北斗星_

The essence of cryptocurrency is a dynamically evolving complex system, and no single formula can absolutely predict trends, but a scientific framework can significantly enhance decision-making success rates.

Waiting for the Trump event to ferment. Just bought Trump
A large amount will be unlocked on the 18th, which means a massive unlock of Trump next week.

On April 18, 2025, the TRUMP token will see its first large-scale unlock, accounting for 20% of the current circulating supply.

Based on the current price of about $8, the value of the unlocked tokens is approximately $321 million to $413 million.

I estimate that the Trump family will also take action over the weekend or next week, publicly announcing positions to buy 1-2x.

Moreover, a bit of superstition, the last time they announced Trump was on March 13, and today is April 13, both on the 13th, haha.

This time, I hope no one has made a leverage mistake, right? $TRUMP

Last night, the U.S. March CPI data fell from 2.8% to 2.4%. Inflation dropping to 2.4% is a new low since September last year, and it is also the lowest point since U.S. inflation dropped from 9.1% to 2.4% in June 2022.

What does a decline in inflation mean? The inflation rate that the Federal Reserve is most concerned about has decreased, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts. The only way to save the U.S. economy from a downturn is to actively allow the dollar to depreciate, and the prerequisite for dollar depreciation is certainly a decrease in interest rates by the Federal Reserve.

In the past, the Federal Reserve was slow to cut interest rates, waiting for inflation to decline, and also observing whether inflation would rebound again due to Trump's trade conflict. The current results prove that inflation has experienced an ideal decline, getting closer to the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target, significantly increasing the likelihood of interest rate cuts. #降息预期

Recently, there have been more and more scammers, making it hard to guard against them. Here’s a simple整理 of personal experiences, all lessons learned along the way.🤣
#币圈骗局
1 High Return Scams

- Common phrases used by scammers: "Guaranteed profit" "Monthly return of 50%" "Let you earn passively"

- Truth: There are no guaranteed profit projects in the cryptocurrency world; high returns come with high risks, and it could even be a Ponzi scheme.

2 Pig Butchering (Romance Investment Scam)

- Scammers disguise themselves as "big shots in the crypto world" or "trusted online friends," first building a relationship before luring you to invest in fake platforms.

- Typical case: An online friend leads you to a "high-yield project," only to find out the website disappeared when you try to withdraw.

3 Fake Exchanges/Wallets

- They forge official websites or apps of well-known exchanges, tricking you into entering your account and password to steal your assets.

- Anti-fraud tip: Always download apps from official channels, and do not click on unfamiliar links!

4 False ICOs/Air Coins

- The project party hypes up the project, but in reality, there is no technical team, and they disappear right after issuing the coin.

- Identification method: Check the team's background, see if the white paper is reliable, and don’t believe the nonsense that it will "only go up and never go down."

5 Withdrawal Restrictions/Signs of Scam

- Some shady exchanges may suddenly raise withdrawal thresholds or even shut down the withdrawal function entirely.

- If you encounter such situations, withdraw quickly! Don’t wait until the platform disappears to regret it.

Only choose legitimate exchanges.

Enable 2FA two-factor authentication; don’t give hackers a chance.

Store large assets in cold wallets, don’t keep everything on exchanges.

Do not easily trust strangers, especially those who privately message you to help you make money.

Test with small withdrawals first to avoid being stuck with funds.

Don’t fall for FOMO, stay calm!

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH When will the market be pulled? If nothing is done, how can we force everyone out of the market to bring Trump up? Without funds, who will play with you?

Countless contract liquidations have taught me an important lesson: the significance of setting take-profit and stop-loss levels!

As long as total profit is greater than total loss, we have already surpassed 90% of traders. So how should we set take-profit and stop-loss?

① Each stop-loss ≤ 5% of total capital;
② Each profit > 5% of total capital;
③ Total trading win rate > 50%

If the above requirements are met (profit-loss ratio greater than 1 and win rate greater than 50%), profit can be achieved. Of course, there can also be high profit-loss ratios with low win rates, or low profit-loss ratios with high win rates. This may seem simple, yet in practice, there are always many individuals who #take profit when they are winning and stubbornly hold on when they are losing, knowing that this is wrong but unable to control themselves. This is the weakness of human nature; greed and fear need to be managed through capital management.
#止盈止损的概率效应

What index, what K-line

The cryptocurrency world only needs one piece of news to make the price plummet!

It just can't stand the slightest disturbance
#加密市场回调 $BTC

2024 Bottom Fishing Army:

1. The US holds over 1.13 million BTC in its ETF, surpassing Satoshi Nakamoto, with assets under management exceeding gold;
2. The total net asset value of the US BTC ETF reaches $110 billion, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for about 50%.
3. The total net asset value of the US ETH ETF is $12.35 billion, with Grayscale holding $4.9 billion and BlackRock $3.65 billion.
4. The Hong Kong BTC ETF holds about 4,290 BTC, with a net value of approximately $40 million. ETH holds about 1,890 coins, with a net value of $6.422 million.

Which altcoin ETFs are expected to be launched next year?

1. Several Sol ETFs are set to face their first review period from January 23 to January 25, 2025;
2. Bitwise's application for 10 cryptocurrency index ETFs will face its first review period on January 18, 2025;
3. Several projects are applying for XRP ETFs, LTC is also involved, and there are rumors of institutions attempting to bring DOGE into ETF expectations.
#加密市场调整

How to Roll Capital to Make Money Quickly

In the cryptocurrency world, you need to find a way to earn 1 million in principal first. The only way to turn tens of thousands into 1 million is through rolling capital.

Once you have 1 million in principal, you'll find that your entire life seems different. Even if you don't use leverage, a 20% increase in spot trading yields 200,000, which is already the income ceiling for most people in a year.

Moreover, when you can turn tens of thousands into 1 million, you'll grasp some strategies and logic for making big money. At this point, your mindset will also be much calmer, and from then on, it's just a matter of copying and pasting.

Don't always think in terms of tens of millions or hundreds of millions; start from your actual situation. Bragging only makes the braggers comfortable. Trading requires the ability to identify the size of opportunities. You can't always trade with a light position, nor can you always go heavy. Usually, play with small positions, and when a big opportunity arises, then bring out the heavy artillery.

For example, rolling capital can only be executed when a big opportunity arises. You can't keep rolling; it's okay to miss out sometimes, because you only need to roll successfully three or four times in your life to go from zero to tens of millions. Tens of millions is enough for an ordinary person to graduate to the ranks of the wealthy.

A few points to note about rolling capital:

1. Sufficient patience; the profits from rolling capital are enormous. As long as you can roll successfully a few times, you can earn at least tens of millions or even hundreds of millions. Therefore, you can't roll easily; you need to find high-certainty opportunities;

2. High-certainty opportunities refer to a significant drop followed by sideways consolidation and then an upward breakout. At this time, the probability of trending upward is very high. Identify the point of trend reversal and get on board from the beginning.

3. Only roll long;

Remember, $ETH is a counterfeit coin!
Not mainstream, and certainly not a quality mainstream!

In the cryptocurrency space, if you earn 1 million, and want to transfer this money back to a domestic bank account, you need to operate carefully. A direct transfer may attract the attention of regulatory authorities and could be regarded as illegal income, possibly leading to legal issues. However, there is no need to worry, as there are several legal ways to solve this problem.

The following content is for reference only, not personally tested, please make your own judgment.

The first method is: withdraw USDT to the BiyaPay wallet, which has obtained relevant licenses in the United States. Through BiyaPay, you can exchange USDT for US dollars, and then transfer through banks such as Wise or OCBC. Although there may be certain fees and exchange rate losses along the way, the entire process is transparent and legal. When using Wise, funds can be transferred back to domestic Alipay, WeChat, or Bank of China accounts, but there will be an annual limit. The OCBC 360 account is very convenient for withdrawals in the domestic market and is not subject to the $50,000 limit.

The second method is to use the Kraken exchange to withdraw USDT to iFAST's UK bank. Kraken also has a legal license, which is another legal avenue. However, you will also need to pay fees and face exchange rate losses.

It should be particularly noted that while these methods are legal, it is best to consult a professional legal advisor before proceeding to ensure that every step complies with regulations.

Overall, the most important thing is that you can make money!

If nothing unexpected happens, Trump will take office on time next month. The following cryptocurrency brothers, hold on tight, and those who haven't boarded might want to consider getting on board now💵

1. DOGE (Dogecoin)
Current price: $0.43. Due to Musk's continued support and Dogecoin's strong liquidity, it is expected to further rise after Trump takes office, potentially experiencing explosive growth.

2. PNUT (Squirrel Coin)
It surged 400% during Trump's election period, currently priced at $1.24, making it suitable for positioning. With Trump's inauguration, a second wave of increases may come, and averaging down could be a good strategy.

3. PEPE (PEPE Coin)
Besides being a popular meme coin, PEPE has huge potential on DeFi and NFT platforms and is expected to build its own ecosystem in the future. Although it may not be the best time to accumulate now, if the timing is right, it could achieve a tenfold appreciation.

4. XRP (Ripple)
Ripple received donation support during Trump's election period, and its price rose to $2.9 after the election, setting a three-year high. If Trump promotes XRP as a means of crypto payment, its price could increase significantly.

No wonder people say Trump is amazing!
He truly is the guiding deity of the crypto world, whatever coin he gets involved with skyrockets!
Indeed, the crypto world is all about celebrity influence; 1 million dollars can make a token's value increase by 30%-50%!
Trump said, making money is too slow, I'm going to the crypto world to grab some cash!
The whales are directly being fried back and forth in the frying pan; anyway, I've entered, whether you pull or not is the end of the story!!!

This bull market
Who is it
Left Squirrel PNUT
Right Raccoon FRED
Dog DOGE at the waist
Frog PEPE on the chest

With this layout, who can stop you from getting rich?
#doge⚡ #pepe神币 #FRED

It is inevitable that ETH will break $10,000 in the next two years.
As long as BlackRock wants to,
they can drain the liquidity of ETH in the market.
They have the strength to do this.
It's just a matter of whether they want to or not.
But how many people in the crypto world can truly accept becoming rich slowly?
Frequent opening of positions,
frequent increasing and decreasing leverage,
in the end, the money in the account has nothing to do with the bull or bear market.
Human nature.

$XPR, I can't believe it, it went from a market value of 100 billion to a market value of 1 trillion, and it's the third one to reach a trillion

ETH resistance is still 3700, likely to initiate a daily level correction

Things are getting more and more interesting 😋
2100: Damn the foundation is still delivering
2500: The failures of Ether are all those eunuchs
2800: ZK and L2 are the pubic hair of VCs
3000: Solana makes a strong comeback, while ETH is still...
3300: The living V God is the biggest bearish signal
3500: Bottom rebound, the advantage is in SOL
3600: Ethereum 3.0 is here!
3700: ETH is a civilization-level innovation!
3800: The golden age of SOL is over, ETH is holding up the pillars
4000: Bitcoin is digital gold, Ethereum is digital silver
4500: Ethereum is a human-level palace!
4800: ZK and L2 are the wisdom of humanity
5000: New highs are not a dream, Brother V takes me to the universe!
5500: In the future, 1 ETH = 1 villa
6000: No ETH, not a crypto person
8000: Master V is always right
10000: No ETH means no future

In 2017, the peak of the bull market was BTC20,000, ETH1440

In 2021, the peak of the bull market was BTC69,000, ETH4800

BTC is currently up about 40% from the previous high point, and the price of ETH to catch up with this increase is 7,000. It's time to open up your mindset. Where does the pressure point of ETH come from? They are just cheap chips.