币腾飞

1. Confirmation of interest rate cuts: Liquidity is about to return. Federal Reserve officials frequently 'dove', from Waller and Bowman to Powell himself, their attitudes have turned soft, clearly conveying a signal: The high interest rate cycle has come to an end, and the market is about to see a repricing of capital.
2. Bitcoin strengthens first, initiating a rotation of major assets. BTC is hitting 110,000, not just a repair of sentiment, but a signal from risk assets. The collective strength of mainstream assets is a 'typical sign' that the bull market is about to erupt.
3. Policy + liquidity + expectation difference = triple resonance structural bull market. It is no longer a question of 'will it rise or not', but whether you can seize the starting point of this main upward wave.

In this cycle, many people are discussing the topic of altcoin seasons. Some say the altcoin season will come again, while others say it will not come back. Here’s my conclusion: the outbreak of altcoin seasons will return, for several reasons.

1. Anti-human nature: The advantage of retail investors is that they are good at summarizing, but their drawback is also their tendency to summarize. In the bull market of 2017, both Bitcoin and altcoins soared, but then the bear market of 2018 arrived, and altcoins collectively went to zero. Although Bitcoin also fell sharply, it was relatively mild compared to altcoins. As a result, everyone remembered this, and during the subsequent bear market phase, they heavily bought BTC. Then in the bull market of 2021, altcoins exploded, and those who held on until the end saw gains of several times or even dozens of times. Compared to altcoins, Bitcoin's gains seemed trivial, and many Bitcoin holders missed out on this great bull market. After this wave, everyone started summarizing again, planning to buy altcoins in advance for the next cycle and to be diamond hands. Now we are in this cycle, with a Bitcoin bull market and a bear market for altcoins, continuing until now, creating a phenomenon of coexistence of bull and bear markets. When the next cycle comes, retail investors will summarize again, and they will hoard a large amount of BTC. Once the altcoin market is vacant, it will be easy to pump and thrive.

First, do not be easily deceived into giving up low-priced chips. Maintain firm beliefs to prevent the main players from manipulating the market.
Second, chasing highs and selling lows, entering and exiting with all funds is always a big taboo. When the overall trend is favorable, building positions in batches during a decline carries lower risks, lower costs, and greater profits than chasing highs.
Third, reasonably allocate profits to maximize the release of funds, rather than continuously increasing position size.
Fourth, when prices surge, protect your capital; when prices drop, hold your coins. At all times, maintain a positive mindset: do not speculate, do not be restless, do not be greedy, do not be afraid, and do not fight battles without preparation.
Fifth, ambushing or investing in low-priced coins relies on experience and gambling on the future of the coin by the main players. The subsequent secondary market competition relies on technology and information to follow the lead. Do not lose sight of the core principles; otherwise, things will end in chaos.

Some people get rich overnight, while others lose everything, simply because some enter the market with brains, while others go in naked with 'greed'!
Many people dive into the crypto world for the chance to get rich overnight, but they don't even understand basic concepts, can't comprehend on-chain data, don't know how to read candlestick charts, and are unaware of how market makers cut leeks. They deserve to be treated as dumpers by project parties.

Today, Old Zhao summarized 50 essential entry knowledge points for beginners. First learn how to avoid losses, then think about making money. If you lose your principal, the crypto world has nothing to do with you.
Basic Concepts
1. What is blockchain: A decentralized ledger, all transaction records are public on the network, to change data, you need to hack 51% of the entire network's computers.

Today, let's get to know 50 professional terms in the cryptocurrency world. Of course, there are more than 50; there's much more for everyone to research and learn!
1, Main Uptrend: Originating from wave theory, this refers to the longest duration wave during a price increase. This is also a common trend in bull markets; catching the main uptrend can lead to significant profits. Conversely, the opposite trend is referred to as 'main downtrend.'
2, Slow Decline: The overall trend is down, but it often sees two days of rise followed by one day of fall, giving hope and then disappointment. In summary, the price is slowly declining.

1. The wealth windfall has arrived: The crypto wave is sweeping the globe! Seize the next Bitcoin-level opportunity and let digital assets create exponential wealth for you. Enter now and rewrite your destiny!
2. Don't let hesitation become regret: Some are making hundreds of times their investment in the crypto world in a single day, while others are still watching and missing out on great opportunities! Small investments can leverage big returns; the market won’t wait for you, take action now!
3. The era of easy earnings has begun: No need for a 9-to-5 job, no need for complex skills! In the crypto world, your knowledge is your ATM. Strategize in a bear market and harvest in a bull market; financial freedom is within reach!
4. The heartbeat-accelerating wealth code: The K-line isn’t just numbers; it’s gold screaming! Trading 24/7 without pause, with wisdom and courage, write your own legend of wealth in the crypto world!

1. Upstream: Technology research and development is the core barrier
Technology leaders: Blockchain, distributed ledger, and dual offline payment technologies are the underlying support for digital RMB. Companies like Geer Software and Unisoc are making big profits through encryption algorithms and network security technologies.
Data highlights: In 2024, the proportion of technology research and development costs is 35%, and the unit transaction cost decreases from 0.12 yuan to 0.08 yuan, with the scale effect causing technology companies' profit margins to soar!

2. Midstream: The competition for payment scenarios is heating up
Giant competition: The market share of digital RMB reaches 75%, with Alipay and WeChat Pay barely holding on to 12% and 8% through open platforms. Lakala and Newland's POS machine installations exceed 3 million units, with restaurants and convenience stores becoming the main battleground.

1. Assess the long-term trends of cryptocurrencies, build positions at low levels, and patiently wait for over a month. After doubling your assets, do not rush to sell, or withdraw the principal to let the profits roll.

2. Avoid buying long and selling short, especially in futures trading. Choose to be trapped during declines and wait for opportunities to break free.

3. Remain cautious about price predictions, grasp the general market trends, and avoid over-reliance on technical analysis.

4. Invest rationally, only use spare money, do not bet all your funds on one cryptocurrency, and promptly withdraw profits after making money.

5. Select high-quality cryptocurrencies for long-term holding or regular investments, treat it as a form of wealth management, and sometimes forgetting about them can yield surprises.

Step 1: Small Capital Snowball (400U → 1100U)
1. Each time operate with 100U, choose recent popular coins.
2. Rules:
Profit doubles (100 → 200U) and take profit immediately;
Loss of 50U means decisive stop loss.
3. Winning 3 times in a row can roll to 800U (100 → 200 → 400 → 800), but play a maximum of 3 rounds, stop at 1100U.
Step 2: Diversified Positioning (Above 1100U)
1. Short-term Position (100U):
Trade BTC/ETH and other 15-minute intervals, take profit at 3%-5%, quick in and out.
2. Regular Investment Position (15U weekly):
Buy BTC spot weekly, hold for long term, ignore short-term fluctuations.
3. Trend Position (Remaining Funds):

Cognitive boundaries determine the upper limit of wealth
Behind every story of sudden wealth, there are 100 cases of total loss
Verify strategies with a demo account? Your heartbeat will betray you in real trading
The truth about news-based speculation
When positive news trends on social media, it's already time for the big players to withdraw their support
Remember: The market always digests expectations faster than news spreads
Holiday risk manual
Start staggered reductions 48 hours before holidays
Historical data shows that volatility during holidays averages 3 times higher
The art of medium to long-term operation
Adopt the "Pyramid Accumulation Method": Increase positions by 20% for every 15% drop
Implement "Inverse Pyramid Selling": Reduce holdings by 30% for every 20% rise

Just getting into the cryptocurrency world? Don't worry, this comprehensive guide will take you on a journey of exploration in the crypto space.
First, basic knowledge enlightenment
What is digital currency? What are the differences between mainstream currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum? What role does blockchain technology play in this? Understanding these basic concepts is the first step to establishing a foothold in the crypto world. Simply put, digital currency is a type of cryptocurrency based on blockchain technology, with Bitcoin being the 'ancestor of cryptocurrencies,' the earliest and most well-known digital currency; Ethereum, on the other hand, features smart contracts and has built a rich ecosystem.

I was once frightened by the label 'Cryptocurrency Contracts = High Risk of Liquidation' until I systematically learned trading knowledge and realized: it's never the volatile market that determines success or failure, but whether one can build a scientific trading system.
I want to share a practical experience that enlightened me: First, use the 4-hour candlestick chart to lock in the upward trend, just like setting the general direction for trading; then switch to the 1-hour chart and patiently wait for signs of a stable pullback, like waiting for the green light to enter; finally, focus on the 15-minute chart, and only when discovering a divergence pattern and W-bottom structure for double confirmation, do I decisively enter the market—this is like giving the trade triple insurance.

一、看技术面：
均线（MA）
买点：短期均线（5 日线）上穿长期均线（20 日线），比如 BTC 突破 20 日均线时
卖点：短期均线下穿长期均线，比如 ETH 跌破 5 日线时
支撑位与压力位
买点：价格跌到历史支撑位（如 BTC 在 2.5 万美元多次止跌）
卖点：价格涨到历史压力位（如 ETH 在 2000 美元多次遇阻）
MACD 金叉 / 死叉
金叉（白线穿黄线）时买，死叉（黄线穿白线）时卖
二、看市场情绪：
恐惧贪婪指数
贪婪值＞70 时卖（比如 2024 年 BTC 涨至 6 万时指数达 85）
恐惧值＜30 时买（比如 2022 年熊市时指数多次低于 20）
成交量突变
某币单日成交量突然翻倍，可能是主力进场信号，可跟进
连续缩量上涨时卖（没资金接力易下跌）
三、看基本面：
重大利好 / 利空落地
利好前买：比如 ETH 升级前 1 个月，价格常提前上涨
利多出尽卖：比如某币上大交易所后，常出现 “见光死”
减半周期
BTC 每 4 年减半，减半前 6 个月易涨（如 2024 年 4 月减半前，BTC 从 1.6 万涨到 4 万）
四、铁律：
不追涨杀跌
连涨 3 天不买，连跌 5 天不割（避免被短期波动洗盘）
分批买卖
买入分 3 次：跌 10% 买 1/3，跌 20% 再买 1/3，跌破支撑位买最后 1/3
卖出分 2 次：涨 50% 卖一半，破前高卖完
设置止损止盈
止损：跌破买入价 15% 坚决卖
止盈：赚 30%-50% 可分批止盈（牛市可放宽到 100%）
终极口诀：
大跌大买，小跌小买；利好兑现卖，利空出尽买；别人贪婪我跑路，别人恐慌我捡筹！
#币圈现状 #币圈暴富 #币圈投资策略
$XRP $SOL $BTC

还是那句话，牛市不知道怎么做，点开我头像，关注，牛市现货策划，合约密码，无偿分享。

The market is constantly changing. In cryptocurrency investment, mindset is key. Do not blindly chase prices or sell at losses, do not let external noise interfere, stick to your own investment strategy and rhythm, and adapt to changes without changing your core approach to achieve success in this game.
Reviewing the overall market trends on Wednesday, Bitcoin experienced a brief pullback around noon and then rebounded after hitting a low of 108,273. In the afternoon, the price primarily followed a bullish rhythm. The overall market saw a strong rise in the evening, peaking at 109,738 before facing resistance. Currently, Bitcoin is experiencing a brief pullback but is still trading at a high level. Ethereum maintained a stepwise upward trend during the day, reaching a peak of 2,674 in the evening. Our main bullish strategy for the day has undoubtedly been fully realized.

In the cryptocurrency market, using candlestick charts to determine entry timing is an important method of technical analysis. Here are some methods for judging entry timing based on candlestick charts:
1. Identify trends
Uptrend: If there are multiple consecutive bullish candles (green) in the candlestick chart, and each bullish candle's closing price is higher than the previous one, it indicates that the market is in an uptrend.
Downtrend: If there are multiple consecutive bearish candles (red), and each bearish candle's closing price is lower than the previous one, it indicates that the market is in a downtrend.
Trend reversal signals: Certain specific candlestick patterns such as hammer, inverted hammer, morning star, engulfing pattern, etc., usually appear during trend reversals and can serve as entry signals.

高阶策略：三维度提升胜率模型
1. 趋势共振交易法（胜率核心）
趋势识别：
多头趋势：周线MA60向上倾斜，价格连续3日收盘站稳日线布林带中轨。
空头趋势：月线MACD柱状体连续缩量，价格跌破关键斐波那契61.8%回撤位。
精准开仓：
做多：4小时级别出现"MACD底背离+成交量突破均量线200%"，止损设于前波段低点下方2%。
做空：1小时RSI顶背离且价格跌破EMA9快线，止损置于前高上方一点五倍ATR波动值。
动态止盈：采用"移动止盈+斐波那契扩展位"组合，首目标38.2%，终极目标161.8%。
2. 震荡网格策略（资金利用率优化）
智能分区：
通过TD序列标记震荡区间，将价格带划分为5档（支撑1-3，阻力1-2）。
使用期权隐含波动率（IV）测算震荡强度，IV<30%时启动网格。
分批建仓：
支撑位1：10%仓位，止损区间外0.5%；支撑位2追加20%，阻力位1减半仓。
突破确认信号：连续2根K线实体突破且成交量>20日均量3倍。
3. 跨市场阿尔法套利
期现套利增强版：
当季度合约溢价率>8%时，做空合约+持有现货，同步对冲资金费率（年化收益提升15-25%）。
使用永续合约资金费率预测模型，在费率反转前6小时调仓。
跨所价差捕捉：
开发API实时监控TOP5交易所BTC/USDT价差，当标准差>0.3%时触发对冲指令。
结合深度图流动性分析，优先选择吃单费率低于0.05%的平台。
极端行情应对
1. 黑天鹅事件响应流程
阶段一（0-5分钟）：
立即平掉反向头寸的50%，剩余仓位设置±3%市价止损单。
阶段二（1小时内）：
将30%保证金转换为稳定币，通过期权买入跨式组合对冲尾部风险。
阶段三（24小时）：
分析链上数据（交易所净流入量、稳定币供应比率），判断市场情绪拐点。
2. 插针行情反收割策略
#预防层：
避免在CME期货交割日前后1小时持仓，禁用全仓杠杆模式。
反击层：
在关键点位上下0.5%预设限价单（如BTC历史高低点±5%区域），捕捉流动性陷阱。
3. 仓位热力学模型
盈利加仓公式：新开仓量=基础单位*(1+√累计收益率)
亏损递减公式：下一笔头寸=MAX(基础单位*0.7^连续亏损次数, 5%总仓位
#BTC再创新高 #BTC重返11万 #美国加征关税
$BTC $SOL $BNB
在所有铁粉的投资过程中，咱不仅仅会为投资者提供行情的分析思路、看盘的基础知识、各种投资工具的使用方法，同时也会为大家带来精彩的基本面解读、混乱国际后势的梳理、各种投资作用力的辨别。

In the wave of the cryptocurrency bull market, some ride the wind to achieve wealth elevation, while others miss good opportunities due to mistakes. Master the following six core rules to help you progress steadily in the bull market and firmly grasp wealth opportunities.
1. Fearlessly enter the market during initial pullbacks.
The start of a bull market is like a rocket launch; once ignited, it becomes unstoppable. Many investors feel fear when they see significant pullbacks at the beginning of the bull market and hesitate to enter, hoping for lower prices. However, the market will not wait indefinitely for you, and hesitation will only cause you to watch prices rise while you miss out on the entire trend. Remember, pullbacks in the early stages of a bull market are golden opportunities to enter; bold positioning can seize the advantage.

If your contract is in a loss state and you want to turn that loss into profit, following these points can help you make money.
1: Learn to take profits and cut losses.
The market changes rapidly, and you must learn to take profits and cut losses. This is not as difficult as it sounds. Taking profits controls your own greed; a cryptocurrency will not rise endlessly, nor will it keep falling—there are cycles. Therefore, taking profits becomes especially important. Don’t always worry about closing positions too early and missing out on future profits! You must remember that the money in the cryptocurrency world is endless, but the money in your account can be lost completely.
Cutting losses means abandoning sunk costs, which is also very difficult. Don’t always think that if you just hold on a bit longer, the market will reverse in the next second—never think like that. If you're wrong, you're wrong; you must acknowledge it. Taking a beating requires standing firm. Even though losing an arm to survive is painful, it can truly save your life.