狴犴

$SOL
Well, because the liquidity brought by Trump’s coin issuance has surged.
Here, I want to remind everyone that the Solana chain has a characteristic: the price of Sol does not concern the meme birds on Sol.
For details, see wif4 and sol250, laughing.
The Solana chain is purely a cyber casino, Sol is the chip, so the question arises, what determines the price of Sol?
Simply put, the casino, the gamblers, that is, liquidity.
The greater the liquidity, the more expensive the price of Sol.
You can either gamble with the chips or sell the chips while the liquidity is high.
Otherwise, it’s just hilarious.

#币圈翻车日记:我的2024坑爹时刻
Damn, from 11.5 to 12.5, the principal doubled.
I was reluctant to withdraw, thinking that the bull market was really coming, but it was smashed to pieces on 12.20.
Now, the principal has not made any profit, and even lost a little.
I am speechless, pure paper wealth, and I have become the exit liquidity of others. Institutions know how to play.
You can't trust the altcoins at all.
Advice to all new investors, if you want to do it, do it big.
Advice to old investors, high leverage will lead to death

$WIF your mother, sol has flown and you haven't? Sima Dog Villa

Let's do some activities.
The day before yesterday, Bitcoin quickly rebounded after dropping to 89, repeatedly attempting to break through the 98 level but failing, entering a consolidation phase.
Altcoins are in a worsening situation, with Ethereum continuously dropping. Apart from a few altcoins like Sui, XRP, and Doge that are currently being supported, everything else is plummeting.
This year there might be an altcoin season, but altcoins definitely should not be held for long.
Suggestion: when Bitcoin and altcoins rise, immediately exchange them for Bitcoin.
Low leverage; going high is certain death (the past month has been a process of clearing leverage).

#美国非农数据即将公布

The market expected value was 4.2%, and the actual published value was 4.1%, indicating that the US economy is in good condition, the number of employed people has increased, and more people are participating in taxation. This sign of a positive economy may prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt an interest rate hike policy.

The second is the non-agricultural employment population data. The previously announced value was 228,000, and the market expected it to be 160,000. The actual value was 256,000, indicating that the US economy is performing well and may attract more funds to flow into the cryptocurrency market, which is seen as a positive signal. ——But it has further reduced expectations of interest rate cuts.

$BTC
I have a lot of altcoins, and I am so tired of carrying orders in this altcoin season.
I bought relatively stable altcoins, but I didn't expect them to fall like this.
Looking back at 12.5, all meme coins peaked, and then immediately plummeted, causing 500,000 people to be liquidated.
Looking back at around 12.20, with Powell's hawkish speech at the interest rate cut meeting, market expectations were forcibly regulated, causing Bitcoin to plummet, altcoins to plummet, and the altcoin season is gone forever.
However, I personally believe that the bull market is still there, and there will still be an altcoin season.

This broken market has made me lose so much money.
I lost 15% in 30 days, and lost $300.
Alas.
I knew there would be a correction, and compared the trend around November 2023 last year, I thought that even if there was a correction, it would be at most 10%, which was not a big deal, so I didn't close the position. As a result, I lost so much money that I was exhausted.

#比特币价格走势分析
The price of Bitcoin once dipped to $91,000, and the liquidation of positions continued, however, new long positions continued to emerge.
In the range of $90,000 to $91,000, long positions are dense.
However, once it falls below $90,000, about $1 billion in long positions will be liquidated.
From the current market situation, the main funds may not miss this opportunity. Moreover, we are still in the US holiday period, and market liquidity is poor, making it susceptible to manipulation.

Tonight at 21:30, non-farm employment data will be released.

A very bad market environment.
Control your positions and leverage well, operate cautiously, and avoid losses before a market reversal.

#市场调整策略
Is this called adjustment?
Every time it drops significantly, drop, drop, drop, drop.
This bull market only rose for a month, and then it's all sideways and volatile.
Now it has nothing to do with bull or bear markets.
Those interested can take a look at how Bitcoin and altcoins surged starting from November 2023.
It's not even close to the difficulty now.
One is in the sky, the other is underground.
Macroeconomically, is there a lack of money? 500,000 positions exploded in total, along with over 2 billion USD, and it's still not enough? Such a big appetite?
Online, there's repeated sideways movement, clear signs of market manipulation, where there are more people, that's where it blows up. Without black swans, the drop is comparable to a black swan event, nmsl.

#币安MegadropSOLV
This is the third SOLV task of Megadrop.
The participants of the first two phases of BB and LISTA earned tens of dollars, and this time is expected to be good.

If you only complete the Web3 task, you can get 500 points, but not much.
It is recommended that you have BNB on hand, you can directly choose the staking method, and fill it up regularly for 120 days.
You can redeem it in advance after the event, which will not affect the collection of Solv rewards. The only impact is that there is no interest for regular staking, but this interest is useless.

The specific operation process is very simple, and you can also see other posts. Basically, the staking fee will not exceed 2 US dollars, which is quite cost-effective.

However, it is estimated that there will be a lot of participants in this event. But it is still a cost-effective opportunity, you can give it a try.

#比特币走势观察
Recently, Bitcoin experienced a quick surge followed by a pullback, and is currently maintaining a high-level range before breaking through the $100,000 mark.
Although the overall market remains in a bullish trend, it may continue to hover at high levels in the short term.
At the $100,000 mark, there is some selling pressure. In the next two to three days of this week, the price movement will be particularly critical. Considering the impact of data,
if it can break out of the $100,000 fluctuation range, the market will welcome a new high.
On the contrary, if it continues to hover around the $100,000 fluctuation range, it is very likely to experience a rapid pullback in mid to late January due to the upcoming interest rate meeting.

#加密市场反弹
The altcoin index continues to rise, and Bitcoin is performing well.
I have always believed this is a bull market, as the characteristic of a bull market is significant ups and downs, and in the end, it always returns to the position where you were trapped.
In fact, it is indeed the case.
Will it repeat the consecutive climb of 11.5-12.5 for altcoins next?
It’s unlikely; the simple pattern of a bull market only occurs at the very beginning, and the following will be an oscillating upward trend, with occasional deep pits.
The interest rate meeting in January will start, and the formal end of the interest rate cut cycle depends on this round; if the meeting results are not good, all altcoins will not be spared. Whether there will be funds that withdraw in advance, and how much in advance, are all unknowns.
Do not use leverage, do not use leverage!
If you don’t want to end up like the 500,000 that died a few days ago.

#2025加密趋势预测
Working hard for 5 points~
There will definitely be a bull market in 2025.
Originally, the cottage season started on November 5th. I thought its trend would be similar to that of November 2023 last year, but I misjudged it.
The pullback in this cottage season was unexpectedly large.
First, its decline is comparable to the black swan of 414.
Second, for the initial pullback of the cottage season, it was too strong, and at the same time, the general increase of the cottage was not enough to support this decline.
Third, the proportion of leverage clearance this time was very large. 500,000 people's positions were cleared on December 9, but the institutions were not satisfied and carried out another cleanup. Almost all the cottage holding parties with more than 2X leverage were liquidated.
The question is, why is it so big?
I think the cottage season is bound to come, and the bull market is obviously still there.
So, how strong the pullback is, how terrible the rise is.
Violent rise, clear all air forces.
This is my vision for 2025

#BTC上攻11万
Bitcoin aiming for 110,000?
Attack, attack, attack, just a few more.
Every day the candlestick charts are bouncing sideways, definitely going to consolidate for a month or two.
Can altcoins move or not? After three weeks of hard-earned gains, Bitcoin brings them back to reality in just three days.
Altcoins can only speculate, and Ethereum is just as bad, not moving at all. Besides coins with strong backers, the rest are like dead weights, probably crawling at the bottom for the next ten days or so.
Next up, it's the same old story, it's garbage time.
Pure garbage time, contracts are opened, can't touch the hot coins, can't earn a few cents, leverage is high, believe it or not, the next move could drop you another 50%.
Bull market, bull for a bit, and yet aiming for 110,000.
Let's continue to consolidate.
Garbage time.

#市场反弹迹象
The rebound is here, led by a series of dog coins like uXlink, Cow, Zen, etc.
Hey? How come I'm still holding a red order with all these ACT, Pnut, and Doge in hand?
——
This is the season of knockoffs, the sectors keep changing, do you want to switch tracks now? It's too late, hold on to those few coins of yours.
A rebound is not a reversal, and don't foolishly go all in with high leverage.
What else is there?
Oh, right, in a bull market, as long as you can hold onto your spot, and not liquidate, in the end, all the losses will be made back.
Don't think about getting rich overnight, wealth doesn't rush in through the front door.
Finally, let me emphasize,
High leverage will lead to death, no matter how much you earn, high leverage will lead to death.
That's all.

#加密市场盘整
The altcoins, whether it’s the sudden 50% drop of the altcoins a few days ago or today’s direct rise of 5000 points, are all very pure trading points:
"When shorts are too many, they explode; when longs are too many, they explode."
Aside from Bitcoin's price being relatively difficult to manipulate, the prices of altcoins are forcibly manipulated up and down by various institutions.
Everyone knows Bitcoin is related to altcoins.
But how big is the connection?
If the market makers need it to be significant, it is significant; if not, then it’s not.
When needed, Bitcoin drops 1000, and altcoins drop 30%.
When not needed, yesterday Bitcoin dropped 3000, and altcoins remained unchanged.
Be cautious,
The intention to take your money is laid out in the open.

#BTC走势
The trend of Bitcoin does not need to be predicted in the long term, because no one can predict it, as it is full of randomness.
For altcoin players—almost all retail investors—one key point to pay attention to is the ETHBTC curve (which can be seen in contracts), in order to observe the current relationship between altcoins and Bitcoin.
Similar to a few days ago, when Bitcoin had a slight pullback, altcoins dropped significantly, indicating a straight decline in the ETHBTC curve, which means the altcoin season is fading, and one should clear their positions in a timely manner.
Moreover, regardless of which altcoin you purchase, you need to observe its correlation ratio with Bitcoin's price movements.
Bitcoin itself is a highly volatile asset, and altcoins are even more volatile, which is actually quite similar to gambling; fortunately, Bitcoin serves as an anchor point.
Holding altcoins in spot trading can be done through dollar-cost averaging (be sure to sell when necessary). If you trade altcoin contracts and do not understand Bitcoin, you will likely suffer greatly—meaning, retail investors should not expect to make money from contracts.
$BTC

#加密市场回调
The simple mode is over
What, what simple mode?
The one-sided market that was so easy before is gone. (It was so easy just to trap a group of people who opened long positions and kill gamblers)
Next, there will be a full shock and return to the market in September and October.
Without superb skills, you will die if you touch the contract.
For all newcomers, there is only one suggestion: hoard spot goods.
In the next market, those who dare to open high-multiple contracts are dead.
If you miss it, you miss it. Those who failed to stop profit before should not use leverage crazily to recover profits.
For those who are still alive, the K-lines of the copycats are all baits. If you want to make a lot of money, you can, but have you considered the risks?
The above is the hard time next
$BTC

#比特币市场波动观察
Damn, the market has fallen so much that I am numb.
First of all, the VIX panic index has begun to pick up, and it is impossible for such an emotional riot to happen again in the short term.
There is a question,
a very curious question.
When did the market crash start and end today?
It started at 14:00 in the Asian session and ended at 21:30.
It just happened that I missed the US session and the positive economic data of the United States at 9:30.
Why is it so special to crash the market during the Asian session and leave it for the US session to buy the bottom?
Simple, strike while the iron is hot. Binance and other institutions quickly crashed the market through the panic caused by the Fed's interest rate cut, and they did their best to crash the market before any good news appeared.
The rebound of the US market was obviously foreseen in the news of the capital crocodiles, so they can only continue to harvest the Asian session players.
Today, all those who were liquidated and cut their losses died on the eve of dawn.
Today, the decline of the copycat is comparable to 4.14 and 8.5.
It was a very vicious market crash, which perfectly took advantage of the market crash of emotional investment in the cryptocurrency circle.
It also cleared out all the high-leverage investors.

So, is it a bottom-fishing?

No, of course people who don’t have spot can do it, but I guess most people are carrying orders like me.

No one can predict the market,
but the recovery of the copycat is inevitable. Why increase the risk for a small profit instead of making friends with time?

$BTC
$ETH

$1000SATS
Open the weekly, three-day, and monthly charts, take a look for yourself.
That's all there is to say; sometimes, cutting losses isn't scary, what's scary is holding onto fantasies until you perish.