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$BTC's volume chart shows a few volume spikes here and there for this cycle, but we've seen nothing crazy just yet.
Especially compared to the 2022 bear market, the volumes aren't that much higher.
I think there is a case to be made for ETFs and other products also taking some market share in volumes here. But regardless, I still think we're yet to see some big volume spikes this year. #SECProjectCrypto
The evolution of #Bitcoin at 118K$ reveals a fundamentally different market structure from the 2021 cycle:
Long-Term Holders (LTH) hold ~15.59M $BTC, close to historical records, demonstrating strong structural conviction. Short-Term Holders (STH) only concentrate ~4.31M BTC, an unusually low level for this phase, well below the peaks of 2021 (~6.59M BTC).
This bullish dynamic is driven by institutional accumulation rather than mass speculation. The absence of retail euphoria and the low distribution among short-term holders suggest a stronger foundation, supported by professional players with long horizons.
👉 A structurally different rally, less speculative but potentially more sustainable.
That’s usually the last calm before the markup storm. – Structurally, $ETH looks like $BTC at $10K in 2020 – At $4K, ~$1B in shorts go up in flames – Billions flowing weekly via ETFs & treasuries – $BTC dominance quietly rolling over
Most aren’t ready for what comes after $4,000 per $ETH
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Keep that in mind when trading. The last 5 gaps were all closed pretty much on the same Monday.
But price is close to its all time highs and price discovery has left gaps open in the past.
So watch the gap but don't value it too much. I've seen people left behind of entire bull markets back last cycle just because they were waiting on a gap fill.