麦了个鸡

Why is the cryptocurrency market so quiet this year?

There is no other reason, it is simply because buying and selling USDT is always subject to crazy risk control. It is very troublesome to deposit and withdraw money, buy and sell.

Anti-fraud is not only monitored from the App side, but also from Alipay, WeChat, and bank card ports. It seems that virtual currency is completely blocked.

Now virtual currency has been completely mixed with the black and gray industrial chain, and it is impossible to distinguish.

As long as you buy and sell USDT, you will definitely be checked.

Who knows what you buy it for, whether you use it to buy virtual b, or to engage in online gambling, bombing fraud or something else...

#Meme浪潮持续，你看好哪一个？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC能否站稳6W4 #参与交易联赛，瓜分$1千万奖池 #meme超级周期

With the rise of various token issuance platforms, the threshold and cost for ordinary people to issue tokens have significantly decreased, leading to an explosive growth in the speed of token issuance.

However, the current market faces obvious contradictions: the speed of newcomers entering is continuously slowing, new funds are mainly flowing into top assets like Bitcoin, and the allocation of funds by existing users is becoming more conservative.

In this context, the traditional altcoin bull market is difficult to sustain, and market opportunities are becoming more fragmented. Although sectors like inscriptions and on-chain 'meme coins' occasionally show short-term hotspots, the sustainability of these trends is limited, and slight delays in operations may lead to losses.

From a long-term perspective, the cryptocurrency market may present a pattern of 'Bitcoin dominance + localized pulse opportunities' — the strong performance of Bitcoin continues, while other assets mainly offer fast-paced structural opportunities. For investors who find it difficult to adapt to high-frequency changes, sticking with Bitcoin may become a more stable choice.

#美国加征关税

ETH daily chart has confirmed a breakdown yesterday, the current trend has clearly entered a daily bearish trend. The momentum of this round of increases is significantly weak, showing characteristics of following the decline rather than the rise.

During the day, key attention should be paid to the upper rebound resistance levels of 2410 and 2466. If the rebound fails to break through these two levels, the market will continue to undergo a daily level correction.

The target support levels below are 2270 and 2160, with a defensive level set at 2000.

In terms of operational strategy, consider positioning short positions when the price rebounds to the 2440-2460 range, and manually exit when the four-hour closing line breaks 2460.

#美国加征关税

BNB rebounded to the daily resistance level near 652 yesterday but encountered resistance, failing to reach the high stop-loss position, with limited fluctuations during the day.

The current daily level has confirmed the entry into a correction trend, and it is essential to focus on the rebound resistance levels above at 644 and 653. If the rebound fails to break through these two positions, the market will continue to trend downward, with target support levels at 620 and 605.

In terms of operation, it is recommended to consider short positions when the rebound is under pressure, and strictly set stop-losses to control risk.

#山寨季何时到来？

The SOL daily and small cycle are showing a bearish trend, and the daily level has confirmed that it has entered a correction phase. During the day, attention needs to be paid to the upper rebound resistance level of 168, and a four-hour closing breakthrough of this position is required for the bullish pattern to be initially repaired.

Further looking, the daily level resistance is at 173. If the price rebounds to the aforementioned resistance level, a high short strategy can be attempted, and manual exit should be executed after the daily level stabilizes at 173. The target support levels below are 155 and 145, and strict risk control must be maintained during operations.

#sol板块

Good afternoon, everyone! I was unable to update you all last night due to some matters, and the bearish outlook shared yesterday afternoon has all been swept away by the market.

Now, Bitcoin is clearly moving down on the daily chart. Who would have thought it could rise so high yesterday? It was practically a targeted explosion! Today, the price is about the same as yesterday, but many of you have lost your positions, and some are still stuck at the peak 😢

I wonder if you all remember that last week I suggested everyone to set up a medium-to-long-term initial position near 106500. Today, it peaked at 107000! However, today is Monday, and with the weekly chart just resetting, the market has surged and then pulled back, breaking all the small support patterns.

In the short term, I don't think there will be a second surge; at least, we have to complete a wave of daily corrections before the market has a chance to go up again. This cycle will take at least more than a week.

So for those who chased high, you should sell when there's a rebound!

The intraday rebound resistance level is at 104000. The four-hour level needs to close above this position for the bullish pattern to be considered repaired. Until the four-hour chart breaks 104000, don’t blindly be bullish!

The market will continue to probe near the two support levels of 101400 - 100800 next.

For those looking to go long on a rebound, you can try a small position near 101000, but be sure to set a stop loss! The current trading strategy focuses on shorting at rebound highs, so you can test the short position lightly near the resistance around 104000~

#美国加征关税

Weekly level analysis has maintained a bullish outlook since March 10, breaking through 110,000. The current price is 105,000, and this view has been held for 70 days.

The weekly close is 106,468, with bulls actively defending the key price level. The market rallied on Sunday evening, bringing the close closer to 106,500. Although it has not fully stabilized, further observation is needed in conjunction with the daily chart.

The daily level interpretation indicates that the daily chart is currently in the fifth segment of an upward trend, and a significant pullback may follow after its completion.

The key observation point has shifted to 101,900: if it holds, the upward trend will continue; if it breaks, it will signal a correction since 74,000. Daily support levels: First support: 92,900-95,300 Second support: 83,000-86,000

(Please annotate the above key ranges on the chart) 4-hour level strategy: A pullback after a breakout from the 4-hour consolidation structure is normal. Focus on the support in the orange zone: if it holds, the upward trend will continue; if it breaks, it will declare the end of this upward cycle, and we will need to wait for further market signals.

#美国加征关税

Bitcoin Trend Analysis: Last week's weekly closing performance was stable, but this morning showed a false breakout followed by a pullback. Caution is advised at the current position; if it stabilizes, there is still potential for an upward breakout.

Key Support Verification:
If the price stabilizes around 103,800, it is highly likely to retest the upper resistance level; if support fails, a continuation of the pullback and a 'wick' formation may occur.

Market Characteristics Reminder:
The activity of funds in the market is limited, which can easily lead to drastic fluctuations; be wary of short-term volatility risks.

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

Bitcoin Trend Analysis:

The evening saw two waves of increases pushing Bitcoin to the resistance level of 107,000. If it breaks this level, it is expected to rise towards 110,000. The current price has retraced to 104,600, touching the middle band of the hourly Bollinger Bands.

Key Observation Points:
Effective Support: If it stays above the middle band, a rebound to above 105,000 is expected, opening up a range of oscillation between 105,000 and 107,000, which can be seen as a buying opportunity; Breakout Risk: If it falls below the middle band, it may return to the previous range of oscillation, allowing for short positions to bet on a correction.

Operational Strategy: Rely on the middle band support level (104,600) to determine market direction, and flexibly grasp range trading opportunities.

#山寨季何时到来？

BTC Liquidation Map Update: The market scenario predicted on the 16th has been accurately fulfilled!

Liquidity before liquidation concentrated around 106200, indicating a 1000-point upward test allowed, with the actual highest point reaching 107100, perfectly matching the projection.

Last night, the guidance was to position a short at 106166, and although the replenishment level of 107200 was not reached, the overall strategy was executed properly.

#山寨季何时到来？

This week's BTC futures liquidity map update analysis:

The market on Monday has completed the liquidation of the short liquidity in the 106k~107k area leftover from January 31. With the volatility of last week coming to an end, both long and short sides have begun to accumulate considerable liquidation volume.

Trend structure judgment:
The current market's overall structure still maintains a volatile upward trend. Although the short liquidation volume in the short term is less than that of the long, it should not be hastily determined to have turned — the critical point for the destruction of the long trend is near 100600, and only a break below this level requires vigilance for a deep correction or trend reversal.

Market expectations for this week:
Bullish or continuation of volatility: If the two low-density long liquidation areas below the price do not evolve into high-density areas, the market is expected to continue testing previous highs + liquidation rhythm;

Extreme scenario projection: A bearish trigger causing the price to break below the lower boundary of the range may lead to a chain liquidation of long liquidity, targeting a drop to 90800; if the spot buying remains strong, then the short liquidity above may be ignited, pushing the price to hit 117000.

Operational reference:
Refer to the yellow rectangles marked in the chart:

The upper edge of the rectangle above is a potential resistance level; the lower edge of the rectangle below is a potential support level.

The current market is still dominated by futures, and caution is needed for the two paths of "new high breakthrough" and "second high oscillation".

①Is BTC adjusted in place? Will it continue to adjust? There is currently no clear conclusion, but observation criteria can be set: effective support below is still at the 102500 level. If the price effectively breaks below this position, the adjustment may continue; if it can maintain above 102500 for today and tomorrow, a high rally is likely to begin. Today's trend (especially during the evening period) is crucial.

②If the price effectively breaks below 102500, how should we view the space below? Even if it breaks, it is still necessary to clarify: a pullback is an opportunity for positioning. Short-term support can initially focus on the vicinity of the 101000 level.

③When can we confirm that the market is pointing to a new high? When the price breaks through the 105000 key resistance level, it is highly likely to open up upward space. If a new high trend begins, the first challenge will be the 106000 resistance level, which has strong selling pressure.

#代币发射平台竞争加剧

Trading Philosophy and Economic Insights: A Long Battle of Rationality and Patience

The essence of trading is a long-term practice that requires a multi-dimensional perspective to discern patterns — if we liken the market to a precisely designed “game,” its core logic lies in repeatedly oscillating to exhaust participants' patience, thereby defeating rational decision-making through a cycle of “gain and loss.”

To profit in this game, one must undergo the tempering of cognition and the honing of character, for wealth never easily opens its doors to the impatient. The survival logic under economic changes is currently experiencing unprecedented upheaval:

Surface Characteristics: Stagnant wage growth, shrinking consumption, diminishing opportunities, and increasing collective anxiety; Cognitive Discrepancies: Some attribute it to cyclical fluctuations, while others see it as the growing pains of structural transformation.

However, the true temperature of the economy is never found in news headlines, but in everyone's daily choices — a consumer decision, an investment trade-off, a career shift, all reflect the underlying logic of economic principles.

Key Insight: Misunderstanding the economic trends can easily lead one astray in decision-making; even a superficial understanding can help avoid detours at critical junctures. After all, the economy is never confined to the financial sphere; it permeates every pore of life.

Ultimate Reflection: Whether in trading or economics, the essence is a test of “human nature” — only by maintaining rational observation, restraining desires, and respecting cycles can one navigate the long fluctuations and finally see the moonlight through the clouds.

#稳定币日常支付

Current Trends and Trading Strategies: Range Game Trend Positioning in an Ascending Channel:

Price operates within an ascending channel, with a short-term fluctuation range locked at $104,000-$108,000.

Key Points for Long and Short Operations:

Long Signal:

When the price retraces to the support zone of $105,000-$105,800 (target reference $106,000), one can enter in batches, with a stop loss set below $104,000.

Short Signal:

After touching the resistance level of $107,500-$108,000 (target reference $108,200) and then turning back down, one can consider laying out short positions, with a stop loss placed above $108,200.

Exit and Risk Control Rules:

Take Profit Strategy: Long Position Target: $106,000-$107,500 (reduce positions as approaching resistance); Short Position Target: $106,000-$104,000 (close positions as approaching support).

Risk Warning: If the price falls below the key support of $104,000, it may test $102,200-$102,800, requiring decisive stop-loss; breaking above $108,200 will focus on higher resistance at $110,000, necessitating timely strategy adjustments.

Operational Tips: Keep a close eye on support/resistance (SR) levels, combine with volume changes to assess trend continuity, and avoid chasing highs and lows at the two ends of the range.

#币安Alpha上新

ETH Trend and Pattern Analysis:

Direction Selection After Breaking the Descending Channel ETH is currently in a descending channel (blue trend line), and the recent price has broken through the upper boundary of the channel, currently at $2618.42 (adjusted according to historical data), approaching the pressure area of the channel's upper boundary.

Key Levels and Trend Projection Resistance Levels:

Short-term: $2610-$2630 (current price range);

Medium-term: $2670-$2690; Key: $2730-$2750 (strong resistance at the upper boundary of the channel).

Support Levels: First Line of Defense: $2545;

Secondary Support: $2470-$2490;

Strong Support: $2410-$2430.

Trading Strategy Suggestions Breakout Scenario: If the price effectively breaks through $2630 and holds, a long position can be initiated, targeting $2670-$2690;

Resistance Scenario: If it encounters resistance and falls back in the $2610-$2630 range, be cautious of the risk of retracing to the $2545 support level.

Conclusion: After ETH breaks the upper boundary of the descending channel, it enters a critical validation period, and whether it can hold above $2630 will determine if the short-term trend continues to rebound or returns to a corrective rhythm.

#ETH突破2500

BTC Key Price Analysis: Maintain Core Range, Focus on Breakout Signals. Short-term trading for BTC can revolve around fixed level ranges:

Core Fluctuation Zone: The $100,881 - $105,819 range is a battleground for bulls and bears, determining short-term direction.

Resistance Level Observation: If the $106,000 - $109,000 area is broken and stabilized by a strong bullish candle, it will open up upward space, with the next target pointing to the $114,000 resistance level.

Support Level Strategy: If it falls below $100,881, pay attention to the $97,947 support;

If the daily closing price is below $93,377, the lower pink box support zone of $91,652 - $90,479 will become a key defense line.

Trend Logic: As long as the daily line maintains above $93,377, the bullish structure remains intact, and the expectation for an upward trend continues; if it breaks below, it will turn to the lower range for support.

#稳定币日常支付

The historical data on the ratio of exchange whale holdings to market cycles shows that the peak ratio of exchange BTC whale holdings often corresponds to market bottoms.

As prices rise, the influx of retail funds leads to a decrease in the whale ratio, a pattern that holds true across all cycles — during short-term rebounds, the whale ratio declines due to retail participation, and then it will rise again.

Current market characteristics:
At this stage, the whale ratio is approaching the bottom level of the 2020 cycle, reflecting that retail participation is at a low level; this signal indicates that the market may have entered a critical point before the start of a rebound — historical experience shows that BTC price increases are usually accompanied by a rise in retail holdings, while whales are in the final accumulation phase.

Conclusion: The structure of whale holdings suggests that bottom characteristics are emerging, and retail funds entering the market may become a key catalyst for triggering a new round of increases.

#代币发射平台竞争加剧

ETH Market Tracking: Linked to Bitcoin Movement, Key Levels and Trading Strategies

Support Levels: $2455 / $2403 / $2343 Resistance Level: $2851
ETH movement is synchronized with Bitcoin; trading needs to closely monitor trend signals.

Spot Strategy: Establish initial positions in batches at the intersection of the daily K-line MA30 and MA60, and selectively add positions at previous low neckline locations. If the preset levels are not reached, maintain a wait-and-see approach.

Contract Strategy: Day trading can be entered in batches, strictly establish profit-taking and stop-loss plans, manage risks through reasonable position management, and avoid emotional trading.

#贸易战缓和

BTC Market Focus: High-level fluctuations continue, the turning point window is approaching key levels:
Support levels: 98600 USD / 97225 USD / 93911 USD Resistance level: 110000 USD
BTC has been fluctuating at the high range of the past week, confirming last week's judgment when it broke through 100,000 USD — short-term declines are difficult, and the fluctuation period may last from one week to one month.
Currently, it has fluctuated for a week, and the price still holds above 100,000 USD, but as time goes on, the probability of a turning point gradually increases.
Operation suggestion: Ultra-short-term trading can flexibly follow real-time signals, avoiding excessive prediction, and patiently waiting for the market direction to choose.

#CPI数据来袭

24-Hour Market Dynamics and Trading Strategy Review
In the past 24 hours, the market has experienced significant volatility, with over 3.5 billion CNY in funds being liquidated and 171,557 investors facing forced liquidation.

BTC Layout Review: An aggressive strategy was set at 102250 for additional positions and 101030 for the second entry point. Although the second entry point was not reached, we highlighted the opportunity to enter around 101600/101400 in the evening, accurately capturing a temporary low point. The base position (approximately 40% of the total position) gained over 2000 points.

ETH Operation Record: A buying opportunity was highlighted at 2475 USD (lowest at 2475.65 USD) yesterday, with most participants entering around 2480 USD. The current base position has gained over 100 points.

Trading Logic Reminder: For investors who entered around 102600 USD yesterday, profits have been realized after planned additional positions.

Repeated emphasis on the core importance of position management and breakeven loss strategies — market losses often stem from unplanned trading, excessive pursuit of the lowest point, uncontrolled positions, and panic-driven actions.

Investment Warning: Trading must change ahead of others, and strict discipline must be followed to surpass the majority of participants.
#币安Alpha上新