Porsche does not match your identity, you might consider: Aston Martin One-77
分析师舒琴
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Sudden inspiration... A few days ago, I came across HongKongDoll's convertible BMW and thought it was so cool. I'm planning to buy a convertible next year! Currently, I've researched the Porsche 718, and I think it's much cuter and better looking than a Lamborghini, and it's even cheaper! Do you guys have any suggestions?
Change the mindset, and from now on fully transition into a short-selling phase for the following reasons.
Background 1: Financial situation: About half on exchanges and half on-chain. Background 2: General market situation: The market is currently in one of three scenarios: first, a true breakout of Bitcoin, leading to a sharp rise and a rally in altcoins, entering a bull market. Second, a false breakout that turns downward or a significant correction before a bull run. Third, the current situation of being stuck without moving up or down.
If I go long and encounter the first scenario of a bull run, that would be the best outcome; if it’s the second scenario, it could be disastrous, with significant losses both on-chain and off-chain, and exchanges could potentially go to zero, forcing one to leave the table. Of course, if it’s the third scenario of being stuck, there’s nothing much to say.
If I go short and encounter the first scenario of a bull run, on-chain assets will greatly appreciate, exchanges will suffer significant losses, but if operated correctly without being liquidated, there will still be considerable funding fees to compensate somewhat. If it’s the second scenario, exchanges could not only make money but also acquire considerable fees, which could fully offset the losses on-chain. Again, if it’s the third scenario of being stuck, there’s similarly not much to discuss.
In summary, based on my actual situation, going long cannot withstand the worst-case scenario, while going short is the most prudent approach, preventing total annihilation, while maintaining capital and having a certain probability of making profits. So I must short!!!
Recently, there haven't been major issues in operations, everything looks green and pleasing to the eye, let’s keep it up!
It depends on the general trend. If the general direction is wrong, stop loss in time.
通宵盯盘大师
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Thank you for your advice these days. I sincerely hope that my friends are doing well. Yes, I also regret not selling at 9w, but when it reaches 9w, people will naturally think that 8w8 is not far away. Just like last night at 98000, I was thinking, it hasn’t reached 99000 yet, will it fall to 99900 again? Hehe, people always comfort themselves. Did you cry? I cried for a few seconds. What did it feel like? Relieved? No, very sad? No, numb, maybe thinking about what to do next. I sold the last 1300u I used to recharge my living expenses. Well, I shouldn't have to worry about food and clothing in the next one or two months. Some people are giving me commissions. I still have a way to go, right? The people in the live broadcast room also said that they would give me 1u as chat fee. Hahahaha, everyone seems to be very good to me. I still have 1000u left here. I will continue to be my 10u God of War. 10u a day can make a profit in 6 and a half years. Hahaha, this is of course not realistic. 50u a day can make a profit in a year and a half. This is more realistic. There may be some commission income. It will be a profit in 1 year. It doesn't seem to be a long time. I have been in the cryptocurrency circle for 7 months. It doesn't seem too bad. I don't have a loan to pay back. If it doesn't work, I can return the house and get 30,000 yuan back and live at home. I will continue to work on my music. It doesn't seem too bad. Hahaha, so friends who support me and believe in me can take a look at my pinned post. I also provide a wake-up service for watching the market. Hahaha. Both new users and old users who have not traded for 6 months can use it. 20% off the handling fee (please don’t reject my advertising, please, please🥺)
They don't have much confidence in Ethereum, and when Bitcoin drops, they will increase their holdings in Bitcoin rather than Ethereum. Ethereum has too many variables as a technology application layer, and what those people on Wall Street want is a more stable high return.
Set up take-profit and stop-loss settings, and there is no need to stay up late to watch the market.
通宵盯盘大师
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Finally, I deeply understand the meaning of being blessed by being able to eat. It’s really painful to be alone and not be able to eat. No matter how much I like the shredded chicken and barbecued pork rice, I can only eat two bites😶 As shown in the picture, I can’t eat anymore, and I don’t feel happy when I eat it in my mouth. I feel like I’m eating just to avoid starving to death🍽️
The rise and fall of BTC is determined by the relationship between supply and demand. That is, when there are more people selling, it will fall, and when there are more people buying, it will rise! Then these factors are determined by negative and bullish emotions! Why are you bullish, why are you bearish, why are you buying and why are you selling! The amount of Bitcoin is constant at 21 million. If there is more demand, it can only rise. This is why BTC has risen from a few cents to tens of thousands of dollars now!
So what happens next? Is there more or less demand?
The BTC spot ETF has been approved, which means that there will be infinite funds entering the market in the future, and more traditional investors will flood into the market. This will be a torrent of influx! Furthermore, Hong Kong’s Bitcoin ETF is about to be launched, and it is estimated that Bitcoin ETFs in other countries will also be launched accordingly!
In May, BTC was halved. Some people say that subsequent halvings are of little significance because most of the Bitcoins have been mined and circulated! In fact, this is not the case. The halving means that the income of miners is halved, and the cost of mining increases by half! If mining is loss-making, then no one will mine, so it doesn’t matter how many BTC can be mined after the halving, but every halving can push the price of BTC to a higher level! This time the cost of BTC mining will be halved to around 35,000U.
There is a high probability that the United States will cut interest rates this year, which means more funds will be released into the market. Now that the global economy is unstable, the return on investment in real estate and stock markets will not be very satisfactory! Then more of this money will flow to the cryptocurrency market!
According to the above analysis, the demand for this BTC is very huge! Everyone, hold on to your chips and don’t be fooled by various short-term bad news! Even if Grayscale sells every day, several other ETFs are net bought every day, so the short-term decline is an opportunity to continue to add positions! This opportunity is not only for retail investors, but also for institutions to add positions at low prices to gain chips!
At this time, just grab the chips in your hand and increase your position on dips. If you stick to it until 2025, you will definitely gain good results.
The approval of ETF will bring more traditional funds into the market. Institutions may have already planned to build positions. At this time, the adoption of ETF may be a joint effort between institutions and SEC to induce long shipments! From a short-term perspective, there should be a relatively large correction! In the long run, BTC will definitely reach more than 100,000 U!
But I still recommend that you don’t go short. At least half of the position should be in spot. If it falls, you can cover it. If it rises, you won’t be short! Because it is difficult for retail investors to grasp the rhythm of the correction. How much of the correction should be taken to enter the position? 40,000? Or 36,000? This rhythm is difficult to grasp! When it drops to 40,000, will you wait for a lower point? If it doesn’t pull back, it first reaches 60,000 and then drops to 55,000, are you still waiting for 40,000? Maybe if you start the mad cow directly, you will completely miss the entire bull market!
So don’t be short during this period. It will be halved in May this year. At that time, the mining cost of BTC will also reach around 35,000. It is definitely going to take off!
Maybe it will reach more than 3W after a while. Maybe you will think how great it would be if I cleared my position at 47,000? If it’s more than 3W, I’ll take it back! But who can 100% grasp this rhythm?
Because now is the critical moment for Niu Chu, not a bear market! So it is better not to take this band than to take even a 10% risk and miss the entire bull market!
36000 is waiting for a callback, 42000 is waiting for a callback, and 48000 is still waiting for a callback! Don’t go short now in Niu Chu! If it breaks through 48,000, it may go directly to 60,000 points. If the ETF passes, even if the benefits are exhausted and there is a correction, it will still be a real benefit, which means that a large amount of funds will enter the market, and it will definitely be pulled up! Even if there is a correction, there will not be a major correction!
You can half-position the spot, you can advance, you can attack, you can retreat, you can defend. Being short is much more uncomfortable than being trapped. If it reaches 60,000, will you advance or not? It is possible to miss the entire big bull market! Even if you are trapped, it won't last long, at most half a year. If it falls, just cover up the position!