Gamal-Asela

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When reviewing the Ethereum futures chart on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), it is clear that there are several unclosed price gaps (CME Gaps), which are as follows:

🔍 Current gaps on the CME chart for Ethereum:
1. First gap: between $2,250 and $2,300
2. Second gap: between $2,550 and $2,625
3. Third gap: between $2,900 and $3,200 

These gaps are considered potential areas for the price to return to, as it is believed that the price tends to "fill" these gaps over time. Currently, the price of Ethereum in the May 2025 futures contracts is trading at around $2,546, indicating that the second gap is very close to the current price and may be filled in the near future. 

📈 Importance of gaps in market analysis:
• Price gaps are considered important technical indicators, as it is observed that the price often returns to fill these gaps before continuing the previous trend.
• The third gap (between $2,900 and $3,200) is considered one of the large gaps and may be a future target if the upward trend continues.

✅ Summary:
• Yes, there are current price gaps in Ethereum futures contracts on CME.
• The gap between $2,550 and $2,625 is close to the current price and may be filled soon.
• The gap between $2,900 and $3,200 is considered a potential target if the upward trend continues.

A comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency market situation in May 2025, focusing on Bitcoin Dominance (BTC Dominance) and Altcoin liquidity:

⸻

🔹 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC Dominance):
• Current Status: Bitcoin dominance has decreased to 63.89% after exceeding 65%, indicating a shift in liquidity towards altcoins. 
• Technical Signals: Technical indicators, such as daily, weekly, and monthly DeMark tops, have emerged, suggesting that Bitcoin dominance may have peaked. 

⸻

🔹 Altcoin Liquidity:
• Recent Movements: Altcoins have seen significant increases, with Ethereum rising by 13%, and coins like Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Cardano (ADA) recording gains exceeding 6%. 
• Altcoin Season Index: The Altcoin Season Index rose from 23 to 36, indicating a potential start to the altcoin season. 

⸻

🔹 Recommendations:
• For Investors: It may be a suitable time to increase exposure to altcoins with strong fundamentals while closely monitoring market developments.
• For Traders: It is advisable to look for opportunities in altcoins showing positive technical signals, using appropriate risk management strategies.

🚨🚨 A brief summary of Bitcoin analysis according to each school: 10-5-2025

⸻

1. Gann School:
• Price touches resistance 4x1 (~105K).
• Buying now is a risk.
• Wait for a breakout above 105K or a drop to 84–95K to enter.

⸻

2. Classical School:
• RSI is high (overbought), price at resistance 107–109K.
• Buy after a breakout above 107K or at support 95K–84K.

⸻

3. SMC School:
• Price is within an institutional supply zone (104–109K).
• Best entry: from demand areas (84–95K) or after a clear breakout above 109K.

⸻

Conclusion:

Buying now is not preferred.
Wait:
• Breakout above 109K with a strong close
or
• Correction towards 84–95K then a bullish candle.

Here is an accurate summary of each analytical school for predicting Ethereum (ETH) movement until mid-2025:

⸻

1. Gann Analysis:
• Foundation: The relationship between price and time using angles.
• Current Situation: Price above 1x1 angle (~$1780), fluctuating around 2x1 (~$2300).
• Summary:
If the price holds above $2300, the trend is bullish towards $2900–$3000.
Breaking $1780 invalidates the bullish trend.

⸻

2. Classical School (Models and Indicators):
• Foundation: Support/Resistance, indicators like RSI, and moving averages.
• Current Situation:
RSI at 72 (overbought), price above SMA 200, forming a “Bullish Flag” pattern.
• Summary:
Breaking $2500 = continuation towards $2850–$3200.
Failure at resistance = correction towards $2100–$1950.

⸻

3. Smart Money Concept (SMC):
• Foundation: Institutional behavior, supply and demand zones, market structure.
• Current Situation:
Structure Break has occurred, price within the “Supply Zone” ($2480–$2600), and demand at $1880–$2000.
• Summary:
If liquidity enters and a breakout occurs above $2600, the target is $3000+.
Failure = correction towards institutional buying zones ($2000–$1880).

⸻

Common Recommendation:

All schools indicate that a critical breakout above $2500–$2600 is the key to a significant rise towards $3000–$3200. A rejection at this area may indicate a correction to attract liquidity from around $2000.

Dear follower, a word from the heart to you 🌺
Carefully choose the analysts you follow and trust, as there are conditions to verify.
First, the analyst must possess professionalism (it is not necessary to be a professional, as everyone learns and evolves, but professionalism means honesty, integrity, clarity, and not manipulating others' feelings). They provide you with the path, and you are free to choose as you wish.
Second, they must have good character; competition is a legitimate right, but they must accept criticism if they are wrong, and if they are right, they should not relish in the losses of others.
Third, credibility in their analyses without personal interests; there are many analysts who have paid channels and paid indicators.
If someone spreads negativity in general for personal gain, this is hypocrisy, this is a lie, and their testimony should not be accepted nor their opinion taken seriously.
……..
In the end,
God knows best; there may be someone who has made great effort and hard work to earn money.
So they should not come here and become a victim of an arrogant analyst or one who does not care about the losses of others,
or an analyst competing with others who manipulates people's money to prove to everyone that he is right.
Make good choices; may God guide us all 🥰

Here is a comprehensive technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC)

🧱 First: Classical School (Price Patterns)

🔹 Current Patterns:
• Ascending Triangle: It was broken upward at the level of $100,000, indicating the continuation of the upward trend.
• Bullish Pennant: Formed after the triangle breakout, supporting the upward momentum.

🔹 Support and Resistance Levels:
• Support: $92,000 (previous peak), $85,000 (bottom of the pennant).
• Resistance: $107,000 (historical peak), $109,000 (previous highest price). 

⸻

🧠 Second: Smart Money School (SMC)

🔹 Market Structure:
• Break of Structure (BOS): The previous peak at $100,000 was broken, indicating a shift in market structure towards the upward trend.
• Change of Character (CHOCH): Confirmed after breaking the local bottom at $95,000, supporting the upward trend.

🔹 Supply and Demand Zones:
• Demand Zone: Between $92,000 and $95,000, where it is expected to be a liquidity attraction area.
• Supply Zone: Between $107,000 and $109,000, where prices may face strong resistance.

⸻

🧩 Third: Harmonic Patterns

🔹 Potential Patterns:
• Bullish Gartley Pattern: Formed between the levels of $85,000 and $100,000, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend towards $118,000.
• Bullish Butterfly Pattern: May form if the price continues to rise above $109,000, indicating targets reaching $130,000.

Question: Will Bitcoin rise or fall?
The answer depends on several factors, but based on the analysis of Gann angles and the current context, here is the technical estimate:

⸻

Current technical situation:
• The price is now at ~104,000$, touching the 4x1 angle from the low of 15,500$.
• This angle represents a very strong historical resistance (corrections usually happen at this point).

⸻

The most likely scenario in the short term (from one week to 3 weeks):

1. Temporary downward scenario (60–70% likely)
• Technical reason: Touching the strong 4x1 angle without a clear breakout.
• Expected support areas to drop to:
• 95,000$ (3x1 angle)
• 84,000$ (2x1 angle – very strong support)
• Expected behavior: Temporary corrective drop > then upward rebound.

2. Bullish breakout scenario (30–40% likely)
• Key condition: Strong daily/weekly close above 106,000$
• Targets for the rise if the breakout occurs:
• 118,000$ (medium target)
• 130,000$ (upper limit of the 8x1 angle)

⸻

Technical summary:

Bitcoin is currently in the “testing zone”.
If it fails to hold above 105,000$, there is a high chance for a corrective drop toward 84,000–95,000$.
However, if it breaks 106,000$ with a clear close, we may see a new upward wave targeting 118K–130K.

Released today, April 10, 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for the United States for March. The report showed that the annual inflation rate reached 2.4%, down from 2.8% in February, and compared to expectations of 2.6%. On a monthly basis, the index declined by 0.1%, after an increase of 0.2% in February.

The CPI result today will directly impact Bitcoin, here’s how:

Actual result:
• Annual inflation: 2.4% (lower than expected 2.6%)
• Monthly inflation: -0.1% (unexpected decline)

Impact on Bitcoin:
1. Positive for Bitcoin:
• Lower than expected inflation boosts expectations of interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
• This means greater liquidity in the market, pushing investors towards high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
• The potential weakening of the U.S. dollar gives a bullish push to Bitcoin.
2. Short-term market reaction:
• If there are no other negative data, we may see a rapid increase in BTC.
• But market behavior should be monitored after the news, especially with institutional movements.

The Fed holds an emergency meeting today at 11:30 AM New York time🚨🚨
(6:30 PM Saudi time)

What do you expect?

My Expectations for Jerome Powell's Speech Today:

1. A Cautiously Hawkish Tone:
• Powell is unlikely to show any near-term intention to cut interest rates, especially after some inflation data has risen recently.
• However, he will be careful not to induce panic in the markets, so his tone will be 'cautious', but he may reiterate that rate cuts depend on further data and nothing more.

2. Regarding New Tariffs (Trump on Venezuelan Oil):
• Powell will try to be reserved and avoid political confrontation, but he may indicate that new tariffs could increase short-term inflation risks.
• This could serve as an additional justification for not rushing into rate cuts.

3. On U.S. Economic Outlook:
• He is likely to reiterate that the U.S. economy is 'relatively strong' but under 'close watch'.
• He may warn of potential slowdown if geopolitical and tariff pressures continue.

After confirming that the current drop is due to Trump's announcement of comprehensive tariffs, the impact is direct and strong on financial markets in general, and the digital market in particular. Let me clarify the upcoming forecasts for Bitcoin and Ethereum based on the current situation:

⸻

1. Bitcoin (BTC/USD)

Technical Situation:
• Strong break below the 85,000 level (important psychological and technical support).
• No strong reversal candle has appeared yet.
• Momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD remain negative.
• There has been a strong outflow of liquidity from the market (liquidation of significant leveraged positions).

Next Support:
• 80,000: Psychological support and first target.
• 76,500 – 78,000: Technical support from previous peaks.
• 73,000 – 74,000: Major support (March low).

Expectation:
• Continued selling pressure, and we may see a visit to the 80K area or slightly lower.
• If a strong green daily candle appears above 85K, we may start a temporary rebound.
• Currently, selling is stronger than buying.

⸻

2. Ethereum (ETH/USD)

Technical Situation:
• Broke support at 1,800 then 1,770, reaching 1,750.
• So far, no strong rebound candle (neither on the hourly nor 4-hour chart).
• Price is below all MA averages (7, 25, 99).

Next Support:
• 1,720 – 1,700: Average support from which the price may temporarily bounce.
• 1,650 – 1,620: Strong support from previous accumulation areas.
• 1,570: Important monthly support.

Expectation:
• If it breaks 1,750 with a 4-hour close, the path is open towards 1,700 and perhaps 1,650.
• Buying is not recommended now unless a clear reversal candle appears + confirmation.

Eid Mubarak 🌺🥳

Bitcoin on the hourly and four-hour frame
Drop to areas 85500-84800
And God willing, after that a rebound to above 88

$BTC
$ETH

First: Daily Closing Analysis (1D)
• The price is at 81,031 USDT with a clear decline.
• The moving averages MA (7, 25, 99) indicate:
• The price is below all moving averages = Continuous selling pressure.
• RSI (6) = 37.36 and RSI(12/24) below 40 → Gradual entry into oversold areas.
• MACD is clearly negative: the fast line (DIF) is below the slow line (DEA) and the histogram is red → Confirming the continuation of the downtrend.
• The price bounced from a low of 76,606 but did not break through the moving averages = A weak technical bounce only.

✅ Daily Result:

The overall trend is still down. Yesterday's bounce is not considered a strong rise as long as the moving averages are not broken.

⸻

Second: Four-Hour Candle Analysis (4H)
• The last candle closed at 81,036, which is below the recently formed resistance area.
• The price is trading below the MA25 and MA99 averages.
• RSI(6/12/24) = 39 - 42 - 43 → Relatively weak momentum.
• MACD has started to weaken again and the histogram has started to contract → Weakness in the recent upward wave.
• We notice that there are attempts to bounce, but they could not hold above 82K.

✅ Four-Hour Result:

Confirmation of the continuation of the downtrend unless 82,000 – 82,500 is broken with a strong 4-hour close.

⸻

🔮 General Upcoming Expectation (Daily + 4 Hours Confluence):
• The closest trend is to continue the gradual decline.
• The next support areas:
• 80,000 then 78,500 then 76,600 (previous low).
• Any new bounce will be a selling opportunity (Sell the Rallies) unless 82,500 is broken with a clear close.
$BTC

Bearish
$$BTC
Double Top Pattern

The peaks at the level of 84,000.
The neckline at 81,800.
A clear break of the neckline with a strong red candle.
Bearish arrow towards the technical target at 78,500.

The pattern is now clear and visually easy to read, and you can use it as a reference for more accurate analysis of the upcoming movement.

Why are you laughing so much, and in the end, you find the deal doesn't exceed 100$ 🤣

92000 now 🤣