云恒de日记
微博热搜：云恒 .八年经验.干货分享.丁丁 ggyy2244
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6.21 Weekend Analysis
Yesterday's market behaved as expected↓ The big 🫓 declined from 10w65 to around the 10w28 line and fluctuated. The weekend market should not be too significant, take a break and relax, spend time with family, and have a pleasant weekend.
For the rebound near 10w41 to 10w36 line, look to short.
Target around 10w32 to 10w27 line.
For the rebound near 2440 to 2420 line, look to short.
Target around 2400 to 2380 line.
Yesterday's market behaved as expected↓ The big 🫓 declined from 10w65 to around the 10w28 line and fluctuated. The weekend market should not be too significant, take a break and relax, spend time with family, and have a pleasant weekend.
For the rebound near 10w41 to 10w36 line, look to short.
Target around 10w32 to 10w27 line.
For the rebound near 2440 to 2420 line, look to short.
Target around 2400 to 2380 line.
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Evening Analysis on June 20
In the morning, the big market oscillated near the 100,047 line, and in the afternoon it gradually began to rise. After reaching the 100,064 line, it oscillated again. The key focus is on 100,065; if it stabilizes, then it will go up. Currently, it is expected that many people will be active, and do not blindly take positions. If there is a new breakthrough, adjustments should be made accordingly, and please adjust flexibly based on market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall high position oscillates, showing balanced conditions. The MACD is above the zero line, with the red bars slightly expanding. The KDJ is in an overbought state, and the j value is turning down. In the short term, the upward momentum is dominant, but be cautious of downward risks after an upward movement, as this point is already high and primarily driven by absorption. (Maintain good defense; everyone is responsible)
For a rebound near the 100,065 to 100,061 lines, take positions.
Target around 100,046 to 100,040 lines.
For a rebound near the 2,570 to 2,555 lines, take positions.
Target around 2,525 to 2,500 lines.
In the morning, the big market oscillated near the 100,047 line, and in the afternoon it gradually began to rise. After reaching the 100,064 line, it oscillated again. The key focus is on 100,065; if it stabilizes, then it will go up. Currently, it is expected that many people will be active, and do not blindly take positions. If there is a new breakthrough, adjustments should be made accordingly, and please adjust flexibly based on market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall high position oscillates, showing balanced conditions. The MACD is above the zero line, with the red bars slightly expanding. The KDJ is in an overbought state, and the j value is turning down. In the short term, the upward momentum is dominant, but be cautious of downward risks after an upward movement, as this point is already high and primarily driven by absorption. (Maintain good defense; everyone is responsible)
For a rebound near the 100,065 to 100,061 lines, take positions.
Target around 100,046 to 100,040 lines.
For a rebound near the 2,570 to 2,555 lines, take positions.
Target around 2,525 to 2,500 lines.
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June 20th Intraday Analysis
After significant fluctuations, without support from the US stock market, the large market is oscillating near the box line as I anticipated last night. The market fell to around 104,000 early in the morning and then slowly rose back to around 104,700. I personally believe it will continue to maintain box oscillation, and adjustments will be made if there are new breakthroughs. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall oscillation shows a balanced state, with MACD below the zero line and the histogram shortening, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening but has not yet turned strong. The RSI is 46.18, in a neutral to weak area, and further oscillation within the box is expected. At this point, the strategy should mainly focus on high selling and low buying. (For ultra-short-term, maintain last night's analysis and ensure proper defense)
Rebound near the range of 105,300 to 104,800 for oscillation
Target looks at the range of 104,000 to 103,500
Rebound near the range of 2,560 to 2,540 for oscillation
Target looks at the range of 2,480 to 2,460
After significant fluctuations, without support from the US stock market, the large market is oscillating near the box line as I anticipated last night. The market fell to around 104,000 early in the morning and then slowly rose back to around 104,700. I personally believe it will continue to maintain box oscillation, and adjustments will be made if there are new breakthroughs. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall oscillation shows a balanced state, with MACD below the zero line and the histogram shortening, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening but has not yet turned strong. The RSI is 46.18, in a neutral to weak area, and further oscillation within the box is expected. At this point, the strategy should mainly focus on high selling and low buying. (For ultra-short-term, maintain last night's analysis and ensure proper defense)
Rebound near the range of 105,300 to 104,800 for oscillation
Target looks at the range of 104,000 to 103,500
Rebound near the range of 2,560 to 2,540 for oscillation
Target looks at the range of 2,480 to 2,460
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Today has been a day of fluctuations. There hasn't been any significant market movement, just maintain the status quo.
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【Important Notice｜Stock Market Closure Schedule on June 19, 2025】
According to the trading rules of the U.S. securities market, June 19 is a federal holiday in the United States known as "Juneteenth." The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will be closed for the entire day on June 19, 2025 (Thursday), and all trading of stocks, options, ETFs, and derivatives will be suspended.
📅 Next Trading Day Schedule:
The U.S. stock market will resume normal trading on June 20, 2025 (Friday). Investors are advised to prepare their funds and trading plans in advance and closely monitor subsequent market developments.
According to the trading rules of the U.S. securities market, June 19 is a federal holiday in the United States known as "Juneteenth." The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will be closed for the entire day on June 19, 2025 (Thursday), and all trading of stocks, options, ETFs, and derivatives will be suspended.
📅 Next Trading Day Schedule:
The U.S. stock market will resume normal trading on June 20, 2025 (Friday). Investors are advised to prepare their funds and trading plans in advance and closely monitor subsequent market developments.
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June 19th Intraday Analysis
I thought there would be significant changes due to the meeting yesterday, but it turned out to be a long night with nothing happening. After 10 o'clock in the morning, it fell near the 1035 line after reaching the 10w53 line as expected. By the morning, it had returned to the 10w47 line (just one number changed compared to yesterday). Personally, I believe it will maintain a range-bound fluctuation, and adjustments will be made after a new breakthrough. Please adjust flexibly based on market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level fluctuations are moving downwards. The MACD green bars are shortening, and the fast and slow lines are near the zero axis. The daily line is in a death cross, and the RSI value is 50, which is neutral but slightly weak, and has not entered the oversold area. The subsequent expectation is for range-bound fluctuations, focusing on high selling and low buying at this point. (Defense is crucial).
For rebounds, make a short near the 10w53 to 10w48 line.
Target around the 10w4 to 10w35 line.
For rebounds, make a short near the 2550-2530 line.
Target around the 2480 to 2450 line.
I thought there would be significant changes due to the meeting yesterday, but it turned out to be a long night with nothing happening. After 10 o'clock in the morning, it fell near the 1035 line after reaching the 10w53 line as expected. By the morning, it had returned to the 10w47 line (just one number changed compared to yesterday). Personally, I believe it will maintain a range-bound fluctuation, and adjustments will be made after a new breakthrough. Please adjust flexibly based on market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level fluctuations are moving downwards. The MACD green bars are shortening, and the fast and slow lines are near the zero axis. The daily line is in a death cross, and the RSI value is 50, which is neutral but slightly weak, and has not entered the oversold area. The subsequent expectation is for range-bound fluctuations, focusing on high selling and low buying at this point. (Defense is crucial).
For rebounds, make a short near the 10w53 to 10w48 line.
Target around the 10w4 to 10w35 line.
For rebounds, make a short near the 2550-2530 line.
Target around the 2480 to 2450 line.
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Old Bao has started speaking again, everyone.
I'm sure many people are confused, right?
Short confusion is acceptable because many people have entered it!
High confusion is always the truth.
I'm sure many people are confused, right?
Short confusion is acceptable because many people have entered it!
High confusion is always the truth.
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6.18 Morning Analysis
Yesterday mentioned breaking 10w65 butterfly, confirming ↓ to open, the big cake continues to show a slight downtrend. The big 🫓 in the evening fell as expected near the 10w53 line, then descended to around 1033, and this morning has returned to around the 10w43 line. I personally believe it will continue to decline. Before the 🚀 conflict and domestic turmoil calm down, it will maintain fluctuations or ↓. Pay attention to 10w3 to see if it continues to extend. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level fluctuation and decline is analyzed. The MACD histogram continues to be negative and expanding, the fast and slow lines are running below the zero axis in a dead cross, and the RSI value is 41.05, but has not entered the oversold area, indicating there is still ⬇️ space in the short term. The subsequent expectation is either consolidation or ⬇️, and given this point, the morning still focuses mainly on high positions. (Defense is crucial)
For rebounds near 10w53 to 10w48 line, take high positions.
Target looks at around 10w4 to 10w35 line.
For rebounds near 2560-2530 line, take high positions.
Target looks at around 2480 to 2450 line.
Yesterday mentioned breaking 10w65 butterfly, confirming ↓ to open, the big cake continues to show a slight downtrend. The big 🫓 in the evening fell as expected near the 10w53 line, then descended to around 1033, and this morning has returned to around the 10w43 line. I personally believe it will continue to decline. Before the 🚀 conflict and domestic turmoil calm down, it will maintain fluctuations or ↓. Pay attention to 10w3 to see if it continues to extend. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level fluctuation and decline is analyzed. The MACD histogram continues to be negative and expanding, the fast and slow lines are running below the zero axis in a dead cross, and the RSI value is 41.05, but has not entered the oversold area, indicating there is still ⬇️ space in the short term. The subsequent expectation is either consolidation or ⬇️, and given this point, the morning still focuses mainly on high positions. (Defense is crucial)
For rebounds near 10w53 to 10w48 line, take high positions.
Target looks at around 10w4 to 10w35 line.
For rebounds near 2560-2530 line, take high positions.
Target looks at around 2480 to 2450 line.
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6.17 Morning Analysis
After the small one-sided movement of Bitcoin, it is expected to rise to around 10w8 in the evening, then continue up to the 1089 line before starting to decline. This morning, it has returned to around the 10w73 line. I personally believe this wave has entered a correction phase. Pay attention to whether 10w65 will break through; if it does, it will confirm a downward trend. Please adjust flexibly based on market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level oscillation is moving downwards. MACD and KDJ are opening downwards, and the pressure above is gradually increasing. The positions have been cleared, and the subsequent expectation is either consolidation or downwards. Given this point, this morning is still mainly focused on higher positions. (Defense is crucial)
For a rebound, consider taking positions near 10w8 to 10w75.
Target around 10w65 to 10w58.
For a rebound, consider taking positions near 2580 to 2560.
Target around 2500 to 2480.
After the small one-sided movement of Bitcoin, it is expected to rise to around 10w8 in the evening, then continue up to the 1089 line before starting to decline. This morning, it has returned to around the 10w73 line. I personally believe this wave has entered a correction phase. Pay attention to whether 10w65 will break through; if it does, it will confirm a downward trend. Please adjust flexibly based on market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level oscillation is moving downwards. MACD and KDJ are opening downwards, and the pressure above is gradually increasing. The positions have been cleared, and the subsequent expectation is either consolidation or downwards. Given this point, this morning is still mainly focused on higher positions. (Defense is crucial)
For a rebound, consider taking positions near 10w8 to 10w75.
Target around 10w65 to 10w58.
For a rebound, consider taking positions near 2580 to 2560.
Target around 2500 to 2480.
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Evening Analysis on June 16
In the morning, the large pancake showed a slight one-sided trend 🫓 in the afternoon, it rose near the 107,000 line, and Dandan continues to blossom. It is expected to continue consolidating in the evening, waiting for the U.S. stock market to open before reassessing. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level oscillation shows that MACD and KDJ are opening upwards, with signs of oversold echoes. There is heavy resistance above, and we will continue to look at Dandan after an effective breakthrough. Given this point, the morning should still focus on low Dandan (defense is crucial).
Pull back to near the 106,500—106,000 line to do Dandan.
Target at near the 107,000—108,000 line.
Pull back to near the 2670—2590 line to do Dandan.
Target at near the 2640—2660 line.
In the morning, the large pancake showed a slight one-sided trend 🫓 in the afternoon, it rose near the 107,000 line, and Dandan continues to blossom. It is expected to continue consolidating in the evening, waiting for the U.S. stock market to open before reassessing. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall low-level oscillation shows that MACD and KDJ are opening upwards, with signs of oversold echoes. There is heavy resistance above, and we will continue to look at Dandan after an effective breakthrough. Given this point, the morning should still focus on low Dandan (defense is crucial).
Pull back to near the 106,500—106,000 line to do Dandan.
Target at near the 107,000—108,000 line.
Pull back to near the 2670—2590 line to do Dandan.
Target at near the 2640—2660 line.
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6.16 Afternoon Analysis
In the morning, Bitcoin moved in a slight upward trend, rising from around 100,600 to around 100,650 with fluctuations. In the morning, the trading volume has started to blossom; in the afternoon, pay attention to the line around 100,700. Earlier, I wish the world 🌎 has no smoke of war. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall high-level fluctuations show that MACD has formed a golden cross, and KDJ is opening upwards. There is heavy resistance above, but there is a slow upward trend. Given this, the morning still focuses on low trades. (Defense is crucial)
Rebound to around 100,550 to 100,560 to make trades.
Target around 100,650 to 100,700.
Rebound to around 2560 to 2580 to make trades.
Target around 2640 to 2660.
In the morning, Bitcoin moved in a slight upward trend, rising from around 100,600 to around 100,650 with fluctuations. In the morning, the trading volume has started to blossom; in the afternoon, pay attention to the line around 100,700. Earlier, I wish the world 🌎 has no smoke of war. Please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall high-level fluctuations show that MACD has formed a golden cross, and KDJ is opening upwards. There is heavy resistance above, but there is a slow upward trend. Given this, the morning still focuses on low trades. (Defense is crucial)
Rebound to around 100,550 to 100,560 to make trades.
Target around 100,650 to 100,700.
Rebound to around 2560 to 2580 to make trades.
Target around 2640 to 2660.
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6.15 Morning Analysis
It's Monday again. After a slight fluctuation over the weekend, there hasn't been a significant move. The large 🫓 has been oscillating around the 10w6 line to the 10w5 line, and after directly approaching the 10w43 line in the early morning, it rebounded. It was previously mentioned that this is a consolidation based on news. If the butterfly breaks the 10w3 support recently, it may ↓, on the contrary, if it rises above the 10w65 resistance, it may ↑. May 🌎 be free of smoke and please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall high-level oscillation shows that the MACD fast and slow lines are currently operating below the zero axis, with green shrinking and turning red. The RSI value is 49.5, close to neutral, with no obvious overbought or oversold signals, indicating a short-term upward trend. Given this point, the morning should still focus on low volatility. (Defense is crucial)
Pull back to the 10w48 to 10w43 line range to make a move.
Target to look at the 10w61 to 10w57 line range.
Pull back to the 2490 to 2515 line range to make a move.
Target to look at the 2560 to 2580 line range.
It's Monday again. After a slight fluctuation over the weekend, there hasn't been a significant move. The large 🫓 has been oscillating around the 10w6 line to the 10w5 line, and after directly approaching the 10w43 line in the early morning, it rebounded. It was previously mentioned that this is a consolidation based on news. If the butterfly breaks the 10w3 support recently, it may ↓, on the contrary, if it rises above the 10w65 resistance, it may ↑. May 🌎 be free of smoke and please adjust flexibly according to market trends.
From a technical perspective, the overall high-level oscillation shows that the MACD fast and slow lines are currently operating below the zero axis, with green shrinking and turning red. The RSI value is 49.5, close to neutral, with no obvious overbought or oversold signals, indicating a short-term upward trend. Given this point, the morning should still focus on low volatility. (Defense is crucial)
Pull back to the 10w48 to 10w43 line range to make a move.
Target to look at the 10w61 to 10w57 line range.
Pull back to the 2490 to 2515 line range to make a move.
Target to look at the 2560 to 2580 line range.
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