The big ones are here! The big ones are here! I want to share with everyone my unique secrets from the last bull market. Remember these six points, and you’re sure to make money! First, don’t invest all your money. You have to relax a bit. Split your money into five parts and only use one part to buy coins at a time. Additionally, we must set stop-loss points in advance. For example, if we lose 10%, we will exit. It’s like adding insurance to your investment. If you buy incorrectly, you won’t lose too much. Even if you buy incorrectly five times in a row, you will only lose one-tenth, preventing bankruptcy. Second, follow the trend and don’t go against the market. If the market keeps falling and occasionally bounces back in between, don’t be confused; this might be the market trying to trick you into taking over. On the other hand, if the market keeps rising with pullbacks in between, this might be a good opportunity for you to buy goods at a low price, just like picking up bargains. Third, don’t touch those coins that spike in the short term! When they rise to a certain extent, they will fall. When you get stuck, you will cry. Fourth, learn to use the MACD indicator to assist your trading. When the DIF line and DEA line cross below the 0 axis, it’s a good time to buy; conversely, if they cross above the 0 axis, that’s a sell signal. Fifth, be cautious with averaging down. If the coins you bought have already lost value, don’t throw more money into them; you will just lose more and more. We must wait until we make a profit before adding more positions. Additionally, it depends on the relationship between quantity and price. When the coin price is low, if the trading volume suddenly increases and the price rises, we must pay close attention. If the trading volume is high but the price doesn’t rise, don’t hesitate; sell quickly to secure profits. You must choose potential coins for speculation. Sixth, we must review our trades weekly to see how our operations went this week, what we did well, and what we didn’t do well. Then adjust our strategies in a timely manner based on market conditions, so we can thrive in the crypto space, make more money, and lose less.
#美国加征关税 Market risk aversion is rising: Trump announced a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, and threatened to impose an additional 10% tariff on Chinese goods, exacerbating global trade tensions. Investors are turning to safe-haven assets such as the dollar and government bonds, putting pressure on the prices of high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
Cryptocurrency prices plummet: Affected by the tariff policy, Bitcoin briefly fell below the $80,000 mark, with a decline of over 5% within 24 hours, while other altcoins such as Ethereum and Dogecoin experienced even more significant declines. Market panic triggered large-scale liquidations, with over $900 million in liquidations across the entire network within 24 hours.
Liquidity tightening: The dollar index rebounded above 107 due to the tariff policy, further weakening the attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets like Bitcoin. At the same time, the Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates due to inflationary pressures, exacerbating liquidity pressures in the cryptocurrency market.
Long-term uncertainty increases: Trump's plan to advance the "reciprocal tariff" framework may expand to more countries, leading to a restructuring of global supply chains and a slowdown in economic growth, further suppressing risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market.
In addition, the crypto space is currently facing negative factors such as security vulnerabilities in exchanges (e.g., Bybit being hacked for $1.4 billion) and stricter regulations (e.g., EU sanctions on cryptocurrency exchanges), creating a cumulative effect with the tariff policy.
In summary, tariff policies are putting significant downward pressure on the crypto space in the short term by boosting the dollar, strengthening risk aversion, and increasing market volatility. However, the long-term trend still requires attention to policy implementation details and market sentiment recovery. Major orders, large investor strategy layouts, cryptocurrency analysis, free monitoring tools, and auxiliary indicators help the community stay ahead, avoid various risks, and everyone is welcome to join without barriers.
#美SEC:Meme币非证券 Legal Basis The SEC determines that meme coins do not meet the definition of securities based on the Howey Test. The core reasons include:
Lack of Profit Attributes: Meme coins do not generate income and do not grant holders rights to future revenue, profits, or assets of the business.
Weak Functional Attributes: Most meme coins have "limited use or functionality, or even no actual use," making them closer to electronic collectibles.
Value Drivers: Their prices are primarily driven by market sentiment, community consensus, or cultural symbols, rather than business operations or management efforts.
Policy Background and Regulatory Shift This statement marks a significant shift in the SEC's approach to cryptocurrency regulation:
Comparison with Previous Position: Former Chairman Gary Gensler advocated treating most cryptocurrencies as securities, while new Chairman Mark Uyeda is promoting a "transparency" policy, withdrawing lawsuits against companies like Coinbase, and establishing a special cryptocurrency task force.
Influence of Political Connections: The “deregulation” trend pushed by the Trump administration is evident, such as the establishment of a government efficiency department named after Dogecoin and the launch of personal meme coins (like $TRUMP), despite the coin having depreciated by over $12 billion.
Market Impact and Risk Warning
Short-term Benefits: Following the statement, the prices of Dogecoin, Solana chain tokens, and others rose sharply, reflecting an uplift in market sentiment.
Long-term Risks: The SEC emphasizes that if meme coins are used to disguise securities or involve fraud, they may still face legal liability. Additionally, high volatility and lack of regulatory protection could exacerbate investor losses.
Future Regulatory Direction The SEC plans to adopt a "categorical governance" model, classifying crypto assets as securities, commodities, or collectibles, and exploring cooperation with global regulatory bodies (such as the EU's MiCA framework). Meanwhile, the IRS may tax meme coins following the guidelines for virtual collectibles, further regulating the market.
Major Orders, Large Holder Strategy Layout, Coin Analysis, Free Monitoring Tools, Auxiliary Indicators to Help the Community Get Ahead, Avoid Various Risks, Welcome to Join Without Barriers.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 The White House will host its first cryptocurrency summit on March 7. President Trump will preside over the inaugural White House crypto summit and deliver a speech. Attendees will include prominent founders, CEOs, and investors from the crypto industry, as well as members of the President’s Digital Asset Working Group. The summit will be hosted by the White House's AI and Crypto Czar, David Sachs. Major orders, strategies for large investors, cryptocurrency analysis, free monitoring tools, and auxiliary indicators will help the community get ahead, avoid various risks, and everyone is welcome to join without any barriers.
#芝商所将推出SOL期货 1. Positive Impact on the Solana Ecosystem
Enhancement of Market Liquidity and Price Stability Traditional financial institutions (such as hedge funds and asset management companies) participating in SOL futures trading through CME may bring incremental funds to Solana, enhancing market depth. At the same time, the hedging function of the futures market can reduce short-term fluctuations in spot prices.
Strengthening Solana's 'Compliance' Label CME, as a top global derivatives exchange, launching SOL futures signifies recognition of Solana's technology and ecosystem. This may attract more traditional capital attention, promoting the implementation of Solana in areas such as DeFi and NFTs.
Attracting Institutional Investors Institutional investors usually prefer high liquidity and low-risk derivative tools. The launch of SOL futures lowers the risk threshold for directly holding cryptocurrencies, potentially accelerating institutional layout in the Solana ecosystem.
2. Significance for the Cryptocurrency Industry
Acceleration of the Integration of Traditional Finance and the Cryptocurrency Market CME has launched Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) futures, and the addition of SOL futures continues this strategy—incorporating mainstream cryptocurrencies into a standardized derivatives system. This may encourage more exchanges to follow suit, creating a linkage effect between cryptocurrencies and traditional finance.
Improvement of Derivative Market Structure Currently, cryptocurrency derivatives are mainly composed of spot ETFs and perpetual contracts. The introduction of futures provides shorter-term price risk management tools, enriching investors' strategy choices (such as inter-temporal arbitrage, basis trading, etc.).
3. Potential Risks and Challenges
Regulatory Uncertainty The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has tightened its scrutiny of cryptocurrency derivatives. If SOL futures are deemed unregistered securities, they may face legal risks. CME must ensure that the product complies with existing regulatory frameworks.
Increased Market Volatility The leveraged nature of the futures market may amplify SOL price fluctuations. If market sentiment deteriorates, extreme market conditions (such as flash crashes or short squeezes) may occur, requiring vigilance against liquidity exhaustion risks.
Competitive Pressure Other exchanges (such as Binance and FTX) have already offered SOL futures or similar derivatives. CME needs to compete for market share through liquidity, fees, and other advantages. Major orders, free monitoring tools, and auxiliary indicators help the community stay ahead, avoid various risks, and welcome no-threshold participation.
Project Background: It is necessary to clarify whether RED has an existing white paper, official website, team information, or technical roadmap. If it is a new project, there may be higher risks.
Type: Is it a mainstream coin (like BTC/ETH), stablecoin, altcoin, or another type of asset (like NFT, DeFi tokens)?
Listing Reasons: Binance typically chooses projects with high compliance, good liquidity, or innovation for cooperation.
2. Definition and Characteristics of Pre-Market
Pre-Market: Usually a liquidity test or pre-sale phase before the official opening, allowing users to buy and sell assets at specific prices before formal trading begins.
Potential Impacts:
Liquidity Increase: Attracts funds early, potentially driving up the opening price.
Price Discovery: Reflects market demand through pre-market trading.
Risk Warning: The pre-market lacks regulation, and manipulation or lack of transparency may occur.
3. Analyzing Binance's Motivation for Listing
Business Expansion: Increase trading varieties and attract more users.
Compliance Strategy: May test compliance processes (such as KYC, anti-money laundering) through the pre-market.
Cooperation Needs: Establish strategic cooperation with the RED project party to share resources.
4. Key Points Users Should Pay Attention To
Risk Warning:
Pre-market price volatility is high, with short-term speculative risks.
New projects may face technical, legal, or market risks.
Information Verification:
Confirm whether the source of information is an official announcement from Binance (official website, social media, emails).
Avoid believing unverified “insider information.”
Trading Strategies:
If participating in the pre-market, set stop-loss and take-profit, avoiding heavy positions.
Long-term holders can wait for the official launch to reassess.
5. Market Reaction Reference
Community Sentiment: Check whether discussions in Reddit, Twitter, and Telegram communities are rational.
Competitor Actions: Are other exchanges simultaneously listing similar assets?
Price Trends: If a pre-sale has begun, observe the influx of funds and price change trends.
6. Action Suggestions
Short-term: Be cautious and observe, prioritize official updates and market sentiment.
Long-term: Research the fundamentals of the RED project.
Large orders, strategy layout for big players, currency analysis, free monitoring tools, auxiliary indicators to help the community get ahead, avoid various risks, and welcome everyone to join without barriers.
The total market value of cryptocurrencies is $2.78 trillion, with a 24-hour decline of 2.55%. Currently, the total market value of cryptocurrencies is $2.78 trillion, with $73.513 billion evaporated in 24 hours, a decline of 2.55%. Among them, Bitcoin's market value accounts for 58.53%, and Ethereum's market value accounts for 9.74%.
Major orders, institutional strategies, currency analysis, free monitoring tools, auxiliary indicators help the community take the lead, avoid various risks, and welcome to join without barriers.
Key Resistance/Support Levels: If Bitcoin maintains a range of $85,000-$100,000 in early 2025, institutions may take the following actions:
Short-term Short Hedge: When approaching the upper resistance level (e.g., $95,000), partial hedging through futures or options can lock in profits.
Bottom Accumulation: If the price retraces to key support levels (e.g., $82,000 or Fibonacci retracement lines), institutions may accelerate purchases of spot or ETFs.
Technical Indicator Signals: If the RSI shows oversold conditions or MACD golden crosses, institutions may take the opportunity to initiate a rebound.
2. Institutional Capital Flow
Bitcoin ETF Dynamics: If asset management giants like BlackRock continue to increase their holdings in Bitcoin spot ETFs (e.g., IBIT), it may boost market sentiment; conversely, ongoing redemptions could trigger short-term selling pressure.
Derivatives Market Arbitrage: Institutions may profit from the spot/futures price difference between Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as cross-market arbitrage opportunities across different exchanges.
3. Macro Factors Driving
Federal Reserve Policy Expectations: If the Federal Reserve hints at interest rate cuts in early 2025, increased dollar liquidity may benefit risk assets like Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Risks: Geopolitical events such as the Middle East situation and great power competition may trigger institutional demand for the hedging properties of “digital gold.”
4. On-chain Behavior Analysis
Miner Selling Pressure: If Bitcoin miners engage in large-scale selling before the halving cycle, institutions may absorb some of the chips to suppress price declines.
Whale Address Movements: Unusual activity in large addresses (holding over 1% of circulating supply) such as continuous accumulation may signal long-term bullish sentiment from institutions.
5. Short-term Risk Warnings
Regulatory Uncertainty: If the U.S. SEC's stance on spot ETF approvals fluctuates, or if cryptocurrency legislation becomes stricter, institutions may temporarily reduce exposure.
Market Liquidity Drought: If Bitcoin trading volume remains sluggish, institutions may manipulate short-term prices by creating false breakouts or driving up prices to sell off.
Summary: Potential Polarization of Institutional Strategies
Conservative Institutions: Accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices as a tool for inflation hedging and against fiat currency devaluation, holding for the long term while waiting for a bull market.
Aggressive Institutions: Utilize derivatives leverage and high-frequency trading to harvest profits from retail sentiment fluctuations in a volatile market.
#Bybit发布黑客取证报告 Bybit released a hacker forensic report and Safe acknowledged that the developer's machine was compromised, revealing the core attack path and security vulnerabilities of the largest theft in cryptocurrency history (approximately $1.4-1.5 billion). Below is a comprehensive analysis:
1. Incident Review and Attack Methodology Bybit's Ethereum cold wallet uses Safe's multi-signature wallet mechanism, but the hacker infiltrated the Safe developer's machine through a supply chain attack, injecting malicious JavaScript code into its AWS S3 bucket. This code specifically targeted Bybit's cold wallet address, altering the smart contract logic during transaction signing, misleading the signer into thinking the transaction was normal, while in fact modifying the control of the wallet. The attacker subsequently transferred assets to a disguised address and initiated a money laundering process.
2. Responsibility Allocation and Technical Vulnerabilities
Safe's Responsibility: Although Safe emphasized that its smart contracts and frontend are free of vulnerabilities, the weakness of the infrastructure (such as AWS account security) became the attack's breakthrough point. The compromise of the developer's machine indicates that the supply chain risks of third-party security services need to be taken seriously.
Bybit's Response: Bybit compensated for about 80% of the losses through loans and partner injections, and emphasized other wallet security. However, its multi-signature process relies on networked device signing, exposing the limitations of traditional solutions.
3. Industry Impact and Insights
Security Model Upgrade: The incident prompted the industry to reflect on the management of large assets, such as adopting offline signing devices, behavior monitoring, and institutional-grade custody solutions.
Regulation and Collaboration: There is a need to strengthen cross-border security audits and information sharing to address state-level attack teams like North Korea's Lazarus Group.
User Education: Multi-signature wallet users need to be vigilant about interface tampering and verify transaction details (such as contract addresses and logic).
4. Future Outlook Safe has rebuilt its infrastructure and strengthened security measures, but this incident highlights the centralization risks of decentralized tools—despite relying on smart contracts, vulnerabilities in the frontend and infrastructure can still be exploited. The industry may accelerate towards more transparent auditing processes and technologies resistant to supply chain attacks.
In summary, this incident is not only an exposure of technical vulnerabilities but also a severe test of the security architecture of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, prompting all parties to re-examine the balance between asset protection and risk control.
1. Airdrop Mechanism and Market Stimulation Binance's airdrop has a scale of 50 million SHELL (5% of total supply), of which 50% has been allocated through BNB lock-up, and the remaining 50% will be released after 6 months, creating sustained market expectations. Coupled with the 42 times oversubscription in the IDO, the price of SHELL soared over 40% within the first hour of listing, and increased by 218% within two weeks, reflecting the market's high confidence in the empowerment of the Binance ecosystem.
2. Project Fundamentals Support MyShell, as an AI Agent platform on the BSC chain, has three core advantages:
Technical Breakthrough: The first ShellAgent framework supports the NFTization of AI agents and on-chain invocation, integrating mainstream models like GPT-4, with an average daily interaction exceeding one million;
Rational Token Economics: 30% of tokens are used for community incentives, with private placement and team tokens locked for one year, reducing sell pressure, and the current circulation is only 27%;
Impressive Ecological Data: Over 5 million registered users, average daily earnings for creators range from 50 to 200 SHELL, and 200,000 AI agents have been deployed.
3. Risks and Challenges
Short-term Volatility Risk: The oversubscription of the IDO has diluted the circulation of SHELL, and although the increase in the first week reached 85% (average of Binance AI projects), caution is needed regarding profit-taking sell pressure;
Intensified Competition: The AI Agent sector is impacted by the waning popularity of Virtuals, and MyShell needs to continuously strengthen its technological scarcity (such as multimodal interaction) to maintain valuation advantages;
Policy and Regulation: Although the EU's "AI Innovation Act" has relaxed restrictions, there is still uncertainty regarding the regulation of generative AI in various countries.
Summary: The Binance HODLer airdrop injects liquidity confidence into SHELL, but investors need to comprehensively assess the progress of technology implementation (such as ShellAgent modular applications) and ecological growth data (such as creator retention rates) to avoid blindly chasing high prices.
US spot BTC ETF has experienced net outflows for 4 consecutive trading days, reaching $2.495 billion In the past 4 trading days, US spot BTC ETF funds have continued to outflow, reaching $2.495 billion. During this period, FBTC had the largest outflow, totaling $750 million; followed by IBIT, with an inflow of $720 million.
Analysis and derivation, does not constitute investment advice, for reference only. #比特币价格走势分析
#比特币价格走势分析 Bitcoin has now fallen out of the top ten in the global asset market capitalization rankings, currently ranked eleventh.
Meta Platforms has surpassed Bitcoin with a market capitalization of $1.706 trillion (compared to Bitcoin's $1.675 trillion).
Meta Platforms' total market capitalization has decreased by 3.04% in the past 7 days, while Bitcoin's total market capitalization has decreased by 13.02% over the same period.
#比特币价格走势分析 The current ETH/USD perpetual funding rate is 0.03%. Longs need to pay funding fees to shorts, which means that the market is bullish. Funding is an important mechanism for perpetual contracts to anchor spot prices, which is used to balance long and short sentiment. When the funding rate is greater than 0, longs pay funding fees to shorts; when the funding rate is less than 0, shorts pay funding fees to longs.
The total option position has increased by 8.41% in the past 24 hours, and the activity of the option trading market has increased. The current total BTC option contract position is 30082.27 BTC, and the increase in the past 24 hours is 8.41%, indicating that the activity of the option trading market has increased. Interpretation: Option positions refer to the total number of all unexercised option contracts in the market, which can reflect the current market's views and expectations on the future price trend of a certain underlying asset.
Analysis and derivation do not constitute investment advice and are for reference only.
The total market value of cryptocurrencies is 2.88 trillion US dollars, with a 24-hour drop of 3.52% The current total market value of cryptocurrencies is 2.88 trillion US dollars, with a 24-hour drop of 105.148 billion US dollars, a drop of 3.52%. Among them, the market value of Bitcoin accounts for 58.51%, and the market value of Ethereum accounts for 10.1%.#Bybit发布黑客取证报告
BTC's current market capitalization share has dropped to 59.03%
BTC has declined, with a trading volume of 99.4 billion USD in the past 24 hours, a circulating market value of 1.76 trillion USD, and the market share has decreased by 1.35%. Data for reference only #比特币价格走势分析
The US government address transferred 1201 ETH, approximately $3,199,900 AlCoin monitoring, the US government address transferred a total of 1201 ETH one day ago, valued at approximately $3,199,900 #比特币价格走势分析
Yesterday, the net outflow amount of the spot BTC ETF reached a new high in nearly two months. Yesterday, the net outflow amount of the US spot BTC ETF reached $938 million, the highest single-day net outflow since December 4. Among them, the largest outflow was ARKB, reaching $0 million; followed by FBTC, with an outflow amount of $345 million. #比特币价格走势分析
- The recent candlestick shows that the price is fluctuating around 2500, forming a slight upward trend.
- Recent highs fluctuate between 2533.49 (February 25 at 0600).
2. Technical Indicators:
- MACD: The current MACD histogram shows bullish signals, but the DIF and DEA are still in the negative area, indicating a possible rebound in the short term, but the overall trend has not fully shifted to bullish.
- RSI: The RSI is currently at 51.98, close to the neutral area, slightly leaning towards overbought, and attention is needed to see if it will enter a sustained overbought range.
- EMA: EMA7 (2489.12) has crossed above EMA30 (2497.40), indicating a strengthening short-term trend; however, EMA120 (2623.57) is far above the current price, suggesting ongoing downward pressure in the long term.
3. Trading Volume:
- Significant increase in trading volume during the period of February 25 at 2300, followed by a gradual decrease, indicating a decline in market activity.
- The current hourly trading volume is low, only 81, suggesting strong market wait-and-see sentiment.
【Buy and Sell Points】
- Buy Point One: 2450 USDT (Reason: Close to the previous low of 2471.8, support may form near the whole number level)
- Buy Point Two: 2425 USDT (Reason: Close to the low of 2424.35 at February 26 at 02:00, expected to rebound after further decline)
- Long Stop Loss Point: 2400 USDT (Reason: If it falls below this point, it indicates the trend continues downward, and it is not advisable to hold long positions)
- Sell Point One: 2550 USDT (Reason: Close to the recent high of 2533.49, pressure exists near the whole number level)
- Sell Point Two: 2600 USDT (Reason: EMA120 is near 2623.57, significant long-term moving average resistance)
- Short Stop Loss Point: 2630 USDT (Reason: Breaking this level will confirm a strong reversal, immediate stop loss is required)
ETH's 1-hour price trend: Sideways
Analysis by Jie Shen, does not constitute investment advice, for reference only.
- Recent candlesticks show a clear downtrend, especially after the significant drop on February 25, indicating a bearish market sentiment.
- On the hourly level, there is some support around the 88000 level, but overall it remains in a descending channel.
2. Technical Indicators:
- MACD: The current MACD histogram is positive but gradually shrinking, indicating a potential short-term rebound, but overall momentum remains weak.
- RSI: The RSI value is close to the oversold zone (38.72), suggesting a possible technical rebound in the short term.
- EMA: The price is currently above EMA7 but below EMA30 and EMA120, indicating signs of a short-term rebound, but the medium to long-term trend remains bearish.
3. Trading Volume:
- Trading volume has decreased in the last few hours, indicating an increase in market indecision.
- On the daily level, the previous trading day experienced a significant drop in volume, showing strong selling pressure.
【Buy and Sell Points】
- Buy Point One: 87000 USDT (close to the previous low, an integer support level)
- Buy Point Two: 86000 USDT (further probing into a stronger support area, near historical lows)
- Long Stop Loss Point: 85500 USDT (protective stop loss after breaking below Buy Point Two)
- Sell Point One: 90000 USDT (integer resistance level, close to the EMA30 moving average)
- Sell Point Two: 91000 USDT (stronger resistance area above, near previous highs)
- Short Stop Loss Point: 91500 USDT (protective stop loss after breaking above Sell Point Two)
BTC's 1-hour price trend: Consolidating
Jie Shen's analysis is based on deduction and does not constitute investment advice, for reference only.
- The recent candlestick shows a price retreat from a high point, forming a clear downtrend.
- A long upper shadow candlestick has recently appeared, indicating heavy selling pressure above.
2. Technical Indicators:
- MACD: Currently, both DIF and DEA are trending downwards, and the MACD histogram is in negative territory, showing that bearish strength is dominant.
- RSI: RSI has retreated from the overbought zone and is currently in a neutral to weak area, suggesting a potential continuation of the adjustment.
- EMA: The short-term EMA (7) has crossed below the long-term EMA (30) and is approaching the EMA (120), indicating short-term downward pressure.
3. Trading Volume:
- After the surge, trading volume has significantly increased and then gradually shrunk, indicating a cooling market sentiment.
- Current trading volume is relatively stable, with no obvious signs of increased or decreased volume.
【Buy/Sell Points】
- Buy Point One: 1.600 USDT (close to the previous swing low, likely to generate buying support)
- Buy Point Two: 1.550 USDT (near a round number, historically has had strong support)
- Long Stop Loss Point: 1.520 USDT (falls below an important support level, confirming a downtrend)
- Sell Point One: 1.700 USDT (close to the previous swing high, facing selling pressure)
- Sell Point Two: 1.750 USDT (round number, likely to form strong resistance)
- Short Stop Loss Point: 1.780 USDT (breaks through a key resistance level, indicating increased upward momentum)
KAITO's 1-hour price trend: Down
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.