Tonight's market analysis shows signs of a trend change, but there are concerns about potential manipulation to drive prices down. The capital markets really play tricks, so emphasizing short-term trading is actually the safest.
Currently, the market is supported by the 6-hour EMA dual track near 102800, and there's a pullback here. Don't be disturbed by news to short the market.
The market is now at 103100, and both spot and futures should take the pullback wave if needed. If high-position long positions are stuck, there's no need to worry too much about continuing short positions. Wait for the pullback. Initially, look for a pullback near 104400; if it can't break, hedge the short positions and take the short positions, then observe the pullback and rally situation.
Tomorrow, the non-farm payroll data will be released, and at this relatively important time, the comments from Trump and Musk have really surprised me. They pulled back my previous bearish analysis down to 100700.
Lastly, I want to emphasize: tonight's drop from 105900 to 103100, just 2800 points, is insignificant compared to movements of several thousand or even tens of thousands of points. Once a choice is made, do not regret it; right or wrong can actually be resolved using personal operating systems, ultimately achieving overall profitability.
