KnowledgeBR

$OM
Summary of the situation, in one sentence.

"It takes years to build a reputation, and minutes to lose it."

In the case of developers, it took 17 minutes.

No matter what they say or do, without trust, no one will invest.

They can trade, but investment?

I'm not talking about a few dollars... I'm talking about real money.

Terrible day.

Disappointment.

Some years lost in a few hours.

Processing the loss.

$OM
7.263 OM turned to dust…

And just a few days ago, they created a fund to encourage projects on the network.

$OM What happened??? 60% drop in 10 minutes???

My position of over 7,000 OM turned to dust…..

That’s discouraging…

Be careful!!

A sudden drop, flash crash, is not unlikely.

Yesterday it seemed like it didn't make sense, right?

Now that everything has gone up, it starts to make sense?

Many try to learn chart analysis without ever having learned the basic principles of economics.
Trying to use methods and apply theories without ever having read about what markets, economy, and money are.

The world is not going to end. The real economy does not necessarily follow the capital market.

Do you think that because of tariffs, Americans will change their consumption culture? Will they stop buying iPhones?

Is there a lack of supply due to a lack of demand OR is there a lack of demand due to a lack of supply?

There is no hole in the world where money is destroyed and disappears. It is allocated. Companies to meet the internal demand of American consumption will adapt.

It's no use complaining about the sun; it will continue to rise every morning, whether you like it or not. So adapt and move on.

$OM I have been buying since it cost a few cents, and I have always developed the habit of locking in all purchases in Earn 19.90%.

It had been a while since I last bought and therefore I wasn't tracking the earnings; today I went to check, the locked earns for 120 days that, at the time of locking were 19.90%, have dropped to 5.50%!

What is the point of locking the asset, if the APR at the time of locking is not fixed?

It would be like investing in something pre-fixed, but which is not fixed, it varies…

I have some that are 80/120 days, which were 19.90%…. That have dropped to 5.50%… if I redeem, I lose everything. When I locked it, I found it interesting because of the high APR, now it remains locked with an APR that does not attract me…

I used ChatGPT to collect some economic data, which can be checked and verified on the Federal Reserve's website (which I strongly recommend, not only on this topic but everything).
I took a screenshot that turned out poorly when trying to copy and paste, learning to use AI, haha.

The FED, with its monetary policy, defined in part by the FOMC, through the SOMA, injects dollars into the market, providing bank liquidity, and thus controlling and adjusting the dollar's monetary expansion, consequently affecting inflation.
SOMA - System Open Market Account.
FOMC - Federal Open Market Committee

The FED's balance sheet in 2020/2022 increased from about 4.5 trillion dollars to almost 9 trillion!!!

To understand, every month, the FED with the SOMA injected 60 billion dollars into the market.
In April 2020, in ONE MONTH, it injected 1.5 trillion dollars.

Since 2022, it started to reduce the pace. The reflection of so much money injected? High inflation, rising prices, stocks soaring, everyone taking on a lot of risks, liquidity exploding, everything was rising in this cycle.

In comparison:
balance 2022 8.5 trillion - monthly bond buybacks in OMO backed by MBS of 165 billion.
2023 reduction to 7.5 trillion balance and 95 billion monthly
2024 reduction to 6.5 trillion

We reach 2025, what was 65 billion monthly of dollar injection through SOMA last year has reduced to 35 billion.

And now, IN APRIL, from 35 billion it dropped to 5 billion.

Everyone expected it to return to 30~35 billion, however, with the tariffs affecting inflation, if they maintain the amount, it will increase inflation even more.

Clearly, we are without liquidity in the capital markets, we have become spoiled (since 2008 and this madness of money by the FED)

The screenshots I took from ChatGPT, I couldn't extract the text properly. Be patient, you will also grow old.

As it is a more complex topic, I tried to address it superficially. That said, on Saturday I will write my interpretation and opinion on what lies ahead (what has been said so far are data and not opinions)

can be checked: www.federalreserve.gov

I am buying.

It’s not that everything will rise, but that today, after a few months waiting for a definition of Trump’s policy, the doubt is gone and now we have facts and not conjectures.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy.htm

Concern is not in the markets, but in the real economy.

$ACT I have never bought, but this drop of 85% in 2 days is not a reason for a monitoring tag?

Please, I ask you not to say:

The crypto market is volatile. This is not volatility. This is a collapse with or without manipulation. And those responsible for the coin either had reckless management or pure and simple incompetence.

And I beg you not to say, "you only lose if you sell."
No justification is even needed.

To those who have lost, or to those who are thinking of buying the dip, be careful ⚠️

$ACT

$PENGU
I bought it simply because I saw my grandchildren watching a cartoon about penguins on TV and then asking for a plush toy as a gift.

And

I was very interested in the simple fact that there is a brand behind the asset, without considering the production of toys, cartoons, etc.

It's not a memecoin 🙏

Or are they different brands?

Get that idea out of your head that "You should only invest money that you don't need, that won't make you miss it."

Because it is precisely because of this idea ingrained in people's heads that so many invest in memecoins, shitcoins, idiot4 coins.

Since it's money that won't make you miss it, what's the problem with throwing it away, right?

I follow the opposite of this idea: invest the money you had to sweat for all month long; I'm not saying to take money away from necessary expenses.

But that money you would use for leisure, for treats, clothes that you don't need, save it today so it won't be lacking tomorrow.

Many came to cryptocurrencies with the utopia that they would get rich overnight.

Friend, the problem with the hustler is that he thinks only his mother makes smart kids.

Nothing comes easy; when something is free, the product is you.

Rereading the text, I think it lacks a conclusion. What I meant to say is, value your money, study before investing, research what, where, and how much to invest.

And money earned after a month of work will certainly be valued.
#WhaleMovements

Help to promote for free! $STPT
I hope this is the beginning of the recovery, and that if everything goes well, they will remove the monitoring tag.

Waiting to come back.
PS: Is it a game?

After a few months without anything positive...help spread $STPT, the official post has a link. Is it a game? I don't understand much about games, will it work this time?

#RamadanGiveaway There are dozens of campaigns on Binance, but almost none appear with the app in Portuguese (BR).

Before investing, go to indicator settings, in MM and EMA configure new ones with 8 20 50 200.

8 and 20D Periods for short-term trades.

50 200D Hold.

For day trading, it's better to follow MACD, especially on 1 minute (13,21,1…)
And research how to read the histogram.

Anyway, it's not enough for good trades, but it's the way. RSI, Volume, MVRV, IFR. With the last two being the main ones for BTC.

It really bothers me to always read the same fallacies, "loss is only for those who sell" "don't sell at a loss".

These are stated as immutable maxims, and this causes great losses to those who blindly follow such advice.

$USUAL is an example, when it was $1.20, it dropped to $1.00, many were saying not to sell at a loss, it fell to $0.50, they continued the same discourse, $0.30… $0.10.

Yesterday we had the same case with $AUCTION that dropped from 68.00… 60.00… 55.00… 40.00… 20.00.

Don't sell at a loss, and when you have researched and are convinced of your investment before investing, then when it drops, you take the opportunity to buy more.
And even so, avoid commitment to mistakes.

Accepting a loss is in the range of 10-15% loss, don't wait to reach 50% or 70% loss to take action.
I have 25 years in the capital markets and some in crypto, on Carnival Sunday, in a wrong and irresponsible trade, I took a long time to admit the mistake, I accepted it, I had already lost, in a single day 35 thousand reais, 5k dollars.

Don't wait to learn from your own mistakes, try to learn from the mistakes of others, it costs less.

Ps: I have already recovered the loss and easily doubled.

Making profits is always good.

Less greed.

Use trailing stop.

$REZ
If I ask with a lot of insistence, could the person in charge (they) take their foot off my dinner and cancel this order?

Thank you. 🙏🙏😁🙄🤬😡

Some people spend months wanting to buy various items from a store, but do not purchase because the prices are high.

When the store has everything on sale, with discounts of 30%...40% or more, that same person complains that there is only bad stuff in the store.

In other words, this person wants to buy what is expensive because they think that the price is the cause, not the consequence.

Could it continue to fall? Probably, almost certain.

Could it recover? If they didn't think so, they wouldn't be here.

Keep playing the game.

$BTC
$ETH
$AAVE
$BCH
$TAO
$SUI
$MOVE

Well, if they had stopped to consider what was said in the FOMC meeting regarding SOMA, they wouldn't have been caught in this drop. They are pulling liquidity from the market, the FED through SOMA, reduced repurchases from 180 billion to 80 billion, DAILY.

Without liquidity, more uncertainties, more fears, it's better to bring cash to hand, waiting for opportunities that will arise. More drops in all markets,
Not just crypto.