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History does not repeat itself; it merely raises the stakes for a new performance. The Federal Reserve has finally cut interest rates for the first time in nearly a year, with a 25 basis point reduction, which is not only a response to weak employment and stubborn inflation but also a strategic shift driven by data. The federal funds rate has fallen to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%, indicating a gradual withdrawal from extreme tightening, which has been the catalyst for each round of bull markets in crypto assets.
Investors have mixed reactions to this 'risk management-style' interest rate cut. Some hear the footsteps of capital returning, while others sense market uncertainty about the future. The FOMC's forecast has laid out the macro map for the next three years: slowing GDP, rising unemployment, and falling inflation, and Bitcoin is once again drawn into the core of this macro game.
The silent farce on the technical chart
Prices can speak, but they do not necessarily tell the truth. Bitcoin is currently priced at $117,330, with an intraday increase of less than 2%, yet it has left technical analysts in a quandary. The image of an ascending wedge is becoming clearer, a common reversal signal that signifies a weakening of bullish momentum. If the pressure at $117,300 cannot be broken, the support point falls on the critical line of $115,800. The candlestick body is narrowing, RSI has fallen below 50, and the market's hesitation has already spilled over from the chart, while the potential death cross of the MACD line feels like an invisible tightening spell.
However, this formation is not necessarily doomed to decline. If a bullish engulfing or hammer pattern can form at the support level, prices could rebound to $118,500 or even higher. In the short term, the bottom line is $115,800; if it holds, the bulls still have room to extend. Otherwise, falling back to the 200-week moving average of $113,200 is just a matter of time. Three black crows are circling in the chart, and the struggle between bulls and bears has transcended technical indicators, returning to a belief in macro liquidity.
Has the ghost of 2020 returned?
Some say this round of interest rate cuts resembles 2020. That year, the Federal Reserve's massive easing not only saved the financial markets but also awakened Bitcoin from its slumber, sending it skyrocketing to historical highs. If this policy path repeats, combined with ETF institutional purchases and gradually clearer regulatory boundaries, Bitcoin may not just return to a bull market but could potentially reconstruct asset logic. The expected price of $130,000 is no longer a community fantasy but a possible version of a historical cycle. Not because it should happen, but because it has happened before.
For investors, today's consolidation is less about weakness and more about building momentum. Although the current price has not broken through short-term resistance, the bottom of the entire cycle is rising, and this is the real signal. It's not the explosive moment that determines a bull market, but those quietly rising floors that provide the final push.
Bitcoin Hyper: Structural Extension of Bitcoin
As macro funds flow back into the narrative of Bitcoin, a deeper change is taking place. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Layer 2 protocol executed on the Solana virtual machine, is no longer satisfied with being 'a subsidiary tool of Bitcoin.' It aims to transform Bitcoin from a store of value into an application asset. This is not just about bridging BTC; it's about creating a parallel universe of Bitcoin capable of deploying smart contracts and supporting DeFi and gaming.
This system locks BTC onto the underlying chain while releasing an equivalent amount of wrapped tokens on the upper layer, achieving transfers at near-zero fees and instant confirmations. This means users can no longer just 'hold Bitcoin' but can 'use Bitcoin.' Bitcoin Hyper provides not only a technical solution but also an expansion of culture and narrative. It makes Bitcoin young again, re-entering the stage of creative assets.
Currently, the HYPER presale has surpassed $16.5 million, with the token price at only $0.012935, and it will automatically adjust upwards over time. This dynamic pricing not only incentivizes early participation but also sets a time threshold for subsequent capital entry. For those who missed early BTC investments, HYPER is a ticket to a new narrative. Purchase Bitcoin Hyper on the official website.
Conclusion: The bull market will not wait for anyone.
Bitcoin is at the beginning of a new easing cycle. This time, it's not just the price chart signaling; more importantly, multiple tracks of capital, policy, and technology are being activated simultaneously. Traditional institutions' ETFs, investors' demand against inflation, and innovations like Bitcoin Hyper in Layer 2 are creating a structural tapestry that transcends a single market situation.
This is not a repeat of 2020, nor a continuation of 2021, but a battle over the future shape of assets. Every breakthrough of Bitcoin is not just about the strength of price; it involves structural adjustments, narrative updates, and the transmission of belief. This time is no exception.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency investment is highly risky, with significant price volatility that may lead to financial loss. This article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) and make cautious decisions.
This article discusses how the signal of the Fed's rate cut catalyzes Bitcoin to rise to $130,000, and the hundred-fold coin that should be invested in before the October bull market returns! Originally appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
