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The crypto world has seen its fair share of ups and downs, and if history is any guide, we might be gearing up for something huge in 2026. 📈 Despite a rocky start to 2025—with Bitcoin dipping below $77,000 and Ethereum hitting a 16-month low—the big picture looks promising.
One particular historical pattern—the "Periods When to Make Money" chart—suggests that 2026 could be a “good times” year for financial markets, including crypto. Add to that recent pro-crypto regulatory moves and institutional investments, and you’ve got the makings of a serious bull run. Let’s break it all down.
📜 The Chart That Predicts a 2026 Bull Run

The "Periods When to Make Money" chart, first developed in the 19th century, identifies cycles of financial booms and busts. And guess what? It marks 2026 as a Category B year—aka, a time for “high prices and the time to sell stocks and values of all kinds.”

Historically, these cycles have lined up eerily well with market trends. 2016, the last "good times" year, saw Bitcoin enter a major rally post-halving. Before that, the market struggled through the "hard times" of 2023 and the "panic" of 2019. If this pattern holds, we’re looking at an 8-10 month window in 2026 where asset prices could soar.

🔄 The "Periods When to Make Money" Chart & Market Cycles
The chart you see above outlines repeating financial cycles, dividing economic timeframes into:
"A" (Panic) Years – Times of major market crashes (e.g., 1927, 2019, 2035)."B" (Boom) Years – Phases of high asset prices and the best time to sell (e.g., 1926, 2016, 2026)."C" (Hard Times) Years – Recessionary periods when asset prices are depressed, ideal for buying (e.g., 1924, 2023).

The next projected "good times" phase? 2026. This aligns eerily well with another long-wave economic theory—the Kondratieff Cycle.
📜 What Is the Kondratieff Wave?

The Kondratieff Wave (K-Wave) is a 40–60 year economic cycle first proposed by Russian economist Nikolai Kondratieff in the 1920s. It suggests that economies move in long waves of expansion and contraction, impacting prices, investments, and financial markets worldwide.
Each cycle is broken into four distinct phases:

1️⃣ Spring (Recovery) – Post-crash economic expansion, innovation boom.

2️⃣ Summer (Inflationary Boom) – Peak growth, rising interest rates, speculative bubbles.

3️⃣ Autumn (Slowdown) – Stagnation, overproduction, asset bubbles burst.

4️⃣ Winter (Recession/Depression) – Debt collapses, markets reset.

Where are we now?

If we follow the K-Wave, we are exiting the "Winter" phase (2020–2024) and entering a "Spring" recovery in 2025–2026. Historically, this has been a time of new financial booms, just like the 1950s post-war expansion or the dot-com era of the 1990s.
📊 How This Aligns With Bitcoin & Crypto

Crypto follows both macro cycles (like the Kondratieff Wave) and shorter halving cycles (~4 years). Bitcoin’s halvings have historically triggered massive bull runs within 12–18 months, and the next one is in April 2024.

🔹 2025–2026 could mirror previous post-halving surges (e.g., 2016–2017, 2020–2021).

🔹 2026 is marked as a "B" (boom) year in the historical money-making chart.

🔹 If the Kondratieff Wave holds, this could be the start of a multi-year expansion.

⚖️ The Regulatory Green Light & Institutional Confidence

While current crypto prices are down (Bitcoin at $78,714, Ethereum at $1,911 as of March 11, 2025), the bigger picture suggests a shift is coming. Some major developments are setting the stage for a strong rebound:

🔹 U.S. Bitcoin Reserve: President Trump signed an executive order to create a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve using 200,000 seized BTC. While some investors hoped for direct market purchases, this still marks a massive step toward mainstream Bitcoin adoption.

🔹 Institutional Interest Soars: Abu Dhabi-backed MGX just dropped $2 billion into Binance, while Franklin Templeton is planning an XRP spot ETF. Deutsche Boerse is even rolling out crypto custody services for institutional clients starting in April 2025.

🔹 Global Crypto Adoption: Argentina just finalized new rules for virtual asset service providers (VASPs), signaling a worldwide trend toward structured crypto regulation—something that could boost investor confidence.

⏳ Post-Halving Dynamics: The Bitcoin Supply Squeeze

If there’s one thing we know about Bitcoin halvings, it’s that they almost always lead to a supply crunch and a price rally within 12–18 months. The 2024 halving reduced Bitcoin’s block rewards to 3.125 BTC per block, meaning fewer coins are entering circulation.
By the time 2026 rolls around, we could see the classic post-halving surge, aligning perfectly with the "good times" phase of the historical cycle.
🤑 2026: The Best Time to Sell?

According to the "Periods When to Make Money" chart, 2026 isn’t just a year to ride the wave—it’s a year to cash out at the peak. If this cycle repeats, we could see a window of 8-10 months where Bitcoin and altcoins hit new highs before a potential correction later down the road.
The takeaway? Smart investors may want to start positioning themselves now to maximize profits when the market reaches its peak in 2026.
⚠️ What Could Go Wrong? Risks to Watch
While the outlook is promising, there are always risks:
🔻 Macroeconomic Factors: U.S. recession fears, Trump’s trade policies, and a broader sell-off in tech stocks have already caused a $1 trillion drop in crypto market cap.
🔻 Regulatory Uncertainty: While some laws are crypto-friendly, unexpected regulatory crackdowns could shake investor confidence.

🔻 Market Manipulation Concerns: Some critics argue that the U.S. Bitcoin Reserve may primarily benefit large holders rather than retail investors.
🔥 Final Thoughts: Get Ready for the 2026 Crypto Boom
Between historical patterns, institutional adoption, and Bitcoin’s post-halving cycles, 2026 is shaping up to be a massive year for crypto. 🚀 If you’re thinking long-term, this could be a golden opportunity to position yourself ahead of the next big rally.
But as always, stay informed, manage risk, and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The crypto market is wild, but if history repeats itself, we could be in for a legendary ride. Buckle up! 🎢

That's it for today folks,

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Disclaimer: the information provided by Crypto PM Binance Square Profile should not be considered as investment advice or an invitation to trade. As always, please conduct thorough research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions in the cryptocurrency market.

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