The Cryptocurrency World is About to Change! The Shocking Moment After No Rate Cut on May 7
😱Dear friends, a tremendous storm in the financial world is roaring in! On May 7, the Federal Reserve's decision day, there was actually no rate cut! This decisive moment instantly blew up the cryptocurrency market; will it collapse like an avalanche, or soar like a rocket? Everyone is wide-eyed, closely watching the market trends.
Meeting Turmoil
On May 6 - 7, the highly anticipated FOMC meeting was held. The market was originally filled with various speculations and rumors, and everyone was eagerly waiting for the dawn of a rate cut, but the Federal Reserve was determined, keeping the interest rate firmly in the 4.25% - 4.50% range. Trump was beside himself, constantly pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut rates, but unfortunately, this time the Federal Reserve didn't budge. Moreover, the Federal Reserve headquarters spending $2.5 billion on renovations has also become a subject of public debate, with Musk unable to hold back from criticizing it as luxurious waste, leading to endless controversy.
Economic Signal Fog
From the economic data perspective, there is also a heavy fog. The 2-year Treasury yield is surprisingly below the benchmark line, which is not a reassuring signal. The April employment data showed only 133,000 new jobs, and the labor market is clearly cooling down; this series of data suggests that the economy may be lacking momentum. The market is pondering whether the Federal Reserve will change its mind and cut rates this year due to the slowing economy?
Pre-Storm in the Cryptocurrency Market
On Trump's side, he is firing all cylinders attacking Powell, but the Federal Reserve remains steadfast in its data-driven strategy. This decision on May 7 is like a giant stone thrown into a lake, inevitably creating ripples in the market. For our cryptocurrency world, we have reached a critical crossroads of rise and fall. Cryptocurrency assets are like athletes ready to sprint, just waiting for the market’s gunshot. Fellow crypto friends, you must closely monitor employment and inflation data; there might be hidden wealth secrets among them. Seize the opportunity, and you might just achieve a breakthrough!💥#加密市场反弹
US Debt Expansion and Stereotypes Hinder America's Bitcoin Accumulation
On May 4, according to Cryptonews, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated that the US government is unlikely to increase its Bitcoin reserves through direct purchases due to two main factors: the ever-expanding national debt pressure and the public's stereotype of Bitcoin investors (the so-called 'Bitcoin bros'). Arthur Hayes believes that inherent stereotypes can influence policymakers' decisions.
The US government officially holds over 198,000 Bitcoins, valued at over $18 billion, mainly seized from criminal investigations such as Silk Road and the Bitfinex case. Although Hayes believes that expanding these reserves through direct purchases is politically unfeasible, he reiterated that Bitcoin's dominance will return to around 70% levels before 2021 and rise to $1 million per coin.
📈【The Trading Philosophy in Candlestick Charts: One Candlestick, Reflecting the Complexity of Human Nature】📉
Each candlestick is a battlefield of bulls and bears The opening price is the starting point, the closing price is the final chapter, The upper shadow pierces the clouds of greed, the lower shadow explores the depths of fear, Between the thick and thin body lies the migration code of capital, In the alternation of yin and yang, the eternal cycle of hope and suspicion unfolds.
To understand candlesticks, one must first understand human nature 📌 When the bullish candle rises, is it a celebration or a trap? Greed spreads in the chase for gains 📌 When the bearish candle falls, is it panic or opportunity? Fear expands in the selling tide 📌 The doji flickers, caught in a tug-of-war; who remains sober in the game? 📌 A long bullish candle engulfs the bearish clouds; in the reversal signal, who can grasp the trend's hem?
Trading is never just a numbers game But a practice of overcoming human weaknesses — To restrain impulses before a surge in bullish candles, to maintain rationality amidst consecutive bearish declines, To reject impatience within a fluctuating range, and to dare to follow when a trend takes shape.
When you understand the heartbeat of candlesticks You also understand the breath of the market: It is not a cold chart, but the resonance of millions of traders' emotions, A gladiatorial arena of greed and fear, a touchstone of rationality and desire.
💡 Every opening and closing of a position is a dialogue with human nature; Every fluctuation of a candlestick is a measurement of cognition. —— Only by understanding candlesticks can one navigate the ups and downs of the stock market, Maintain one's original intention, and see the light of the trend.
Last night's non-farm data failed to stir much excitement in the market, and the trend has returned to a more moderate pace. The technical landscape shows a range-bound adjustment structure, with short-term resistance around 980 and support at 960. Today coincides with the weekend, so a one-sided trend is unlikely; it is recommended to participate with a strategy that focuses on the range's resistance and support levels, using high short and low long strategies.
Long positions reference: layout in the 965-960 area, targeting around 980 Short positions reference: intervene in the 975-980 area, targeting around 960
Note: Operate with a light position, maintain stop-loss, and focus on quick entry and exit for short-term trades.
Bitcoin experienced fluctuations and adjustments from yesterday afternoon to evening, and the bulls started to gain strength around midnight. The price rose from the low of 83684 all the way up to 85434, perfectly coinciding with the previously given long position range, resulting in a gain of over 1000 points. Currently, the coin price has slightly retraced. From the four-hour chart perspective, the situation of the three tracks moving in opposite directions has not changed significantly. After a certain period of bullish strength, the weakening of that strength is quite evident. In the absence of a sustained breakout, it is highly likely that the day will continue to exhibit a fluctuating market. Moreover, with the upward trend in the technical aspect, the range of fluctuations will also move upward. 85000 remains a key level for bullish recovery; if it continues to fluctuate below this level for a long time, there is still a risk of a pullback, with attention on the support level around 83000. Investors need to closely monitor the price's breakout situation at key levels to assess the subsequent trend.
Place a stop near 86000 for Bitcoin, defend at 865000, with a target of 84000.
Attention Everyone ⚠️ Will there be bigger movements tonight?
Earlier this week, the market took a hit again due to tariffs, and early this morning, the 'understanding king' made a sudden change regarding tariffs, momentarily boosting the market by 6000 points.
The CPI annual rate data released at 8:30 PM tonight will bring significant volatility to the market. If it is favorable for the cryptocurrency market, can it break through 90,000? If it is unfavorable, will it once again drop to 75,000?
Morning Operation on the 10th BTC surged around 6,000 points in the early hours. According to the 4-hour trend, the market first declined and then rose, forming a double bottom rebound, with three consecutive bullish candles pushing upwards. It is currently consolidating at a high level. Therefore, the focus moving forward can be on the 83,500 line. If it continues to rise, we need to change our strategy. In the morning, we will still focus on short positions. Ensure good defense, and definitely do not hold onto losing positions.
Silk Road Short BTC around 83,000, with a target of 81,000. Defense at 84,000.
Large pancake: 8.45, pullback to 8.35, target at 8.55/8.65; consider short-term trading at the two positions above 8.75/8.85. Second pancake: 1980 light position, pullback to 1950, target 2050/2200; consider trading at the two positions above 2060/2220.
Why is BTC hovering around 83000? 1️⃣ BTC is stuck at 83000 mainly waiting for the interest rate decision from Japan on March 19 and the U.S. on March 20, as well as the speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the dot plot. The market may drop first and then stabilize, or directly break down.
2️⃣ Impact of Japan's interest rate hike On March 19, Japan raises interest rates, tightening monetary policy, leading funds to traditional assets, putting pressure on BTC, and the market may drop first.
3️⃣ Impact of the U.S. not lowering interest rates On March 20, the U.S. does not lower interest rates, and the market reacts in two ways: Negative news materializes: short-term pressure is released. New positive expectations: anticipation of future rate cuts. However, not lowering rates is still unfavorable for BTC, which prefers low rates.
4️⃣ Key points from Powell's speech Powell's speech and the dot plot set the direction: Dovish: mild speech, dot plot suggests rate cuts, BTC may rebound to 84000-85000. Hawkish: tough speech, combined with Japan's rate hike and not lowering rates, BTC may drop below the previous low to 72000.
5️⃣ Conclusion BTC hovers around 83000 due to the uncertainty of the interest rate decisions in Japan and the U.S. Japan's rate hike may lead to an initial drop, while the U.S. not lowering rates and Powell's speech will determine whether BTC stabilizes or breaks down.
Investor's Psychological Qualities: How to Cope with Market Volatility. The severe fluctuations in the market make many novice investors feel anxious and uneasy. How can one enhance their psychological qualities to avoid making wrong decisions due to market volatility? First, it is very important to understand market volatility. The price of BTC itself is influenced by multiple factors, including market sentiment, regulatory policies, global economic conditions, and more. Therefore, in the long term, prices will exhibit significant fluctuations, and novice investors should prepare themselves psychologically in advance. Secondly, establish a clear investment plan and set stop-loss and take-profit points. This can help investors remain calm during market fluctuations and avoid missing good opportunities due to panic. Maintain a long-term perspective. BTC is a long-term investment project, and short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, but from historical data, long-term holders often achieve good returns. Finally, establish sufficient emergency reserves to ensure that you have enough funds to cope with unexpected situations. Through these strategies, novice investors can better cope with market volatility and steadily move towards success. #币圈 #比特币
BTC has been oscillating within a range for 4 hours, with strong support at 82000 below, and the market rebounded after large short positions were closed. Personally, I still lean towards a rise followed by a drop, at least testing the price of 85000 once before encountering resistance and falling on the daily chart. I still recommend chasing hot spots, otherwise there will be no liquid market. #币圈 #比特币
According to the latest market data and analysis as of March 17, 2025 Current Price and Trends The current price fluctuates between 81925 and 85136, with a daily decline of about 1-2%. The trading volume shows a downward trend, and market activity is relatively low. The 4-hour candlestick chart indicates that Bitcoin has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline around 83200. If the price cannot break through the neckline, it may test the support range of 81000-82000. Support level: 81000-82000 (head and shoulders target and recent lows) Market Sentiment and External Factors The Trump administration's military actions in Yemen have led to a shift of funds towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold, putting short-term pressure on Bitcoin. The U.S. SEC's regulatory warning regarding Uniswap may trigger volatility in the DeFi sector, indirectly affecting Bitcoin market sentiment. Attention should be paid to the inflow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs; if it continues to fall below expectations, it may exacerbate selling pressure. If Bitcoin falls below 81500, short positions can be established with a target of 79800 USD, and a stop loss at 82000.
Continuous rebound, what should be done in response Bitcoin's pullback continues to support, and short-term will continue to rebound. In terms of market news, inflation is slowing down, and the market will also welcome a rebound. From a technical perspective: 1. The U.S. Senate Banking Committee advances the "Financial Integrity and Regulatory Management Act." 2. The Central Bank of Russia proposes to open cryptocurrency trading to specific local investors. In short-term trading, you can start by going long, looking to go long around Bitcoin at 82000, with a stop loss at 80000, and a target of 85000. Manage your own entry opportunities. For short-term trading, manage your own risks. #币圈 #比特币
Is the threshold for newcomers in the cryptocurrency market high? With the explosive growth of the cryptocurrency market, more and more people are beginning to pay attention to and attempt to enter the cryptocurrency space. However, for newcomers, whether the threshold is truly high is a common question. In fact, the answer to this question depends on multiple factors, including knowledge base, technical skills, risk tolerance, and the amount of investment capital. 1. Knowledge Threshold The concepts involved in the cryptocurrency space are relatively complex, and newcomers often need to master a series of basic knowledge related to blockchain, cryptocurrencies, smart contracts, and more. Additionally, the various trading tools and technical analysis methods available in the market require a certain learning cost. For newcomers with no experience, it may take time to learn and understand the basic principles and market operation mechanisms. 2. Technical Threshold Operating platforms and wallets is one of the technical challenges faced by newcomers. Although most mainstream exchanges have simplified user interfaces, for inexperienced users, managing security, protecting private keys, and understanding the concepts of cold wallets and hot wallets can be confusing. Operations such as leverage trading, opening and closing positions, and setting stop-loss and take-profit orders in contract trading increase the technical difficulty. To address these technical challenges, many platforms offer simulated trading or beginner tutorials to help users familiarize themselves with basic operations. Furthermore, choosing mainstream platforms can reduce learning costs, as their interface designs are more user-friendly and security measures are more mature. 3. Capital Threshold The virtual market is highly volatile, and many investors believe that a significant capital investment is necessary to achieve ideal returns. However, in reality, the cryptocurrency space allows small amounts of capital to enter the market, and many exchanges support trading with small amounts of funds. Newcomers can start with small investments and gradually increase their capital input and market experience. 4. Risk Tolerance The volatility of the cryptocurrency market is high, and price fluctuations can be severe. This can create significant psychological pressure for newcomers with limited trading experience. Investors need to have a strong sense of risk awareness and tolerance; otherwise, they may easily experience panic during market fluctuations.
How to Maintain Mindset in Cryptocurrency Investment?
In cryptocurrency investment, mindset is as important as technical and information analysis. Here are some key points on why mindset is crucial. 1. Why mindset is the core of survival in cryptocurrency? 1. Extreme volatility Cryptocurrency assets may surge or plummet within a few hours; emotional trading (like FOMO chasing highs or panic selling) can easily lead to significant losses. 2. Information noise and market manipulation Fake news, manipulation by market makers, community signals, and other phenomena occur frequently; rational judgment is required to avoid being harvested. 3. Anti-human nature tests Market tops are often accompanied by euphoria, while bottoms are filled with despair; contrarian thinking is the key to profitability.