The drop in currency price and the payback time are intuitive when put together:
Fall 10%, rise 11% to recover the capital Fall 20%, rise 25% to recover the capital Falling 30%, rising 43% to recover capital Falling 40%, rising 67% to recover capital Fall 50%, rise 100% to recover the capital Fall 60%, rise 150% to recover the capital Falling 70%, rising 233% to recover capital
This is why many people want to do something big, but they have been struggling to get back their money. Sometimes, the ability to admit mistakes and have the courage to stop losses is more important than making profits!
There is a prediction in the market recently: the price of Sol in this bull market will reach the level of the previous round of Ethereum (ETH). At first, I thought this idea was exaggerated, but now I think it is possible. Sol performed well in the last bull market and is regarded as a leader among new public chains, so its potential is huge.
In every bull market in the capital market, a new "darling" will emerge. The darling of the last bull market was Ethereum, and this round may be Sol. Looking back at the last bull market, if we count from March 20, 2020, ETH has risen from a historical low of $84 to $4,814, an increase of nearly 60 times.
Coincidentally, Sol’s current weekly support is around $65, which is similar to ETH’s lowest point at the beginning of the bull market in early 2020. Judging from the monthly trend, Sol’s price trend seems to be replicating the price trend of ETH in the previous round.
During the period from April to June this year, Sol may break through the historical high price of $126 and continue to hit $138 and $150, forming an upward band in the second quarter, with a target price of $126 to $204. This is a trend I can see currently.
The consensus in the market is that anything can happen in the future. #内容挖矿 #热门话题 $SOL
① In the last round, the leading market price of the big pie was 10,000 to 40,000. When it fell back to more than 30,000, Grayscale and Musk came in, which was the biggest benefit to the entire pie circle. There is no one. The biggest benefit is that the main force takes the opportunity to ship goods. The best tool is good for cashing out, but when the good is gone, the bad starts. For a year in 2021, the pie only rose to 69,000, becoming the worst-performing currency in the entire currency circle. . ② Now, on the contrary, the bull market has not yet come, but 500,000 Grayscale units are being sold, which has become the biggest negative. When the negative is exhausted, it will be the beginning of a positive, and it is estimated that it is the beginning of the bull market. Therefore, the grayscale sell-off is a good thing. After the grayscale sell-off, if the price goes lower, it will definitely be the time for stud. #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
Let’s talk about three reasons why you are optimistic about ORDI SATS RATS! 1. I am optimistic about ordi because he is the leading player in BRC20. When the big pie rises, he will definitely not be bad. Coupled with the approval of the big pie ETF, breaking new highs is a sure thing! 2.SATS is now the pricing unit for inscription transactions. It is used for pricing. It has the greatest exposure and unlimited traffic! In addition, there is an actual 2-layer gas fee application for BTC! b'an's WEB3 inscription wallet will be released soon, and a large number of users will enter the market later. 3.RATS is mainly strong in the community! Mouse’s community is the most powerful in BRC Inscription. High community popularity will lead to high market popularity, and it is inevitable to leave the circle! $ORDI $1000SATS
Bull market is expected to increase the potential of cryptocurrencies by 50-100 times! ! ! What to watch for Ethereum in this bull market 1. The decentralization of Ethereum staking, represented by $SSV, the staking track will develop into three layers: L0 for DVT, L1 for pledge (represented by Lido), and L2 for re-pledge (represented by EigenLayer) 2. The L2 performance optimization brought about by the Cancun upgrade will not be discussed here. 3. DA data power competition, the competitor is $TIA, the orthodox ones are $ENS and EigenLayer’s DA 4. Whether RWA will be adopted on a large scale by traditional institutions? Since it is mainly concentrated on top DeFi and the current average revenue on the market has increased, it remains to be seen whether RWA will be adopted on a large scale. 5. Decentralized sorter, which is also the key to the recent surge in $METIS. Since this cycle, ETH has surged for the last time, and then the market began to adjust soon. The exchange rate against Bitcoin has returned to October, and is gradually recovering. However, the recovery of the exchange rate is mainly due to the decline of BTC rather than ETH. Independent rise. How should the bull market be laid out, what varieties should be laid out, and how should profits be maximized? Everyone is welcome to discuss. 👇👇👇$ETH $BTC
The concept of Ether Cancun upgrade can be roughly divided into the following categories: 1. L2 chain coins: ARB, OP; L2 vertical chain: IMX, DYDX 2. L2 application: Arb series GMX, MAGIC, RDNT, Op series SNX, VELO 3. The most dynamic new currency in the last round, NFT trading - BLUR; BRC20 - ORDI; MEME - PEPE, education - EDU: new public chain - SUI APT 4. Blur won’t say much anymore. It was born at the wrong time. A large number of unlocks have been released recently. The price has been falling, but it has an invincible basic market and NFT market share. As long as NFT survives, Blur will definitely usher in a highlight moment after the market wash is over. . 5. ORDI and PEPE, which have MEME attributes, are the best tokens to absorb liquidity overflow once market liquidity rises again. 6. AI concept: If gpt5 can be released by the end of the year, it will be a better emotional detonation point. The leading AGIX, phb, and FET are the focus of attention. 7. SSV - After the ETH2.0 upgrade, you can see that the pledge amount has steadily increased regardless of market fluctuations. If the market shows signs of recovery, you can immediately start laying out the sector and pledge service track SSV. #ETH #ARB #op $ETH $BTC
Why is it said that the United States will cut interest rates this year? Because the United States cannot sustain it, and the central bank has suffered huge losses. The Fed's interest income in 2023 will be US$163.8 billion and interest expenses will be US$281.1 billion. Interest income in 2022 will be $170 billion, and interest expense will be $102.4 billion. In 2022, it will earn US$70 billion in interest differentials, but in 2023, it will lose US$120 billion in interest differentials. There are more savings and less loans. The annual interest rate on deposits is 5.5%. The world's money rushes into American banks to earn interest, and the United States cannot resist it. $BTC $ETH $BNB
2024 prediction [3] is purely conjecture and contains many biases. It cannot be used as investment advice. It is only for entertainment and does not need to be taken seriously.
14. The advancement of modular blockchain and cross-chain technology will lead to the integration of the Ethereum ecology, the Bitcoin ecology, and the Solana ecology. This cycle will see the emergence of many projects that are not yet well-known. According to the current ecological evolution of Bitcoin, one of the paths may be Ethereum carrying the second layer of Bitcoin. If it comes true, the integration of Bitcoin and Ethereum will gradually increase. No matter what, the expansion of Bitcoin needs to follow its own native path. Similar to protocols such as atomicals, if AVM can be implemented, it will have an important impact on the development of the Bitcoin ecosystem.
15.depin has made some breakthroughs in solana and arbitrum. This track is still in the early stages of construction, and more exploratory projects will come out.
16. AI is still a long way from actual implementation, but this does not affect it from becoming one of the important narratives in 2024. AI protocols based on L2 and high-performance public chains will gradually emerge.
17. The Ethereum remortgage track will become one of the important narratives at some point this year.
18.NFT, MEME and inscriptions will recover at some point, which will also bring about an increase in NFT DEX trading volume and provide a market basis for the launch of NFT Perp.
19. Some celebrities have entered the fields of nft, meme, and inscriptions.
20. With the development of L2 and the exploration of high-frequency applications, smart contract wallets have the opportunity to start to emerge in 2024.
2024 prediction [2] is purely conjecture and contains many biases. It cannot be used as investment advice. It is only for entertainment and does not need to be taken seriously.
8. As predicted in 2023, modularization will still be an important narrative in 2024, especially fierce competition at the DA level. The Ethereum re-pledge field will also enter the DA layer for competition. In the field of modularization, there is competition and integration between the Cosmos ecosystem and the Ethereum ecosystem. There will be competition between third-party DA and native DA. Before danksharding was implemented, the urgent market demand of L2 led to a certain scale of demand for third-party DA.
9. In addition to the Ethereum and BTC ecology, the cosmos and solana ecology will also continue to develop, which is consistent with the prediction at the beginning of last year. Cosmos will make progress through modularity; Solana will make progress through some applications. In addition, as the modular blockchain matures, one of Solana's evolutionary directions is to participate in the broader encryption ecosystem like other L2s, and its integration with Ethereum will be higher, thereby capturing greater value.
10. Web3 games have achieved breakthroughs in L2/L3 (arb, starknet, etc.), and one game has more than one million users (this has not been achieved in 2023, but it should be mature in 2024). Arb-based game chains will become the forefront of web3 game breakthroughs. Magic will be launched in 2024 with the interoperability of game chain + more games, which will have important implications for the evolution of web3 games.
11. In addition to integrating nft dex, nft lending, and blast, blur is expected to enter nft perp this year, and even the nft market of L2, btc, and sol ecology. Blur still has the opportunity to play one of the most important industry disruptors in 2024.
12. In addition to the explosion of projects on L2, the Ethereum ecosystem is also expected to produce large-scale deflation, thereby achieving value capture. Unlike other L1 chains where additional issuance + fees go to miners as security fees, all new additions and fees are fed back to staking and holding users, which will encourage more users to pledge/re-pledge, thereby further locking in the eth in circulation.
13. Perp in defi will develop on a large scale in 2024, and snx, gmx, gns, dydx, etc. will all generate at least 5 times the transaction volume in 2023; perp may not be an important narrative in the bull market, but it is most likely to be the most fundamental one One of the good tracks.
2024 prediction [1] is purely conjecture and contains many biases. It cannot be used as investment advice. It is only for entertainment and does not need to be taken seriously. #BTC #etf #ETH
1. L2 will still be one of the most important narratives in 2024. With the arrival of the dencun upgrade, the significant drop in L2 fees will lead to the explosion of the L2 ecosystem. On L2, in addition to games, perp, defi, nft, social, depin, etc. will also usher in an explosive period.
2. L2s such as arb, op, zksync, starknet and blast compete with other public chains in all aspects, and with the implementation of EIP-4844 and the evolution of the DA layer, they are keeping pace with high-performance public chains in terms of cost and speed. The ecological competition between arbitrum and solana will be an important highlight in 2024.
3. zksync will launch an economic mechanism in 2024 and become an important force in promoting the explosion of L2.
4. If Starknet achieves a breakthrough, it will start from the full chain game narrative.
5. There will be an L2 project with a diluted total market value exceeding US$100 billion in 2024; under optimistic circumstances, there will be an L2 project with a diluted total market value exceeding US$300 billion during the peak period of the cycle. The final pattern of the L2 market cannot yet be determined in 2024, but it will be basically a foregone conclusion after this cycle.
6. The btc ecology has opened the magic box after the inscription battle. Many teams are exploring expansion, including decentralization of the index, evolution of the inscription system, decentralized cross-chain, zk proof, L2 and many other explorations. Once progress is made, firstly, its own ecology will develop; secondly, the integration with the Ethereum ecology will also be accelerated. The exploration of Bitcoin ecology is one of the most striking evolutions of this cycle.
7. Ethereum L1 has gradually evolved into a B2B chain. Most of the interactions of ordinary users will occur on L2/L3 and a few high-performance L1s. Ethereum has gradually become the underlying asset in the encryption field. At the same time, with the evolution of modular blockchain, Ethereum will become the most important settlement layer, and most of the execution layer and part of the DA layer will be outsourced. But in the end, due to the lowest level security requirements, ETH will still capture the overall The value of ecological growth.
From today on, you are no longer a speculator! After the adoption of the Bitcoin ETF, it will become a formal investment product that can also be traded in the traditional financial system. Who will ask you what you do in the future? Please tell the other person generously that you are: Blockchain angel investor Fenbushi Capital Partners Decentralized finance investment research consultant Digital financial development analyst Senior Trader at NASDAQ & NYSE $BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
A resolution recorded in human history! Bitcoin is approved as a stock to be listed on exchanges around the world! This resolution has been awaited for 8 years! The BTC spot ETF has been officially approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for stock listing! Are you all in the car? What to hold? #BTC #etf #ETH $BTC $ETH
The adoption of ETF was mainly affected by the Grayscale ruling! ! ! The grayscale section will definitely be a highlight, this special question type is very comfortable to do! The first recommendation is zen lpt! #BTC #etf #ETH Then there are many more to dig out for yourself! Grayscale is awesome! $BTC $ETH $BNB
Witness that history has been taken out of the gray area. From now on, traditional funds can rush in openly and continuously. The general trend of the world is overwhelming! $BTC $ETH $BNB
Let me give you a brief overview of the available targets to facilitate the operation of ETF approval (as small investors, we definitely hope to pass). The adoption of ETF means better fundamentals and greater opportunities to make money in the short term. After passing, there will definitely be a big mainstream and a super strong return. Major mainstreams: ordi, op (Cancun), bch (compliance), icp For copycats, I recommend BRC, Cancun and recent strong ones (add by yourself) brc:stx auction lever cancun: rdnt gmx velodrome Recent strength: people ens gmt #BTC #etf #ETH $BTC $ETH $BNB
Once the SEC rejects the ETF, Bitcoin should go straight back to 38,000, or even lower, breaking through the bull market support point.
Because during this round of rise, the hot spot of Bitcoin spot ETF has been repeatedly speculated. The vast majority of the increase in Bitcoin’s doubling in this round is due to ETF.
So once this happens, Bitcoin will directly squeeze out all the gains in ETFs, and then we may usher in a deep wave of corrections, and the kind of callbacks that make people desperate.
At the same time, many institutions have prepared huge amounts of funds to enter the market (at least that's what the news says), and the money will not enter.
The previous round of rises was driven by the entry of many institutional funds. These funds will inevitably encounter a liquidity crisis, and this part of the negative impact also needs to be digested.
The most important thing is that it will greatly damage the confidence of the entire market and bring the market to freezing point again.
Will the ETF pass tonight? Do you think Bitcoin can directly hit 60,000 US dollars💲? #BTC #etf #ETH $BTC $ETH Leave a message in the comment area and get rich together in 2024💰💰💰