加密阿杰

May has ended, and June is a new beginning!
In this market, discipline is the lifeline! Strictly cut losses and take profits when necessary, only then can we continue to make profits. We do not seek to get rich overnight; we rely on steady progress and compound growth. Not being greedy and not holding onto losing positions is the way for long-term success.
The next big market movement is about to start; are you ready?

April has ended, let's share the earnings of these three fans in April

Do you think the cryptocurrency world can change the fate of ordinary people?

It can change
I have a fan who was born in the 2000s and runs a small company with an annual profit of about 120,000.
In 2023, he started to get involved in the cryptocurrency world, initially investing a few thousand yuan in altcoins, using 3x leverage, and turning it into 60,000 yuan in a week. After withdrawing from the exchange, about a month later, he began to truly understand the cryptocurrency world and learned about contracts.
In August, he deposited 5,000 yuan and shorted the altcoin he bought with 50x leverage, and in three seconds, he was liquidated. He deposited another 5,000 yuan and continued shorting with 50x leverage; after half an hour of holding, he was liquidated again, marking the beginning of his contract trading career.
From August to December, he lost about 200,000 yuan in altcoin contracts, then he started watching the market every day in the office, neglecting the management of his company. Later, he felt that there were too many fake altcoins, so he began to switch to mainstream currencies: BTC, SOL, ETH.
As of now,
On Okx, his total loss is 57,000 USDT. Later, he complained to a USDT merchant on Alipay, and Okx banned him from depositing. He quit for about six months.
Last year, he saw a video on a certain platform about BTC reaching 90,000 USD, which made him itch; he felt the opportunity to short had come, so he registered a Hong Kong ID and downloaded Binance.
I remember he shorted SOL at around 210 with his entire 80,000 USDT; one can imagine his fate.
His girlfriend of three years left him, and on the day she left, she told him: “I don’t want to marry a gambler.”
Last month, he sold a Toyota Land Cruiser and a Xiaomi Mi Su wife that had not warmed up yet, and drove home in an old Nissan car he had bought over ten years ago.
From an ordinary person, he became a clown.

How to Avoid the Impact of Slippage in Breakout Trades

Many people face a common issue when entering through breakouts, which is slippage. For instance, suppose the previous high is 105180, and you place an order at 105180. However, the market moves to 105189, and your order gets executed, but you soon realize it's a false breakout, and you're not in profit after entering. This illustrates the problem of slippage that is often encountered in breakout trading (the difference between 105180 and 105189 is slippage). My approach is to round the numbers. Generally, integer levels have very strong resistance. We can take the last three digits of 105180, which is 180, round it up to 200, and then add a few single-digit numbers to enter. This way, we can greatly avoid slippage, for example, by placing an order at 105205.

Market fluctuations are not large, with a profit of over 50 points, which is almost double now, so it's best to take the profit and run.

Today's Federal Reserve meeting is generally considered neutral to dovish:

Powell didn't say much, but the core message hasn't changed: whether to cut interest rates depends on the data.
The dot plot continues to expect two rate cuts in 2025, which is slightly better than the market's previous concerns of 'possibly more hawkish', directly driving up the probability of a rate cut in September.

He also mentioned several key points:
• Geopolitical conflicts and tariffs will bring inflationary pressures, but the Federal Reserve judges: this is a short-term disturbance.
• The impact of oil prices is limited and will not shake the policy rhythm.
• The U.S. economic fundamentals are stable, and the job market hasn't shown signs of trouble, so there are no compelling reasons to cut rates.

Regarding Bitcoin, some feedback was also provided:
• The turnover rate has slightly increased, mostly due to short-term capital responding to geopolitical uncertainties.
• However, the range around $93,000-$98,000 remains stable, with no obvious panic.
• The accumulation of chips around $100,500-$105,000 is gradually increasing, and this position poses short-term pressure, so be cautious of the pullback risk due to concentrated chips.

Next, the market focus may shift from the Federal Reserve back to the evolution of geopolitical situations. Interest rate guidance is a calming factor, but what affects price volatility is still capital and sentiment.

Summary:
The Federal Reserve stood pat, the market didn't collapse, and BTC didn't panic.
The overall environment is not bad, but those wanting to get in shouldn't be too eager; timing is more important than direction.

The market is starting to move, something big is coming.

Last night at 1 AM, the pancake only showed an hourly reversal, and the demand for a 1-hour rebound was activated, but correspondingly, the RSI index dropped to around 19.9.

This kind of rebound after an extreme divergence in indicators is not a good thing.

It indicates that the natural momentum of the market is relatively weak, and currently, we can only rely on external emotional stimuli.

Tonight, another tense night!

The big one is coming

Will there be a rate cut tonight? If not, will Bitcoin and Ethereum face another significant drop?

At 02:00 on June 19th, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision, with the previous rate at 4.5%.
According to predictions from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, there is a 99.9% probability that the rate will remain unchanged at 4.5%.

If there is no rate cut this time, will Bitcoin and Ethereum experience further declines?
If the market generally expects a high probability of a rate cut before this, but the decision does not result in a cut, leading to unmet expectations, the short-term market will react violently, and confidence will be low in the medium term, creating a gloomy sentiment.
Just like last December when the rate was cut, the market did not continue to heat up; instead, the rate cut expectations fell short, leading to significant disappointment and further declines, leaving the market lacking confidence in recent months.
However, up to now, the market has accepted the expectation of 'no rate cut'.
Some even hold a pessimistic attitude, feeling that this year's rate cut has become uncertain, and the market remains stagnant, with altcoins hitting new lows. Even if there is a rate cut, they do not expect a favorable market.
In such circumstances, there is not much worse news to worry about.
Therefore, even if there is no rate cut in June, the impact on the market will be very limited, as it has already been digested.
On the contrary, if there is no rate cut in June, the probability of a rate cut in July and September will increase as the time approaches, leading to a greater chance of a cut.
If a piece of good news exceeds expectations at that time, it could easily create a significant ripple effect.

Tonight's strategy is being laid out; follow Brother Jie and have nine meals a day! You can choose to earn more or less, but the opportunity is only given once. If you want to get on board, hurry up; don’t wait until others have profited before you regret it!
The market waits for no one; hesitation is a missed opportunity!

拿到多少跑？

Achieved a hundredfold return!!!

Tomorrow night, the Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting. What do you think will happen to interest rates?
#美联储FOMC会议

Just let the fans go long, and then announced good news, that there will be a ceasefire negotiation. It seems like another day to make a profit 🤭🤭

Only 14 points away from the third target 2510, last night's low was 2524

The company behind the social media platform 'Truth Social' founded by U.S. President Donald Trump has officially submitted application documents to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, seeking approval to launch a spot exchange-traded fund tracking the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Last night, the hype that fans planned successfully took profits, with an increase of nearly 12%, earning over 5500 USD. Following along means making a profit. What are you waiting for?

Buying Ethereum at 2500, current price 2626, profit of 126 points
Follow Brother Jie and eat nine meals a day! You choose how much to earn, but I only give this opportunity once. If you want to get on board, hurry up, don't wait until others have made their profits before you regret it!
The market doesn't wait for anyone, hesitation means missing out!

There are still more than 20 points away from the first target, this fan arrived too early.

BTC's consolidation is becoming more orderly. Over the weekend, it continuously tested the lower support level without breaking it, and the bottom price has been consistently rising. The bulls have a strong willingness to counterattack. The short-term resistance above is at the price of 106,100. To break the current trend, BTC must break through the price of 106,800 to attract stronger capital inflow (for those chasing long positions).

During this stage of market consolidation, it is advisable to keep an eye on altcoins as certain sectors may perform well. As long as the market does not break below the price of 100,800, the bullish trend remains dominant.