The current market is turning bearish. Either you go short and wait for opportunities, or you go short and take advantage of a few waves. There will be a new wave of decline in the future, and if there is a rebound, you should get out quickly. From the forecast on the 12th, I saw that it just broke through my psychological price. If there are brothers who shorted on that day, the profit will be considerable.

(This operation is only a personal investment idea and does not constitute investment advice)
Conclusion first: short-term bearish, technical side shows the dual characteristics of "high volatility + momentum exhaustion", adopt the compound strategy of "short on rallies + key rebound". If the price does not fall below $95,000 before February 25, I will re-evaluate whether the medium-term trend turns to a volatile pattern.
Technical Analysis:
EMA: 50EMA crosses below 100EMA, forming a “death cross”
MACD momentum: The column shrunk from +1,820 on February 10 to +1,240 on February 15, and the difference between DIF and DEA narrowed to 450

Bollinger Bands: After the price breaks through the upper band of 110,400, the band width expands to 3.2 times the standard deviation, triggering mean reversion