剑指人间波澜

#缠论
Article Disclaimer: All content is derived from the original Chan Theory, mixed with my own insights. To grasp the most original insights, one must contemplate the original text. This weekend, I will begin syncing real-time trading with notes.
Summary of Previous Knowledge Points
Moving Average System
Sunrise: The short-term moving average slightly flattens before continuing along the original trend.
Moonrise: The short-term moving average approaches the long-term moving average but does not break below or rise above, then continues according to the original trend.
(tps: Often a sign that the rebound is ending)
Sun and Moon Alternating: The short-term moving average breaks below or above the long-term moving average, even leading to repeated entanglement, like glue.

#缠论
Article Statement: All content is derived from the original theory of entanglement, with personal insights added. To grasp the most original understanding, one must contemplate the original. This note focuses on the first and second types of buying and selling points in the theory of entanglement and should be read in conjunction with the previous notes.
31. The only way to control risk is to set up a system that makes the uncontrollable and indescribable risks become describable and manageable within that system. This is the only way to long-term outperform the market.
32. One must set a classification and evaluation system based on one’s actual situation, such as capital and operational level, and then set a corresponding response program for all possible situations according to that classification system. In this way, all risks can be operated in a manageable manner. The only thing the operator has to do is to take the corresponding action once the relevant situation arises. For a currency, the actual operations are merely three: buy, sell, hold. Thus, any investment operation evolves into such a simple mathematical operation: N completely classified risk situations correspond to three choices (buy, sell, hold).

#缠论
Article declaration: All content is derived from the original Chan theory, infused with my own insights. To grasp the most original insights, one must delve into the original text. From this note onwards, we will delve into specific operational aspects, such as the moving average system introduced in this note. The original author used the intimate contact between men and women to express this, but I am a novice in emotions, making it difficult to comprehend. Therefore, I have rewritten it in my own version. If you cannot understand, please refer to the original text.
21. The simplest and most practical technical indicator system is the so-called moving average system. The moving average system is clearly not a very precise system, with too many false signals. If you buy when a certain moving average is broken and sell otherwise, your success rate will definitely not be high, especially when this moving average is short-term. The truly useful moving average system is a technical evaluation system composed of several moving averages representing short, medium, and long-term trends.

#缠论
Article statement: All content is derived from the original theory of Chan, combined with my own insights. To gain the most original understanding, one must delve into the original texts.
11. To achieve long-term victory, one must insist on exchanging the smallest risk for the maximum profit. Risk is paramount; there is no distinction between high and low here. Losses are counted in percentages; losing one hundred percent of one billion and one million both result in zero.
12. Just because others abandon me doesn't mean I will take it; if someone snatches it from me, I will definitely give it up.
13. All theoretical tricks about investment attempt to control certain 'input' contents while concealing the results of the 'input' action. Therefore, all related theories must be based on such a logical assumption: there must be a necessary logical relationship and causal chain connecting the input content and the displayed result. This logical assumption is equivalent to saying that the surface of a 'concubine' and its inner essence have a necessary logical relationship, which is absurd. However, in reality, attempting to bypass the 'surface' and directly point to the 'internal' is also an absurd fantasy. Even if there is no necessary connection between the 'surface' and the 'internal,' reality can only move from 'surface' to 'internal.' Those who attempt to deny all 'surface' and directly point to the 'internal' merely mistake some 'surface' for 'internal.' Such individuals will be deceived throughout their lives without realizing it.

#缠论
Article statement: All content is derived from the original theory of Chan, combined with my own insights. To achieve the most original insights, one must comprehend the original text.
1. The core of all investments is cost. Cost = opportunity. If it's lower than the market's average cost, you won't lose.
2. Volatility is the market's risk; use volatility to reduce holding costs.
3. The first element for market survival is to eliminate all preferences.
4. A winning investment is a good investment; otherwise, it is all delusion.
5. Recognizing market traps is just the first step; the next step is to learn how to use market traps to win.

#交易心得
From the first liquidation, I deeply realized the impossible triangle problem of trading.
What is the impossible triangle?
① High Yield: Short-term windfall (such as hundredfold coins) or long-term appreciation (such as Bitcoin)
Contradiction: High-yield assets (such as Meme coins, new chain tokens) are often accompanied by extremely high risks (zeroing out, scams) and low liquidity (insufficient trading depth)
② Low Risk: Relatively safe principal, controllable price fluctuations, resistant to systemic risks
Contradiction: Low-risk assets (such as stablecoins, mainstream coins) have limited returns and may carry hidden non-market risks (such as credit risk of centralized stablecoins)