Firman Sucipto

Long $BTC


1. Entry on Pullback to Dynamic Support

1. Zone entry:
• Area EMA25–EMA60 ≈ Rp 107,800–107,500
• Or, if it drops deeper, area EMA200 ≈ Rp 106,400 as strong support.
2. Confirmation to enter:
• After the 15-minute candle touches the EMA25–60 zone and forms a bullish rejection (pin bar, hammer, or small engulfing).
• RSI(12) above 50 and turning upwards—indicating bullish momentum recovery.
• MACD histogram flat then starting to decrease red bars towards green.
3. Stop Loss:
• Below EMA60 (≈ Rp 107,300) for entry in the EMA25–60 zone.
• Or below EMA200 (≈ Rp 106,000) if waiting for a pullback to EMA200.

⸻

2. Entry on Breakout

1. Breakout level:
• Break & close above the local swing high Rp 109,845.
2. Confirmation to enter:
• 15-minute candle breaks the line at 109,845 with volume above average (see MA(5) volume).
• RSI/StochRSI rising above 70 but not yet strongly overbought.
3. Stop Loss:
• Below the breakout level, around Rp 109,200 (leaving room for fluctuation).

⸻

Determination of Take Profit (TP)
1. TP1: Rp 109,845 (previous swing high resistance)
2. TP2: Rp 110,500 (round psychological level & minor supply area)
3. TP3 (optional): Rp 111,200–111,500 (short-term resistance on the 1-hour chart)

Risk Management Tips
• Do not risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
• Move SL to BE (break even) after TP1 is achieved.
• Monitor RSI & MACD 5 minutes for divergence detection or weakening momentum.

$BTC


Long: entry at 104,200–104,500
SL 103,800,
TP 106,000/107,100

Short: entry at 106,500–106,800
SL 107,200,
TP 104,500/103,200

DYOR

$BTC

Here is the best setup based on the latest heatmap data and BTC/USDT chart (current price: 105.500):

1. SHORT Option (High Probability Setup)

Ideal Short Zone:

106.500 – 107.000 USDT

Reason: This is the next short liquidation area (whale target), there is a high probability of strong price rejection if BTC rises to this zone.

Confirmation:

Candlestick reversal (such as bearish engulfing or shooting star)

High volume during candle rejection

RSI/Stoch RSI shows overbought (above 85–90)

Setup:

Entry: 106.700

Stop Loss (SL): 107.300

Target Profit (TP):

TP1: 105.000

TP2: 104.200

TP3 (extra): 103.500

Risk:Reward (RRR): ~1:2 or more

2. LONG Option (Buy the Dip Strategy)

Ideal Long Zone:

103.800 – 104.300 USDT

Reason: This is the previous consolidation area and there is historical support + Bollinger Mid Band + Order Block.

Confirmation:

Bullish engulfing candle on 1H or 15m

High volume during the bounce

RSI/Stoch RSI starts to rise from oversold (<30)

Setup:

Entry: 104.000

Stop Loss (SL): 103.300

Target Profit (TP):

TP1: 105.200

TP2: 106.000

TP3 (extra): 106.800

Risk:Reward (RRR): ~1:2+

Additional Notes:

Avoid entering in the middle (105.500 now) as that is a neutral/FOMO zone.

Use low to moderate leverage (3x–10x) if there is no strong reversal confirmation yet.

It is safer to wait for 1 closed 1H candle in the target zone with a valid pattern.

Here is a comprehensive analysis of NXPC, covering the project's fundamentals, market performance, as well as its potential and risks.

🔍 What Is NXPC?

📈 Current Market Performance

Current price:

All-time high (ATH):

All-time low (ATL):

24-hour trading volume:

Market capitalization:

Circulating supply:

💡 Factors Driving Price Increase

Some key factors driving the surge in NXPC price include:

Listing on Major Exchanges:

Airdrop and Incentive Programs:

Interest from Major Investors (Whales):

⚠️ Risks and Considerations

Although NXPC's prospects look promising, there are several risks to be aware of:

Price Volatility: Rapid price spikes can be followed by sharp corrections. Some technical indicators show potential trend reversals in the short term.

Token Distribution: With only 16.9% of the total supply in circulation, there remains a risk of selling pressure when additional tokens are released into the market.

Market Speculation: Price increases driven by hype and speculation can lead to significant price fluctuations.

🔮 Future Potential

NXPC has significant growth potential, especially if blockchain integration within the MapleStory ecosystem successfully attracts a large user base. Some analysts even project that the price of NXPC could reach $90 by 2025, depending on user adoption and ecosystem developments.

✅ Conclusion

NXPC is an intriguing project at the intersection of gaming and blockchain. With support from Nexon and integration into the MapleStory ecosystem, this token has strong fundamentals. However, investors should remain vigilant about market volatility and conduct thorough analysis before investing.

follow @Firman Sucipto

Crito CPI Watch: When Philosophy Meets Economics

Today is not just about inflation numbers. Today is also about values.

Socrates, in the dialogue Crito, refuses to flee from punishment in order to uphold a principle:
"One must never do wrong, even in return for wrong."

As CPI data is released and the market responds with volatility, we are faced with a similar question:

Are our decisions today driven by fear, impulse, or by well-considered principles and strategies?

Crito CPI Watch is not just about numbers going up or down. It is about how we react rationally, ethically, and with discipline.
Not just as traders or economists, but as human beings who bear moral responsibility for their choices.

So, amidst the frenzy of CPI speculation:

Stay calm like Socrates.

Consider the impact, not just the opportunity.

And remember: profit without principle is a disguised defeat.

#CryptoCPIWatch

As of May 13, 2025, the price of Bitcoin $BTC
is around $103,729, experiencing a decrease of about 0.26% in the last 24 hours. Despite a slight correction, the short-term trend remains bullish, supported by positive market sentiment and strong technical indicators.

🔍 Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment
• Key Support Levels: $94,545, $92,265, and $91,094.
• Key Resistance Levels: $97,996, $99,167, and $101,447.
• RSI Indicator: Above 70, indicating overbought conditions but still in an upward trend.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish, with the Fear & Greed Index at 70 (Greed).  

Bitcoin has shown strong performance, rising about 14% in April and currently just 3% below its all-time high. Factors such as global interest rate easing, new US trade agreements, and expectations of US interest rate cuts have driven investor interest. 

📈 Recommendations for Day Traders
• Long Strategy: Consider entering a long position as the price approaches the support level of $94,545, with a profit target around $107,000 to $120,000 if bullish momentum continues.
• Short Strategy: Be cautious of potential corrections if the price fails to break the resistance at $107,000; a decline could head toward $92,000 as the next support level.  

⚠️ Important Notes
• US inflation data to be released may affect market volatility in the short term.
• Although the short-term trend is bullish, remain cautious of potential technical corrections.

Overall, the current market conditions support day trading strategies with a bullish approach, but it is still advisable to actively monitor economic news and technical indicators.

Reflection on the Crito Round Table: Voice, Ethics, and Responsibility

Today I attended the Crito Round Table, a discussion that raised classical philosophical values in a modern context. One of the most memorable quotes was from Socrates:
"We must not value either our children or our lives more than goodness."

From this discussion, there are three things that are very inspiring:

Ethics is not just discourse, but action. Socrates refused to escape punishment even though he knew it would save his life. His principle is steadfast: truth must not be compromised for comfort.

Social responsibility transcends personal interests. Socrates' decision emphasizes the importance of respecting the law and social agreements, even if it does not benefit him personally.

Dialogue as a space for growth. Crito represents the voice of concern and love, but Socrates directs the conversation toward what is just and true—not just what is desired.

This discussion made me realize that in a fast-paced and opportunistic world, the courage to stand for what is right remains relevant. What we do today will shape the moral order of tomorrow.

#CryptoRoundTableRemarks

$SUI signal short. follow me

Here is the latest analysis regarding $SUI as of May 12, 2025:


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📊 Price & Market Performance

Currently, the price of SUI is around $4.12 USD, experiencing a decrease of about 1.67% in the last 24 hours. The all-time high (ATH) was recorded on January 4, 2025, at $5.35 USD. The current market capitalization of SUI is approximately $13.78 billion USD, placing it at #11 in the global crypto rankings.

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🔧 Fundamentals & Network Activity

Total Value Locked (TVL): SUI recorded a TVL of $1.22 billion, showing significant growth in its DeFi ecosystem.

Daily Transaction Volume: Daily transaction volume reached over $250 million, indicating high network activity.

Stablecoin Inflows: SUI received stablecoin inflows of $6.1 million, the highest among other blockchains during that period.

sBTC Integration: Integration with sBTC allows Bitcoin holders to access DeFi services on the Sui network, expanding the utility and adoption of the network.

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📈 Price Prediction 2025

Some analysts project that the price of SUI could reach:

$6.25 USD with an average of $5.05 USD if the bullish trend continues.

$7.01 USD as an optimistic scenario, with an average of $5.42 USD.

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📊 Technical Analysis

Technical analysis shows that if the price of SUI breaks through the consolidation resistance, the potential rise to $3.63 USD could occur. However, it is important to note that the current price is already above that level, so it is essential to monitor subsequent price movements.

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🧠 Conclusion

Sui shows strong growth in the DeFi ecosystem with significant TVL and transaction volume. Integration with sBTC and high stablecoin inflows add to investor confidence in this project. However, like all crypto investments, it is important to consider market volatility and conduct risk analysis before making investment decisions.

Will ETH Return to $3,000? Long-Term Analysis

Ethereum (ETH), as the second-largest cryptocurrency asset in the world, is currently still in a consolidation phase after failing to hold above $4,000 in the previous cycle. Many traders and investors are starting to wonder: will ETH return to $3,000 in the near future or in the long term?

Some supporting factors for ETH's potential move towards $3,000:
1. Strong fundamentals: Ethereum remains the foundation of the DeFi, NFT, and smart contract ecosystems. The development of Ethereum 2.0 and migration to Proof of Stake has improved network efficiency and reduced token inflation.
2. Institutional adoption: More institutions are beginning to consider ETH as a long-term asset due to its broader functionality compared to BTC.
3. Cryptocurrency market cycles: If Bitcoin successfully breaks its all-time high and enters a bull run phase, ETH is likely to follow, potentially even setting a new price above $3,000.

Risks to consider:
• Regulatory pressure on DeFi and staking could affect the demand for ETH.
• Competition from other Layer 1 platforms like Solana, Avalanche, and others could erode Ethereum's dominance if there are no significant innovations.

Conclusion:
In the long term, the potential for ETH to return to $3,000 is quite open, especially if supported by positive market sentiment and consistent ecosystem development. However, as always, do your own research and manage risks wisely.

#ETHCrossed2500

$USDC

USD Coin ($USDC ) Remains Strong!

As one of the most transparent and trusted stablecoins, $USDC consistently maintains a 1:1 value with the US dollar through periodically audited reserves. This makes it a top choice for hedging against cryptocurrency market volatility, while also facilitating cross-border transactions without worrying about price fluctuations. With extensive integration in DeFi platforms, lending protocols, and leading exchanges, users can utilize $USDC for staking, yield farming, or simply storing digital assets with minimal risk. Additionally, instant settlement and low transaction fees make USDC practical for everyday payments and global remittances. For a more balanced portfolio strategy, consider adding a portion of USDC as your liquid reserve.

Stripe has just announced official support for stablecoin-based accounts, a significant step that makes it easier for businesses to receive and manage digital payments in cryptocurrencies with more stable values. With this integration, companies can reduce cross-border transaction costs, speed up settlement, and enhance financial flexibility without having to rely fully on traditional fiat currencies. The Stripe platform also provides a familiar user interface, making it easier for online business operators and global merchants to adapt. This innovation may encourage wider adoption of stablecoins among e-commerce companies and fintech startups. Keep an eye on the developments of thousands of Stripe partner integrations to come.

#StripeStablecoinAccounts

The Bitcoin market is always full of dynamics, and bullish sentiment is gaining strength along with the push for institutional adoption and increasingly clear regulatory developments. Many analysts project that the price of BTC will touch the psychological level of USD 100,000 in the coming months. Fundamentals such as supply reduction (halving), increased retail investor interest, and support from the DeFi ecosystem further strengthen this belief. If you are still positioned, maintain a long-term accumulation strategy by checking key support levels before adding exposure. For those who have not entered yet, consider making gradual entries while monitoring transaction volume. Be ready to celebrate a spectacular moment when Bitcoin truly hits.

#BTCBackto100K

Bitcoin's price shows strong momentum as it successfully breaks through the USD 99,000 level, marking the strength of buyers dominating the market. This breakout is supported by a surge in trading volume, indicating intense buying interest from various groups of investors. Now, the market is entering a brief consolidation phase before continuing the rally to the next resistance. Day traders can take advantage of small pullbacks as entry opportunities with a tight stop loss below the psychological level of 99K. Meanwhile, long-term investors can view this moment as a confirmation of the ongoing bullish trend. Don't miss this important momentum: keep an eye on the movements and fundamental news to ensure your strategy remains on track.

#BTCBreaks99K

$BTC

BTC TO THE MOON!
Bitcoin is ready for takeoff!
The momentum is getting stronger, the market is heating up.
Are you already in the rocket?

Here are two scenarios you can consider, tailored to a safe trading style and with low risk:

1. Buy the Dip (Limit Order)
• Entry level: Place a buy limit in the psychological/technical support area around USD 99,000–100,000 (near the round number and intraday low area)
• Stop Loss (SL): Below support, for example, USD 98,000 (risk ~1%)
• Take Profit (TP): Target at the nearest resistance USD 101,500–102,000
• R/R Ratio: ~1:1–1.2
• Reason: If BTC drops close to 99K, that's an area where buyers usually re-enter; high rebound potential with low risk.

2. Breakout & Retest (Market Order)
• Breakout Confirmation: Wait for a 5-minute or 1-hour candle to close above USD 102,000 with increased volume.
• Entry: Buy market after a retest (pullback) to the 102K–102,500 level and a lower rejection wick.
• SL: Below the retest low, for example, USD 101,200
• TP: Gradually mark at USD 104,000 (next resistance) and USD 106,000 if the momentum is strong.
• R/R Ratio: 1:1.5–2

⸻

Risk Management & Psychology
1. Small position: Risk per trade ≤ 1% of capital.
2. Discipline SL/TP: Do not move the stop without technical reason.
3. Monitor Volume & VWAP: Ensure there is volume confirmation increasing at entry.
4. Don’t FOMO: If there is no clear setup, it's better to wait.

Choose the scenario that fits your style and comfort — buy the dip if you want to enter more “safely” at support, or breakout & retest if you are confident the bullish momentum continues. Hope this helps!

[ECONOMIC INFO] FOMC MEETING – WHAT SHOULD TRADERS PAY ATTENTION TO?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting is one of the most influential economic events in the world, especially for cryptocurrency, stock, and forex markets. The FOMC is a meeting held by The Fed (the US central bank) to determine the direction of interest rate policy and other monetary policies.

Why Is It Important?
The Fed's interest rate decisions can:

Strengthen or weaken the USD

Increase or decrease selling/buying pressure in the cryptocurrency market

Trigger high volatility in a short period

What Are Traders Waiting For?

Interest rate decision (hold, raise, or lower)

Statement from Powell (Chair of The Fed) – hawkish or dovish tone?

Economic and inflation projections (dot plot)

Tips for Traders:

Avoid over-leverage leading up to the FOMC

Prepare stop loss and take profit with discipline

Watch for volatility 5–30 minutes after the release

Wait for confirmation of a new direction after the market digests the meeting results

Upcoming Schedule: [FOMC Meeting – Date, Time (WIB)]
Check economic calendars like Forex Factory, Investing, or your trading app for the exact timing.

Conclusion:
The FOMC can be a moment of opportunity, but it is also full of risks. Trade with caution!

#FOMCMeeting

$SOL

1. Market Conditions & Indicators
• Prices are moving sideways in the range of Rp 2,430,000–2,500,000 (USDT 145–150) after rebounding from support 145 (mid‐band Bollinger)
• Bollinger Bands are narrowing indicating decreased volatility → consolidation before potential breakout
• RSI (6/12/24) ~50: neutral, not overbought/oversold
• MACD slightly bearish (MACD below the signal line), waiting for bullish crossing to confirm uptrend
• Volume tends to decrease during consolidation

⸻

2. Entry Zone
1. Conservative zone (long on dip)
• Buy in the area of 145–146 (near lower BB & psychological support)
• Confirmation: candlestick reversal (pin bar/hammer) + increase in volume
2. Breakout zone (long on breakout)
• Buy above 150–150.5 (24-hour resistance), ideally after a 15m candle closes above this level
• Confirmation: Bollinger Bands start to widen upwards + bullish MACD crossover

⸻

3. Stop Loss (SL)
• For conservative entry: SL at 144 (around 1%–1.3% below entry)
• For breakout: SL at 149 (around 0.5% below breakout level)

⸻

4. Take Profit (TP)
1. First target:
• 151–152 (upper BB & minor resistance) → RR≈1:1.5–1:2
2. Follow-up target (if momentum is strong):
• 154–156 (next psychological resistance on the 1-hour chart)

⸻

5. Risk Management & Confirmation
• Maximum risk per trade 1%–1.5% of capital per position
• Always wait for price action confirmation (bullish engulfing candle, MACD crossover, or volume spike) before entry
• Monitor the 5-minute time frame for fine-tuning entry/exit if you want to be more aggressive intraday

⸻

👏 With this setup, you have two scenarios:
• Buy on dip at 145–146 with conservative SL
• Buy on breakout above 150.5 with tighter SL

Hope this helps and happy trading! 🚀

How to Trade $SUI Futures Consistently with Tight Stop Loss and Strong Take Profit:

1. Choose Key Levels:
• Identify strong support and resistance zones on the 1H or 4H chart.
• Focus on areas where price reacts sharply (rejection wicks, consolidation zones).
2. Entry Strategy:
• Wait for price to retest a key level with clear rejection (e.g., bullish/bearish engulfing candles).
• Enter only after confirmation, not just at random levels.
3. Stop Loss Placement:
• Set a tight SL just a few points (e.g., 0.5% to 1%) below the support (for long) or above the resistance (for short).
• Always predefine your risk per trade (e.g., maximum 1%–2% of your total balance).
4. Take Profit Target:
• Aim for a minimum Risk:Reward Ratio of 1:2 or higher.
• TP can be set at the next key support/resistance or a Fibonacci level like 1.618 extension.
5. Example Setup for SUI:
• Current Price: $1.50
• Support Level: $1.48
• Entry (Long): $1.50 after bullish confirmation
• Stop Loss: $1.475 (tight, 1.6% below entry)
• Take Profit: $1.56 or $1.58 (targeting 4%-5% move)
6. Risk Management:
• Only risk small % per trade to survive losing streaks.
• Accept losses quickly if SL hit; do not move stop loss further away.
7. Consistency Tips:
• Stick to the plan even if some trades lose.
• Focus on execution, not on individual win/loss.
• Review trades weekly to spot and fix mistakes.
$SUI #SUI🔥