南烨-青烽

The surge to $0.2046 for DOGE is indeed impressive, with a daily increase of 13% getting many people excited. But let's add a dose of reality—this position is like walking a tightrope; within two days, it will either go crazy again or experience a painful fall. First, let's discuss the optimistic scenario: if it can stabilize above 0.206 and the hourly trading volume exceeds 500 million coins, coupled with some tweets from Musk, reaching 0.22 isn't out of the question, though the probability is about 30%. The more likely scenario is a pullback: once it falls below the 0.20 mark, it is likely to slide down to around 0.188 to catch its breath, and if it can't hold this level, we need to be wary of the deep pit at 0.16.

In terms of action, let's not get too carried away: friends trading contracts can take a small long position when it breaks 0.206, take half profit around 0.215, and hold the rest for 0.22 but set a stop-loss at 0.202; if it drops below 0.198, then reverse to open a short position, taking 60% profit at 0.188. For spot traders, gradually reduce positions above 0.21, selling 10% when it rises by 2%, and for those looking to buy the dip, wait for 0.17 to buy in three batches. Pay close attention to two time frames—between 8 AM and noon, Asian funds like to drive the price up to entice buyers, while after 8 PM, European and American main players may sell off, with daily volatility possibly reaching 15%. Remember, 0.20 is the line between life and death; when it's time to stop-loss, don't hesitate; the dog traders are specialized in punishing the stubborn!
This is only valid for operations within 48 hours. After 48 hours, reevaluate the next steps.

ETFs are currently buying more ETH than BTC. If this momentum continues... Ethereum will definitely continue to rise 📈#ETH

The UNI short position just sent by #UNI . Actually, I can run now 😂😂😂

Hello everyone, I am Nan Ye.
UNI's violent surge of 8% has pushed it to $9.3, the rocket tail of the daily chart hasn't extinguished yet, but the 4-hour chart is already exhausted and shaking—before the Fed's nuclear bomb drops at midnight, remember three iron rules: watch the 9.35 defense line in the morning, wait for the Fed's judgment in the afternoon, and be prepared for a double kill in the night session!
Air Force ambush route: short directly at the current price of 9.35 (≤20% position), add to 8% at a rebound to 9.40, cut position by half at 9.10, close all at 8.95, unconditional stop loss if it breaks through 9.45! Underhanded move—if the price is still hovering around 9.30-9.35 at 21:00, sneakily add short positions to bet on a midnight plunge.
1. Holding positions before the Fed minutes is almost betting your life; must be flat before 02:00 to watch the show.
2. The current price is 8.3% higher than the daily chart; a pullback to 8.90 is a technical necessity.
3. Under 10x leverage, taking 5% profit is king; greed for 10% turns into bones.
Final warning: RSI overbought area has exploded (94!), better to miss than to make a mistake! Follow me to avoid getting lost #UNI

Breaking News
The US House of Representatives may vote today on the BITCOIN and cryptocurrency market structure bill.
Please fasten your seatbelt 😉😉😉
Follow me, don't get lost

Breaking News: The Federal Reserve will transfer trillions of dollars to the new ISO 20022 standard on Monday! #Xrp🔥🔥 will play a key role

#BTC The weekend market is a bit boring 😂😂😂
Before going to sleep, I want to share my personal opinion, please don't criticize if you don't like it. Those who have time to watch the market can pay attention to the position of 117,500.
If the price breaks through 117,800, you can go long (leverage ≤ 20x), take profit at 119,000; if it falls below 115,000, go short, and retreat at 113,000.
For spot trading, buy in three batches at 116,000/114,500/113,000. Be cautious of false breakouts during the Asian morning session (8-10 AM) and pay attention to large orders during the European and American night session (8-12 PM). If the volume is < 180 BTC or there is a sudden increase in large transfers, clear the positions directly. The critical line is 115,000; a breach will definitely trigger a stop loss!

Brothers, the current price of ETH is $2965, with the 4-hour RSI soaring to 89, indicating serious overbuying, and the daily BOLL upper band at 3104 forming strong resistance. The key path for the next 48 hours: if it breaks through 2980 and maintains a volume greater than 150,000 ETH/hour (40% probability), the target is 3050-3100; but it is more likely to retrace to the 2920 support (60% probability), and if it breaks, it will test the 2850 daily middle band. The biggest risk comes from selling pressure from institutions like Sharplink (holding cost $2615, floating profit 13.4%).
Operation Strategy
- Contracts: Go long above 2980 (leverage ≤5 times), take profit at 3050 by 60%; if it falls below 2920, go short and close at 2850. Double-sided stop loss at 1.5%.
- Spot: Gradually reduce positions above 3000 (sell 10% for every 1% rise), buy in three batches below 2850.
- Monitor time: The European market opening (UTC+8 16:00) and the US stock market lunch hour (UTC+8 04:00) are prone to changes, remember to keep an eye on the market when you have time.
Risk Control Key Points:
1. Monitor institutional movements: Track unusual activity in Sharplink wallet addresses.
2. Volume alert line: Pause opening positions when hourly trading volume is <50,000 ETH.
3. Key critical points: Defend 2920 intra-day, decisive stop loss if broken.
The strategy is based on the current overbought structure and will be invalid after 48 hours. Strictly maintain position ≤50%, refuse to hold positions.

Latest News Powell is considering resigning Is this good news or bad news 🤩🤩🤩

In this round of market trends, it is conservatively estimated that nearly 80% are missing out + shorting.
Precisely for this reason, the main forces are pulling so smoothly and effortlessly.
That's why there is this saying: the market always moves in the direction of least resistance.
😂😂😂#BTC再创新高 #山寨季何时到来

Look at my calls from a few days ago, I kept calling before the explosive rise 😁😁😁
Now it's at the peak of the bull market…
But limited to Bitcoin.
BTC's dominance will crash to 45%. Good memes and altcoins will explode.

Counterfeit phones are inevitable😈😈😈#BTC再创新高 #山寨币

Brothers, I just finished analyzing BTC's 4-hour and daily structure. The bulls are playing with fire at historical highs. The price is stuck at the 111,000 mark, with the daily BOLL upper band at 112,419 hanging like a knife's edge, while the 4-hour channel has narrowed to a dagger shape (upper band 111,417 / lower band 106,902). The MACD histogram has shrunk to 576, indicating a decrease in momentum, but the KDJ's J value of 81.1 is still running naked in the overbought zone — this divergence is like a fully drawn bowstring, and a conclusion will be reached within three days.
Key focus on two battlefields:
1. Bullish Blitz: If it stabilizes above 111,417 and breaks through the previous high of 112,000 with volume, it will trigger a short squeeze, with the first target directly hitting the psychological level of 113,000. The news of the Trump family's entry is still fresh, combined with institutional average daily purchases of 600 million USD (screenshot data), the probability of a blitz is 30%.
2. **Air Force Ambush Circle**: The 4-hour RSI has reached 75, which is the end of strong momentum. Once it falls below the support at 109,000 (daily middle band), a pullback to the abyss at 107,000 is almost certain. More dangerously, leveraged bulls are gathering at 108,000; if this level is breached, it will trigger a chain reaction of liquidations.
Operational Tips:
- Futures players should place breakout orders above 111,417 (leverage ≤ 5 times), and short if it falls below 109,000, with a stop-loss buffer of 2,000 USD.
- Spot holders should reduce positions by 30% to lock in profits and buy back in three batches near the 107,000 pullback.
- Critical Detail: The liquidity is thinnest between 4-6 AM (UTC+8), beware of sharp spikes!
Final Words: A bull market is not a game of lying down to win, but a survival battle on the knife's edge. In these three days, you will either race on the express lane of breakthroughs or get trapped in the thorns of a pullback — true hunters are always prepared for both outcomes. #BTC再创新高 #比特币行情走势分析

ETH has surged to 2700 Those who have read my posts know that while most people are bearish, I am one of the few bullish people in the market #BTC走势分析 #ETH 😉😉😉 Follow me so you won't get lost later

ETH Weekly Strategy: Bulls Target 2660, Key Battle Begins!
Brothers, after analyzing the daily and 4-hour charts of ETH, key signals have emerged! The middle line of the daily BOLL at 2458 serves as a solid springboard, while the upper line at 2660 strongly attracts the current price of 2612. The opening of the trumpet indicates that a one-sided volatility is approaching. The daily MACD shows a golden cross above water with an expanding histogram (36.49), signaling the charge of an accelerating wave! Although the liquidation by whales brings short-term disturbances, on-chain data shows we are nearing the end.
The 4-hour battlefield is even more intense! The BOLL channel has been compressed to the extreme (upper line 2628/lower line 2503), with prices building momentum like a spring, making the directional choice imminent within 48 hours. We need to watch out for the KDJ's J value at 83, indicating a short-term overbought signal. A pullback to the golden zone of 2550-2580 is crucial, as this is a battleground for bulls and bears.
The script for the upcoming week: ** A breakout above 2628 will trigger short covering, with the first attack at the daily upper line of 2660. If it stands firm, the target will be 2800. The 'structural benefits' emphasized by Matrixport (suspected to be related to ETFs) are potential fuel. If it loses 2550, a pullback to the support zone of 2500-2458 will occur, but as long as the daily MACD does not break the zero axis, it is considered a golden pit.
Operational Tips: For contract traders, take profits in batches around 2660, where historical trapped positions have accumulated; for spot players, place pyramid orders below 2550 to capture the profits from the fluctuations. The biggest variable lies in Thursday's CPI data, so be cautious of sharp spikes, and always fasten your seatbelt for leverage! Remember, the weekly ETH MACD is about to show a golden cross above water; in this position, it's better to make a mistake than to miss out. The market hesitates from different perspectives, but will reward the keen-eyed seasoned hunters who recognize the key levels. #日内交易策略 #突破交易策略 #

The Bollinger Bands indicator shows that a significant contraction is about to occur.
Most people have been actively bearish since early July...
Some people are even predicting 60-70k 😂😂😂 This price may be reached
But at this moment, I am extremely bullish.

【July Bitcoin Wealth Guide: Sideways is Rocket Fuel! Three Tricks to Eat Both Long and Short】
Friends! The big cake has been welded dead for 9 days in the coffin board of 107,500-109,000, and the BOLL is so narrow it could explode the eyeballs - but this is just the prelude to getting rich! The giant whales are frantically swallowing 38,000 BTC (cost 108,200), ETF institutions are loading up, and three nuclear bombs are about to explode in July!
First Shot: On July 15, if CPI > 3.8%, it will directly massacre 107,500, blowing up over 420 million troops; <3.3% will instantly break through 109,235 and send shorts to heaven! I will set double limits: 109,300 long + 107,400 short, whichever breaks will act!
Second Shot: On July 30, the Federal Reserve's judgment night goes dovish (hinting at a rate cut in September) → 115,000 rocket launch; hawkish → Germans dump 17,000 BTC, picking up corpses at 100,000! Secret technique: ambush spot trade at 105,000, a crash is like a golden opportunity!
Third Shot: Ethereum ETF fund battle, weekly inflow > 1.5 billion → big cake charges at 112,000; funds fleeing → altcoins get wiped out, BTC lone wolves feast! Keep a close watch on Grayscale actions, they sell and we run away, they buy and we go ALL IN!
Life and Death Code - Hold 107,500 firmly: break position and cut losses to short, lick blood on the knife to earn quick money! - Breakthrough 109,235: blindly chase long to kill at 115,000, don't be greedy after getting full! - Current price 108,420 only open 5% positions, keep 95% bullets for nuclear explosion - CPI night live broadcast all-night blood battle!
Three Life-Saving Symbols: 1. Breakthrough Flow: Break 109,235 market price long, stop loss 108,900 quick decision 2. Crash Flow: Spot trade at 105,000, rebound to 108,000 sell half position 3. Hedge Flow: Buy July 26 105,000 Put options, when the black swan comes laugh and collect the corpses!
The longer the sideways, the crazier the explosion! Cowards do not deserve to eat the bull market, follow me, #Bitcoin July Meat Grinder #多空双杀秘籍 #日内交易策略 #现货与合约策略

Bitcoin (BTC): 108500! This pesky little sprite, which had previously pressed down on the trend line and weekly central resistance, is now firmly standing on it as support this week! Stand firm, brother! Support and resistance have swapped places, and it's a beautiful play! 🎯

Ethereum (ETH): 2500! The MA120 bull-bear demarcation line at the weekly level, which was once a roadblock, is now solidly established as a foundation! Breakthrough confirmed, support in place! ETH has also perked up! 💪

What's left above? Bitcoin is just facing the psychological barrier of 110,000. To be honest, this kind of pure psychological pressure pales in comparison to a breakthrough in real money. The pattern has opened up! The sky's the limit for ETH! 🚀

False breakout? The wolf has cried too much, hasn’t it? This time is different! The weekly level has closed with real strength, crucial positions have stabilized, and support has switched! If this is still false, how high must the main force's cost be? Who are they putting on a show for? Be cautious, but don't scare yourself!

The big brother of the US stock market: Still holding steady at high positions, showing no signs of collapsing. The macro environment is fine, so why should the crypto circle be timid?

📢 So, the soul-searching question comes:
The weekly level has truly and thoroughly broken through!
Key **resistance has turned into support!
The macro environment **hasn't held back!

Now tell me, what reason is there to go short??? 🤔
Still thinking of shorting after a breakthrough? Are you that stubborn, brother? Going against the trend will cost you! Isn't it better to go with the flow? 💰

Friends, the core of Bitcoin's market over the next month hinges on three key factors: **technical death lines, the Federal Reserve's policy shift, and institutional ammunition reserves**. The current price oscillates between $105,000 and $108,800, and this narrow range of fluctuation is like a compressed spring — holding steady at $108,800 will trigger a short squeeze, with the first target aiming for $113,000 or even $116,000; however, if the support at $105,000 is breached, it could lead to a long liquidation and a pullback to the $95,000 area. It is particularly noteworthy that market volatility has dropped to a near three-year low, and such low volatility often signals an impending shift, while historical data shows a greater than 75% probability of an increase in July, which provides us with a strong seasonal bias toward the short term.

The real game-changer is the Federal Reserve meeting on July 29. If a clear signal for a September rate cut is released, Bitcoin could potentially surge by 10% in a single day, breaking through $120,000; but if inflation data creates turbulence leading to a pause in hawkish policies, it might test the psychological barrier of $100,000 in the short term. Here, I remind everyone to closely watch two key dates: July 15 for U.S. CPI data, which may reshape market rate cut expectations, and July 24 for the European Central Bank's decision, which will also bring liquidity expectation correlations. Another potential risk is the U.S. Treasury's plan to replenish the TGA account, which is equivalent to pulling nearly $500 billion in liquidity from the market, potentially suppressing risk appetite temporarily.

On the funding side, a breakthrough momentum is brewing — if Bitcoin ETFs can restore net inflows at a weekly level of $1.6 billion this month (the average level of the previous three months), it will act as a catalyst for the market. On-chain data also conveys positive signals: the inventory of Bitcoin on exchanges has dropped to a five-year low, and chips priced below $100,000 are continuously being collected by whales into cold wallets. However, attention should be paid to the high leverage phenomenon in the derivatives market; currently, spot trading volume only accounts for 7% of derivatives, and this structure is prone to amplify volatility.

In terms of operation, a two-step approach is recommended: in early to mid-July, focus on observing the breakout direction of the $105,000-$108,800 range; if it can hold steady at the upper edge, it would be wise to increase positions decisively; as the Federal Reserve meeting approaches, if the policy dovishness becomes clear, aim for a target of $120,000; if there is a hawkish surprise, it is advisable to initiate defensive strategies (such as using options for protection or shifting part of the position to stablecoins). Remember, the essence of this month's script is a technical game dominated by policy expectations, with $108,800 being the battleground that separates bulls from bears.