When will the alt season come? You can focus on the BTC indicator
Bitcoin and other altcoins have recovered in price before Christmas. Bitcoin price has rebounded to $99,000, and the continued fomo sentiment of retail investors is expected to push its price to $100,000. From the on-chain data analysis, the number of Bitcoin wallets by size: 0-0.1 BTC wallets: 50.17 million 0.1-10 BTC wallets: 4.31 million 10-1,000 BTC wallets: 150,130 1,000+ BTC wallets: 2,050 Especially the latter two sets of data, as long as they increase in number and keep pace with the growth in holdings, the bull market is likely to continue and the alt season will arrive, just like the entire 2021 bull market.
Long-term Investment Strategy in Cryptocurrency - Focusing on Opportunities in POW Attribute Cryptocurrencies
What is POW? POW (Proof of Work) coins are a consensus mechanism for cryptocurrencies, primarily verifying transactions and generating new blocks through computational power. The basic principle of the POW mechanism is: Computational Difficulty: Miners need to solve complex mathematical problems, and only after successful completion can they package transaction records into blocks. Competitive Mechanism: Miners compete based on computational speed, with the first miner to solve the problem receiving block rewards and transaction fees. Security: Due to the need for substantial computational resources, attacking the network (such as double spending) becomes extremely difficult.
#越南加密政策 Vietnam has recently taken frequent actions regarding cryptocurrency policy. On June 14, the National Assembly approved the 'Digital Technology Industry Law', which will take effect on January 1, 2026, officially recognizing cryptocurrency assets and establishing a regulatory framework. This not only meets international compliance requirements such as anti-money laundering, removing the 'gray list' label, but also attracts investment, promotes the development of digital technologies such as blockchain, and lays the foundation for Vietnam to move towards becoming a hub of digital innovation.
The recent Bitcoin market has experienced significant fluctuations. Technically, the price is hovering near key moving averages, and the MACD indicator shows short-term pullback pressure. However, the Bollinger Bands' medium to long-term channel remains upward sloping. In terms of market sentiment, institutional capital injection and geopolitical hedging provide some support, but macro uncertainties also make investors cautious. In the future, if it can break through key resistance levels, it is expected to continue its upward trend; conversely, it may test support levels. It is advised to closely monitor market dynamics and manage risks appropriately.
#特朗普比特币金库 Trump is very supportive of establishing a Bitcoin reserve. He believes Bitcoin is similar to 'digital gold', with a limited supply and no issue of overproduction. Including it in strategic reserves is a new exploration to strengthen the U.S. monetary hegemony. He promised that after being elected, the U.S. government would never sell Bitcoin and proposed to expand the reserve size, also appointing a cryptocurrency supporter as the SEC chairman.
The recent BTC price fluctuations have been severe, having entered a consolidation phase after breaking through $100,000. From a technical perspective, the daily 50-day moving average shows a downward trend, indicating a bearish short-term outlook, but the weekly chart shows that the long-term trend still has strength. In the market, the number of active Bitcoin addresses and trading volume has been declining continuously; however, despite a sharp drop in funds flowing into U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs, there are still strategic positions being taken. Due to geopolitical factors, regulatory policies, and other influences, the subsequent trend is highly uncertain. If it can hold above key support levels, there remains potential for upward movement.
The stablecoin development in the Cardano ecosystem, represented by #卡尔达诺稳定币提案 , is starting to take shape, with USDA and USDM driving a 30% month-over-month increase in stablecoin market value, approaching 30 million dollars. However, compared to Ethereum and others, the market value of Cardano's stablecoins accounts for only 9.65% of the total locked value, showing a significant gap. Currently, there is a proposal to convert a portion of ADA into the stablecoin USDM to improve liquidity, but it also faces controversy regarding market risks.
In the Cardano ecosystem, the development of stablecoins is beginning to shine, with US dollar-pegged assets like USDA and USDM driving a 30% month-over-month increase in their stablecoin market capitalization, approaching $30 million. However, compared to Ethereum and others, the market capitalization of Cardano's stablecoins accounts for only 9.65% of the total locked value, showing a significant gap. Currently, there are proposals to convert some ADA into the stablecoin USDM to improve liquidity, but this also faces controversy over market risks.
In June $ADA 2025, the ADA market is relatively optimistic. Technically, the chart shows bullish signals, such as ascending triangle consolidation and RSI in the neutral zone. Fundamentally, progress such as hard fork upgrades and Layer-2 scaling is going smoothly, and the ecosystem is active. Market sentiment is also optimistic, with a high proportion of bulls. Some forecasts suggest that if it breaks through key price levels, ADA could rise to $0.85 or even $0.96.
The recent Bitcoin market has been highly volatile. Influenced by factors such as market supply and demand, macroeconomic conditions, and regulations, the price surged past historical highs and then significantly corrected. For instance, recent airstrikes by Israel on Iranian nuclear facilities triggered market risk aversion, causing Bitcoin to plummet, with over 240,000 people liquidated within 24 hours. The market is highly uncertain, and investors need to carefully weigh the risks.
The conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, causing concern. The roots of this conflict lie in geopolitical, religious tensions, and security dilemmas, with both sides viewing each other as significant threats. The conflict not only plunges the people of both countries into war but also makes the situation in the Middle East increasingly tense, threatening regional stability and global energy security. The international community should actively mediate and promote both sides to resolve their differences through peaceful negotiations.
#美国加征关税 The United States' imposition of tariffs is shortsighted and detrimental to both others and itself. From an international perspective, this move undermines global trade rules, disrupts stable industrial and supply chains, hinders economic globalization, and provokes dissatisfaction and countermeasures from numerous countries; from the perspective of the United States itself, although raising tariffs may increase fiscal revenue in the short term, it imposes a heavier burden on consumers, weakens the competitiveness of domestic enterprises, and may lead to job losses, ultimately backfiring on the U.S. economy.
The current BTC market is at a critical juncture. From a technical perspective, the price is oscillating in the range of $105,000 - $108,000, with short-term moving averages entangled and direction unclear. On the news front, a European Bitcoin giant plans to reserve over $11 billion in Bitcoin, which is clearly a positive development. However, regulatory policies remain unclear, posing uncertainties. Overall, the battle between bulls and bears is intense, and attention should be paid to the breakthrough situation at the key level of $106,000. If it can effectively break through, it is expected to challenge $110,000.
The recent ETH trend has attracted much attention, with positive factors such as the Pectra upgrade and growth in staking leading to a price surge of over 50% in May, now stabilizing between $2600 - $2700. Institutional ETFs have seen a significant inflow, with BlackRock's fund alone attracting nearly $287 million in May. However, it also faces risks from regulatory uncertainties and competition from other coins. In the short term, it may hover between $2500 - $3000, while the long-term outlook is relatively optimistic.
The significance of the #加密圆桌讨论 encrypted roundtable discussion is substantial. It provides a platform for industry experts, investors, and regulators to communicate, allowing all parties to share insights and exchange experiences. The discussion not only helps participants grasp industry trends and uncover investment opportunities but also promotes regulators to formulate more reasonable policies, driving the healthy development of the encrypted industry within a compliance framework and achieving a balance between innovation and regulation.
#实用交易工具 Practical trading tools are valuable assistants for investors. Technical analysis tools can predict trends through candlesticks and indicators; trading strategy tools can automatically execute strategies to reduce emotional interference; risk management tools effectively control positions and stop losses. These tools enhance trading efficiency and optimize decision-making, but should not be blindly relied upon. They need to be combined with market conditions and personal experience to maximize their value in the complex and ever-changing trading environment.
The expansion of the Nasdaq Crypto ETF is a key development in the crypto market. This expansion includes various mainstream cryptocurrencies, aiming to provide investors with richer choices, reduce risks, and enhance the stability of investment portfolios. If approved, it will increase the market recognition of crypto assets, attract more funds, promote the integration of the crypto market with traditional finance, and provide new ideas for regulation, accelerating the standardization of the industry.
The recent BTC price has been volatile, currently oscillating around $105,000. Although there have been fluctuations over the past week, the overall price has decreased compared to previous highs. From a technical perspective, the 50-day moving average on the daily chart is flat, indicating that the short-term direction is unclear; however, the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart continues to rise, suggesting that there is still upward momentum in the long term.
Regulatory policies, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment can all affect its trend. Investors need to pay attention to regulatory developments and approach market fluctuations with caution.
#中美贸易谈判 The China-US trade negotiations have significant implications for the economic direction of both countries and the global economy. Recently, the Geneva negotiations have made remarkable progress by eliminating 91% of tariffs, setting a 90-day pause period, establishing a consultation mechanism, and easing tensions, which injects stability expectations into the global industrial and supply chains. However, challenges remain ahead, including the retention of some tariffs, potential changes in future policies, and domestic political interference in the United States. Continued attention to the progress of negotiations is necessary.
To understand candlestick patterns, three points need to be considered: First, the length of the body and shadows; a long body indicates strong buying or selling power, while a long upper shadow suggests significant resistance above. Second, the combination of patterns, such as engulfing and morning star, can help predict trend reversals. Third, consider trading volume; an increase in price with an increase in volume or a decrease in price with a decrease in volume is more valuable as a reference. Additionally, it is essential to combine different time frames for a comprehensive judgment of market trends and buy/sell signals.