孔子一世

#BTC重返10万 #最近的一笔交易：分享您近期的一笔交易。
#BTC交易：分享一笔BTC交易。
#山寨币交易： 分享一笔山寨币交易。
#本周高光时刻：分享您本周最成功的一笔交易。
#策略交易：分享一笔基于策略做出的交易。 
#新闻交易：分享一笔您根据市场新闻进行的交易。
#交易经验：分享一笔未按计划进行的交易。

#BTC突破100K #最近的一笔交易：分享您近期的一笔交易。
#BTC交易：分享一笔BTC交易。
#山寨币交易： 分享一笔山寨币交易。
#本周高光时刻：分享您本周最成功的一笔交易。
#策略交易：分享一笔基于策略做出的交易。 
#新闻交易：分享一笔您根据市场新闻进行的交易。
#交易经验：分享一笔未按计划进行的交易。

$USDC #Recent Transaction: Share a recent transaction of yours.
#BTC Transaction: Share a BTC transaction.
#Altcoin Transaction: Share an altcoin transaction.
#Highlight of the Week: Share your most successful trade of the week.
#Strategy Trade: Share a trade made based on a strategy.
#News Trade: Share a trade you made based on market news.
#Trading Experience: Share a trade that did not go as planned.

$BTC #最近的一笔交易：分享您近期的一笔交易。
#BTC交易：分享一笔BTC交易。
#山寨币交易： 分享一笔山寨币交易。
#本周高光时刻：分享您本周最成功的一笔交易。
#策略交易：分享一笔基于策略做出的交易。 
#新闻交易：分享一笔您根据市场新闻进行的交易。
#交易经验：分享一笔未按计划进行的交易。

#Stripe稳定币账户 #Most Recent Transaction: Share a recent transaction of yours.
#BTC Transaction: Share a BTC transaction.
#Altcoin Transaction: Share an altcoin transaction.
#Highlight of the Week: Share your most successful transaction of the week.
#Strategic Trade: Share a trade made based on a strategy.
#News Trade: Share a trade you made based on market news.
#Trading Experience: Share a trade that did not go as planned.

#BTC突破99K 即将开始下跌，可能是暴跌！
虽然我这笔交易被套牢了，但是我一点也不恐惧，如果日线站稳98000，我会止损我的空单。我认为未来几天会急速下跌，理由：1、2024年11月至25年2月形成的M顶，不会轻易破坏；2、98000附近挤压大量的套牢卖盘；3、此次4月7日开始的上涨没有形成驱动浪；4、明天是斐波那契数列第34天，大波动将到来；5、每年6、7月份银行年中报，资金会回流，风险资产普跌，这是规律。让我们拭目以待。

#交易故事
#山寨币交易
Will soon start to decline, possibly a crash!
Although my trade is trapped, I am not afraid at all. If the daily line stabilizes at 98000, I will cut my short position. I believe there will be a rapid decline in the coming days for the following reasons: 1. The M-top formed from November 2024 to February 2025 will not be easily broken; 2. A large number of trapped sell orders are squeezed near 98000; 3. The rise that started on April 7 did not form a driving wave; 4. Tomorrow is the 34th day of the Fibonacci sequence, and large fluctuations are coming; 5. Every year in June and July, banks release mid-year reports, funds will flow back, and risk assets will generally decline, this is a pattern. Let's wait and see.

#交易故事
#BTC交易
About to start declining, possibly a crash!
Although I am stuck in this trade, I am not afraid at all. If the daily line stabilizes at 98000, I will stop loss my short position. I believe there will be a rapid decline in the next few days, reasons: 1. The M-top formed from November 2024 to February 2025 will not be easily broken; 2. A large amount of trapped sell orders are squeezed around 98000; 3. The rise that started on April 7 did not form a driving wave; 4. Tomorrow is the 34th day of the Fibonacci sequence, significant volatility is coming; 5. Every year in June and July, banks report mid-year results, funds will flow back, and risk assets will decline across the board, this is a pattern. Let us wait and see.

#交易故事
#最近的一笔交易
#paxg
Who will rise to the top: gold or Bitcoin?
The US dollar plummeted over 4.5% in April, marking the largest monthly decline in three years. If you are holding USDT, are you starting to worry about its 'purchasing power'? Stablecoins may be stable, but they cannot shield you from the reality of the declining dollar. At this moment, a gold token is quietly becoming the new darling of safe havens—PAXG.
This token is not ordinary; it is backed by real gold, issued by Paxos, with each token representing one ounce of gold stored in the London vaults. What you buy on the blockchain is no longer 'digital air,' but a blockchain shadow of gold.
Why should you pay attention to PAXG?
As the US dollar depreciates, PAXG is steadily rising against gold
Gold prices are reaching new highs, already exceeding $3,500 per ounce in 2025, with expectations of possibly climbing to $4,500.
Enhanced advantages of cryptocurrency
Flexible trading, usable in DeFi, and earning yields through collateral, it is much more convenient than physical gold bars.
Suitable for these three types of people
1. Those holding a large amount of USDT who are afraid of the dollar losing value; 2. Those wanting to temporarily avoid risk in uncertain markets; 3. Long-term believers in gold but reluctant to buy gold bars.
Of course, PAXG is not invincible and carries risks such as gold price fluctuations and trading platform security. But in today’s environment of a continuously declining dollar, it is clearly more proactive than sticking with stablecoins.
From 'hedging' to 'preserving value,' PAXG may be your secret weapon for navigating through cycles.

#交易故事
#paxg
#btc
If the U.S. initiates a rate-cutting cycle, the movements of gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar will be influenced by multiple factors, requiring a comprehensive analysis of the economic environment, market expectations, and policy strength. Below is a detailed analysis:
---
### **1. Gold: The Game of Safe-Haven Properties and Interest Rate Sensitivity**
- **Bullish Factors**
- **Rate Cut Expectations Support Gold Prices**: A rate cut by the Federal Reserve will lower real interest rates, diminishing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while loose policies may exacerbate inflation expectations, enhancing the demand for gold as a store of value. Currently, the market expects a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points by 2025, and gold may benefit from the easing cycle in the medium to long term.
- **Economic Recession Risk**: The U.S. GDP unexpectedly shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter, coupled with trade frictions and geopolitical risks (such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict), increasing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
- **Bearish Factors**
- **Temporary Strength of the Dollar**: If the rate cut is less than expected or economic data improves in the short term (such as consumption resilience), the dollar may rebound, putting pressure on dollar-denominated gold. Recently, the dollar index has risen to a two-week high, resulting in three consecutive declines in gold prices.
- **Technical Selling Pressure**: After gold fell below the key support level of $3260, it triggered technical selling. If it further breaks the psychological level of $3200, it may lead to a deeper correction.
- **Conclusion**: In the short term, attention should be paid to the battle for the $3260 support level; if it holds, there is hope for a resumption of upward movement. In the medium to long term, supported by the rate-cutting cycle and economic uncertainty, gold may oscillate with a strong bias, targeting the $3400-3500 range.
---
### **2. Bitcoin: The Contradiction Driven by Risk Appetite and Liquidity**
- **Bullish Factors**
- **Improved Liquidity**: The liquidity released by rate cuts may flow into the cryptocurrency market, especially as Bitcoin's narrative as “digital gold” strengthens, attracting funds for hedging or speculative demand. If the Federal Reserve cuts rates more than four times this year, Bitcoin may receive significant boosts.
- **Expectations of Dollar Depreciation**: A weaker dollar may enhance Bitcoin's valuation advantage, partially substituting for gold's safe-haven function.
- **Bearish Factors**
- **Risk Asset Attributes**: Bitcoin still has a high correlation with risk assets such as U.S. stocks, and if rate cuts stem from an economic recession (rather than preventive easing), market panic may trigger sell-offs. For example, after the U.S. GDP contracted in the first quarter, Bitcoin once fell below $94,000.

#交易故事
#paxg
#btc
#Strategy增持比特币
In April, the US dollar plummeted over 4.5% in a single month, marking the largest drop in three years. If you are holding USDT, are you also starting to worry about its 'purchasing power'? Stablecoins may be stable, but they cannot shield you from the reality of the dollar's depreciation. At this time, a gold token is quietly becoming the new darling of safe-haven assets—PAXG.
This token is not ordinary; it is backed by real gold and issued by Paxos. Each token represents one ounce of gold stored in the London vault. What you buy on the blockchain is no longer 'digital air' but a blockchain representation of gold.
Why should you pay attention to PAXG?
Dollar depreciation, PAXG is linked to gold with stability and growth
Gold prices have reached new highs, exceeding $3,500 per ounce in 2025, and are expected to potentially rise to $4,500.
Crypto advantages
Flexible trading, usable in DeFi, earning yields through collateral, much more convenient than physical gold bars.
Suitable for these three types of people
① Those holding a large amount of USDT and fearing dollar shrinkage; ② Those wanting to temporarily avoid risks during market uncertainty; ③ Those who are optimistic about gold in the long term but are too lazy to buy gold bars.
Of course, PAXG is not invincible and comes with risks such as gold price fluctuations and trading platform security. But in today’s environment of continuous dollar decline, it is clearly more proactive than merely clinging to stablecoins.
From 'safe haven' to 'value retention', PAXG may be your secret weapon for navigating through cycles.

#稳定币日常支付 Series
China has issued a direct warning to countries considering a trade agreement with the United States that could put Beijing at a disadvantage, vowing to take "resolute and reciprocal" countermeasures. This statement was released after reports suggested that President Trump may offer tariff exemptions to countries that impose restrictions on trade with China.
💬 How do you think this will develop and how will it affect global markets? Share your thoughts!

#空投防骗手册 Series
China has issued a direct warning to countries considering reaching a trade agreement with the United States that could put Beijing at a disadvantage, vowing to take "resolute and reciprocal" countermeasures. This statement was made after reports suggested that President Trump might offer tariff exemptions to countries limiting trade with China.
💬 How do you think this will develop and how will it affect the global market? Share your views!

#SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 Series
China has issued a direct warning to countries considering reaching a trade agreement with the United States, which may put Beijing at a disadvantage, vowing to take "resolute and reciprocal" countermeasures. This statement was released after reports suggested that President Trump might grant tariff exemptions to countries restricting trade with China.
💬 How do you think this will develop, and how will it impact the global market? Share your thoughts!

#特朗普就职百日 series
China has issued a direct warning to countries considering a trade agreement with the United States that could put Beijing at a disadvantage, vowing to take "resolute and reciprocal" countermeasures. This statement was made after reports that President Trump may offer tariff exemptions to countries that restrict trade with China.
💬 How do you think this will develop, and how will it impact global markets? Share your thoughts!

$ALPACA does not know how many people have been cut and are howling on this coin, how many people have gone to zero on this coin, and how many have bet their lives against the dealer's known cards.

#空投操作全指南 Series
China has issued a direct warning to countries considering reaching a trade agreement with the United States that may put Beijing at a disadvantage, vowing to take 'resolute and reciprocal' countermeasures. This statement was released after reports indicated that President Trump might offer tariff exemptions to countries limiting trade with China.
💬 How do you think this will develop and how will it affect global markets? Share your views!

#空投操作全指南 Series
China has issued a direct warning to countries considering reaching a trade agreement with the United States that could put Beijing at a disadvantage, vowing to take 'resolute and reciprocal' countermeasures. This statement was made after reports that President Trump may grant tariff exemptions to countries that restrict trade with China.
💬 How do you think this will develop, and how will it affect the global market? Share your thoughts!

$BTC 系
中国对考虑与美国达成贸易协议、可能使北京处于不利地位的国家发出了直接警告，誓言将采取“坚决和对等”的反制措施。此声明是在有报道称特朗普总统可能会对限制与中国贸易的国家提供关税豁免之后发布的。
💬 你认为这将如何发展，并将如何影响全球市场？分享您的看法！