cs_zhaozilong

#BTC #ETH
Taking orders and opening positions oneself are truly two different mindsets, especially regarding the strategies for both the left-side top and bottom;

Fans who have followed me for a long time know that I personally open positions without a stop-loss, using a phased position increase strategy. If it blows up, I just wait for the next time. Currently, my Ethereum short position has a maximum floating loss of 60,000 USDT, and at its lowest point, a floating profit of 200,000 USDT, but the orders I took are currently losing 30%;

The root cause is one is the strategy issue, and the other is the mindset issue. Because I primarily focus on left-side positions, not using a stop-loss is often the best stop-loss strategy. Risk control relies on capital allocation, not on pursuing comprehensive risk control for every single order. If it's truly wrong, then that part of the capital is just blown;

For taking orders, one can also do this, but the actual execution is quite challenging because many people are not able to accept the view that blowing up means a stop-loss. Additionally, many cannot achieve the process of taking multiple blows before taking off again, so taking orders requires a higher trading rhythm and mindset, and it also needs a bit of luck;

#BTC #ETH
Recently, this type of scam dog advertisement has been rampant in almost all cryptocurrency Telegram groups, spreading like a plague, ultimately directing traffic to certain communities for charging fees or commissions;

The reason why this type of advertisement is so widespread is that it takes advantage of a new message format supported by Telegram, making it impossible for mainstream group bots to block such messages;

This type of message is essentially a type of quoted message, but it is different from previous quoted messages. It includes the newly added fields externalReplyInfo and quote in early 24, whereas previous quoted messages contained the forwardFromChat field;

It is very difficult for normal users to send this type of quoted message. I have tried to manually send such messages but could not find a way to do so. Therefore, currently, these messages are mostly sent by advertising bots, which leads to older group management bots being unable to recognize them;

I have added functionality to my own bot to identify this type of message and automatically delete it and kick out accounts. If needed, you can refer to this approach to manage this type of spam information;

#BTC #ETH
After some statistics, it turns out that the data query bot I developed a year ago is now being used by nearly 200 groups, which is very gratifying for developers;

Recently, I attempted to analyze Coinbase's spot trading data using AI, providing a 4-hour level BTC spot main capital signal, which can be verified later to see if it's effective;

This AI signal has a total of 9 levels:
The four selling signals from weak to strong are: small sell, medium sell, large sell, super sell;

The four buying signals from weak to strong are: small buy, medium buy, large buy, super buy;

When there are no obvious buy or sell signals, it will prompt to maintain a wait-and-see approach. Currently, it is in a wait-and-see signal and has not yet entered the small buy stage;

#BTC #ETH
The number of excellent KOLs in the Chinese cryptocurrency circle is increasing. As more and more KOLs engage in genuine transactions with real money, the atmosphere of this circle improves, making it difficult for scammers to establish a foothold;

If there are still retail investors in the secondary market being deceived by KOLs charging for courses, it can only be said that their intelligence is indeed a bit low;

#BTC #ETH #Binance
【Binance Bullish Major Accounts Liquidated, Principal Loss of At Least 20 Million Dollars】

This is the largest single liquidation pushed by Binance that I have observed since tracking the data, a certain bull was liquidated at the price of 105,900 for 200 million dollars;

According to Binance's position and margin rules, the maximum leverage for opening a position of 200 million is 10 times, so the user's margin is at least 20 million dollars;

However, what is quite perplexing is his liquidation price of 105,900. Even if his opening price was at the highest point of 111,000, a position of 200 million can only be opened with leverage below 10 times, so even if he was rolling over the position, it was still done within a leverage of less than 10 times, yet he was liquidated in less than 6 points?

#BTC #ETH #LA #TRB
Today's LA and the TRB of 2023 are both completely malicious coins, with very ugly behaviors, relying on the support of exchanges behind them, trading without any scruples;

My real account of 3000u in December 2023 multiplied by 10 within a month to reach 30,000u, and the last order was a short on TRB, which was instantly blown up by a dog trader with over 1x leverage;

#BTC #ETH
Currently, the big piece hasn't reached my large position entry point, so I'm still focused on intraday trading. In this grinding market, using low leverage for intraday trading can still yield decent returns;

In this extremely prolonged grinding market where the top and bottom of the range are confirmed for the first time, the direction isn't that important. There are basically two types of people who lose money:

1: Those with high leverage who can't withstand the volatility, leading to stop losses, and often after the stop loss, a reversal happens quickly, causing regret and leading to a chaotic trading rhythm of chasing highs and cutting losses;

2: Those who chase highs and cut losses, gambling on a true breakout after hitting resistance and gambling on a true breakdown after hitting support. James falls into this category, but he only gambles on true breakouts, meaning he chases highs. This can lead to many ineffective stop losses;

#BTC #ETH
Recently, due to lack of profits, I haven't withdrawn for a long time; the last withdrawal was two months ago;

Contract players, after making money at their own pace, regardless of the amount, remember to keep withdrawing. This is the simplest and most effective way of managing funds.

#BTC #ETH
If you are losing hair, would you trust a doctor who claims to be a professional in treating hair loss, has 8 years of clinical experience but is actually balding himself?

You definitely wouldn't believe it, but in the crypto world, you dare to trust paid teachers, course sellers, and indicator sellers who claim to have a net worth of millions and extensive practical experience, yet have no real trading accounts;

If these teachers could make money, they would have already shown off their real trading accounts, because that would allow more people to pay them, but guess why they haven't done so? Because they are all scammers.

#BTC #ETH
Many KOLs are questioning whether James has hedging positions, and those who can say such things are almost all KOLs who do not engage in contract trading, except for Liangxi, who is more motivated by jealousy;

Next, I will use a series of data and trading knowledge to prove that James does not have a hedge, he is just the British version of Liangxi;

1: James's biggest source of profit comes from betting correctly on this round's super trend. His four long positions in btc, pepe, fartcoin, and trump have all been held for a very long time, with the shortest being over 20 days and the longest being more than 2 months for pepe. These four positions were built up from the bottom, yielding a total profit of 55 million dollars, with the highest profit exceeding 80 million dollars, but ultimately he made a profit of 55 million when all positions were closed;

Next comes the time when he lost the profits of 2 months within a week. After May 25, it can now be seen as the time when the big pie was topping out because all traders have path dependence. During this period, he continued to go long and was making breakout trades, initially adding high leverage when breaking through 110,000, and as the highs became lower, he started adding high leverage again every time it broke 109, ultimately wearing down his profit of over 50 million dollars within a 4% fluctuation range of the big pie;

Many people began to question whether James had hedging positions when he was losing money, but when he was making money from the bottom, very few voices stood up to question him. The reason for this is that when James was making money, most people were not making money, but when he was losing money, most people were also losing money. Therefore, the public unconsciously looks for external reasons from others, which is human nature;

Because traders have path dependence, James made it this round by rolling long positions, so even when it reached 110,000, he still expected a breakout. However, most retail investors were afraid to roll long from the bottom and only started to FOMO when it reached 110,000, leading to the common phenomenon of missing out when others are profiting and getting hit when others are losing;

2: James's positions are at a very exaggerated level, basically starting from 500 million, with the highest reaching 1.2 billion. According to the recent changes in the liquidity of the USDT perpetual contract trading pair on Binance, the liquidity from all centralized exchanges combined cannot allow James to hedge, so it is impossible for James to go long on HyperLiquid and short on exchanges like Binance for hedging;

3: Since the liquidity of centralized trading does not support James's hedging, is it possible for him to open hedge positions on HyperLiquid? This kind of hedging is feasible from a liquidity perspective, meaning opening positions in both directions on the same exchange, which is equivalent to taking the opposite side of your own trade, and it is feasible regardless of how large the position is;

However, those who have traded recently will notice that when James goes long and covers his positions, the market volatility increases. When James goes long, the market rapidly rises by several hundred points, and when he closes his long positions, the market drops by several hundred points. If he had hedging positions, it would not cause such obvious volatility;

Moreover, from post-monitoring during the same period, the short positions on HyperLiquid did not match James's positions. There was only one large position address that profited over 10 million dollars against James, but this is far from the 50 million dollars that James lost. If we also consider the subsequent recharge of over 20 million principal, the difference becomes even larger;

Conclusion: Therefore, by reviewing James's operations over the past two months, we can clearly see how he rolled positions from the bottom up and how he rolled back down to lose. Profits and losses are from the same source and have path dependence, which is reasonable and common in leveraged trading. Liangxi also experienced this situation recently, first making tens of millions of dollars and then losing it all back;

Combining the actual liquidity of the big pie contract market and the real-time changes in market conditions when James opens positions, it is clear that James does not have hedging positions; he simply did not manage his profit drawdown well, just a British version of Liangxi;
@JamesWynnReal @liangxihuigui

#BTC #ETH
The long and short sides of Ethereum are engaged in a high-stakes gamble, with Binance's positions experiencing explosive growth, accumulating 1.6 billion in positions above 2600;

Currently, it has temporarily broken through the previous high, and a direction will soon be chosen, until the other side surrenders. The sign of surrender is a rapid decrease in positions;

If it is a false breakout, the price will quickly drop, triggering stop losses for the longs, leading to a rapid decrease in positions. If it is a true breakout, it will trigger stop losses for the shorts, and positions will also decrease rapidly.

#BTC #ETH
【Exclusive Analysis】
To determine the timing for short positions in this market trend based on the two major super forces in the market:

1: Large B Exchange Spot Leverage Longs:

Before the current trend started, the main force of large B exchange spot leverage longs accumulated 13,000 bitcoins in February and March of this year. After entering May, this main force has gradually begun to take profits, and currently, there are about 7,000 bitcoins left to take profits in the short term;

If we extend the period, meaning the main force accumulated 80,000 bitcoins in 2022, there are currently 30,000 left to take profits;

2: CME Exchange's Golden Finger - Dealers:

Before Trump was elected president, dealers on the CME exchange opened long positions for 55,000 bitcoins at an average price of 60,000 within a week, betting on the Trump market. After Trump was elected, they accumulated an additional 15,000 bitcoins long positions, totaling 70,000 bitcoins long positions;

The two peaks created on December 17, 2024, and January 20, 2025, were the times when dealers on the CME increased their long leverage positions;

After February 2025, they began to accumulate reductions in long positions and increased short positions, reducing long positions by 30,000 bitcoins and accumulating short positions by 10,000 bitcoins;

After April 8, 2025, they stopped reducing long positions and resumed increasing long positions. By May 20, they had increased long positions by 13,000 bitcoins during this period, while their short positions almost stopped increasing but did not decrease;

From these two publicly traceable super forces in the bitcoin market, it can be seen that dealers on the CME are the main drivers of this bull market, playing an absolutely dominant role in the market;

Therefore, I believe the timing for starting to consider short positions in this trend is when CME dealers' long positions begin to reduce and they resume building short positions, alongside tracking the profit-taking situation of large B's spot leverage main force;

#BTC #ETH
Many people are curious why, before James reduced his position in the Pepe long, Bitcoin clearly reached its liquidation price (107600), but Hyperliquid did not liquidate it;

There are two reasons:
1: The exchange's liquidator needs to assess the current market liquidity before liquidation. If someone's position is large enough, like James's more than 700 million long position, then the liquidator will not immediately liquidate at the liquidation price; otherwise, it would cause significant price spikes leading to liquidation, so generally, a buffer space is given to large holders;

2: Liquidation is calculated based on the mark price, which can relatively avoid errors caused by price spikes, and there will be a liquidation order queue during liquidation. That large holder's position may be about to enter or has already entered the liquidation queue;

What’s interesting here is that at the edge of this large holder's liquidation, Bitcoin suddenly surged by 1200 points. I believe this is not James buying spot to rescue himself, but rather a behavior of smart money speculating that after James's liquidation, there would be a price spike upwards leading to a rush to buy.

#BTC #ETH
Many people are curious about why Hyperliquid did not liquidate James's large Pepe long position before he reduced his holdings, even though the price of Bitcoin clearly reached its liquidation price (176);

There are two reasons:
1: The exchange's liquidators need to assess the current market liquidity before liquidating. If someone's position is large enough, like James's 700 million long position, the liquidators will not immediately liquidate at the liquidation price; otherwise, it would create a significant spike, which could lead to a liquidation cascade. Generally, they will give large traders a bit of breathing room;

2: Liquidation is calculated based on the mark price. The mark price can relatively well avoid errors caused by spikes, and there will be a queue for liquidation orders; the large trader's position may be about to enter or has already entered the liquidation queue;

Interestingly, on the edge of this large trader's liquidation, Bitcoin suddenly surged by 1200 points. I believe this was not James buying spot to save himself, but rather a significant amount of smart money betting that there would be an upward spike after James's liquidation, leading to a rush to buy.

#BTC #ETH
I believe that Bitcoin is currently very close to entering a major consolidation phase. In extreme cases, there may be a final push upwards of up to 5 points, with the consolidation range approximately between 98-115;

#BTC #ETH
【Insider哥】The first significant loss has occurred, last night he continuously deposited 3 million dollars as margin, but still couldn't avoid being continuously stopped out, and is currently on the edge of being liquidated again;

Insider哥 is also an emotional person, probably unhappy with 8亿哥James, so he completely took the opposite position. He didn't take profits from over a million dollars yesterday, which ultimately led to a current loss of 7 million dollars;

【8亿哥James】8亿哥 reduced his position to 200 million yesterday to take profits, and later in the evening he increased his position to 1.1 billion. He tends to take profits and close positions when there's a clear acceleration in the decline, and he is skilled at chasing the market, combining technical expertise with a strong nerve, truly a top player in the industry.

#BTC #ETH
Recently, the prominent figures in the crypto space are becoming more impressive, with the likes of 【Make a Billion】, followed by 【Insider Bro】, and now 【800 Million Bro】. The major player @JamesWynnReal on HyperLiquid holds a long position of 800 million dollars;

What does 800 million dollars mean? Recently, Binance had a total of only 500 million dollars in new positions from all users between 102-107. This big player alone matches the new positions opened by all users on the Binance exchange;

Therefore, the previous high position won't stay flat for too long, and there will soon be significant fluctuations to determine the outcome, probably within an hour we will see the results;

#BTC #ETH
The endpoint of this bullish trend in Ethereum should be when the exchange rate of Big B Network against Ethereum reaches a profit-taking point for 1 million long positions.

#BTC #ETH
Plan to start the second phase of Binance live trading this weekend, related trading details are as follows:

【Follow Trading Details】
1: The minimum follow trading amount is still 2000 USDT;
2: No lock-in period is set anymore, you can exit at any time;
3: Profit sharing ratio is 10%;
4: It is recommended to directly set the follow trading ratio, do not make additional settings;
5: Each transaction will provide the basis for opening orders in the follow trading group, helping everyone verify and establish a trading system from start to finish based on practical experience;

【Trading System】
1: This follow trading will reduce the frequency of opening orders, lower leverage, open positions in separate accounts, focusing on medium to long-term trades, with the highest leverage controlled not to exceed 10 times;

2: Still mainly focus on volatile markets, if the rhythm is good enough, we might catch trending markets, but at that time there should be very good profits, and everyone can accept trading time for space;

3: Usually, I will not do short-term trading in the follow trading account, I will make short-term trades in another account, but during weekends or when extreme data signals appear, I will do some short-term trades;

4: Corresponding expected returns should be adjusted downward, based on quarterly standards, expected returns within a quarter are 3-5 times, if the rhythm is right, it can reach 10 times;

5: Even if my risk management is good, there will still be extreme market conditions leading to significant losses, so do not use all your funds to follow trading, do not use all your funds to follow trading, do not use all your funds to follow trading;

【Benefits of This Round of Follow Trading】
1: At the end of May, I will select the top three traders with the highest follow trading profits from my followers, who will receive rewards of 1000 USDT, 600 USDT, and 400 USDT, respectively. This is a benefit actively provided by Binance, and only 5 private domain follow trading groups have this reward;

2: After the follow trading ends, I will take out 10,000 USDT and select 10 people from the follow trading, each receiving a 1000 USDT red envelope, but these 10 people must use this 1000 USDT on Coin to set up a live account to demonstrate their trading process. If you do not agree, you can leave the opportunity to others;

Finally: talk is cheap, show me your trade, everything speaks with real trading, whether it's critics or scammers, before criticizing, first check if you have real trading and if you're qualified;

#BTC #ETH #hyperliquid
Yesterday, a large trader opened a short position of 120 million dollars in Bitcoin around 96 on hyperliquid and has exited with a stop-loss above 98, incurring a total loss of nearly 3 million dollars;

After this large trader exited with a stop-loss, the market immediately began to pull back. This is just one publicly known short position; if we consider other undisclosed short positions, this surge seems like a targeted explosion.