阿佛K线战法指南

Market analysis: Today is January 13, 2025. Most people think that the market will continue to fall below 90,000. I publicly called for more three days ago and led my friends to successfully enter the market at the 2.34 position of XRP, and took the big meat. The two cakes continue to fluctuate. Just buy strong mainstream coins. XRP is the first choice in 2025, with a target of more than 20🔪📈. Speaking of the expected trend in the next month, BTC will take advantage of the January 20th to pull up to around 105,000-112,000. We will be in the week The BTC and ETH long orders arranged in the sixth phase need to be withdrawn on January 24th. It is expected that the bitcoin price will fall rapidly to below 90,000 after January 25th, and will eventually start to fluctuate between 80,000 and 88,000. Clear the high leverage and absorb chips (from the end of March to the beginning of April) without the expectation of interest rate cuts. It is expected that the expectation of interest rate cuts will be ignited in May and June, and it will start to warm up and rise at the end of April. The bitcoin price will double from about 85,000 to about 160,000, and the bull market will end. I am Afu. Thank you for your attention. Three consecutive clicks

On February 2nd at 11 PM, I publicly posted to short BTC, stating that the three crows pattern had appeared, and a crash was about to begin. At that time, the price of Bitcoin was 99,800. The next day, it directly dropped to 91,000. The night before ETH's crash, we shorted it at the 3,070 position, and the next day it fell to a spike at 2,100.

This aligns with my prediction from New Year's Eve, where I rehearsed that ETH would pull back to around 2,300 (see Image 3).

Life is like chess, deceit is like life, what is the true meaning of trading?

There haven't been many good trading opportunities before September 15th, for specifics refer to my previous post. The rebound of BTC at 115600 yesterday was the last escape window.

The view remains unchanged; we do not choose to bottom fish here. The big coin can only be called a B-wave rebound now. We will continue to wait. If those who caught the rebound at 4000 points on the big coin congratulations to you, but currently, it seems that 112000 is not the bottom. ETH should at least wait for a second bottom to observe. This time, the ABC three-wave correction of the big coin has nothing to do with the month; it’s just that the market has reached this point. It’s not a matter of carving a boat to seek a sword. Every time we reach a key node, volume, price, and time will change. Of course, those who bottomed around 3400 yesterday may have made a good choice. After all, in a bull market, it is better to avoid shorting (I had given this pullback expectation at the 3400 position ten days ago), but if we look at the overall situation from August to September, if the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September has already been priced in, global capital has already priced in the rise of US stocks. Now, US capital needs to consider whether to price in the US economic recession. In the short term, there is at least a 50% probability of a pullback in demand. Furthermore, from the K-line pattern, a phase pullback of the big coin is necessary. The big coin and ETH still need to maintain faith. When we reach a critical point, we should go up if we need to, but here I choose to observe for a period of time. There are also some opportunities for short positions. A few days ago, I mentioned that Bitcoin assets can no longer be defined by bull or bear; it is sufficient to define them as crypto assets. There will definitely be buyers in the value depression, and a phase bull is enough.

There is significant resistance near 116000 for the big coin and 3650 for ETH. We need to stabilize here to form a reversal market. Near 168 for SOL, I usually look at trends above 20000 for the big coin and above 500 for ETH. I will also trade short-term, but short-term needs to be flexibly grasped. Balancing long and short positions is essential for continuous profit.

Is it difficult? The next challenge is a hell-level test. The ABC three-wave pullback has come again. Those who can make money in this bull market are all competing with large institutions and big capital. There are really not many opportunities for small investors. Understand the market, understand yourself.

Last Friday, US stock market Bitcoin crypto stock Coinbase plummeted 16%. The data shows that Fidelity and ARK (Cathie Wood) reduced their holdings, and MicroStrategy also dropped 9%. At critical moments, the capital market votes with its feet, running faster than rabbits. If panic continues to spread next week, the global crypto market is likely to continue weakening. Trading is not easy; we must always respect the market. Many people are saying that interest rates will be lowered in September, but this is purely guesswork. Who says interest rates must be lowered?

The logic of the bull market has changed significantly before 2024. Institutional bull, it's easy to do, but if you don't understand it, you'll lose money no matter what you do.

Market Analysis: After a large five-wave movement of BTC, there has been an ABC three-wave correction. The low point of this ABC three-wave may be around 106000. The lower boundary for ETH on the daily chart is 3170, meaning that above 3000 are key retracement points for ETH in August. In the third chart, I mentioned a few days ago that ETH3400 was reached early this morning. Currently, this is definitely not the bottom; we cannot start buying here yet. We need to wait for BTC's ABC three-wave correction to finish before we can start buying. At that time, we can expect a significant five-wave rally for ETH near 3000 before the end of the year, with the peak roughly around 4600. As for the people in the square a few days ago who were overly optimistic about ETH reaching 10K, they were still too blindly optimistic.

Still callback, currently the market expects a 38% probability of interest rate cuts in September, continue to pay attention to risks when chasing long positions.

The midday analysis indicates a pullback, the short position is precisely timed,
ETH continues to look for a pullback, it's not yet time to buy the dip.
$ETH

Market Analysis: ETH has broken through at the 4-hour level, with short-term pullback risks. An article was published 3 days ago - see Chart 3 (short-term risk attention). The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is at 2 AM tonight, and it is highly probable that there will be no rate cut. As the end of the month approaches, there will likely be significant fluctuations before August 5th. Bitcoin is around 114,000, and the ETH daily pullback gap is still around 3,400. ETH's volume is decreasing, and the MACD shows a death cross divergence, indicating a pullback risk. If it pulls back to this level, it would be a good opportunity to re-enter. SOL is currently the weakest, breaking down at a moment's notice, with the next entry point around 158.

The index finger seeks the moon: K-line is just a method, not the goal.

Next month we will fight again. The monthly line will be finalized soon. The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on July 30th (volatility may be significant, short-term risk management is advised). Bitcoin node 114000, ETH node 3500-3400, continue to maintain a low long strategy around this area.

Behind the pursuit of invincibility lies solitude,
A heavy sword without an edge, great skill without effort.

Market Analysis: The flagpole from 98000 to 123280 on the BTC daily chart has already formed. Currently, BTC is forming a bullish flag pattern on the hourly chart, with resistance at 123280 and support at 114000 (which can also be called a large box during the upward process). In last night's live stream, I also suggested to get back in. BTC needs to stabilize above 119000 in order to continue rising. Note that I am referring to stabilization here. The current short-term resistance levels are 117500, 119000, and 112300. Yesterday in the live stream, we discussed the monthly resistance level for BTC at 137000; I have mentioned this level before, so you can look back. Currently, the gains for BTC and ETH are completely in line with my expectations from June 24 (see image four).

ETH is currently performing very well, with the hourly resistance level still at 3770, and the 4-hour resistance level at 4100. If 4100 breaks through and stabilizes soon, it will basically aim for the next target of 5000, with a challenge of the major resistance level of 6000 by the end of the year. As for the targets above 8000-10,000, they are currently too far away, so I won't elaborate too much, as it doesn't hold much significance.

Regarding SOL, we also advised everyone to get in around 175 during last night's live stream; this is a good position. As for altcoins, you can keep an eye on them, but as I mentioned a few days ago, the first principle when trading altcoins is to avoid being trapped.

Recommended Altcoins: pepe, tao, uni, aave, spk, turbo. There are many good altcoins, so I won't recommend more here.

I am Afo, a different type of professional trader.
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DeFi newcomer, RWA connector, automated capital allocator: Spark's core positioning is as an 'on-chain capital allocator', allegedly managing up to $3.86 billion in assets, spanning decentralized finance (DeFi), centralized finance (CeFi), and real-world assets (RWA), with a current market capitalization of $300 million. Is there room for another 3x?