How to Make My BAG Grow: The Relationship Between Position and Compounding (Part 1)
Many people wonder, since I am optimistic about a coin, why not buy with my entire position? However, as the saying goes, investing carries risks. Investing is not gambling.
1. The Importance of Position Control Buying a coin with your entire position is very risky. If that coin loses 10%, you must earn 20% to break even. When losses exceed 50%, you even need to double your investment to recover the principal. These figures remind us that when choosing positions, we should follow the principle of 'not putting all eggs in one basket.' Even if you are very optimistic about a coin, reasonable position control can effectively diversify risk.
cash cow Hoarding coins is just about the list below, telling stories is useless. How many 'chives' that have survived until now want to hear your project team's stories? If the protocol itself cannot generate revenue, are you really telling me about consensus? Return to the fundamentals! $AAVE $ldo #pendle #Hyperliquid
Currently, the macro narrative is about the game of recession and interest rate cuts, but a recession must be triggered by the precondition of interest rate cuts being bundled together. This is also the reason for the current downward trend and bearish logic. However, shorting is quite difficult because it is hard to bet on whether the market will reach previous highs before the real panic of recession begins.
From a micro short-term perspective, last Friday's 97800 was actually only 300 points higher than the 97500 I mentioned, but there weren't many who dared to short at that time, because the short-term gradual 1000-2000 point rise broke many people's expectation that 95 was the top, disrupted trading plans, and caused uncertainty and panic.
Although we are currently in a downward range, as I judged yesterday around 92 for cross support, 92 could be a high-probability opportunity to go long. However, when it actually reaches that position, bulls may hesitate about whether to wait until 88 to see, while bears might think at least to rebound back to 95 before making a decision. Opportunities are lost in this indecision. Of course, you can choose to trade only the large range with certainty, but you must be able to endure loneliness to hold on to prosperity.
This position should experience a fake rebound $BTC $90000 $ETH $1800 $SOL $150 When everyone thinks the bull market is back There will be another drop to completely crush the public's mindset Then the second phase of the bull market will truly begin #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
The biggest problem in the cryptocurrency world right now is strategic confusion, with a bleak and unclear outlook. Besides casino logic and payments, there isn't much value temporarily; what we have are only a large amount of false demand, which is also the reason for the failure of VCs in this round of market. After all, the original intention of VCs should be value discovery, but if the industry itself has no value, how can anyone discover it? 🤷 #BTC
In the next round of the market, whoever can lead everyone through the fog to achieve value discovery will be the next crypto emperor. Whoever can clearly answer where the cryptocurrency world is headed will be the leader of the crypto world.
Recent Status of the Cryptocurrency Industry: 1. Binance's listing has become chaotic, with spot contracts and IDOs being listed at lightning speed, and the quality of new projects becoming increasingly outrageous. The reference market cap for spot listings has dropped to 100 million USD; 2. Small coins listed on exchanges are entering a wave of rug pulls/bankruptcies, with K-line flash crashes + liquidity disappearing. One reason is that the overall environment is so poor that it's hard to make money, and the other is that previously, BN's spot shells were very valuable, so project teams were willing to maintain them with real money during the bear market. Now, the rampant listing of garbage has completely diluted the value of these shells, so project teams are also unwilling to maintain them; when the K-line breaks, it just breaks. 3. The cryptocurrency market has entered a period of demand deflation, meme coins have cooled off, there is a lack of new narratives and paradigms, retail investors are fatigued by junk assets, and there is insufficient intrinsic demand within the industry. ETH, SOL, and BNB are all facing this issue. 4. Being held hostage by U.S. macroeconomic factors, when U.S. stocks crash, BTC will certainly crash; when BTC crashes, ETH and many small coins will certainly crash even harder. #BTC
Recent Status of the Cryptocurrency Industry: 1. Binance's listing policy has become chaotic, with spot contract IDOs rapidly launching new tokens, and the quality of new projects becoming increasingly outrageous. The reference market cap for spot listings has dropped to 100 million USD; 2. Small coins listed on exchanges are entering a wave of rug pulls/closures, with candlestick charts crashing and liquidity disappearing. One reason is that the overall environment is too poor to make real profits, and another is that previously valuable BN spot shells are now worthless, so project teams are unwilling to maintain them during the bear market. Now, the rampant listing of junk has completely diluted the shells, making them worthless, so project teams are also unwilling to maintain them, and when the candlestick closes, it closes; 3. The cryptocurrency market has entered a period of demand deflation, meme coins have cooled off, and there is a lack of new narratives and paradigms. Retail investors are experiencing aesthetic fatigue towards junk assets, and there is insufficient inherent demand within the industry. ETH, SOL, and BNB are all facing this issue; 4. Being hijacked by US macroeconomics, if the US stock market crashes, BTC will definitely crash, and if BTC crashes, ETH and a host of small coins will definitely double down on the crash.
An overview of the liquidity distribution in the futures market during this period!
It is unlikely that this week will continue the trend of oscillating and declining, mainly because the liquidity accumulated in the current futures market is sufficient for larger range oscillations;
There is very dense short liquidity at the upper level of 89000, while the long liquidity at the lower level of 79500 is relatively loose but uniform;
The total amount of both is close, so it can be inferred that in the absence of strong supply or strong demand in the spot market, the futures market will spontaneously liquidate, first in the area closer to the current price of 79500, and then in the rebound peak of the rising channel at 89000.
If this week sees a drop to 79000 followed by a violent rebound to 89000, I would not be surprised at all, as most oscillating markets behave this way:
Reality confirms high volatility at the upper and lower bounds of the range, followed by small fluctuations testing the upper and lower bounds of the range, and finally both supply and demand sides complete mutual consumption, re-entering a high volatility market for the final showdown;
In other words, if higher volatility occurs in the next two weeks, then it will not be far from breaking away from the current range (95000~78000) and entering the next trend!
The explanations of ETH in the Chinese circle are mostly technical. The true cultural core of crypto is the belief in decentralization, which determines its lower limit. BTC essentially represents the decentralized meme king, while ETH not only wants to maintain decentralized attributes but also aims to achieve true utilization, unwilling to cater to hot money from the dollar. Short-term pressure is inevitable.
Chainlink collaborates with Abu Dhabi Global Market to develop a compliant tokenization framework in the UAE
Sonic announces the development of a high-yield algorithmic stablecoin with an annual interest rate of up to 23%
Beraborrow launched its token POLLEN and plans to publicly sell it on Fjord Foundry on March 28. Just a few days ago, Beraborrow's private sale sold out in just 10 minutes
The final testnet for the Ethereum Pectra upgrade has been launched
dYdX has initiated its token buyback program. 25% of net protocol fees are now allocated to monthly DYDX buybacks
Hyperliquid has launched ETH spot trading. In addition, the exchange suffered an attack earlier this week due to market manipulation
Berachain liquidity proof is now live
Resolv announced plans to expand to new blockchains and add BTC as a supporting asset for its stablecoin
CARV launched Infinite Play—a data-driven engine that collects data for game developers while rewarding gamers
Rysk Finance introduced a new DeFi primitive that unlocks upfront yield on any asset
WorldLibertyFi announced plans to launch its own stablecoin
Kernel DAO (the project behind Kelp DAO) released its airdrop checker
Fidelity Investments, with assets under management of $5.8 trillion, has applied to establish an on-chain U.S. Treasury fund
Today, the total open interest across the network has reached a new high since early March (10.833 billion USD), the exchange's BTC balance has hit a new low since early March (2,205,906.42 BTC), BTC spot ETF has seen a net inflow for 6 consecutive days since last Monday, while ETH spot ETF has almost continuously experienced net outflows this month (only one day of net inflow). 57,044,887,299