Today, we'll take a deep dive into the cryptocurrency market, specifically Ethereum, on September 6, 2025. The latest non-farm payroll data is quite eye-catching, with significant revisions. Based on this trend, a 25 basis point interest rate cut on the 16th and 17th is practically a done deal. Furthermore, judging by the data's trajectory, the market is already gearing up for continued rate cuts.

Interestingly, however, both yesterday's US stock market and the closely watched cryptocurrency market reacted surprisingly mildly to this data. Why? At this stage in the interest rate cut cycle, the short-term impact of sentiment is waning, like a spent force, while the tangible impact won't materialize immediately. Therefore, I think we shouldn't rely too heavily on the pace of rate cuts, especially in the cryptocurrency market. I personally believe we should focus on the four-year cycle.

Some have previously raised the question: With the Federal Reserve's interest rates still high, and at this current rate of cuts, it will take at least another year to reach their lowest point. Could the cryptocurrency market continue this way for more than a year, breaking the four-year cycle? You bet! Judging by BTC's price performance, Wall Street has firmly seized pricing power, and the impact is significant. Therefore, the four-year cycle in the cryptocurrency market could indeed be broken, especially since BTC production after another halving will represent a significantly smaller portion of the current circulating supply.

However, if the cryptocurrency market suddenly experiences a crazy bull run in the next one or two months, I would definitely advise everyone to withdraw en masse. After all, there's no need to speculate on the unknown; operating based on market trends and your own profits is the safest and most reliable option.

Let's talk about Ethereum's market. Yesterday was truly exciting, with a sharp short-term drop. The price was on the verge of hitting $4,500, but it suddenly plummeted to $4,250, revealing the continued existence of substantial short-term selling pressure in the market.

So when will this wave of Ethereum selling end? I think everyone should keep a close eye on the queue for exits. Right now, there are still 700,000 to 800,000 tokens waiting to be exited. However, we also have to consider that some people won't sell immediately after unlocking their holdings. So, I'm thinking we should wait until the number drops below 500,000, and even better still if it drops below 300,000.

The good news is that during the peak period of staking withdrawals, Ethereum prices actually withstood the pressure. Now that the staking withdrawals have come to a temporary halt, we can simply wait for the previous selling pressure to gradually dissipate.

Last week, it looked like this would be the week that the market's volatility would end. However, the number of people waiting to exit their stake suddenly surged to over 1 million, effectively extending the consolidation period. However, based on current data, there's still hope that the market correction will end next week.

But then again, we need to maintain a calm mindset when investing. Since we already have the stock, and the price advantage is quite significant, why not wait a little longer? Besides, as the old saying goes, "The longer the horizontal movement, the higher the vertical movement." If the current sideways trend is gathering momentum, a subsequent upward trend will surely surprise us! Let's wait and see!

I am Li Kui, follow me and I will tell you the latest news in the cryptocurrency world.