SGO - Global Solutions Online

This Altcoin season has come later, many have given up

However, BTC.D is rising higher, the time for the Altcoin Season is getting closer.

Stay true to your goals, sit still and observe, do not act based on emotions.

The more different the market is, the stronger the subsequent volatility will be.

Be patient and have a plan, everyone. Invest in knowledge to go the long way with the Market. Because this is a very promising Market.

$ETH IS BEING WITHDRAWN FROM THE EXCHANGE IN DROVES – WHAT SIGNS FOR ETH PRICE?

Below is a chart from Glassnode showing:

🔵 Blue line: Amount of ETH currently on exchanges.

⚫ Black line: ETH price in USD.

Since the end of 2020, the amount of ETH on exchanges has decreased from over 33 million to only about 16 million. This is the lowest level in many years.

When investors withdraw ETH from exchanges, it usually means they want to hold it long-term, or stake it, with no intention of selling soon.

According to basic supply and demand theory: the less ETH available for sale, the easier it is for the price to rise if demand increases. In fact, previous cycles have shown that strong ETH price increases often coincide with periods of decreasing ETH on exchanges.

So what about the recent period?

Since the beginning of 2024, despite significant fluctuations in ETH price, the amount of ETH on exchanges has continued to decrease steadily. This indicates that investors are not in a hurry to sell and still have faith in the upcoming bullish cycle.

🤔 So, could this be a bullish signal?

In a positive direction: ETH being withdrawn from exchanges is a good sign. It shows that fewer people want to sell → low supply → easier to facilitate price increases.

This is a good on-chain signal. It reflects the confidence of holders in ETH's future. However, for ETH to truly break out, we still need additional factors such as:

- Real capital flowing into the market, especially Altcoins.

- Macroeconomic context: If the world is still busy with trade wars, tariffs, instability... then assets like ETH will not have the opportunity to shine.

However, with the current price still very reasonable, we can journey together in the long run.

🔥 JAMES WYNN WHALE LOSES 85.29 MILLION DOLLARS AFTER JUST A FEW CLICKS - ON THE BRINK OF LOSING IT ALL 🔥

According to on-chain data from analyst 余烬 (Yu Jin), notorious trader James Wynn has officially lost all of his accumulated profits of 85.29 million USD from contract trading and is on the verge of burning through his principal.

📌 Summary of the "wallet-aching" plunge:

- 12- 13/5: Wynn longed TRUMP & FARTCOIN, bringing in +11.67 million USD in sweet profits.

- 23/5: Long strategy on ETH & SUI resulted in -5.29 million USD, beginning a dark streak.

- 24/5: Big play on long BTC & PEPE, earning +42.08 million USD seemingly turning the tide.

- 25-27/5: Disaster struck when shorting BTC + longing PEPE, losing -16.72 million USD.

- 28/5 (current): Open long position on BTC is currently down -23.29 million USD.

Current situation - Extremely critical:

👉 Holding 2,456 BTC long with 40x leverage, valued at 267 million USD.

👉 Entry price: 109,228 USD - Liquidation price: 104,202 USD (just a further 4.6% drop in BTC and it's "game over").

👉 All profits of 85.29 million USD earned previously have completely evaporated. Just a little more and it's under the bridge for good.

While the whale is burning through their account, let's be careful near the shore, my fellow ephemeral beings🫣

$BTC There is a noticeable change in market dynamics.

The chart clearly shows each sideways accumulation phase followed by a strong breakout, specifically:

$83K–$86K → accumulation → breakout to $93K–$96K

$93K–$96K → accumulation → breakout to $101K–$105K

$101K–$105K → accumulation → breakout to $106K–$112K

However, at the $106K–$112K range, there is no longer a strong breakout like in the previous ranges.

On the contrary: The price has broken down below this range and is currently trading below the $106K mark.

Buyers will need to reclaim the price range above $106K to reverse the trend. If they cannot achieve this, the likelihood of continued adjustment in the coming weeks remains.

BITCOIN CYCLE – WHEN WILL THE NEXT PEAK APPEAR?

Bitcoin is exactly repeating the growth pattern of previous cycles, with the breakout point – acceleration – and peak formation occurring in an astonishing repeating sequence.

Here are the statistics from the last 3 cycles:

🔁 CYCLE 1 (2013):

✅ Breakout: January 2013

🚀 Peak: November 2013

⏱ Time from breakout to peak: 273 days

💰 Peak price: ~1,100 USD

🔁 CYCLE 2 (2017):

✅ Breakout: December 2016

🚀 Peak: August 2017

⏱ Time: 233 days

💰 Peak price: ~20,000 USD

🔁 CYCLE 3 (2021):

✅ Breakout: October 2020

🚀 Peak: September 2021

⏱ Time: 328 days

💰 Peak price: ~69,000 USD

📍 CURRENT (CYCLE 2025?):

✅ Breakout has occurred: At the end of December 2023

⏱ As of today (05/21/2025): ~140 days since breakout

📆 Expected next peak:

💸 Target price range:

Based on the long-term logarithmic channel (purple in the chart), the cycle peak could reach:

➡️ From 290,000 USD to 400,000 USD around Q1 2026

The analysis is for reference based on historical cycle patterns. Not an investment recommendation

History may change. Target prices may be incorrect, timelines may not be accurate. But with the upcoming global money pumping outlook, the 100k price point in the next 3-5 years still seems CHEAP.

GM $BTC ATH

Analysis $BTC on May 21:

D1 Frame: After creating a red hammer candle that reversed two days ago, BTC created a deep bearish signal yesterday to shake off positions back to the 104x zone and then bounced back.

This position shake-off was something I had warned the community about before reaching the 104x zone. However, due to the expectation of catching at 101-102, I missed this move and had to call on the community to catch at 1051 to align with the uptrend.

The D1 chart has broken the adjustment wave with a rise from 104-107x, so I believe the coming days will be very green.

Support: 1052 - 1040
Resistance: 110 (psychological zone)

- D4 Frame: The new D4 candle opened today. The D4 chart is in a strong uptrend, with the candle closing at 106x making the D4 pattern very beautiful. I believe this D4 candle will continue to be green.

- W1-W2 Frame: The W1 candle has successfully retracted the green wick, just as I had anticipated when BTC was still dropping to the 102-103 zone at the beginning of the week. However, this is still not the price range I expect.

This week also concludes the W2 chart - the only frame still in a downtrend and could break upwards right this week.

=> Analysis:
- BTC has finished shaking off positions in the drop to 104x yesterday, so it will continue to rise strongly without stopping at this 107x zone.
- The D - W - M frames are about to align in an uptrend.

Wishing the community good luck!!!

What helped $BTC surpass $90,000 on the night of April 22, 2025?

On the night of today (April 22, 2025), Crypto investors were "buzzing" as BTC (Bitcoin) broke through the $90,000 barrier for the first time in over a month.

According to data from CoinGecko, the price of BTC increased nearly 3% in the past 24 hours to reach $90,600. The market capitalization of BTC approached $1.8 trillion, while the 24-hour trading volume exceeded $40 billion.

The first factor contributing to the recovery of BTC's price is the significant signs of de-escalation in the trade war.

On April 22, U.S. Vice President JD Vance shared that the U.S. and India have reached a cooperative framework for a trade agreement.

Recently, China and the U.S. have also begun to sit back at the negotiating table after a "heated" period with consecutive retaliatory tariffs.

These news contributed to numerous U.S. stock indices opening brightly, including the Dow Jones (up 1%), S&P 500 (up 1%), and NASDAQ (up 1.23%).

Stocks related to Bitcoin and Crypto also saw strong growth, notably Coinbase (up 4%), MARA Holdings (up 7%).

Today, Trump Media & Technology Group (Mr. Trump's company) announced a partnership with Crypto(.)com to launch a series of ETFs named Truth.Fi.

The TMTG company will invest up to $250 million to deploy ETF funds into Crypto assets (including BTC, ETH, XRP, …) and key sectors of the U.S.

This is positive information for top coins, contributing to their strong rise in the past 24 hours - prominently SOL (up 3%), DOGE (up 5%), …

Many people ask why I am out of the market at this time? Inflation is decreasing and the FED is gradually lowering interest rates, right?

True, inflation is decreasing and the FED is lowering interest rates. So what? Does that mean the market will rise? 😅

What do you think is the best food for a person recovering from illness? Chicken, lobster, or porridge?

The global economy is seriously threatened by the US-China trade war. The decrease in inflation is only temporary because the taxes haven't hit yet.

In general, the ideal time to start a super cycle is when inflation is consistently stable at around 2% and interest rates are close to 0%.

Currently, inflation seems to be okay, but interest rates are still high, so it’s not the right time yet. Not to mention that the trade war is quite tense, so the risk of inflation rising again is very high.

Instead of guessing the peak and the bottom, it’s better to wait a bit longer; just taking a piece in the middle is fine too. The market is still there, and as long as there’s money, there are opportunities. 😁

Is the bottom already here??? Personally, I think that currently $BTC is dropping quite strongly with a very large fluctuation range, so the area of 6x.xxx$ will be easy to fill when it hasn't reached the strong upward trendline before.

Previously, I analyzed that $BTC would go down to 73,000$-74,000$ , and the market has indeed come back to fill that prediction, so currently, there will soon be another wave down to the 5x-6x range before we can see any upward momentum.

With the drop, there is a lot of liquidity, so many people are trying to long the bottom; today’s wave has already bounced back up to 77,780$ , so at this point, let's wait and see if it continues to sweep long? My long-term view still leans towards shorting around the 66,000$ mark.

BINANCE is doing very well

They are eliminating weak projects from the market to make room for new capital that will flow into the market in the near future

They have held these weak projects for a long time as per their agreement with the Devs

Now is the time for them to take profits

A single sell-off from them will cause the prices of weak tokens (even though they have dropped 80-90% from their peak)

To continue to halve or even thirds

Weak projects will be eliminated

Although this will cause slight chaos in the market, it is necessary to focus capital back and avoid unnecessary fragmentation as the number of weak projects is too large

An old saying, one should only invest in projects with 24h Volume over $1B, weak projects will continue to be wiped out, MMs need to take profits and use that money to push truly quality projects

Weak meme coins and tech coins will soon be terminated, in the coming days the story of token numbers halving in a single H4 candle will not be too strange

Don't put your money into a project that you don't even understand what they are doing

Cheers 🍻

$BTC As I predicted yesterday, today BTC and altcoins are rising, and it may still increase slightly tomorrow, but then there will be a significant correction. I predict BTC will return to the range of 79-81.

Please be careful!

ANALYSIS $BTC 31/03

On the D1 frame: The D1 candle that just closed is a Spinning Top candle, which represents a balance of supply and demand during the trading day. This candle appears in the support area of 82k + decreasing trading volume after strong bearish pressure previously. This indicates that the bearish momentum is temporarily weakening and there is a possibility of a recovery.

On the H4 frame: There is a buying force supporting the price below the 82k area, as shown by the H4 candles with wicks below, while the RSI has entered the oversold zone, so there is a possibility that $BTC will have a recovery up to the 84-85k area in the short term.

BTC.D: The BTC.D chart is approaching a strong resistance area, and a Doji candle has appeared in this area, so the probability of BTC.D adjusting down is very high.

#Thus, with the short-term recovery trend of BTC + BTC.D declining => The possibility of Altcoin having a recovery in the coming days.