TT陌浪

From the chart, it can be seen that HBAR's recent performance shows a steady upward trend, while contract data also indicates that market participants are optimistic about its future trajectory. Specifically:

From the daily candlestick chart, HBAR's price is steadily rising overall, gradually moving up from nearly $0.08 and forming a stable support and resistance structure within key technical ranges. Although there have been some short-term pullbacks, the overall fluctuation still maintains an upward channel, with trading volume significantly increasing during pullbacks, providing ample buying support for subsequent rebounds.

Recently, the contract open interest and trading volume have significantly increased, especially in long-term data (such as 24 months), indicating that bullish funds are actively accumulating. At the same time, the funding rate is at a relatively low level, suggesting that the current market sentiment has not shown any significant overheating, and is more driven by healthy funds. The enhanced strength of positions in the contract data further confirms the bullish trend supported by the daily chart.

Multi-period comparative analysis:

The data comparison from 15 days, 30 days, to as long as 24 months, 48 months, and even 72 months shows that HBAR is in an upward state from both short-term and long-term perspectives. In the long run, market participants have formed high confidence and are supporting prices through continuous contract accumulation and active trading volume. Although there may be some pullbacks in the short term, this is precisely a window for bullish accumulation, and a rebound is expected to occur at key support levels in the future.

Considering the daily trend and contract data, HBAR is currently in a stable upward channel. The chart clearly shows that HBAR exhibits continuous signs of accumulation and robust upward momentum from both technical and contract perspectives, possessing good medium to long-term growth potential, and is a small coin worth watching.

The DOGE price is hovering around the key support zone of $0.20 to $0.205. After a significant decline, the price has formed a sideways consolidation here. The short-term moving averages (5-day, 10-day) are trending downward and converging at low levels, indicating that the market is waiting for direction confirmation. The RSI is at a low level (around the 30-40 range), suggesting the market is close to an oversold state, with rebound potential; at the same time, the MACD shows signs of a bottom divergence, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, reflecting a decrease in recent volatility.

If DOGE can stabilize in the $0.20 to $0.205 range, accompanied by a rebound in RSI and a positive shift in MACD, a rebound after consolidation is expected in the short term, with resistance levels to be observed around $0.21 to $0.215; conversely, if the price falls below $0.195, it may trigger a new decline, posing significant risks.

Gradual positioning: It is recommended to wait for the price to stabilize in the $0.20 to $0.205 range and for technical indicators to confirm a reversal before gradually buying on dips.
Strict stop-loss: Set the stop-loss point around $0.195 to avoid significant impacts on positions during short-term sharp declines in the market.
Pay attention to trading volume: If trading volume increases during a rebound, it will further validate buying strength; low trading volume requires caution.
Operational discipline: It is recommended to follow the established investment plan, adjust positions in a timely manner, and avoid emotional trading that leads to losses.

Summary: Currently, the DOGE price is building a base near a key low, and technical indicators suggest the market may be brewing reversal signals, but short-term risks still exist. It is advised that investors position themselves cautiously, implement strict stop-loss measures, and closely monitor trading volume and overall market sentiment to make rational decisions.

#DOGE

The current market is turning bearish. Either you go short and wait for opportunities, or you go short and take advantage of a few waves. There will be a new wave of decline in the future, and if there is a rebound, you should get out quickly. From the forecast on the 12th, I saw that it just broke through my psychological price. If there are brothers who shorted on that day, the profit will be considerable.
$BTC

#加密市场反弹 Is it currently bullish or bearish?
Currently focusing on BTC's trend
1 From a technical perspective, the high hanging candle on January 20th is a strong reversal signal, and subsequently, BTC has started to weaken. The three consecutive declines over the past three days indicate that the bears are still in a strong phase. If the price breaks below the recent low (point on the 13th, it is very likely to trigger a technical sell-off)
2 MA has formed a death cross
3 RSI is neutral to weak
4 Trump is in power, and positive news has been fully realized
From my view, the entire market is in a high probability downtrend. Not trading or shorting seems to be a more prudent strategy. (P1)

After looking at the overall market, let's talk about pnut. Since the beginning of the year, I have been out of the market. Pnut has gone from a popular coin to a stagnant state since then, relying on squirrels to get through a good year. Today, let’s take another look at the data; there is still no liquidity from the main players. Don’t think that just because it has dropped so much, it’s time to catch the falling knife. Without support from major players, combined with the overall market's downtrend, it is highly likely to continue to drop along with the overall market.

From the objective data, it can be analyzed that this coin is currently in a state of gradual decline. It’s not too late to buy the dip when there are signs of movement from major players!

#Pnut #BTC

#PNUT

I almost got the order I placed. It can only be said that it is a pity. When I got up at noon, it had already rebounded. Don't enter the market with FOMO at this time. The current news is that the banker has been changed, and the position has increased by 10% in 8 hours, but the price has also been pulled up by 5%. In my opinion, the expectations are not high, and it is not a good ambush signal. Maybe Xinzhuang will pull another wave, but the uncertainty is too high, so I will be conservative and wait and see.
$PNUT

#PNUT

The previous post mentioned that I am empty-handed again. The main force of the squirrels hasn't shown much movement, lacking a breakout point. From the data, it can be seen that the main force has no increase in contract holdings. However, there is a main force support around 0.58 (historically, the main force tends to open contracts to coordinate with spot trading at this level), so I placed an order at this point. If I can get filled, this price level can wait for a small rebound.

#PNUT

So tired, the squirrel actually did not rise with the market this time, the previous inflow did not yield results, it feels like a turnover. So tired, I'll set a stop loss of about 5% here for the old stranger.

#PNUT

Getting up to take a look, the probability of this wave of data starting is high. I have already jumped in here. The main force has been flowing in for 24 hours, going long. The position size is also large enough.
The night owls in the community have managed to lower their costs, while I slept until noon and lost quite a bit haha🤣

$PNUT

#PNUT

The main force has started to go long; I wonder how many people FOMOed in during today's rally. Each set is deeper than the last. The old stranger also closed the position at 0.62 this morning. It's a kind of celebration before the storm.

$PNUT

#PNUT

Yesterday I said that the main force had a wave of false bullishness, and how many people jumped on board thinking there would be a big rebound?
The squirrel's popularity is too high, and now with the decline, everyone has a kind of expectation for a big rebound in their hearts. Therefore, after the main force shows false bullish movements, there should still be more, but data does not lie; one can make a judgment based on how much the main force has entered the market. Right now, the goal is to repeatedly torment everyone with the squirrel until they lose confidence, and only then will the main force have the motivation to drive up the price.

#PNUT

The main force is inducing more, and the changes in positions and contract inflows have not yet met my expectations. (The change in positions in the chart is too small) I took a wave at 0.62, but it's not enough. Patiently waiting, let's explore downward again, I can handle it.

$PNUT

#PNUT

The spot observation warehouse of 0.62 has been received. At present, the rebound strength of this wave of 0.58 is a little stronger than before. But it is only a little bit, which cannot be compared with the previous data. Let's explore again.

$PNUT

#PNUT

Good news: The main players are still in operation, preparing for a bigger surge.

Bad news: The main players are boiling the frog in warm water🐸

The direction is to short and close long positions, this time the main players obviously want to wash out the market significantly. They aim to wash out retail investors to a point of despair. Right now, it's basically waking up to a drop of 0.1. Every time there is a spike, the main players will open a few M in volume to support for a while, forming a false rebound before trapping more retail investors in a bullet stock. Afterwards, by opening short positions and closing long positions, they will prevent retail investors from pushing the price up. Thus, in a relatively vacuum price range, they are slowly boiling the frog in warm water.

The butt decides the head; I hope for a larger drop, and the longer the time, the stronger the rebound will be. Now, altcoins have already started to move on their own trend. Personally, I lean towards the possibility that after this wave of washing in December, altcoins will welcome their season in January.

All the posts up to this point are based on the analysis combining contract data and candlestick charts. Before coming to the crypto world, I also used candlestick analysis, but the environment is different. Compared to other markets, the usage frequency of contracts in the crypto market is much higher. Not incorporating the analysis of contract flows means missing out on an important indicator, causing cognitive biases that have led many candlestick experts to stumble. If crypto friends are players who prefer to buy with their eyes closed, then I won't say anything.

$PNUT

#PNUT
Friends who have been following me know that I have been in cash and bearish lately. Some friends saw my post and cut losses to sell. This wave of altcoin spikes is really dangerous. I used to be optimistic about Squirrel because the main players were still actively trading, but now I am bearish on Squirrel because the main players are crazily shorting and closing longs. Looking at the current situation, there is still no signal to enter the market. If it goes any lower, I won’t just think the main players have left; I will start to suspect that the organizers are about to leave too.🤣

Everything is analyzed based on actual data. Only now can I be in cash and relax. The alerts are always on, waiting for entry opportunities.

Years of experience in the crypto world tell me that the altcoin season doesn’t end that early. Let’s patiently wait and decide on trades based on the situation!

$PNUT

#PNUT

I have to go back on my word. I originally planned to buy again around 0.95, as there wasn't much downward pressure. Now, looking at the actions of the main players, there is no sign of any takeover; it's all short-term trading. The market's stability relies entirely on retail investors holding firm. What I'm worried about now is that the main players might withdraw and stop participating, leaving it as a retail-driven market. I still hold the same viewpoint: I will consider entering the market only when there is a flow of funds from the main players.

Recently, I've been closely monitoring the data, and it's making me feel drowsy, but I am patiently waiting for news. The warning system is also indicating a capital outflow. Fortunately, I had already exited my previous holdings. I remember a fellow saying that my exit lacked vision; I wonder where he is now making noise. If he has been paying continuous attention, he should have exited as well. I've posted several bearish comments.

Data doesn't lie; we should analyze it rationally and maintain cautious connections. (See the chart, how the main funds are moving…

$PNUT

#PNUT

If the main force doesn't move, I won't move. The current capital inflow is too poor. There is no big draw. The main chips that were at the low point before were almost all released in the last wave of market conditions.

Now it just depends on where the main force wants to plant roots. There is no movement at all in these data points. It seems that the main force at this point is not very satisfied. Want it lower!

$PNUT

#PNUT

I have been monitoring this position for a long time. From the contract data, it seems that the main force has not made significant moves to support 1.05. Overall, it is highly likely that it will still fall below that level. The rebound at 1.04 did not see much inflow of main capital; it was mostly absorbed by us retail investors. The downward trend has continued since I last posted about it. The clues provided by the contract data have also made the direction relatively clear.

$PNUT

#PNUT

It seems that Squirrel's message doesn't work very well. I still want to smash the plate and pick it up. With such a big headline, the price dropped less than 2%, which is equivalent to not falling in the currency circle.

$PNUT