Ayu Anggraini

Update last post : RETRACE ABOVE 61.8% 106140-107500 : INVALID ZIGZAG not abc anymore ❌

Already in WAVE IMPULSE UP (big wave three)

Do not use the previous post for calculations on the downward correction below 100k again.

❌ So do not expect a drop below 100k because it is no longer an abc zigzag.
Thanks.
#MarketPullback

I don't know how to read it anymore. If it's said c4 then this retrace is not normal. If it's said c2 but too deep. This zigzag stuff stresses me out. Later there will come a time when I sell everything and say goodbye to this crypto world. Better to buy land and plant vegetables and raise chickens. Close to resources, food sources, live peacefully and happily, work on your land and live from your land, it gives you a dopamine. Rather than playing crypto, it could give you a high level of stress hormone, cortisol. It could damage your brain over time. Take care of your brain cells. Money can come back but if brain cells are damaged it may not come back. Hah!!

#MarketPullback

Which leg is this, so annoying. still inside of downward impulse, instead it retraces excessively upwards. Why don't you just break through that 105900 so everything can fall apart. This rebound wave behavior is unbelievable.
#BlackRockETHPurchase

This. For summary.
If this analysis is valid later....
Just prepare for the scenario.
#BinanceAlphaAlert

Here's how to calculate it:
We calculate the target of wave C (from peak B 106,800)

✅ Peak of wave A: 111,980
✅ End of wave A: 103,300
✅ Length of wave A: 8,680
✅ Peak of wave B: 106,800

1️⃣ Minimum retrace (61.8%)
= 106,800 - (0.618 × 8,680)
= 106,800 - 5,360
= 101,440 (already broken).

If the 102k is what I call a target that is less than 61.8% in a shorter version, so that’s like a confirmation whether it will continue to go down or not. And it has already broken down to the 61.8 minimum. Why I say the 102k area first is because the market briefly showed the potential for a short wave C with the previous wave A failing to break 103,069 (the third leg), at the fifth leg of wave A. So wave A doesn’t stop at 103069 but is calculated from approximately 103300.
There is still potential up to 100% of the length of wave A unless the short C is already completed at 61.8%. It can already be considered officially completed. But usually C goes up to 100% equivalent to wave A. If it extends, it can be longer up to 161.8% extension.

2️⃣ Normal retrace (100%)
= 106,800 - 8,680
= 98,120

3️⃣ Extension (161.8%)
= 106,800 - (1.618 × 8,680)
= 106,800 - 14,040
= 92,760

#BinanceAlphaAlert

How to know if the correction is complete
1. Observe the correction structure to see if it is complete in form, for example ABC, whether it is still at B or has moved to C.
2. Pay attention to the duration. Example:
Start of small wave 1; 74508: April 9, 2025
Peak of small wave 1 complete: 111,980
May 23, 2025
So the duration of small wave 1: approximately 1.5 months (44 days)
Corrective wave 2 average = 15–22 days because it is just a retracement. Usually 1/3 - 1/2 of the duration of the previous wave. So wave two is completed between:
June 8, 2025 (minimum 15 days)
June 15, 2025 (average 22 days)
Or if it extends, it can take longer if slow.
3. Observe the price to see if it is close to or touching the general retracement area for that wave (depending on context, for example corrective two; minimum 38.2%~50%)
4. Pay attention to the internal structure on the 15-minute time frame, to see if an upward impulse appears. And not corrective patterns anymore; triangle, zigzag, etc.
There is a very clear difference.
Corrective patterns still have many red candles dominating and are not impulses. The completion of the correction pattern is an impulse, also seen on the 5-minute time frame, where the rise is dominated by strong and many green candles, with almost no deep retracements, just internal consolidation and increasingly impulsive rises.

Hope this helps.

#CircleIPO

This is called running flat. It indicates an upward trend even if it's temporary. Usually appears after a correction. If looking at this, I usually buy at the red spot A, sell at the peak B, then buy again at the end of the red C for scalping if I want to continue. But on average, 1 wave is enough, no need for all because it's prone to falling.
#BinanceAlphaAlert

This is called a zigzag in the world of wave patterns. It indicates a downtrend. Also known as a descending triangle. Gradually declining over time.
#BinanceAlphaAlert

This is how I see it after re-evaluating & relabeling everything.

Major Wave 1
1️⃣ 15476 → 25263: 9.787 points
2️⃣ 25263 → 19563: 5.700
3️⃣ 19563 → 31000: 11.437
4️⃣ 31000 → 24800: 6.200
5️⃣ 21800 → 31804: 10.004

Major Wave 2 (corrective)
31804 → 26538: 5.266

Major Wave 3
1️⃣ 26538 → 48969: 22.431
2️⃣ 48969 → 38553: 10.416
3️⃣ 38553 → 69000: 30.447
4️⃣ 69000 → 59005: 9.995
5️⃣ 59005 → 73777: 14.772

Major Wave 4 (corrective)
73777 → 52550: 21.227

Major Wave 5
1️⃣ 52550 → 66262: 13.712
2️⃣ 66262 → 58946: 7.316
3️⃣ 58946 → 108353: 49.407
4️⃣ 108353 → 89256: 19.097
5️⃣ 89256 → 109588: 20.332

🚨 Major correction after the impulse is complete (ATH)

109588 → 74508: 35.080 correcting to neutralize and tidy the trend after 1 major cycle.

5 impulse waves (from 15,476 → 109,588) are complete.

So currently we are in a new cycle, after completing 1-5 (new cycle wave 1 from 74508-111,980 (read pinned post). Currently undergoing corrective wave two of the new cycle.

#EDGENLiveOnAlpha

Are we officially out of ABC small? The price has already reached the first target B. If so, that means it's already at B up if the ABC yesterday was just A.
I thought I was being pranked. Thought it was still going to drop to below 103k. What the…..

#TradingTypes101

Already at the end of ABC. Hopefully not part of a larger correction structure. Although I am skeptical about this foundation. Let's just see how much the finish is and how far it goes up.

#FTXRefunds

A very strange shape. Is the Leg C down from yesterday still not finished? It doesn't look like a corrective wave. It seems to still be in the fourth leg (c4) and is about to drop to c5 to complete the downward impulse. If it's still c4 and is about to drop to c5, it means it could potentially shorten to the 103.8k area if it falls here. But if it goes up, the c4 is still high, it could shorten the drop to c5. Very suspicious…

#donttakeasasignal

#TradingTypes101

After reviewing & obtaining the current wave/subwave position, I then analyze the base to determine the target of the subwave that is currently in correction.

It should start from the end of the old ATH correction. Where it stops. If from the higher timeframe it is very clear that the base is at 74508, but if looked at more closely, the correction wave stops in the 75-76k zone. The difference is quite far, almost 2000 points. But strangely today it touched the minimum 23.6% retracement in my post, which is 103069~
111,980 – (0.236 × 37,472) = 111,980 – 8,838 ≈ 103,142 from the base calculation of 74508.

So if the correction is not finished and still using this approach, then 38.2% = 111,980 – (0.382 × 37,472) = 111,980 – 14,300 ≈ 97,680 while if the base is not at 74508 then the result can vary up to 98 & 99k area also could be at 100200. Maybe it will need to be updated again until the exact base is found,

This is the hustle behind the scene…
#MarketPullback

How the correction has penetrated the starting point of the rise to 111,980 ~ 104184, means that we are currently synchronized to face the high timeframe correction.

Btc at 51-69k & currently looks very similar to its pattern. Most likely we are in the same pattern (corrective subwave two) on the high timeframe. It needs a few more large red candles to complete the internal subwave 2 correction on the major wave five before rising to the peak.

Retrace targets:
23.6%: 111.980 – (0.236 × 37.472) = 103.132 (occurred)
✅ 38.2%: around 99.138-98,800
✅ 50%: around 95.175-93.244
✅ 61.8%: around 91.211-88.836

From the high timeframe 1W, currently the possibility is that subwave 1 of wave 5 is finished at 74k-111.9k, entering internal corrective subwave 2 aiming for subwave 3 in the larger wave.

Although visually it may look like this in wave 3 of wave 5, or on a small timeframe as if we are in subwave 4, the difference in wave labeling usually occurs because of differences in small & high timeframes and also the manipulation of shapes. It could be that in the smaller timeframe wave 3 is large and completed, but in the higher timeframe it is just starting subwave 1.

But the point is, looking at the number 104184 being breached, we need to recheck the validation of the impulse, meaning that in the small timeframe, it could be that btc has already completed its sub 1-5 without us realizing it, due to the complexity of shape manipulation and is currently entering the ABC corrective subwave 2 for impulse 1-5 in subwave 1 on wave 5/3 of the high timeframe.

Or referred to as corrective subwave two on the high timeframe.
But Ayu, has one abc correction structure been completed or finished? How could it possibly go down further?

This can happen. What you see as wave A B C could just be a small fractal part of a larger correction.
So ABC is just part A. B goes up, then C goes down will follow. Or, there will be another correction shape that will form.

But if shallow, btc has touched the shallow retrace & could continue to rise. But that rarely happens and is unlikely unless later ABC changes into a correction pattern that makes the current low the base.
#PCEMarketWatch

What lessons can be learned from BTC manipulation.. in the end, BTC still follows the analysis target. Perhaps the wisdom is actually about patience… That’s it.

#BinanceAlphaAlert

Which one is more similar to the current correction structure? It has already broken through 106100 which means there are only two possibilities.
Going down further from 105k and then up
Or finishing in the 105k area and then up.

Btc has been making me nauseous with continuous manipulation since yesterday.
🥶
#TrumpTariffs

Be careful, there is still a possibility of further decline in the area of 105 or below! This is still the third leg. Final number in the fifth leg!
If the fifth leg is completed, expect an increase from there.
#BinanceAlphaAlert

Okay look. You can check the posts from the beginning that My first structure is to aim BTC to drop into not more than 104184, and 106100 max.
Then BTC changes its shape and structure continuously, that it seems to aim for a corrective target of 103100+ because it syncs with corrective 4 on higher time frames. So I said it could drop to 103100+

And yesterday, it changed structure again breaking through 110.7k making it appear that it will correct to no more than 106600
But! It just broke 106100 and is already at 105xxx
Finally, it shows its true form and has been played with since yesterday. Such a work.
#TrumpTariffs

Descending to the 107k-106k area does not invalidate the structure but rather confirms the current correction structure that is nearing its end. There are still a few more medium upward waves before finishing (corrections still exist).

Later, we still need to confirm whether this wave 4 correction is truly complete or if there will be additional corrections. If validated, the arrival of wave five in a smaller timeframe (in other words; subwave 5 in wave three or in wave analysis terminology this is wave 5 in the fifth subwave of the larger wave three) will resemble what is shown in this photo.
Because in this photo, it is likely the wave three of wave 5 medium in wave 3 large (possibly not finished as it is divided into 1,2,3,4,5, and the duration occurs for more than a month since 74.6k.

Thus, the small wave five may not be as strong & long as that wave three. But it is also divided into 1,2,3,4,5
1 initial rise
2 correction within
3 strong & long rise
4 shallow correction
5 remaining rise.

The good news is that usually after the wave 3 peak, investors shift to altcoins during this session.

Although it will not be as strong & long as wave 3 or the rise from 74.6k-111,980, which is divided into 5 within [1,2,3,4,5], because usually wave 5 is the remainder of the rise to close the upward impulse structure before we enter a major correction.

Do not be quick to sell cheap at the beginning because the peak is usually at the 3rd/5th.

See you next time.

#WhaleJamesWynnWatch