宝总行走的K线

Will #以太坊十周年 Ethereum break 4000? $ETH $BNB

Growing and progressing together with everyone 💪 Recent insights sharing
1.
Sincerity is indeed the killer skill. I believe this. Since entering the circle at the end of May, I've been holding a learning mindset, knowing that I inevitably have to pay tuition (I've already spent several thousand dollars), so I've been moving forward with the goal of learning and communicating with everyone 💪 Wanting to make money is certain, but I've never had any ulterior motives ✌️
2.
Some small misunderstandings occurred along the way, but in the long run, they aren't a big issue. I've fallen into various traps, perhaps because I was moving too fast, and stumbling is normal. Speaking too much out of a strong desire to express can easily lead to mistakes, and being straightforward can indeed offend people. They told me to be more tactful, but I haven't learned that yet; this is a character flaw I need to overcome 🥲
3.
Contracts are indeed something that can rarely make money. Regardless of the statistics I saw before or the recent observations around me, among dozens of girls, only one is making money with contracts, and among hundreds of boys, there are fewer than ten. This is related to the innate emotional tendency of women being greater than rationality. Not all teachers are everlasting masters of profit; even the recent struggling owls are facing challenges. If the big players want to wash the market, no matter how strong the analysts and psychological experts are, it's normal to get hit, 😂 I’m very fortunate to have encountered @阿甘谈币新号 right after joining. Their stability is also due to years of experience, having suffered losses before. I still need to learn more from everyone; knowing how to make money doesn't necessarily mean you can do it. Learning to minimize losses or avoid losses is also excellent 👌
4. I have indeed learned a lot from Brother Elf at @BTC精灵 , including emotional mindset interference, position management, etc. (although he sometimes doesn't do well himself). It's like how I share emotions with others every day, but that doesn't stop me from being a single dog, hahaha. I’m really sorry for causing trouble when I stumbled while he wasn't in a good state 🙏 (I was told not to post in the square or go live, but I couldn't help it 🙄 This post should be fine, right?)
5. This path is a highly specialized one; you need to understand finance, international situations, human nature, observe market emotions, and be good at data analysis, etc., and also know how to ride an electric bike.
6. So I advise everyone not to get too carried away. It's fine to use a little money for entertainment like playing mahjong; investing risk capital below 10% of total funds doesn't affect life either. A gambling mentality is not acceptable; the big players are specialized in dealing with various forms of defiance 💰
Above, let's encourage each other 💪

Based on market data and related analysis as of August 1, 2025, the current trend of Ethereum (ETH) can be analyzed from the following key points:
- The current trading price of ETH is approximately **$3,854** (as of July 29 data), down slightly by 0.82% in the past 24 hours, but up 4.11% for the week.
- The technical indicators show that ETH is testing the key resistance level of **$3,900**; if it breaks through, it may further challenge **$4,100**, or even **$5,000**.
- The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (SMA) are **$2,836** and **$2,404**, respectively, with the current price significantly above the moving averages, indicating an overall bullish trend.

2. **Market Sentiment and Fund Flows**
- **Bullish Signals**:
- Institutional funds continue to flow in, with a net inflow of ETH ETF reaching **$512 million** in July, setting a new annual high.
- The exchange ETH reserves have dropped to the second-lowest level in a year, indicating a tightening market supply, which may drive prices up.
- **Bearish Signals**:
- Over **700,000 ETH** are waiting to be unstaked, which may increase market selling pressure.
- Coinbase ETH premium turned negative, indicating reduced interest from U.S. investors.

### 3. **Technical Indicators and Key Levels**
- **RSI (14-day)** is **80.01**, indicating an overbought condition, with a potential short-term pullback or consolidation.
- **Support Levels**:
- **$3,800** (psychological support)
- **$3,500–$3,300** (key demand zone).
- **Resistance Levels**:
- **$3,900–$4,000** (short-term target)
- **$4,100** (after breakout or accelerated rise).

4. **Analyst Predictions Divergence**
- **Optimistic Prediction**: Some analysts believe ETH could break **$5,000** in August, especially if it breaks through the **$4,100** resistance level.
- **Cautious View**: Overbought RSI, unstaking, and institutional sell-offs (such as the Ethereum Foundation selling **25,833 ETH**) may trigger a short-term pullback.

Today's Trend Outlook
- **If it breaks above $3,900**: It may test **$4,000–$4,100**, or even trigger a short squeeze to accelerate the rise.
- **If it falls below $3,800**: It may retest the **$3,500** support zone, and market sentiment changes should be monitored.

Overall, the trend of ETH today may be influenced by both non-farm data and technical factors, and it is recommended to closely monitor the breakout situation in the **$3,800–$3,900** range and combine on-chain data (like exchange inflows/outflows) to determine the short-term direction.

Is ETH 3500 a bottom or a top? The truth 90% of people didn't expect
#ETH
Ethereum is currently stuck at 3500, and many people are panicking, thinking it can't move up anymore. But did you know?
👉 Historically, before every bull market, ETH would "play dead" for 1-3 months
👉 Institutions are crazily accumulating around 3500 (last week ETF inflow was $280 million)
👉 L2 ecosystem is exploding, with Gas fees dropping below $1
The key point is:
When retail investors feel that "there's no hope", it often marks the last "quiet period" before a major market move!
💡 Now there are two types of people:
Those who are cursing and cutting losses (will later regret it)
Those who are quietly adding positions (will later watch the situation with a smile)
Which one do you choose?
Bold statement warning:
Now, for every 1 ETH you buy, it might equal 2 by the end of the year!
(If you disagree, come argue! Show your holdings in the comments and let’s see who has the sharpest vision!)
🔥 Key discussion topics:
Do you think 3500 is a golden pit or a death pit?
What percentage of your position do you currently hold? Are you brave enough to increase your stake?
Predict how high ETH can go by the end of the year?
(If likes exceed 100, I'll reveal my actual trading operations tomorrow!)