Ethereum | 2016-2017 vs 2024-2025 Cycle My friends,
The past teaches us a lot. Just as the rise started in the 2016-2017 cycle, there are similar signals now in the 2024-2025 period. So why can't ETH be 10,000 $ ?
This is not just a dream, the fundamentals are strong:
ETH Spot ETF Locked supply with staking Expectations of Fed interest rate cuts Institutional investor interest When all these come together, this target is not far away, only patience is needed.
Although it seems like he hasn’t said much on the surface, the subtext is actually quite clear:
📌 1. He says the strategic language will change:
We will reassess our approach to employment and inflation policies. → This is a sign that the Fed will make decisions based on new conditions rather than old rules.
📌 2. The average inflation target may be revised: "The 2% target is no longer sacred." → This means that even if inflation remains around 2.3-2.4%, a rate cut could still come.
📌 3. Supply shocks may become more frequent: → This means that future price volatility could increase, which implies a more flexible and responsive Fed.
📌 4. He doesn’t speak directly about interest rates: By saying, "I will not comment on the short-term interest rate outlook," he avoids giving a direct signal, but the message has already been conveyed.
What Message Should We Take for June 2025 and Beyond?
🔸 Powell indicates that the Fed will make decisions based on variable conditions rather than strict rules. 🔸 This flexibility is something the markets appreciate. 🔸 The CPI and PPI data already say, "inflation is decreasing." 🔸 This softening in Powell's language shows that a rate cut is now a matter of timing.
What Does This Mean for Bitcoin and Altcoins?
1. Clearly positive: – Inflation pressure has decreased – Rate cuts are on the horizon – The Fed’s flexible stance will redirect capital back to risky assets
2. June – July period: Could be a turning point
– During this process, the crypto market will first recover with BTC – Then a strong capital flow will begin towards altcoins
3. Investor psychology is shifting – Now everyone starts to think, "when should I sell," which indicates the beginning of rallies.
Friends, THE RESULT: Every sentence that comes out of Powell's mouth actually conveys this message for the crypto market: "We are not as tight as before. We are open to change. If conditions deteriorate a bit more, we will ease."
This is a significant signal for patient investors. The Fed is preparing not to be the brake, but the gas pedal. I believe the first spark of the altcoin season has already been ignited...
Producer Price Index (PPI): %2.4 – Came in lower than expected (%2.5), decrease compared to the previous month (%2.7 → %2.4) → Signals a decrease in inflationary pressure
Unemployment Claims: 229K – Same as expected, very close to the previous data → No sudden deterioration in the labor market, but signs of gradual cooling are emerging
What Happened to the General Outlook? CPI fell PPI fell ADP and Non-Farm Payrolls weakened GDP negative Unemployment steady but pressure is increasing
So: 👉 Inflation is decreasing 👉 Growth is weak 👉 Employment is stable but fragile
What Do These Data Mean?
There is an environment that eases the Fed's hand:
– With this data, the possibility of an interest rate cut in the summer of 2025 has strengthened further – Powell's message of “we will act according to the data” can now be interpreted as “we are approaching a cut”
A rally ground is forming for altcoins – Especially falling inflation + stagnant growth = pressure to “return liquidity”
What Should Be Done?
📌 Every data coming in June supports taking positions in favor of crypto 📌 July, August, and September: The potential for an altcoin season is very high 📌 Those who patiently hold positions in projects at the bottom may win
AS A RESULT The Fed is approaching a cut, and the data supports this. This summer may mark the beginning of a transformation for the Bitcoin and altcoin market.
Let's watch together to see what nonsense he will say this time.
Because he is really cornered now. Inflation data has clearly shown a decline. Data and investor pressure are increasingly signaling a rate cut.
But Powell keeps beating around the bush, stalling.
My expectation: We may see a recovery in #Altcoins by the evening. Focus on the big picture, not short-term fluctuations. Protect your basket, the way is up!
🔹 First, a rise led by $BTC 🔹 Then Ethereum and altcoins need to follow BTC
But be careful: I don't think BTC Dominance will increase while Bitcoin rises. What happened in January 2021? BTC rose but dominance fell. I expect a repeat of the same scenario.
📌 While moving towards the 120K – 150K range, I expect a strong Altcoin Season where Ethereum and major altcoins will take the stage.
In this process: ❌ I don't see strong BTC Dominance ✅ May and June will be positive 📆 And I believe this wave will continue until September – October – November 2025.
Focus, be patient, look at the big picture! #Bitcoin #ETH #Altcoins #Crypto
My friends, the recent rise in Ethereum is due to spot demand, not leveraged trading.
Financing rates are low, meaning this movement is organic and healthy. This tells us the following: ✔️ Price increase is not speculative. ✔️ Liquidation risk is low. ✔️ The foundation of the rise is strong.
In the course of time, as confidence increases, we may also see a rise in financing rates.
For now, the outlook is positive! $ETH #Ethereum #Crypto