CRISEL

In 2024, the Iran–Israel proxy conflict escalated to a series of direct confrontations between the two countries. On 1 April, Israel bombed an Iranian consulate complex in Damascus, Syria, killing multiple senior Iranian officials. In response, Iran and its Axis of Resistance allies seized the Israeli-linked ship MSC Aries and launched strikes inside Israel on 13 April.Israel then carried out retaliatory strikes in Iran and Syria on 19 April.
The Israeli strikes were limited, and analysts say they signaled a desire to de-escalate. Iran did not respond to the attack, and tensions de-escalated back down to the proxy conflict.
Other actors participated in the conflict as well. The United States, United Kingdom, France, and Jordan intercepted Iranian drones to defend Israel.Syria shot down some Israeli interceptors, and Iranian proxies in the region also attacked Israel.
Tensions increased after the 31 July assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the political leader of Hamas, in Tehran, Iran. The killing of Haniyeh occurred a few hours after the 2024 Haret Hreik airstrike in Lebanon that assassinated Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr. Iran and Hezbollah pledged retaliation. On 1 October 2024, Iran launched a series of missiles at Israel. Israel then carried out more retaliatory strikes against Iran on 26 October.
On 12 June 2025, Israel launched several airstrikes against Iranian nuclear facilities and infrastructure.
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#bitcoin faces high selling pressure amid the ongoing situation in the Middle East. Whales’ altered attitudes are among the first warning indicators to emerge. Some long-term Bitcoin investors had begun to sell off small amounts of their holdings, as reported earlier this week, but that was before the attacks.

Some Bitcoin whales, or those who own more than 1,000 bitcoins, have started “trimming” their holdings. Smaller investors may imitate these sell-offs if they persist or worsen, putting more selling pressure on Bitcoin.
More than two months have passed since Bitcoin’s price troubles sent it sharply downward, causing the asset to fall to less than $75,000. Operation Rising Lion on June 13 to target over 100 strategic military and nuclear sites in Iran, including those in Fordow and Natanz.
According to the most recent reports, there were close to 100 people killed, including scientists and senior commanders, while there were well over 300 people injured.
Fars reported that “Iran’s strikes will continue and this confrontation will not end with last night’s limited actions, and this action will be painful and regrettable for the aggressors.” Their statement indicated that the war would “spread in the coming days to all areas occupied by this (Israeli) regime and American bases in the region.”
Israel launched its largest-ever air offensive against its longtime adversary on Saturday to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon, raising the potential for a broader conflict as Iran and Israel persist in targeting each other
#IsraelIranConflict

Fighting in the Middle East between Israel and Iran is having an effect on the stock market, increasing selling pressure.

The stock market dipped on Friday after news broke of escalating fighting between Iran and Israel, causing the Dow to drop by 1.24% and the S&P 500 to fall 1.21%.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.48%, leading the stock market indices into a steep decline following rising tension between Israel and Iran. The two countries escalated their conflict this week when Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear facilities. The Iranian government says that this is a declaration of war.
Both the French and American governments have called for the countries to de-escalate their fighting and to reach an agreement, with U.S. President Donald Trump specifically calling for Iran to agree to a nuclear program deal. However, the two countries are preparing for further fighting, and the U.S. stock market is starting to feel the effects.
We saw a similar effect last year when fighting ramped up between Israel and Iran, causing the stock market to drop as investors prepared to deal with the global fallout. Whenever a U.S. ally goes to war, there is the risk of higher taxes as the country prepares to help out its partner. With fighting in the Middle East, there is always concern about tightening oil supplies and the trickle-down effect that higher gas prices will have on the rest of the economy.
As gas prices rise due to increased fears over Middle East fighting, that affects all forms of transportation and commerce, since moving goods from one area to another becomes more expensive. Ultimately, nearly every sector of industry is seriously affected.

What to Expect from the Stock Market This Weekend

Middle East conflict is likely to increase selling pressure on Friday as the day continues. However, that is not the only factor at work today putting pressure on the stock market.
The economic reports this week have all been relatively mild, easing some of the strain on the economy. The consumer price index increased for May, but it was not as high as expected. The produce price index report showed an increase of 3.0% for that metric. While that is not helpful for the stock market, the expected increase was higher, and for the numbers to come in lower than expected is good news.
While these reports do indicate that inflation could increase slightly as a result of economic tightening, they show that things are not as bad as anticipated. These economic reports will help to ease some of the selling pressure on the stock market and keep the market fairly stable. If these economic readings had been as bad as expected, we could anticipate a steep decline for the market this weekend, but instead we may see muted movement that trends down only slightly.

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🪷The growing risk of a broader Middle East conflict — in a region vital to global oil production — has heightened investor anxiety.

The escalation raised geopolitical risks, drove oil prices sharply higher, and sparked fears of slower global growth and faster inflation.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.79% to 42,197.79 points. The S&P 500 lost 1.12% to close at 5,977.57, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.30% to 19,406.83 points.
The sell-off followed Iran’s retaliation to Israel’s strikes, which targeted nuclear sites, missile factories, and military infrastructure in what has been described as the most extensive assault on Iran since the Iran-Iraq war of the 1980s. Explosions were seen over Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, with air raid sirens sounding across Israel after what the military described as a barrage of missiles launched from Iran.
Israel said the attacks marked the beginning of a prolonged military campaign aimed at preventing Tehran from developing a nuclear weapon. Iran vowed a forceful response.

Worst-Case Scenario Unfolds in the Middle East
Global equities had been rallying steadily since early April, partly on optimism that President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda would be less aggressive than previously feared. That momentum was abruptly halted as Israel’s military strike hit dozens of strategic Iranian targets.
The offensive came just days before U.S. and Iranian officials were scheduled to attend the sixth round of nuclear talks.
Trump took to Truth Social urging Iran to accept a new nuclear deal, warning that the “next planned attacks” could be “even more brutal.” He emphasized: “No more deaths, no more destruction — DO IT BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE!” He claimed he had previously told Iranian officials “in the strongest terms” to make a deal.
The White House had warned earlier that it would consider military options if the nuclear negotiations failed, with a critical response deadline looming next Thursday.
In retaliation, Iran launched more than 100 drones into Israeli territory, according to a military spokesperson.
The growing risk of a broader Middle East conflict — in a region vital to global oil production — has heightened investor anxiety. With markets already uneasy over rising trade tensions, fears are mounting that this could further dampen global economic growth.

Global Market Shock
Airline stocks plunged on surging fuel cost concerns. Delta Air Lines fell 4.6%, United Airlines lost 3.2%, Southwest Airlines dropped 2.8%, and American Airlines tumbled 5.1%.
In contrast, defense stocks rallied on rising geopolitical tensions. Lockheed Martin gained 3.6%, Northrop Grumman rose 3.2%, L3Harris Technologies advanced 2.8%, and RTX Corp also posted gains.
Energy shares were also among the top performers, buoyed by the spike in crude prices following the Israeli attacks. Halliburton, APA Corporation, and EOG Resources each climbed more than 4%.
Consumer Sentiment Rebounds
Despite the turmoil, the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment index for June showed a notable improvement. The reading rose to 60.5 in the first half of the month, up from 52.2 in May.
“Consumers appear to have regained some composure following the shock of April’s steep tariff hikes and the political turbulence that followed,” said Joanne Hsu, director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan.
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🪷#Ethereum futures are making headlines as open interest has surged to an all-time high of $20 billion

This significant growth in futures contracts reflects heightened investor activity and growing confidence in Ethereum’s short-term and long-term prospects. Traders and institutional investors alike are increasingly turning to Ethereum futures to capitalize on its price movements, especially with the current market momentum favoring the cryptocurrency.
The surge in open interest signals not only higher trading volumes but also a substantial rise in leverage across the Ethereum market. With more participants taking on leveraged positions, both bullish and bearish bets on Ethereum’s future price trajectory are intensifying. This heightened leverage can amplify price swings, leading to sharper rallies or steeper corrections depending on market sentiment.
Market analysts note that this growing open interest is being driven by multiple factors. Recent optimism surrounding potential spot Ethereum ETF approvals, combined with strong fundamentals in Ethereum’s decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFT sectors, have contributed to renewed enthusiasm. Institutional players are also becoming more active in the Ethereum derivatives market, using futures contracts as a hedge or speculative tool in response to ongoing regulatory developments and broader crypto market dynamics.
While the rise in leverage adds liquidity and excitement to the market, it also introduces additional risks. High levels of leverage can lead to rapid liquidations during sudden price drops, creating a domino effect that could trigger larger sell-offs. However, many investors see the current surge as a sign of growing institutional maturity in the Ethereum ecosystem.
Ethereum’s strong network activity, upcoming scalability upgrades, and increased developer engagement continue to bolster its market position. The recent rise in futures open interest underscores its role as a leading player in the evolving digital asset landscape.
As Ethereum futures markets attract more attention, traders will be closely monitoring price levels and market indicators to navigate the potential volatility ahead. The combination of institutional participation, leveraged trading, and ongoing innovation paints a dynamic picture for Ethereum’s future performance.
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Stocks market indices remained flat or fell slightly on Wednesday after news of mildly increasing consumer prices.

All three major stock market indices dipped or stayed flat on Wednesday even though the inflation data came back better than expected and trade negotiations are promising.

The Dow Jones remained flat as trading closed off on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 marked its first loss for the day (down 0.27%) after three consecutive wins. The Nasdaq Composite did not fare any better, with a drop of 0.05%. These were minor losses but unexpected ones since the day’s economic data pointed to better than expected inflation numbers.
China and the United States seemed to have settled their trade difference for the moment, but the U.S. is still imposing stiff tariffs of 55% on most Chinese goods, which places the tariff numbers very close to where they were during Trump’s first term as President. The most severe tariffs between the two countries are still on pause, and that pause may continue past the 90-day period already promised, especially if the two countries can continue to negotiate.

Wednesday Dip Not as Bad as Previous Decreases
While it is unexpected for the market to move downward at this time after these two bits of promising news, the downturn is very minor. In the case of the S&P 500, we could be seeing what is primarily a reaction to several days of increases and an approach to the all-time high for that index.
As the S&P 500 retreats, the other two indices are almost completely flat. This could indicate that they will increase later today as the economic news is digested as well as after several new economic reports are released. Those will be the initial jobless claims as well as the PPI reports. If those reports show positive movement, then we expect the stock market to rally as a result.
Minor decreases on the stock market like this are expected, especially when the consumer price index increases. That index went up in May by 0.1%, which is less than the 0.2% that was expected. That is both good and bad news for the stock market, as it shows a stronger than expected economy but also shows that inflation is likely to stick for a while longer.
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🪷.XRP traded lower on Thursday due to reduced buying support. Price action showed the altcoin fell below $2.25 amid mild sell-offs in the crypto market.

The SEC versus Ripple case remains in the market spotlight as the Court of Appeal submission deadline approaches. The SEC is required to file a report outlining the progress toward a settlement with the Court of Appeals by June 16. However, very little progress has been made toward a settlement since Judge Analisa Torres denied the SEC’s indicative ruling on settlement terms.
The expectation that the SEC will change its mind and file a second request for an indicative ruling has almost faded. However, the agency is certainly notorious for last-minute motions.
Ripple is looking to acquire a license that would permit banking payments powered by XRP in the region, which would greatly increase adoption.
Ripple collaborated with JETRO to support Japan-based Web3 startups and foster innovation. As part of this program, grant funding of up to $200,000 is available per project in areas such as DeFi, tokenization, and payments.
SBI Holdings has already integrated XRP to enable quick and inexpensive cross-border transactions. If the U.S. sees the same level of success as Japan, particularly following the outcome of the SEC vs. Ripple case, it might be a turning point for XRP and the entire cryptocurrency market.
The company’s platform claims high exposure in the global foreign exchange market with end-to-end visibility and real-time settlement. This utility elevates it above the status of a speculative asset.
Ripple’s dedication to innovation is further demonstrated by the launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD), a stablecoin created to solve inefficiencies in conventional payment systems. The anticipated usefulness and adoption of XRP are expected to rise as Ripple continues to enhance its ecosystem.
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#Etherum ETH/USD has been doing really well lately. In the last 24 hours, it has gone up 3.5% and is already above the psychologically important $2,700 mark. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market size is currently trading at significant resistance levels that could change its path to the important $3,000 barrier.
Ethereum Network Fundamentals Drive Sustained Growth
Ethereum’s main strength is still evident through excellent network metrics that set it apart from other cryptocurrencies. With a dominant 61% market share of total value locked (TVL), which is approximately $66.6 billion in deposits, the blockchain is still the most significant aspect of decentralized finance (DeFi). You can see how much better Ethereum is when you look at its layer-2 scaling solutions, which processed $70 billion in decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes in the last 30 days.
The network’s TVL grew by 6% in the last month. This was largely because protocols like Pendle, Ethena, and Spark grew a lot. During the same time, BNB Chain’s deposits went down by 6% and Solana’s deposits went down by 2%. This rise is considerably different from those.
Earlier this month, there were 17.4 million unique Ethereum addresses, which represents a staggering 70% increase since the start of Q2. The Base network is mostly to blame for this growth, as it accounts for around 73% of all new address activity.

Institutional Interest Solidifies Through Ether ETF Inflows
Ethereum is the only altcoin in the US that has approved spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This is another reason why it is so popular. There haven’t been any net withdrawals from these ETFs since May 16. Instead, they have brought in a net of $837 million. This consistent buying pressure from institutions, which is minor compared to the $4 billion average daily ETH volume on major exchanges, demonstrates that professional investors are getting more confident.
The supply situation also backs up positive confidence, since Ether’s exchange deposits have dropped to an all-time low of roughly 16.33 million ETH. At the same time, 28.3% of all Ether is still locked up in staking contracts. This makes the supply tighter, which means that prices change more when demand is high.
ETH/USD Technical Analysis Points to Critical Breakout Zone
From a technical point of view, Ethereum’s largest test is at the $2,800 resistance level, which is also the 200-day moving average and the highs of the weekly range. This sector has stopped price increases multiple times, and Ethereum has tried to break above this level five times in the last few weeks.
The current structure shows that ETH is following a multi-day rising triangle pattern, which is backed up by all of the important moving averages. The 50 SMA ($2,558), the 100 SMA ($2,571), and the 200 SMA ($2,535) are now strong support levels below the current price.
The options market data demonstrates that certain expert traders are in very interesting situations. Since the beginning of April, open interest in ETH options has gone up from $6.3 billion to $8.3 billion. Call options account for 63% of all positions. The majority of put options, 92%, are set at $2,700 or less. These options will be useless if ETH stays at its current price until the monthly expiration on June 27.
Leveraged Positions Create Volatility Potential
The futures market presents a double-edged scenario with open interest reaching a record $40 billion, indicating heavy leverage across the market. Liquidation data shows approximately $2 billion in long positions at risk below $2,600, while $1.8 billion in short positions face liquidation above $2,900. This balanced positioning suggests significant volatility potential in either direction.

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