can earn airdrop incentives;

2. Liquid Staking: $ETHFI $LDO $RPL $REZ $Puffer

3. Infrastructure: $SSV

#ETH再质押

The previously much-discussed 80,000 $btc large sell orders have finally been consumed during this period with the help of exchanges, Galaxy over-the-counter stations, and various micro-strategies!

For example, the leading micro-strategy company mstr initially planned to raise $500 million but increased it to $2.8 billion, and to finance this, they issued a perpetual high-interest bond with an annualized rate of 9%;

Quite a few people are really into this: a simple algorithm, as long as btc can last for another ten years, and this company goes bankrupt, the investors will make a profit without loss!

So can large bitcoin last for ten years? The answer is undoubtedly yes!

Can mstr not go bankrupt in ten years? It’s hard to say, but there are quite a few buyers for the leading micro-strategy!

Micro-strategy has become a fixed routine: raise funds and hold coins -- then list on the US stock market -- sell stocks, which is essentially using one chicken to lay eggs and then selling the eggs for money! However, given that the market has only corrected by 6.9% after successfully consuming the giant sell orders of $9 billion, the off-market funds brought in by micro-strategy are still quite good;

Coincidentally, recently, 600,000 $ETH have queued up for unlocking (with a daily limit of 50,000, taking 12 days), and there are 300,000 coins queued up for re-staking, resulting in a potential selling pressure of 300,000 coins, nearly $1.1 billion;

Similarly, Ethereum micro-strategies like bmnr and robinhood are also utilizing various discounts and promotions to attract financing and $ETH staking. In other words, as long as they can attract funds, the bull market can continue!

Therefore, large bitcoin currently has no further downside risk, and the issues with Ethereum's staking unlock are also not significant. Amid the fluctuations, I have added another two layers of positions!
#GalaxyDigital抛售比特币

In the alpha phase, I selected three coins: $SOON $AGT $LA

All three are airdrops from May and June, experiencing 2.5 months of consolidation, with prices dropping by 90%. $AGT has seen a 50% increase the day before yesterday; looking at the daily chart, there should be further pullbacks, so it can be gradually accumulated;

$SOON on the weekly chart is clearly in a accumulation phase, and looking at the daily candlestick, it should surge to around 0.16 soon and then test the bottom again, forming a bullish divergence before starting the trend;

$LA surged after hitting the secondary spot market, then saw a second test, and after the pullback ends, it should push towards 0.45. If it breaks through 0.45, the space will open up; if not, it will continue to fluctuate for a long time!

#ALPHA #山寨季來了？

The star team is entering, family, she's here to thank the caretaker again!

A simple question in the contract:

Option 1: 100U margin 10x leverage position 1000U;

Option 2: 50U margin 20x leverage position 1000U;

Is there a difference between the two?

If looking at the profit of a single cryptocurrency, there is no difference between the two; but if it's a loss situation, let's compare:

Option 1: 10x leverage: If the market price fluctuates by 1%, your profit and loss will be the position's 1% × 10 = ±10U (which is 10% of the 100U margin).

Option 2: 20x leverage: If the market price fluctuates by 1%, your profit and loss will also be the position's 1% × 20 = ±20U (which is 40% of the 50U margin).

Now let's look at the liquidation distance:

Option 1: 10x leverage: A price reversal of 10% (100U ÷ 1000U) will lead to a total loss of the margin;

Option 2: 20x leverage: A price reversal of only 5% (50U ÷ 1000U) will lead to a total loss of the margin.

If that's the case, why not just open a position using option 1? But what if you only have 1000U and want to open multiple positions?

Option 1: Single position 100U, with 1000U you can theoretically open up to 10 cryptocurrency positions.

Option 2: Single position 50U, with 1000U you can theoretically open up to 20 cryptocurrency positions.

Summary: Option 1 has stronger risk resistance than option 2, but if capital is limited and you have strong market insight and want to trade as many cryptocurrencies as possible, then option 2 is more suitable!

#合约爆仓

$BTC had a small dip to 115000 at noon again, a pullback at the daily level. It's not yet time to talk about a bottom, but this position should experience some consolidation. Compared to $ETH, it is relatively strong, which has led to a moderate decline in most mainstream cryptocurrencies!

Actually, the logic at this stage is somewhat different from before: the main focus is not on whether $BTC can rise; as long as Bitcoin doesn’t fall, there is room for operation in mainstream altcoins. The reason for this, as mentioned before, is the shift of capital seeking profits. With limited upward space for Bitcoin, smart money will transition from Bitcoin to mainstream currencies like Ethereum.

I reduced my positions three times last week, and each reduction was explained. I plan to gradually add back two layers of my three-layer position during the consolidation pullback, prioritizing strong-performing coins from the recent period, such as $ETH, $CRV. I even have the idea of only trading ETH; those stagnant investments are best left alone.

The pullback is a good opportunity to filter out quality coins. Recently, those that performed well, showed resilience during the pullback, and rebounded strongly will definitely be the top targets. If you feel that your current positions are lacking, the pullback is also a great opportunity to switch positions!

#山寨季來了？

$agt Contract funding fee is 0.11%, which is a bit unusual. It has dropped by nine-tenths, and now it is almost at the bottom, but the funding fee seems to be aiming to hurt the bulls. When things are irregular, there must be something strange!

Two ways to play: Large funds can hedge with spot contracts: for example, $10,000 in spot, $10,000 nominal position short, funding fee 0.11% once every 4 hours, which amounts to 0.55% a day, $55;

The other way is to build positions when the price is low, hold some spot and take a gamble of 5-10 times!

#ALPHA