The dog food and rent for May have been received, the market in June is extremely disgusting, I want to work. Can I submit my resume to you? @币安Binance华语 Binance
Bouncing back from the big V, I wanted to short the wave with a short position, but ended up getting trapped, holding my 50x leverage, went out for a vacation. Recently, I really can't understand the surge in BTC. Remote work, cryptocurrency industry worker👩💼
Considering a 60% inflation rate (accumulated over 14 years), the purchasing power of 337,000 yuan is equivalent to about 210,600 yuan (337,000 ÷ 1.6), which still falls short compared to the purchasing power of gold returns (679,000 ÷ 1.6 ≈ 424,000 yuan). The actual annualized return rate of gold in this case is 6.5%, and indeed gold outperformed bank deposits. Buying gold is also driven by the need for diversification in reserves. If this point is not understood, then where should everyone put their money?
唐华斑竹
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Bearish
In the spring of 2011, the international gold price fell to 210 yuan per gram. A friend of mine used all of his 210,000 yuan saved for his wedding to buy investment gold bars from China Construction Bank, totaling 1,000 grams. The bank's financial manager repeatedly emphasized that "gold is hard currency against inflation," so the gold bars were stored in a safe deposit box, with an annual storage fee of 0.5%. On March 21, 2025, due to a sudden illness requiring funds, I contacted Chow Tai Fook and learned that the buyback price that day was 693 yuan per gram. After deducting the accumulated storage fee of 14,000 yuan, I actually received 679,000 yuan. On the surface, it appears that over 14 years, the value increased by 469,000 yuan, with an annualized return of about 6.5%. However, if I had chosen a five-year large denomination deposit with the bank (average annual interest rate of 3.5%) that year, the total principal and interest would have been about 337,000 yuan. Adding in the cumulative inflation rate of 60% over 14 years, the actual purchasing power turned out to be comparable to that of the gold returns. Only when I held 670,000 yuan did I realize: the repurchase discount on gold consumed 23% of the apparent increase, and the storage costs ate up another 2% of the net earnings. What seems to preserve value in gold is actually difficult to withstand the superfluous issuance of currency and asset bubbles. When young people begin to hoard gold and news of central banks increasing their gold reserves becomes frequent, it feels even more that the so-called "hard currency" is just a leaf in the torrent of the times.
Solana and Ethereum: Major Benefits and Strategies for Recovery
1. Major Benefits of Solana Potential Approval of Spot ETF BlackRock is considering applying for a Solana spot ETF, and the likelihood of approval is high. The Solana futures ETF has been approved by the CME, and the U.S. government's stance towards Solana is friendly. Giants like Grayscale and VanEck have submitted applications, and BlackRock's involvement may drive a short-term increase in SOL. Sustained Improvement in Fundamentals The USDC issued on Solana by Circle has reached $10 billion within two months, indicating a significant influx of funds. Solana's technological upgrades and the expansion of its developer ecosystem have strengthened its influence in the DeFi and NFT sectors. 2. Recovery Opportunities for Ethereum Expectations for the Prague Upgrade Ethereum's Prague upgrade is scheduled for late April, expected to improve network efficiency. Although ETH may struggle to reach $4,000 in the short term, there is a greater likelihood of a rebound to $3,000. 3. Investment Strategies Reallocation Suggestions Reallocate 20% of ETH holdings to Solana (SOL) and 10% to Sui and Pepe. SOL, Sui, and Pepe have similar declines to ETH but have greater rebound potential. Sui unlocks 100 million tokens monthly, which may limit short-term performance. Pepe has recently rebounded by 50%, outperforming ETH. Short-term Opportunities for Bitcoin If BTC holds above $85,000, consider going long up to $95,000, with a stop loss set below $85,000. If BTC falls below $80,000, consider going long near $80,000, with a stop loss set below $79,900. 4. Movements of Whale Spoofy Spoofy has recently stopped buying BTC, as it is fully invested. In the past month, it has bought 20,000 BTC, restoring its holdings to last December's levels. Close attention should be paid to its subsequent operations. 5. Summary The approval of Solana's spot ETF and improvements in fundamentals support its rebound, while Ethereum's documentary and upgrade provide recovery opportunities. Investors can optimize their portfolios through reallocation and diversification, while also paying attention to short-term opportunities in Bitcoin. The movements of whales are worth monitoring to capture changes in market trends. In the cryptocurrency market, maintaining rationality and flexibility is key to remaining undefeated amidst market fluctuations.
Disclaimer: The content of this article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile; investments should be made with caution and based on one's risk tolerance. Follow me for more insights into wealth creation.
March 7th Stormy Night! Non-farm + Powell + Crypto Summit Triple Squeeze, make sure to fasten your seatbelt on your positions!
21:30 (Evening of March 7th): U.S. Non-farm data (unemployment rate, new jobs) Market expectations: If the data exceeds expectations (job growth > 200,000, unemployment rate < 3.7%), interest rate hike expectations will rise → U.S. stocks and BTC under short-term pressure; conversely, a wild rebound! Historical script: After the cold non-farm data in February, BTC plunged 5% in a single day, will it repeat this time? 01:30 (Early morning of March 8th): Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaks Key line: Does he imply “stubborn inflation, delayed rate cuts”? Interpretation of subtext: If hawkish remarks (e.g., “need more data to support rate cuts”), the dollar surges → risk assets bleed; if dovish (e.g., “rate cuts still possible this year”), the market rebounds instantly! 02:30 (Early morning): “Unreliable” host at the crypto summit (assuming a controversial figure) Suspense point: Will there be a signal of “regulatory loosening”? Or stir up a new narrative (like RWA, Meme Coin 3.0)? Beware of black swan: If a certain institution suddenly collapses or heavy regulation is imposed, altcoins could collectively plunge!
Market sentiment: Crypto summit “rhetoric risk”: celebrity effect + emotional hype, beware of **“buy the rumor, sell the news”** trap!
Bottom-fishing signal: If Powell unexpectedly turns dovish, chase BTC, SOL, and AI sectors (like RNDR, FET) Meme coins (PEPE, WIF, etc.): Watch out for liquidity crisis before non-farm data Narrative coins (Depin, AI): If the summit catches the hot topic, sell on short-term spikes, don’t be greedy!
Reject FOMO: Better to miss out than to make a mistake! Keep enough ammo: A 20% drop is the real bottom-fishing opportunity, don’t die before dawn!
For reference only, not constituting any professional advice. Follow me to stay updated on market trends.
BTC 8H Trend Short-term Breakthrough: The price may break the current resistance within 8 hours, targeting 94,000. Testing Highs: After a brief rise to 95,000, there may be profit-taking pressure. Pullback Support: A drop to around 94,000 to test the strength of this support level. Strong Resistance Level: 96,000 is a key resistance above, and a breakout with volume is needed to open up upward space.
Strategy Suggestions: Breakthrough 94,000: Consider short-term buying, targeting 95,000, with a stop-loss at 93,500. Upon reaching 95,000: Take partial profits and observe the support situation at 94,000. Approaching 96,000: Be cautious about chasing highs, watch for changes in trading volume; if there is a breakout without volume, consider reversing to short.
Risk Warning: If the price fails to hold above 94,000, it may pull back to the 92,000-93,000 range.
Disclaimer: The content of this article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market carries risks, and investments should be made cautiously. Investors should make independent decisions based on their own risk tolerance and investment goals and bear all responsibilities themselves.
1. Similarities and Differences with 2020 Similarities: Halving Cycle: After the Bitcoin halving in 2024, historical patterns may drive an increase in 2025. Liquidity Easing: Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts may release funds into the crypto market. Differences: Institutional Dominance: Bitcoin spot ETFs attracting institutional funds (e.g., BlackRock's holding of $78.8 billion) may reduce market volatility. Accelerated Compliance: Stricter regulations and leading exchanges (Binance, OKX) positioning for compliant businesses.
2. Core Driving Factors ETF Effect: Bitcoin ETF holdings account for 25.4%, and Ethereum ETFs may exacerbate supply-demand imbalances, pushing Bitcoin above $130,000. Technological Innovation: Ethereum's Pectra upgrade optimizes trading efficiency, and RWA (such as tokenized government bonds) may become a trillion-dollar sector. Macroeconomic Environment: Federal Reserve rate cuts + geopolitical risk aversion reinforce Bitcoin's “digital gold” attribute.
3. Risks and Challenges Short-term Volatility: Bitcoin experienced a 50% drop in early 2025, and high-leverage trading risks must be heeded. Regulatory Uncertainty: The SEC's stance on Ethereum ETF approvals may affect market sentiment. Market Competition: The rise of DEXs may siphon off CEX users, with only high-quality altcoins outperforming.
4. Conclusion The market in 2025 is expected to be more stable: Short-term driven by ETFs + halving, with Bitcoin possibly breaking $130,000; long-term driven by institutionalization, RWA, and technological upgrades for industry maturation. Risks include policy shifts, technical vulnerabilities, and more.
January: The Great Crypto President March 1: Trump, f*** your mother March 2: Leader Changing Crypto March 3: Trump, f*** your mother March 4: That shot should have hit him in the forehead at that time
After a surge, there must be a pullback, do not linger in battle!!! A meticulously planned conspiracy
1. Core of the event: Political influence and market manipulation Policy hype: After Trump announced the 'cryptocurrency strategic reserve', Bitcoin surged over 10% within 2 hours, confirming my previous prediction of a washout. Similar operations reappeared during the issuance of TRUMP coin, with an increase of over 160 times within 15 hours, reaching a market value of $30 billion. Insider trading: Blockchain data shows that large investors bought in advance during the initial issuance of TRUMP coin and sold at high prices, leaving retail investors as 'bag holders'. The Trump family controls 80% of the token supply, creating scarcity to drive up prices.
2. Market characteristics: Emotion-driven and high risk Celebrity effect: TRUMP coin and Melania coin surged and plummeted, relying on celebrity aura, lacking practical application, with prices driven by emotion. For example, after Melania coin launched, TRUMP coin dropped 60% within 30 minutes. Leverage traps: Some investors used 50x leverage, and a price fluctuation of 2% could lead to liquidation. Market liquidity is drained by short-term hot spots, exacerbating volatility risk.
Investment strategy recommendations Short-term strategy: Be wary of news-driven fluctuations Avoid chasing highs and cutting losses: Trump’s policy hype is often accompanied by the 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' effect, so be cautious of the pullback risk after policy implementation. Monitor on-chain data: Use blockchain explorers to track large investor movements and identify insider trading signals (such as large sell-offs of TRUMP coin in its early stages). Pay attention to compliance developments: If the U.S. accelerates establishing a cryptocurrency reserve or passes the Loomis bill, mainstream coins may benefit from institutional capital inflow. Risk control measures Limit leverage ratio: Avoid exceeding 5x leverage to prevent extreme fluctuations leading to liquidation. Dynamic stop-loss and take-profit: Setting a 20% stop-loss line can significantly reduce losses.
Disclaimer This article is based on publicly available information and analysis, and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is extremely risky, and price fluctuations may lead to the total loss of principal. Cited cases (such as TRUMP coin) are for market analysis reference only and do not imply future performance.
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I am currently buying in batches. Although I might not catch the very bottom, it is suitable to enter now. The current market conditions are similar to those from June to August last year. After the plunge in June last year, the market consolidated for 2 months, then started a big rebound. Now we have the same script: sharp decline → main force accumulates → retail investors panic and cut losses → just before the rebound. March 20th, after the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, will be a turning point!
1. $SOL: Unlocking negative news? After the plunge, a rebound is certain! Key date: March 12th, unlocking about 57 million SOL (worth about $640 million), with high short-term selling pressure, but the negative news will turn positive once it lands! Strategy: **(around 110)**: Build position in batches, stop loss at 10110 if it drops. **(around 1090)**: Build position in batches, stop loss at 1090. Target: rebound to $130-150 before the end of March (in conjunction with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision + market warming up). Motto: Don't panic when the price drops before unlocking, the spike is just free money!
2. $ETH: Close your eyes and hold before April upgrade! Core event: April “EIP-4844 upgrade” (reducing Gas fees + Layer2 explosion), historically, it has risen at least 20% before upgrades!
3. $BTC: A big bullish candle is certain after the plunge! Short-term logic: 70,000 is the iron bottom (institutional cost line), if it falls below, it’s a “golden pit,” buy boldly! Spot: Buy in batches at 72,000-75,000, stop loss at 68,000, target 80,000 (must hit the previous high before halving). Contracts: Place long orders at 75,000, stop loss at 80,500, short-term target 85,000. Mystical rule: BTC has never had three consecutive bearish candles on the monthly chart, probability of closing bullish in March > 80%!
March Federal Reserve interest rate decision Negative scenario: If the Federal Reserve “hawks” (increases rates/delays rate cuts), there will be a short-term crash, but the crypto market has already digested expectations in advance, a drop is an opportunity! Positive scenario: If it hints at rate cuts, it will soar directly! Regardless of the outcome, late March is the best bottom-fishing window. Keep an eye on it, don’t miss this wave of market~
If you shorted yesterday, you can read my previous article. How many people have been liquidated in this wave of market? How many people have the courage and capital to start over after their principal is reduced to zero?
Please share your story from last night in the comment section
The market is messing with our mindset again! BTC, ETH, and SOL are all dropping? Let's take a look at what's going on!
Bitcoin is currently priced at $87,716, with a daily drop of 8.39%; Ethereum has fallen to $2,373.6, down 11.59%; while Solana is even worse off, with a price drop to $133.25, experiencing a daily decline of 15.27%.
Ethereum The Pectra upgrade (composed of the Prague and Electra upgrades) is expected to launch on the mainnet on April 8, 2025. This upgrade aims to improve network performance, speed up transaction times, and enhance the staking mechanism. Historically, Ethereum's price often fluctuates before and after significant upgrades. For example, during the Cancun upgrade in March 2024, the ETH price experienced a drop followed by a rebound. Therefore, the Pectra upgrade may have a positive impact on ETH prices.
Solana On March 1, 11.2 million SOL tokens will be unlocked, valued at approximately $2 billion. Such a large-scale unlock could affect the market's supply-demand relationship, leading to price volatility in the short term. However, market analysts point out that the unlock event may have already been partially priced in, and the continued development of the Solana ecosystem, along with favorable factors such as potential ETF approvals, could provide support for SOL prices in the medium to long term.
Dubai's cryptocurrency platform Bybit suffered a hack, resulting in a loss of $1.5 billion in Ether (ETH). This incident has raised concerns about cryptocurrency security in the market, further undermining investor confidence. Each time such incidents occur, they trigger a wave of panic.
If we look at the historical "four-year cycle," 2025 may be a period of "bull market" for Bitcoin.
The current market's second dip really messes with our mindset, but we must not panic! Stay steady, we can win!
Bybit hacking incident catalyzes ETH rise, how to make money with the trend?
1. Impact of the incident and market reaction Bybit was hacked, and part of the ETH funds were stolen and transferred to the mixer eXch. eXch refused to freeze the hacker's address (the main reason is that Bybit had previously marked the address of the mixer eXch as high risk, causing users to immediately freeze their accounts once they were associated with these addresses on the Bybit platform. This strict control measure is obviously difficult for users to accept, and ultimately caused the mixer eXch to be uncooperative with Bybit), Bybit quickly repurchased 250,000 ETH (about US$720 million) to maintain liquidity and market confidence.
2. Bybit trading strategy 🔹Bybit seems to be exchanging Bitcoin for Ethereum, which may be a hedging strategy. By holding Ethereum, Bybit can get more Bitcoin when the price of ETH rises, or profit by shorting Bitcoin when the price of Ethereum rises. 🔹 Compliance risk: Large-scale asset allocation may attract the attention of regulators and increase market uncertainty.
3. ETH short-term outlook and trading strategy 📈 Positive factors: Bybit purchase support, market sentiment recovery, technical breakthrough of $2,860. 📉 Resistance/Support: Resistance: $3,000 / $3,150 Support: $2,860 / $2,750
💡 Strategy recommendations: Stand firm at $2,860, short-term bullish to $3,000 Break through $3,000, $3,150 may be seen Fall below $2,750 and need to be cautious, there may be a deeper correction Bybit purchase of ETH provides short-term support, traders can pay attention to key points and follow the trend.
Will PI coin surpass Bitcoin? Total market value of PI coin: 8.41 trillion Total market value of Bitcoin: 2.03 trillion It's just empty talk; true liquidity in real money is the hard truth.