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$BTC Update: Same market entity strikes again leading to another flush to pre-FOMC low Market positioning continues to decay with declining OI Notable Perp CVD divergence here which has been created from a combination of new longs & shorts closing out Given today's price action, shifting my focus towards $105K as the needed price area to auction above for sustainable upside
$BTC
Update:
Same market entity strikes again leading to another flush to pre-FOMC low

Market positioning continues to decay with declining OI

Notable Perp CVD divergence here which has been created from a combination of new longs & shorts closing out

Given today's price action, shifting my focus towards $105K as the needed price area to auction above for sustainable upside
$BTC Update: Market reacting so far positively off headlines of de-escalation (we see though) Orderbooks are skew towards bid depth - More bids closest to price vs asks Perp positioning is pretty short with all the stacked defensive positioning here however some initial longs opening post headlines here FOMC later as well
$BTC
Update:
Market reacting so far positively off headlines of de-escalation (we see though)

Orderbooks are skew towards bid depth
- More bids closest to price vs asks

Perp positioning is pretty short with all the stacked defensive positioning here

however some initial longs opening post headlines here

FOMC later as well
$104K is the price Let the fight begin $BTC
$104K is the price
Let the fight begin
$BTC
$BTC Price now trading towards aggregate spot bid liquidity $104K - $100K (Spot Demand)
$BTC
Price now trading towards aggregate spot bid liquidity
$104K - $100K (Spot Demand)
$BTC So far this has been pretty well managed by the market - no uptick in market vol yet - avg volume - no panic positioning yet For a 3% or so pullback so far market isn't panicked yet, although on LTF there's clear hedge bias Previous dips were 5% or so but had aggressive shorting, spot selling & uptick in volatility with sell momentum/Volume So this means the big move has yet to occur & is brewing
$BTC
So far this has been pretty well managed by the market
- no uptick in market vol yet
- avg volume
- no panic positioning yet

For a 3% or so pullback so far market isn't panicked yet, although on LTF there's clear hedge bias

Previous dips were 5% or so but had aggressive shorting, spot selling & uptick in volatility with sell momentum/Volume

So this means the big move has yet to occur & is brewing
$BTC GM looks like i missed some action & big tonality changes Market clearly pricing in & reacting to further escalation here with weighing odds of US involvement against a nuclear interest (Iran) Market flow changes: - spot de-risked ($108K -> $106K) - shorts that chased price yesterday took profit - Currently shorts are opening into price weakness
$BTC
GM looks like i missed some action & big tonality changes

Market clearly pricing in & reacting to further escalation here with weighing odds of US involvement against a nuclear interest (Iran)

Market flow changes:
- spot de-risked ($108K -> $106K)
- shorts that chased price yesterday took profit
- Currently shorts are opening into price weakness
$BTC Update: Price now testing first cluster of asks around $108K - $109K ~ Market supply Shorts have chased price higher all day & are now offside especially if price maintains momentum higher from here leading to a short liquidation event going into US close & Asia session spot flow will be the deciding factor of the market
$BTC
Update:
Price now testing first cluster of asks around $108K - $109K
~ Market supply

Shorts have chased price higher all day & are now offside especially if price maintains momentum higher from here leading to a short liquidation event

going into US close & Asia session spot flow will be the deciding factor of the market
Shorts getting margin called at your local exchange
Shorts getting margin called at your local exchange
So many charts & setups looking like pure art again though entire market is gonna require BTC to full send for setups to successfully play out
So many charts & setups looking like pure art

again though entire market is gonna require BTC to full send for setups to successfully play out
$GOLD 4H gold remains pretty strong here & decent looking chart could explain the passive bid on BTC currently gold marching higher from here would expect further escalation against Iran ~ likely striking their oil facilities
$GOLD 4H
gold remains pretty strong here & decent looking chart

could explain the passive bid on BTC currently

gold marching higher from here would expect further escalation against Iran
~ likely striking their oil facilities
$GOLD 4H gold remains pretty strong here & decent looking chart could explain the passive bid on BTC currently gold marching higher from would expect further escalation against Iran ~ likely striking their oil facilities
$GOLD 4H
gold remains pretty strong here & decent looking chart

could explain the passive bid on BTC currently

gold marching higher from would expect further escalation against Iran
~ likely striking their oil facilities
$BTC Pretty muted market response so far despite impacts deep into Tel Aviv Keep an eye on what gets hit next in this third wave of ballistic missiles Current market demand is around $103K - $100K Current market positioning is flat (surprisingly)
$BTC
Pretty muted market response so far despite impacts deep into Tel Aviv

Keep an eye on what gets hit next in this third wave of ballistic missiles

Current market demand is around $103K - $100K
Current market positioning is flat (surprisingly)
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Will be dropping some crypto cantina exclusive indicators over time

Feel free to join the next best crypto community
https://t.co/5ImfYvMJdd

Step 1
Read Rules & react/click on the ✅to join the cantina

Step 2
Head to the 📚resources channel in the Cantina section for access to Complete EMAs & MAs
tbh about the expected % decline in reaction to pre-emptive strikes thus far probably a bit more with a response from Iran, at least that's what we saw previously $102K - $100K still most important area to hold for $BTC & rest of the market Bigger washout may come with greater escalation than the market currently expects
tbh about the expected % decline in reaction to pre-emptive strikes thus far

probably a bit more with a response from Iran, at least that's what we saw previously

$102K - $100K still most important area to hold for $BTC & rest of the market

Bigger washout may come with greater escalation than the market currently expects
At this point it's a matter of when traditional finance & the old system caves to new age finance (crypto & stablecoins) not if increasing fiscal & deficit problems globally increasing efforts to push for global reach on taxation, this won't solve much Traditional finance is late stage & on it's way out now they know this as well CEX was the start & catalyst DEX & DeFi is the end game & future
At this point it's a matter of when traditional finance & the old system caves to new age finance (crypto & stablecoins)

not if

increasing fiscal & deficit problems globally
increasing efforts to push for global reach on taxation, this won't solve much

Traditional finance is late stage & on it's way out now

they know this as well

CEX was the start & catalyst
DEX & DeFi is the end game & future
$BTC Nice aggregate flush of long leverage & de-risk selling from spot all driven by headlines once again
$BTC
Nice aggregate flush of long leverage & de-risk selling from spot

all driven by headlines once again
$BTC $110K is the level between local high & potential breakout price Market pricing supply here & skewed ask depth on binance perps with short positioning scaling up here All point to a huge amount of liquidity here, usually pivotal for the market
$BTC
$110K is the level between local high & potential breakout price

Market pricing supply here & skewed ask depth on binance perps with short positioning scaling up here

All point to a huge amount of liquidity here, usually pivotal for the market
$BTC almost tagging $105K off again headlines markets will want to see fruition of Trumps comments regarding a path forward with trade between US & China Shipping data does already suggest insiders know hence container volume has briefly picked up again
$BTC
almost tagging $105K off again headlines

markets will want to see fruition of Trumps comments regarding a path forward with trade between US & China

Shipping data does already suggest insiders know hence container volume has briefly picked up again
$BTC 4H Two key prices going into weekly close / open $104K (Current Resistance & Market Supply) $102.2K (Previous VAH) Previous HVN, POC & Systematic trend all around $95K - $98K ~ very important to hold if we pullback to there
$BTC 4H
Two key prices going into weekly close / open
$104K (Current Resistance & Market Supply)
$102.2K (Previous VAH)

Previous HVN, POC & Systematic trend all around $95K - $98K
~ very important to hold if we pullback to there
US - China Trade Talks taking place this weekend in Geneva Sunday will be a key focus to determine outcome of initial trade talks Currently in the most liquid weekend market aka $BTC Pretty clear hedging taking place just below $104K with a clear turning point price if wrong (above $104K) Spot values $104K as well with consistent ask liquidity there & de-risking
US - China Trade Talks taking place this weekend in Geneva

Sunday will be a key focus to determine outcome of initial trade talks

Currently in the most liquid weekend market aka $BTC

Pretty clear hedging taking place just below $104K with a clear turning point price if wrong (above $104K)

Spot values $104K as well with consistent ask liquidity there & de-risking
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