峰哥加密圈
迎接比特币第四次减半的疯狂大牛市浪潮！公众号（峰哥加密圈）
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Brothers, have a great weekend! If you haven't joined Brother Feng's 聊天室 yet, hurry up!
Currently, the operations in the secondary market are hellishly difficult, and many guys are feeling lost and confused. Join Brother Feng's 聊天室, where not only will there be first-level gold dogs helping everyone with layouts every day, but after the secondary market warms up, he will also assist brothers in laying out spot strategies and answer all your questions!
Additionally, there will be activities in the group every week, giving away Binance merchandise and U to everyone. Tonight at 8:30 PM, we will distribute red envelopes in the chat room 🧧🧧🧧.
点黄色字体立即进峰哥币安专属聊天室即可获得周边奖励资格！
Currently, the operations in the secondary market are hellishly difficult, and many guys are feeling lost and confused. Join Brother Feng's 聊天室, where not only will there be first-level gold dogs helping everyone with layouts every day, but after the secondary market warms up, he will also assist brothers in laying out spot strategies and answer all your questions!
Additionally, there will be activities in the group every week, giving away Binance merchandise and U to everyone. Tonight at 8:30 PM, we will distribute red envelopes in the chat room 🧧🧧🧧.
点黄色字体立即进峰哥币安专属聊天室即可获得周边奖励资格！
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BTC Rises Against the Trend, Altcoins Warm Up, But Risks Remain!
Today is April 22, 2025, Tuesday. Recently, Bitcoin's price has been quite strong. The U.S. stock market has plummeted, but Bitcoin not only did not follow the decline but actually rallied against the trend. Previously, Bitcoin generally moved in tandem with the U.S. stock market, but this time it maintained its strength amidst the U.S. stock market drop and Trump's criticism of Powell, which has led to policy uncertainty. This morning, it peaked at $88,850, providing support for sentiment. In contrast, the U.S. stock market continues to weaken due to the ongoing struggles over trade wars and interest rate cut expectations, which has pushed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield up to 4.5%.
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The key points currently influencing the secondary market are as follows:
First, pay attention to the fear index. If this index stabilizes above 50, it indicates that market sentiment is neutral, neither fearful nor greedy. Also, monitor whether there is a significant increase in trading volume on exchanges and on-chain; if there is, it may suggest that new funds are entering the market, driving up prices. If there is no significant increase and the fear index falls below 50, it may indicate that the market could return to a state of fear.
Next is the regulatory risk from the SEC. Be cautious about whether there will be any actions targeting decentralized finance. If there is an unexpected regulatory warning, the market may face another short-term decline. Additionally, consider the factors related to interest rate cuts. If the Federal Reserve hints at stopping interest rate hikes or even cutting rates, funds will be more willing to flow into high-risk assets, potentially driving up the cryptocurrency market.
As for the impact of U.S. stocks, the influence on Bitcoin is currently negligible. However, it is still necessary to pay attention to the movements of U.S. stocks. If U.S. stocks rise significantly, it may also drive up the prices of some cryptocurrencies; conversely, it may have a dragging effect.
First, pay attention to the fear index. If this index stabilizes above 50, it indicates that market sentiment is neutral, neither fearful nor greedy. Also, monitor whether there is a significant increase in trading volume on exchanges and on-chain; if there is, it may suggest that new funds are entering the market, driving up prices. If there is no significant increase and the fear index falls below 50, it may indicate that the market could return to a state of fear.
Next is the regulatory risk from the SEC. Be cautious about whether there will be any actions targeting decentralized finance. If there is an unexpected regulatory warning, the market may face another short-term decline. Additionally, consider the factors related to interest rate cuts. If the Federal Reserve hints at stopping interest rate hikes or even cutting rates, funds will be more willing to flow into high-risk assets, potentially driving up the cryptocurrency market.
As for the impact of U.S. stocks, the influence on Bitcoin is currently negligible. However, it is still necessary to pay attention to the movements of U.S. stocks. If U.S. stocks rise significantly, it may also drive up the prices of some cryptocurrencies; conversely, it may have a dragging effect.
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The US stock market has collapsed like this, but Bitcoin has instead risen to 88,000. Recently, it can be said to have completely outperformed the S&P and Nasdaq. This independent market trend is somewhat surprising, but Bitcoin hasn't dropped while others have. If Bitcoin starts to drop next, what do you think will happen to the others?
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Dollar index falls below 98, cryptocurrency market surges, how long can it last?
Today is April 21, 2025, Monday. The market has experienced a day of rebound, currently around 87,000 points. Most people in the cryptocurrency market may find this round of increase puzzling, as there doesn't seem to be any particularly obvious positive news. Why has the market risen? In fact, today's rise in Bitcoin is directly related to the dollar index.
The dollar is being collectively sold off, with the dollar index hitting new lows, directly breaking below 98, and Bitcoin experiencing an increase. The euro has risen by 2%, and the dollar against the yen once fell below the significant threshold of 140 points. However, in US stock futures, both the S&P and Nasdaq futures have dropped by more than 1%, and US Treasury yields are rising, indicating that traditional markets are still worried about economic issues. Whether Bitcoin's rise can be sustained will depend on the movements of American investors after the US stock market opens tonight. After all, the trading volume is still quite low.
The dollar is being collectively sold off, with the dollar index hitting new lows, directly breaking below 98, and Bitcoin experiencing an increase. The euro has risen by 2%, and the dollar against the yen once fell below the significant threshold of 140 points. However, in US stock futures, both the S&P and Nasdaq futures have dropped by more than 1%, and US Treasury yields are rising, indicating that traditional markets are still worried about economic issues. Whether Bitcoin's rise can be sustained will depend on the movements of American investors after the US stock market opens tonight. After all, the trading volume is still quite low.
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Good morning, brothers. Powell's speech last night disappointed the market. In fact, the logic we discussed before can explain this situation: the market's sharp decline is mainly due to policy uncertainty and unexpected changes, so issues like tariffs can only be resolved through the tariff policy itself. Now, the best choice for the Federal Reserve is to remain steady, because if the Fed takes action and Trump does not, the effects will be greatly diminished; conversely, if Trump acts first, then the Fed actually has no need to move.
The pace of the Federal Reserve's next actions should be as follows: they will first observe the impact of the tariff policy implemented in early April on inflation and the economy. As Fed official Waller said the day before yesterday, if a 10% tariff has little effect on inflation, and there are signs of an economic slowdown, then the Fed would have reason to cut interest rates.
Another possibility is that a larger economic shock suddenly appears, and then Powell may need to play the role of a savior, not only cutting rates but possibly even restarting large-scale asset purchase programs (essentially printing money).
As for the reduction of the balance sheet, it should stop by the latest third quarter (although Powell may say it is just a "pause").
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The pace of the Federal Reserve's next actions should be as follows: they will first observe the impact of the tariff policy implemented in early April on inflation and the economy. As Fed official Waller said the day before yesterday, if a 10% tariff has little effect on inflation, and there are signs of an economic slowdown, then the Fed would have reason to cut interest rates.
Another possibility is that a larger economic shock suddenly appears, and then Powell may need to play the role of a savior, not only cutting rates but possibly even restarting large-scale asset purchase programs (essentially printing money).
As for the reduction of the balance sheet, it should stop by the latest third quarter (although Powell may say it is just a "pause").
点击黄色字体加入峰哥聊天室一起交流~
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Yesterday, the market did not experience a "Black Monday" crash. Instead, due to Trump's early morning announcement about adjusting auto import tariffs, market sentiment improved, and indexes like the S&P 500 closed higher.
Bitcoin is still hovering around $85,000. Even if Trump continues to release favorable policies, the upside seems limited, as $86,600 and $87,700 are strong resistance levels, and this wave has already risen $10,000 from $75,000.
The market is currently grappling with whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, but the real impact on the market will depend on the economic data released at the end of the month.
As for Ethereum, since the big brother Bitcoin hasn't broken through, the second brother Ethereum naturally hasn't been able to break through the $1,650-$1,700 resistance level. Recently there has been some bad news: Grayscale's application for an Ethereum spot ETF has been postponed, and it is estimated that it will have to wait until June. There is also a potential positive, as it seems we haven't seen BlackRock enter the application process yet; as long as the process is moving forward, it is a good thing.
Yesterday, the market did not experience a "Black Monday" crash. Instead, due to Trump's early morning announcement about adjusting auto import tariffs, market sentiment improved, and indexes like the S&P 500 closed higher.
Bitcoin is still hovering around $85,000. Even if Trump continues to release favorable policies, the upside seems limited, as $86,600 and $87,700 are strong resistance levels, and this wave has already risen $10,000 from $75,000.
The market is currently grappling with whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, but the real impact on the market will depend on the economic data released at the end of the month.
As for Ethereum, since the big brother Bitcoin hasn't broken through, the second brother Ethereum naturally hasn't been able to break through the $1,650-$1,700 resistance level. Recently there has been some bad news: Grayscale's application for an Ethereum spot ETF has been postponed, and it is estimated that it will have to wait until June. There is also a potential positive, as it seems we haven't seen BlackRock enter the application process yet; as long as the process is moving forward, it is a good thing.
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Tariff Easing, Altcoin Bottom Fishing Signal Appears!
Today is April 14, 2025, Monday. Recently, there are two key factors in the market worth paying attention to: one is the tariff issue, and the other is the interest rate cut issue. First, regarding tariffs, the main impact currently is on imported cars and parts. However, there are signs of easing in the tariff negotiations with China, and it is likely that some positive news will be gradually released. The most stringent tariff plan from early April is basically unlikely to be implemented, so the pressure from tariffs will gradually decrease. But aside from tariffs, the economic situation is currently the most troublesome issue. If the economy is too good, the Federal Reserve won't be in a hurry to cut interest rates, so the market's expectation for a rate cut in June is unlikely to be advanced. The key will still be the GDP data released at the end of April, which is particularly critical.
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From the daily chart, the trend of BCH is similar to that of Bitcoin, and even a bit stronger than Bitcoin. It had previously dropped but has now quickly rebounded, surging past several important moving averages in one go, rising particularly aggressively. The MACD indicator is also gradually strengthening, with the trend shifting from weak to strong. There is hope to rise to the resistance level of 380 dollars. If it can pull back to around 320 dollars recently, it would be a good opportunity to buy some spot, a nice chance to bottom out.
From the daily chart, the trend of BCH is similar to that of Bitcoin, and even a bit stronger than Bitcoin. It had previously dropped but has now quickly rebounded, surging past several important moving averages in one go, rising particularly aggressively. The MACD indicator is also gradually strengthening, with the trend shifting from weak to strong. There is hope to rise to the resistance level of 380 dollars. If it can pull back to around 320 dollars recently, it would be a good opportunity to buy some spot, a nice chance to bottom out.
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The current US stock market has basically become a private ATM for the Trump family. Ironically, they are actually profiting by shorting Musk's company. It's worth noting that if it weren't for Musk's timely assistance back then, it's hard to say whether Trump could be in this position now! This kind of operation truly exemplifies the extreme pursuit of self-interest.
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The ETF has seen continuous net outflows for 6 days now, which reflects the market's attitude towards tariffs...
The good news is that supply has started to decrease in the last two days. Since the approval of the BTC spot ETF, the entire ETF market has accumulated $35.5 billion in BTC purchases;
To be honest, at this price level and in this overall environment, the only things that can bring BTC into a bear market are the sell-offs from ETFs and MicroStrategy.
The good news is that supply has started to decrease in the last two days. Since the approval of the BTC spot ETF, the entire ETF market has accumulated $35.5 billion in BTC purchases;
To be honest, at this price level and in this overall environment, the only things that can bring BTC into a bear market are the sell-offs from ETFs and MicroStrategy.
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Tariff Pause and CPI Coming Out, Is the Rate Cut in June Secure?
Today is April 10, 2025, Thursday. The market right now is just like children playing house. Early yesterday morning, Trump suddenly announced a pause on tariffs, stating that the nationwide reciprocal tariffs would be suspended for 90 days just one day after announcing them. One must say that cryptocurrency has now become a US dollar asset. American policies can almost entirely sway the market's ups and downs.
The most amusing thing is that four hours before announcing the tariff pause, Trump publicly encouraged everyone to buy the dip! Trump, by his own efforts, has made the US stock market behave like cryptocurrency, where price movements can be controlled just by calling out.
The most amusing thing is that four hours before announcing the tariff pause, Trump publicly encouraged everyone to buy the dip! Trump, by his own efforts, has made the US stock market behave like cryptocurrency, where price movements can be controlled just by calling out.
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Sure enough, one wave after another of small coins are starting to be delisted! Those with a market value of ten to twenty million are dangerous high-risk varieties, so proceed with caution!
The profit effect data for 2025 has a localized effect, most of the junk will die, open your eyes! Be cautious in your trading choices! #币安投票下币
The profit effect data for 2025 has a localized effect, most of the junk will die, open your eyes! Be cautious in your trading choices! #币安投票下币
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You could say he is an incompetent president, but he can definitely be considered a competent operator 😂
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Paul Atkins officially took office as the chairman of the U.S. SEC, good news #
Paul Atkins officially took office as the chairman of the U.S. SEC, good news #
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