Many people say 'don't trade contracts in cryptocurrency'
The core reason lies in the high-risk nature of contract trading, especially under high leverage, where risks can be extremely amplified. This can be understood in the following aspects: 1. Leverage amplifies risk, making liquidation easy Capital utilization rate ≠ risk-free: The leverage of the contract (like 100X, 125X) can amplify profits, but it also greatly magnifies losses. For example, under 100X leverage, a 1% fluctuation in currency price can wipe out the principal, and 'flash crashes' (significant price volatility within a short time) are common, which may trigger liquidation in seconds, leaving no time to react. 2. Trading costs and mechanisms increase risk
Low position can't be bought, high position can't be sold. Is this talking about you? The market moves on its own. Bitcoin support to watch at 102500 Ethereum support to watch at 2450 Solana support to watch at 140
Go up more, and empty out. Don’t always think about getting in at the lowest and eating at the highest. In this unstable situation, not losing money is the way to go; securing profits is what matters.
Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday. The market generally expects the federal funds rate to remain unchanged in the range of 4.25%-4.50%. This means that the likelihood of rate hikes or cuts in the short term is low.
Although interest rates are likely to remain unchanged, the world's attention will be closely fixed on Fed Chair Powell's post-meeting speech and his tone! Every word he says, every pause he takes, could indicate the future direction of monetary policy, directly affecting the stock market, bond market, housing market, and even our cryptocurrency market!
The most concerning question is: Will the rate cut be postponed again? We must understand that the market has been eagerly anticipating a rate cut for a long time! Originally, everyone expected several rate cuts this year, but due to fluctuating inflation data and a still strong labor market, the expectations for rate cuts have been repeatedly pushed back. If Powell's speech this time is still hawkish (leaning towards maintaining high rates), or if he doesn’t give clearer guidance on the timing of rate cuts, our “dream of rate cuts” may be delayed again.
Global ripple effect: The Federal Reserve's monetary policy has a crucial impact on the global economy, especially regarding the US dollar and international capital flows.
What should we pay attention to in this meeting? Inflation wording: How does Powell evaluate the current level of inflation and future inflation expectations?
“Dot plot”: Although it may not be updated this time, if new economic forecasts (SEP) and the dot plot are released, it will be an important reference for the future path of interest rates. Reliance on data: Will there be continued emphasis that future policy will “depend on data”?
Regardless of the outcome, this FOMC meeting will be a key event influencing the market direction in the second half of the year.
Playing in the crypto circle is essentially a contest between retail investors and institutions. If you don’t have insider information or first-hand data, you can only be cut! If you want to layout together and harvest from institutions, you can follow me! Welcoming like-minded crypto enthusiasts to discuss together!
How much leverage is reasonable for perpetual contracts?
Before answering this question, let me briefly explain what a perpetual contract is. A perpetual contract, as its name suggests, is a contract with a perpetual renewal period. In the current digital currency derivatives trading market, perpetual contracts are considered a relatively new type of contract. The meaning of a perpetual contract is that, under the premise of not being liquidated, if you do not actively close the position, you can hold this contract indefinitely. So how much leverage is reasonable during operations? Yesterday someone asked me this question, so I’m bringing it up today.
Are you new to the crypto world, have a bit of money but are afraid of losing it?
Do you feel envious when you see others making money, while every time you buy, the price drops, and every time you sell, the price skyrockets?
Don't worry! Today, I will share with you the most profitable rolling strategy, where a surge in the market can turn 150,000 into 2 million, or even 3.5 million!
In the crypto market, 'seven losses, two breakevens, one profit', but those who truly make money rely not on luck, but on 'anti-human strategies' + 'precise targeting'!
During the bull market, I rolled 200,000 USDT into 5 million USDT in 30 days, and the method is one word - 'ruthless'! But ruthless does not equal reckless gambling; it means 'math + discipline'. Today, I will break down this method for you!
Step 1: Choose coins - only bet on 'super trends', reject miscellaneous ones! (Choosing the wrong coin = working hard for nothing!) Weekly breakthrough of historical highs Sector leaders Low circulation + high control
Step 2: Aggressive rolling - reinvest profits, ensure capital safety! 1️⃣ First position (50,000 USDT) Buy when breaking key resistance + during volume increase Stop loss at 10% Add to position after 50% profit
2️⃣ After confirming the trend, continue to bet with profits + capital Target: Capture the main upward wave 3-5 times Roll all in after doubling
3️⃣ Key discipline: Only add to positions after making a profit; never increase when in loss! Withdraw capital after every doubling, continue to roll with profits! Move stop loss upwards
Step 3: Position management - how to avoid liquidation? Single coin should not exceed 40% of total position Move stop loss upwards after 50% profit Must withdraw capital after doubling
Only follow trends, do not engage in pullbacks Add to positions with profits, cut losses! Safety of capital, let profits run Focus on leaders, abandon miscellaneous coins Emotional management, discipline first In the crypto market, 'opportunities are always there, but capital only comes once'!
Only this type of person makes money in the trading market; it doesn't depend on the technology and methods used, but on your self-discipline. Trading in the crypto market is sometimes not a battle of strategy but a battle of time and patience. In the crypto world, it boils down to a contest between retail investors and whales; if you don't have cutting-edge news or first-hand information, you can only be cut! If you want to plan together and harvest the whales together, you can follow me! Welcome like-minded crypto enthusiasts to discuss together!
Reviewing the Flash Crash of ZKJ and KOGE: A Liquidity Harvesting 'Conspiracy'
In the early morning of June 16, Binance officially responded to the severe fluctuations of ZKJ and KOGE, and preliminary investigations indicated that the price turbulence was mainly caused by large holders concentrating their liquidity withdrawals, leading to a chain reaction of liquidations. To prevent similar incidents from happening again and to control the structural risks brought by Alpha incentives, Binance announced that starting from June 17, trading volume between Alpha tokens would no longer be counted as a basis for calculating Alpha Points. Once regarded as the most popular choice for score manipulation within Binance Alpha, both ZKJ and KOGE collapsed in a flash.
Old investors always say never play contracts! If you are a newbie, you've probably heard this a lot, right?
But have you ever thought about how many of those who truly succeed in the crypto world have accumulated their wealth slowly through spot trading?
Do you know why most contract players eventually get liquidated?
Because they treat contracts as gambling tools. The real winners play a game called "rolling positions."
For example: With a capital of 10,000, capturing a 20% fluctuation with 5x leverage can double your investment. The key is not this one time, but to roll the profit into the next trade. After 3 successful rolls, 10,000 becomes 80,000; after 5 successful rolls, 10,000 becomes 320,000...
2. Misconceptions Misconception 1: Treating contracts as an ATM—frequent trading every day. Truth: You only need to capture 2-3 major market movements in a year.
Misconception 2: Not understanding stop-loss—one mistake can lead to total loss. Truth: A reasonable stop-loss allows you to survive longer.
3. The wealth code I learned from my three liquidation lessons First liquidation: In the 2021 bull market, greed without stop-loss turned 100,000 into 0. Second liquidation: In the 2022 bear market, increasing positions against the trend led to 50,000 going to zero. Third liquidation: In 2023, excessive leverage caused 30,000 to vanish.
But it was these three lessons that helped me understand the "333 Winning Principle"... Be greedy when others are fearful, be fearful when others are greedy. When the market presents extreme conditions, it is your opportunity.
Remember: A significant drop will always be followed by a rebound. After a long period of sideways movement, there will be a major market movement. Stay calm when the market is irrational. Real experts in rolling positions master a core mindset: let profits run and cut losses. How to operate specifically? Here’s a simple formula: After the first position is profitable, withdraw the capital and continue to gamble with the profits. Each additional position should not exceed 20% of total capital. Keep the maximum drawdown within 30%...
The crypto world is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the capital to survive until the opportunity arises.
If you are still confused, ask yourself: do you want to continue being a victim or learn the real way to survive?
Trading in the crypto world is sometimes not a battle of strategies but a battle of time and patience. In the crypto space, it boils down to a struggle between retail investors and whales. If you don’t have insider information or first-hand data, you can only be cut! If you want to strategize together and reap the profits from the whales, you can follow me! Welcome like-minded crypto enthusiasts to discuss together!
The Ethereum Seattle heat map shows a price increase, with a large number of both large and small long orders waiting in the 2588-2748 range and the 2772-2920 range. The Oakland price is decreasing, with a large number of both large and small long orders waiting in the 2504-2392 range.
Ethereum Market Trend Analysis 20250614 As expected, Bitcoin's decline is accompanied by Ethereum's decline, similarly experiencing a rapid drop that reached near the daily EMA52 line, followed by a rebound trend with hourly-level fluctuations. The difference is that Bitcoin closed with a bullish candle, while Ethereum closed with a bearish candle. The rebound position also reached the daily MA30 line, but at the hourly level, Ethereum's rebound only reached the 45-minute resistance level, before starting to decline again with Bitcoin. The daily chart shows a bearish candle with a long lower shadow, indicating that the downward momentum has been fully released, and the price continues to decline towards the support level along with Bitcoin. The daily MA30 line has flattened, and the MACD shows a release of upward momentum above the zero axis, indicating a bearish divergence pattern at the daily level. Therefore, any upcoming upward movement is viewed as a rebound. The daily EMA52 line (2420) remains the first support level, and a rebound is still expected when the price reaches this level. Daily resistance levels are 2600-2730-2960-3060, and support levels are 2420-2320-2200-2130
The heatmap data from Bitcoin's Seattle shows a price increase, with a large number of significant and ultra-significant short positions waiting for the Seattle price to drop in the 106200-112400 area, and a large number of significant short positions waiting in the 104000-100400 area.
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis 20250614 The price has dropped to near the daily EMA52 line, forming support, and a rebound trend has emerged with hourly-level oscillations upwards. The daily line shows a small bullish candle with a long lower shadow; the trading volume is estimated to be one-third more than the previous day. The strength of the rebound is considered acceptable, but it still closed below the daily MA30 line, while the MA30 line is in a state of upward flattening. The MACD shows a downward momentum cut-off trend. Here, the price increase encounters resistance from the daily MA30 line, and at the same time, the hourly-level rebound has reached the 1-hour resistance level. Under dual pressure, there will be an hourly-level decline during the day, followed by a secondary test of the bottom after the level movement, and then observe the strength of the rebound. Yesterday, it was mentioned that a double top pattern has already appeared on the daily chart, so after oscillation, it is reasonable for the price to continue to drop towards the 2-day line or even the weekly MA30 line for support. Liquidity will be relatively poor over the weekend, so volatility will be small; as long as oscillation is maintained, altcoins will have a chance to rebound slightly, with a focus on altcoins that have capital inflow. Daily level resistance levels are 107340-110300-120400-130000, support levels are 102400-97670-95860-93530
Three Questions about Liquidation: Is leverage too high? Is your position too full? What about your safety net?
Why are liquidations frequent? It is merely the dual imbalance of leverage and position.
Why are liquidations frequent? It is merely having leverage too high, like walking on a tightrope over a cliff; dare you go all in on 100x leverage?
That is betting tomorrow with principal; merely having over-leveraged positions is like rolling dice; using 10x leverage while still heavily invested? That's gambling with your account. Leverage and position are two ends of the risk balance: high leverage must be paired with very low positions, walking on thin ice for safety; low leverage can accommodate moderate positions, ensuring steady progress for the long term.
Why complain about the market? The real defense lies in capital management.
Why complain about extreme market conditions? The market is inherently volatile, experiencing both sharp rises and falls; this is a rule, not an accident. Why lament the ferocity of bulls and bears? Fluctuation is the norm in contracts; this is a rule, not injustice.
Are you also staring at the 5000U in your account, wondering how to turn it into 50,000U?
Just relying on spot trading to slowly grind it out? Betting everything on contracts hoping for luck?
Stop it, the only way to truly multiply your funds is through rolling positions!
But rolling positions can be a money printer if done well, or a money shredder if done poorly.
Today, I will break down 3 tough strategies for you, making it possible to roll your 5000U into 50,000U! Rolling positions require volatility; BTC/ETH are stable, but they grow slowly.
You need to focus on those strong altcoins, but don’t buy blindly. Remember: the weekly trend is upward (don’t go against the trend) Trading volume must be large. Avoid low-quality coins.
Turning 5000U into 50,000U actually just requires 5 doubles (2 to the power of 5 = 32 times). How to do it?
Initial position 10% (500U), earn 50% and then increase your position (for example, if it rises to 750U, add 500U)
Set a stop loss at -10% (cut losses immediately, don’t fantasize about a rebound)
Don’t increase your position by more than 20% of your principal (to prevent a direct drop to zero from a single pullback)
The most critical moment to exit: 90% of people either take a small profit and run or hold on until they get liquidated. But if you can strictly execute this, 5000U is just the beginning—50,000U, 500,000U are not dreams!
In the cryptocurrency market, the only people who make money are those who possess this type of discipline; it’s not about the techniques and methods used, but rather your self-discipline. Trading in the crypto market is sometimes not a battle of strategies but a battle of time and patience.
Playing in the crypto space is essentially a contest between retail investors and whales; if you don’t have insider news or firsthand information, you can only be cut! If you want to strategize together and harvest from the whales, feel free to follow me! Like-minded individuals in the crypto space are welcome to discuss together.
It's true that speculating on coins makes more money than speculating on stocks. If your funds are within 100,000, there is a stupidest way to speculate on coins that will allow you to remain a "Master of Eternal Profit" in the currency circle!
Put down your impetuous mood, take ten minutes and read it carefully. Don’t worry about whether you can learn it or not. I can seize this opportunity, and you can also seize it. I am not a god, just an ordinary person. The difference between me and others is that others have ignored this method. If you can learn this method, you can earn at least 3 to 10 points of income more every day in the later trading.
Transaction operation formula for excellent operators in the currency circle:
First, buy sideways and buy pits, but don’t buy vertical, and the selling point is at the peak. The currency circle is like a stormy mysterious sea, and the price fluctuations of virtual currencies are like waves翻涌, never stopping. In this field full of opportunities and risks, excellent operators know that trend judgment must be the top priority. Just as sailing requires a compass to guide the direction, staring at the moving average indicators is the key trick to洞察the direction of the currency market. By carefully studying the subtle changes of each moving average, the balance of power between the multi and empty forces can be known early, laying a solid foundation for subsequent operations.
What good suggestions are there for entering the cryptocurrency world with 3000 capital?
If you don’t want a one-day trip, read this article carefully. Turning 3000 into 1 million, let me share something practical! See how I managed to roll contracts and compound returns in one month: from over 1100U, equivalent to 8000 RMB, to making a million!
The core message is: use contract trading to amplify returns! But don’t rush; first convert this 3000 into 400U (approximately 400 USD). Let's take it step by step: Step 1: Roll the snowball with a small capital (300U to 1100U) Take out 100U to trade each time, focusing on the hottest coins recently. Remember two things: ① Run when you double your profit (for example, if 100 turns into 200, immediately stop) ② If you lose down to 50U, cut your losses. If you're lucky, you might win three times in a row and roll up to 800U.
Ethereum Market Trend Analysis 20250612 The hourly trend is basically in sync with Bitcoin, but it seems that the big brother is ahead in many aspects. Both are experiencing a downward fluctuation during the day, but the upward initiation for the big brother starts a bit earlier, and it seems a new high has been reached recently. Currently, it is in a 1-hour rebound within a daily line rebound, which has not yet restored the 1-hour EMA52 trend. After this fluctuation at the hourly level, there will be another rebound, provided that Bitcoin does not drop. If Bitcoin falls for adjustment, then Ethereum will also drop, and will aim for a 2-4 hour support rebound (2683-2636).
The daily line shows a small bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume has decreased by about the previous day, although it still maintains a high trading volume status. The price has already broken through the red box area, and once it stabilizes, there is further upward space, targeting the 2960-3050 area. If it does not stabilize, it will return to the red box area for wide fluctuations. As long as Bitcoin does not drop, Ethereum can still be expected to continue rising.
Daily level resistance at 2960-3060-3240, support at 2680-2580-2350-2200-2130
Bitcoin Market Trend Analysis 20250612 Hourly level shows a nighttime fluctuation downward. Before the US stock market opens, it was positively influenced by CPI data, and the price started to surge upward. After a wave of upward momentum following the US stock market opening, it began to fluctuate downward. Currently, the price has experienced a short jump after remaining above the 2-hour EMA52 line ($108,000) for 2 hours.
The current level indicates a rebound within the daily line, with a 2-hour rebound showing insufficient upward momentum, returning to the 2-hour EMA52 line for another rebound. We need to continue observing the specific strength of the rebound; I personally feel that the rebound intensity will not be severe, and then it will continue to decline towards the 4-hour support level (around $107,000) before rebounding again.
The daily line shows a small bearish candle with a short lower shadow. The trading volume is even lower than before, and while the price is rising, the trading volume is declining, which is not a good sign. The price is currently still above the MA30 line, which shows a slight upward trend. The next two days of movement are crucial; if it closes with a bearish candle, then the MACD will show a shift from upward momentum to enhanced downward momentum, and the K-line pattern will exhibit a double top formation, leading to further price declines. As for how it will move next, we will observe as we go.
Daily level resistance at 120400-130000, support at 101260-97670-95860-93410
Cryptocurrency Market: How to Achieve Steady Profits, Avoid Risks, and Double Your Investments with Rolling Positions?
In the cryptocurrency market, many investors hold onto the dream of getting rich overnight, blindly following trends, only to end up trapped at high positions, falling into a pit of losses. As an experienced investor, I want to tell you that those who can achieve stable profits in the crypto space are not the speculative ones chasing short-term gains, but those who possess rational thinking and take steady steps. Today, I will share how to invest steadily in the cryptocurrency market, how to use rolling position strategies and reasonable position management to achieve long-term stable profits. Mindset for Cryptocurrency Investment: Control Emotions, Avoid Greed