Crypto_with_her

$TRX

🟢Break of Structure (BOS): Clean Bullish Breakout
TRX recently broke above a key structural level—confirming a BOS. This move signals that the previous resistance has turned into new support, validating the bullish bias.

🟢Retest Holding Strong at $0.351
After the breakout, price pulled back and tested the $0.351 zone—a smart-money order block—and is holding firm. That indicates that institutional traders are defending this area, preventing a deeper pullback.

🟢Next Liquidity Grab at $0.37 (Weak High Supply Zone)
When price previously peaked around $0.37, it created a "weak high" (a supply area) likely targeted by smart money to collect sell orders or stops. This makes $0.37 the next logical upside liquidity target.

🟢Structural Support at $0.3289 – Key to the Uptrend
A drop below $0.3289 would threaten the bullish structure. As long as $0.3289 holds, the path of least resistance remains north, making long setups favorable.

🟢Technical & On-Chain Confirmation
Moving Averages: TRX sits comfortably above key EMAs (20-day, 50-day, 200-day), favoring bulls

Market Position Indicators: CryptoRank’s analysis flags a weak spot—TRX slipped below its ascending trendline, and on-chain metrics like Spot Taker CVD and funding rates are bearish—suggesting cautious upside ahead.

What It Means & How to Trade It

Swing Traders: Enter near $0.351 with stop-loss just below $0.3289 and aim for $0.37. Good risk-reward scenario.

Aggressive Shorts: If price breaks below $0.3289 decisively, consider short entries targeting $0.32–$0.33.

On-Chain Alert: Rising negative Spot Taker CVD and negative funding rates warn of seller pressure—confirm strength before adding positions.

🎀MY POV:

TRX has confirmed a breakout (BOS), held the retest, and is eyeing the next high at $0.37. Structural support at $0.3289 is the last line of bullish defense. Combined with smart-money patterns, this aligns well for a long setup, but caution is advised due to weak on-chain signals.

#TRX #Tron #CryptoTrading #SMC #PriceAction #CryptoCharts #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakOfStructure #SmartMoneyConcepts #CryptoMarket #Altcoins #CryptoCommunity #CryptoTraders #LiquidityHunt

🔑 NVIDIA Earnings → Crypto Impact
1. AI Tokens Ride the Sentiment
* •NVIDIA’s revenue beat (+56% YoY) keeps the AI supercycle alive.
* •AI-linked crypto tokens (like $RNDR, $FET, $AGIX, $AKT) often move in tandem with NVIDIA because funds treat them as satellite plays on AI infrastructure.
* •Expect speculative flows into AI coins despite NVDA’s stock dipping.

2. Risk-On / Risk-Off Flows Spill Over
* •Post-earnings, NVDA stock dropped ~3% on China export fears.
* •If this triggers broader Nasdaq weakness, crypto (BTC & ETH) could see short-term outflows as funds de-risk.
* •However, any Fed dovish tilt (on weaker tech guidance) could reverse this into a crypto rally.

3. Mining & GPU Supply
* •NVIDIA’s Blackwell AI GPUs are in extreme demand → supply squeeze in GPU markets.
* •This indirectly affects GPU-mineable coins (Kaspa, Ravencoin, Ergo), which could see mining demand rise as spillover from constrained GPU supply chains.

4. Macro Narrative Reinforced
* •If NVDA sustains $40–50B quarterly revenue, it validates the AI economy as a structural trend.
* •That narrative boosts “digital future assets” — AI tokens + large-cap crypto like ETH (as the base layer for AI-token infrastructure).

5. Institutional Correlation Trade
* •Funds holding NVDA + BTC/ETH baskets often rebalance after big earnings.
* •If NVDA keeps dipping, BTC/ETH could see rotation into them as alternative growth/risk exposure (hedge play).

🎀MY POV:
🟢Bull case: NVIDIA earnings keep the AI wave alive → AI tokens pump, ETH benefits as base layer.

🔴Bear case: Geopolitical (China bans) + stock dip triggers broader risk-off → BTC/ETH face short-term pressure.

🔸Wild card: If Fed hints at cuts in response to weaker NVDA China outlook → crypto rips higher.

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #Altcoins #CryptoNews #CryptoMarkets
#NVIDIA #AI #Semiconductors #AITokens #GPU #TechStocks
#Bullish #RiskOn #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate $ETH

What's Happening Today
🟢Current Price & Volume
* 🔺TRX trades around $0.349–$0.350, with intraday highs near $0.3526 and lows around $0.3462.
* 🔺Market capitalization sits near $33 billion, ranking TRX within the top 10 crypto assets.

🟢Stablecoin Dominance, But Price Under Pressure
* 🔺Tron has surpassed Ethereum in stablecoin transfer volume, hitting $600 billion — a testament to its utility-led strength.
* 🔺Yet, TRX broke its ascending trendline, signaling possible short-term correction.

🟢 Spot Selling vs Whale Accumulation
* 🔺TRX dropped to $0.34 amid heavy spot selling (~650 million tokens traded in 24 hours).
* 🔺Meanwhile, whale activity surged—monthly large-scale buys reached $5.5 million in August, and average whale transaction count rose.
* 🔺Open interest in futures shrank to ~$177 million, indicating lower speculative exposure.
* 🔺Technical indicators (Negative DMI > Positive DMI, low Stochastic RSI) suggest downward pressure; a bounce back to $0.36 hinges on change in selling dynamics.
$
🟢 Long-Term Channel Intact
* 🔺TRX remains inside a multi-year ascending channel (since 2019), currently near the midline (~$0.35–$0.37).
* 🔺Key resistance lies near $0.40—a breakout here could open swings toward $1.00.

🟢 Forecasts Vary Widely
* 🔺Short-term projections (e.g., Changelly) anticipate ranges of $0.27–$0.33 this August, with upward bias heading into September.
* 🔺Wave-count models predict TRX could trade as low as $0.20 or as high as $0.76 by year-end, depending on breakout execution.

‼️WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN‼️

Trading Strategies:
1. 🔸Short-Term Bounce Play
* If price dips to ~$0.34 and whale buying persists, look for a bounce toward $0.36–$0.37. Good risk-reward if entry under $0.345.
2. 🔷Breakout Over $0.37
* Closing above $0.37 could trigger upside momentum—possible next target is $0.40–$0.45, aligning with channel midpoint.
3. 🔴Failure to Hold Support
* A breakdown below $0.34, especially under $0.328, may open the path to test $0.32–$0.33. Raise stop-loss discipline or wait for re-accumulation before re-entering.
4. 🟢Long-Term Commitment
* For longer-term investors, channel structure suggests prudent accumulation around support zones ($0.32–$0.34), with potential for sizable gains if crypto markets heat up.

🎀MY POV:

Whales are quietly stacking TRX at current levels, showing conviction while broader sentiment remains weak. This doesn’t yet guarantee a price reversal, but it builds a base.

🟢The key signal: if whale accumulation continues and spot pressure eases, watch for a climb back toward resistance zones like $0.36–$0.40.

$TRX
#TRX #Tron #Crypto #Altcoins #CryptoNews
#WhaleWatching #CryptoWhales #onchaindata #CryptoMarkets #CryptoAnalysis
#Bullish #CryptoTrading #CryptoInvesting #MarketUpdate #blockchain

‼️What’s Changed?
New forecast: Morgan Stanley now expects a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in both September and December 2025, with additional quarterly cuts through 2026, bringing the terminal Federal Funds rate to around 2.75%–3.0%. This replaces their earlier projection of no rate cuts until March 2026.‼️

🔴Why the Shift?
The revision follows Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the Jackson Hole symposium, where he placed increased emphasis on labor market risks over battling inflation—signaling a possible easing bias.

🔷From their Monday note:
They expect a 25-basis-point rate cut in September, followed by another in December 2025, and quarterly reductions through 2026 to reach a terminal rate of 2.75%–3.0%.

🔴They also observed:
Powell’s “tone marked a departure from his earlier emphasis on inflation persistence and low unemployment, suggesting the Fed may move preemptively to manage downside risks to the labor market.”

📉📈 Market Impact of Expected Fed Cuts

1. Stock Market (Equities)

Positive near-term: Rate cuts usually boost equities because lower borrowing costs support corporate profits and investor appetite.

Rotation likely: Growth/tech stocks tend to benefit first (cheaper money fuels innovation & valuations), while defensive sectors may lag.

Caveat: If cuts are seen as a response to a weakening economy, the rally may be short-lived.

2-US Dollar (Forex)

Likely weaker USD: Lower rates reduce dollar-denominated returns, potentially pushing investors into other currencies.
Could boost emerging markets that rely on dollar funding, as a weaker USD eases their debt pressure.

3-Commodities (Gold, Oil)

Gold: Typically rises as real yields fall; rate cuts support gold as a safe-haven.

Oil: Impact depends on growth expectations — cuts support demand, but if markets see them as a sign of slowdown, oil may remain pressured.

4-CRYPTO
-Liquidity Boost = Risk-On Mode
-Dollar Weakness Helps Crypto
-Altcoin Cycles Could Heat Up
-“insurance cuts” = strong rally; “panic cuts” = choppy action.

#MorganStanley #FederalReserve #USMarkets #GlobalMarkets #Economy #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy #FinanceNews $SOL
$XRP
$BTC

🔸Plasma (token: XPL) is positioning itself as a stablecoin rails chain: EVM compatibility, Bitcoin-anchored security, and promises of near zero-fee USDT transfers. Fundraising and distribution metrics are notable — early deposit interest and a public token sale drove hundreds of millions in commitments, with strategic backers (Founders Fund, Framework, Bitfinex, Flow Traders, Bybit and others) supporting development.

🔸 Its core product promise: near zero-fee USDT transfers secured by checkpointing to Bitcoin.

🔸 XPL is the chain’s native asset: used for validator security/staking, governance, and fee mechanics (including burn mechanics). The team positions XPL as the “core asset” to scale stablecoin usage onchain.

🟢 Tokenomics (high-level, from the protocol docs)
* 🔺Total initial supply: 10,000,000,000 XPL at mainnet beta.
* 🔺Allocation:
* 10% (1B) — public sale.
* 40% (4B) — ecosystem & growth (8% unlocked at mainnet beta; remainder vests monthly over 3 years).
* 25% (2.5B) — team (1-year cliff, then vesting).
* 25% (2.5B) — investors.
* 🔺Unlock / lock rules: non-US public buyers get tokens at mainnet beta; US purchasers face a 12-month lock; investor & team allocations have staged unlocks. The docs also describe an EIP-1559 style burn mechanism to offset inflation.
🟢Fund Raising and Market traction

🔺 Deposit phase & presale demand: early deposit/vault phase saw huge demand (reports of $500M in deposits/reservations during the deposit window). That surge was part of allocation mechanics used to determine public sale allocations.

🔺 Public sale: the public token sale closed oversubscribed; reputable outlets report ~$373M in public commitments, with the sale priced to imply a $500M network valuation (10% sold). Different coverage quotes “$500M” for deposits/FDV and “$373M” for final public commitments — both describe the same fundraising episode from different phases.

🔺Exchange / partner programs: Binance offered a $250M USDT locked product (yield program) that distributed XPL rewards and reached its cap quickly — a signal that exchanges and large platforms are participating in early distribution.

🟢 Strengths / upside cases

🔺Huge institutional demand: large deposit/presale numbers and exchange programs signal strong institutional/intermediary interest, reducing early liquidity risk.

🔺Big-name backers + exchange integrations: names like Founders Fund, Framework, Bitfinex and Binance support give onboarding, liquidity and distribution channels that many new chains lack.

🟢 Who officially invested / backed XPL (public lists)

Publicly reported/backer names include (representative, not exhaustive):
* 🔺Founders Fund (Peter Thiel / founder’s fund lead).
* 🔺Framework Ventures (Series A lead).
* 🔺Bitfinex / Paolo Ardoino (listed as backer).
* 🔺Hifi, Yellowcard , Kast, holyheld walapay as partners
* 🔺Flow Traders, Bybit, Laser Digital, 6th Man Ventures, Anthos Capital, Manifold, DRW VC (reported on funding round listings / trackers).

🟢 Risks & red flags (what worries researchers)

🔺Concentrated supply / centralization: only 10% of supply went to the public; investors + team hold 50%. That concentration creates potential for selling pressure when unlocks occur.

🔺Execution risk: the value proposition (zero-fee USDT transfers secured via Bitcoin checkpoints) depends on mainnet performance, bridge security, and robust audits. Mainnet beta and audits are milestones to watch.

🔺Regulatory & stablecoin risk: stablecoin rails face intense regulatory focus globally; any regulatory constraint on on-chain stablecoin flows or partnerships could materially affect adoption. (This is a sector-level risk; Plasma is especially exposed because stablecoins are its core.)

🔺Information / transparency gaps: rapid demand + large raises sometimes outpace public disclosure; investors should watch for full audit publication, on-chain holder concentration (top wallets), and exact unlock schedules.

#XPL #Plasma #cryptouniverseofficial #stablecoin #bitcointrading

The Trump family has unveiled World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a crypto project centered on its own WLFI governance token and a USD1 stablecoin. The initiative is heavily controlled by the Trumps, who own about 60% of the venture and take 75% of proceeds from token sales.

💰 Financials & Partnerships
WLFI has already raised more than $550 million in presales.
The family is expected to earn $400–500 million directly from token sales.
Through a partnership with ALT5 Sigma, a publicly traded firm, a $1.5 billion treasury vehicle is being built to hold WLFI tokens, similar to MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin model.
Eric Trump has joined the board of ALT5, with other Trump allies in key roles.
Trading of WLFI begins on September 1, 2025, with 20% of tokens unlocked for early backers and 80% controlled by later governance decisions.

⚠️ Criticisms & Risks
Conflict of interest: Ethics experts warn that the family is directly profiting from a project while Donald Trump is president, raising concerns of political influence over regulation.

Unsustainable model: Analysts call the strategy an “infinite money glitch,” since it relies on selling new shares and tokens to inflate value without clear fundamentals.
Investor disadvantage: Most governance power remains with the Trumps, leaving retail buyers with little control.

📉 Historical Context
Trump-linked ventures often show volatility:
Truth Social’s parent company saw a 73% stock decline.
The $TRUMP memecoin fell by about 90% from its peak.
Trump NFTs held value around $200 but still left many early buyers in losses.

#TRUMP #WLFI #CryptoNews #CryptoInvesting #DeFi #CryptoRisk #TrumpCrypto #TokenLaunch #CryptoAlert #DigitalAssets #CryptoMarket #Stablecoin #CryptoInvestors $WLFI
#CryptoWatch

🔮MY POV:
WLFI’s launch is one of the boldest blends of politics, finance, and crypto branding to date. While it may attract massive attention, critics argue it benefits the Trump family far more than outside investors. The long-term sustainability of the project remains highly uncertain.

🟢Volatility hurts, but it also hands you opportunity.

Here’s what’s really driving this drawdown—and how I’m thinking about next steps.

🔴Why the market is selling off
1. Sticky inflation → policy uncertainty. Core inflation is back above 3%, and producer prices recently jumped +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 years). That keeps the “higher-for-longer” fear alive and weighs on risk assets.
2. Yields & dollar pressure. When bond yields and the DXY pop, global liquidity tightens—risk assets (including crypto) de-rate first.
3. Positioning + leverage. Elevated leverage means small dips trigger long liquidations, which cascade into bigger selloffs (reflexivity).
4. ETF flow chop. U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw mixed flows—mid-week outflows, then inflows—creating whipsaw price action instead of steady bids.
5. Macro growth jitters. Soft global data (China/Europe) plus U.S. slowdown signals keep recession probabilities on the table—bad for alts with “future cash-flow” narratives.
6. Headline risk. Geopolitics and tariff rhetoric inject episodic risk-off bursts and volatility spikes.
What could be next (scenarios)
* Base-case (neutral): Chop with higher lows as markets wait for the September jobs report & CPI. BTC ranges; quality alts lag but stabilize.
* Bull case: If labor weakens and CPI cools, markets price rate cuts sooner → BTC leads higher, then large-cap alts (ETH, SOL, LINK) follow.
* Bear case: Hot inflation or hawkish Fed tone + stronger dollar → another risk-off leg; alts underperform BTC, liquidity hides in the majors.

My strategy (not financial advice)
* 🔺Stay data-driven: Next CPI + jobs decide the path. I’m sizing positions so I can add on weakness if macro improves.
* 🔺Respect liquidity: BTC > alts in stress. Rotate to alts only after BTC dominance cools and spot demand (ETFs/flows) turns decisively positive.
* 🔺Use levels & invalidate fast: For traders, keep hard stops under recent swing lows; don’t marry red positions.
* 🔺Scale, don’t chase: Ladder buys/sells; let the market come to you.
* 🔺Mind the dollar/yields: Sustained DXY/yield drops = green light; spikes = tighten risk.

🎀MY POV:
Rate hikes are likely done, but cuts require softer data. Until then, expect volatility. BTC remains the global, 24/7, censorship-resistant asset that benefits first when liquidity turns. Alts can do well—but after the macro and BTC trend confirm.


#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #Macro #Inflation #InterestRates #FOMC #liquidity #Volatility #Investing #RiskManagement #Altcoins #ETH #SOL #LINK #MarketUpdate #CryptoDip #MarketUpdate

$BTC
$SOL