阿佛K线战法指南

Market analysis: Today is January 13, 2025. Most people think that the market will continue to fall below 90,000. I publicly called for more three days ago and led my friends to successfully enter the market at the 2.34 position of XRP, and took the big meat. The two cakes continue to fluctuate. Just buy strong mainstream coins. XRP is the first choice in 2025, with a target of more than 20🔪📈. Speaking of the expected trend in the next month, BTC will take advantage of the January 20th to pull up to around 105,000-112,000. We will be in the week The BTC and ETH long orders arranged in the sixth phase need to be withdrawn on January 24th. It is expected that the bitcoin price will fall rapidly to below 90,000 after January 25th, and will eventually start to fluctuate between 80,000 and 88,000. Clear the high leverage and absorb chips (from the end of March to the beginning of April) without the expectation of interest rate cuts. It is expected that the expectation of interest rate cuts will be ignited in May and June, and it will start to warm up and rise at the end of April. The bitcoin price will double from about 85,000 to about 160,000, and the bull market will end. I am Afu. Thank you for your attention. Three consecutive clicks

On February 2nd at 11 PM, I publicly posted to short BTC, stating that the three crows pattern had appeared, and a crash was about to begin. At that time, the price of Bitcoin was 99,800. The next day, it directly dropped to 91,000. The night before ETH's crash, we shorted it at the 3,070 position, and the next day it fell to a spike at 2,100.

This aligns with my prediction from New Year's Eve, where I rehearsed that ETH would pull back to around 2,300 (see Image 3).

Originally planned to calm down for a few days, my tongue was on fire and I couldn't speak fluently, making it impossible to live stream these days. I have to respond a bit. A few days ago, I mentioned that BTC might pull back, and today the price shot up to 104,300. A few short sellers who failed started cursing in my comment section. In the third image, I also reminded that shorts were not going to work a couple of days ago. We ourselves are holding long positions for BTC at 77,000. Above 95, there is an attempt to defend short positions. From a strategy standpoint, there is no issue at all. Attempted shorts at 97,500, took profit at 95,900 once, then attempted a short at 99,000 yesterday during the day (994 is a resistance level), but the market felt off, so we withdrew our short at 99,500 and did not short again. If 994 breaks, then the price must go to 102,000 or even higher.

Currently, the high point of 104,300 is within expectations. The level of 104,000 was a pivotal point between long and short in January and also the previous closing price before the BTC candlestick entity, so this is a key resistance level for shorting that needs attention. After BTC went above 98, I stopped chasing longs. We are adopting a high short defense strategy. Even if you trade long in the short term, from a strategic standpoint, going long above 95 is considered chasing longs, which is not advocated on the trading level.

On May 5th, I mentioned that the market would be relatively complex. The big coin wanted to pull back, ETH's upgrade is beneficial, and the Fed not lowering interest rates is bearish. Chasing longs has always been a major taboo in trading, even in a bull market. The situation of price spikes in a bull market is common. I believe that not only I adopt a high short strategy in the market. I called for a bull market on April 8 and established positions for BTC and ETH around 74,600, with profits in the tens of thousands of U. Currently, still, no long positions are taken without a pullback. The long-term support level is above 92,000 for BTC, which is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement position for BTC. I have mentioned the level of 86 before, and that level still needs attention (a major support level). The time scale may take around a month.

Lastly, let me reiterate: trading should not resist positions, which is the eternal golden rule.

You insulted first, I just returned the favor 🤔

Go V Little God, finally waited for it,
gave you one last chance.

ETH needs to be nailed to the pillar of shame, trampled by thousands,
cursed by tens of thousands, this is the shame of the pillar of shame.

If you trade without resisting orders, you have already improved by 50% compared to others.

I haven't streamed much this week because the market is very boring. I need to calm down and think about the next trend. At this position, I do not encourage taking any long positions. We ourselves opened a position at BTC74600 (on April 8 I called a bull return), and we are still holding it. In recent days, I've noticed that big influencers are again leading the public to go long at 95, without realizing that danger is gradually approaching. If things go wrong, one could easily get buried alive. Therefore, unscrupulous big influencers will also chase highs and sell lows. If they chase highs and sell lows, can they still be called big influencers?

true master
​be formless
​be infinite
be ​awareness itself

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the underlying inflation situation is good, and the Fed does not need to rush to adjust interest rates, as the cost of waiting is quite low. The Fed's policy is moderately restrictive. He also mentioned that if there is a conflict between the dual objectives, one should consider the distance to the goals and the time to bridge the gap. As the situation develops, if the timing is right, the Fed can act swiftly.

Get some rest; there's not much going on in the market. Let the bullets fly for a few days and then see.

Very few can understand this, the fast and slow lines are entangled at a high position, and by the time the death cross appears, the K-line has already dropped ten thousand miles away.
$BTC

The new coins launched on BN have a different playstyle from the dealers. In the past, they would drop to zero as soon as they launched. Now, they first pump up and then drop to zero. What's the difference? The dealer has one goal: to squeeze you. My principle regarding new coins over the years is to avoid them entirely; the probability of failure is extremely high.

For large funds, altcoins do not have many good options; only BTC and SOL are considered, with BNB being relatively stable. As for whether ETH can rise, that is a huge question mark. If you really don't know which to buy, you can always trust the big cake BTC. Currently, the situation with ETH looks a bit like the relationship between gold and silver: gold is soaring ahead, while silver is still sitting there motionless, so don't overestimate ETH.

If I must recommend some altcoins, I would suggest: TAO, Fartcoin, turbo, virtual, Render. These could be good options in this bull market, and I have recommended these coins multiple times before, so keep an eye on them. Other altcoins do not have much potential for appreciation or safety.

Let me explain again the issue of altcoins that I mentioned before. There is no such thing as an altcoin season; as I said before, the Bitcoin season is also the altcoin season. The bottom of Bitcoin is the bottom of most altcoins, and the peak of Bitcoin is the peak of altcoins. On April 8th, I called the bottom for altcoins, and on May 2nd, last Friday, I called for the top. On May 4th, I also called for the top for altcoins. On January 13th, I said Bitcoin would pull back from 110,000 to 78,000 in April, and again on April 5th, I called for a bull return. I completely grasped the entire rhythm; this is not just empty talk or random calculations. Currently, I am managing over 80 million in funds, and I am focused on long cycles, so we must understand the larger cycles; otherwise, we wouldn't have made it this far. Cycle comes first, shape comes second; if the order is reversed, you will find that everything you do is wrong.

What is the meaning of these things' existence?

In May, just follow this menu for your meals; the presentation is quite boring. I won't be live streaming tonight. Remember, do not touch altcoins at all before the end of May. I've mentioned this many times in previous live streams.

B Circle ⭕ Bao Er Ye, originally named Guo Hongcai, a Chinese currently living in the United States, owns tens of thousands of BTC. A few days ago, he stated that he is in the late stages of kidney failure. So for friends in B Circle, what is the most important thing? Understand the essence of life, and you won't stay up all night staring at the market anymore; it's useless.

Here we distinguish between short-term and long-term, try to make a distinction

BTCK Line Analysis:
The most recent 4-hour candlestick shows a continuous downward trend, but with long lower shadows, indicating support.
The daily candlestick has formed a long upper shadow doji recently, indicating significant selling pressure and market hesitation.
Technical Indicators:
MACD has formed a death cross; in the 4-hour timeframe, the DIF value is negative and continues to converge towards the DEA, indicating a high possibility of further weakening. Although still in a strong range on the daily chart, there are signs of a pullback.
RSI has gradually entered the oversold area in the 4-hour timeframe, with values dropping to around 38, suggesting a potential rebound in the short term; on the daily chart, it remains at a high level but shows a downward trend.
The short-term EMA (like EMA7) has started to flatten quickly and shows signs of tilting downwards, while the gap with the long-term EMA (like EMA120) is narrowing, indicating potential weakening risks. The daily EMA still looks bullish, and the overall arrangement remains bullish, with some demand for correction.
$BTC

Market Analysis: Today is May 5th, 2025. BTC has first broken the daily upward trend line (74500-98000), forming a shark 🦈 bearish pattern. Currently, until the end of May, it is better to adopt a high short strategy for BTC (last Friday night, I also posted that I called for a top exit and take profit around 975). There will also be some opportunities for long positions, but overall it has turned bearish. The opportunity to buy low will only come around 86 at the end of May.

The market in May will be relatively complex. BTC needs to undergo a major daily level correction. The ETH upgrade on May 7th will be beneficial (with many uncertainties). Whether ETH can rise depends on this time; I will trust V little god one more time. The Fed's interest rate meeting is at 2 AM on May 8th, and old Powell will come again, so the next move: good afternoon, and I guess it will again be a stop-loss spike.

As for the altcoin situation, I mentioned this issue in my post yesterday. The altcoins are looking at a correction in May, and currently, it seems that interest rate cuts will not happen until June.

So there are many uncertainties. Pay attention to the interest rate meeting on May 8th. In any case, maintain a calm mindset. This is once again a test of pattern and prediction. I have also issued my conclusion in advance. It depends on personal perspective. Those with a larger perspective may see decent returns on short positions (see the chart below) $BTC